Assuming MLB Keeps Steroids Under Control, Do You Think You'll See The Career OR Single Season Home Run Record Broken In Your Lifetime?

HacheMan · Jun 30, 2013

All-Time MLB Home Run List

Rank	Player (yrs, age)	Home Runs	Bats	HR Log
1.	Barry Bonds (22)	762	L	HR Log
2.	Hank Aaron+ (23)	755	R	HR Log
3.	Babe Ruth+ (22)	714	L	HR Log
4.	Willie Mays+ (22)	660	R	HR Log
5.	Alex Rodriguez (19, 37)	647	R	HR Log
6.	Ken Griffey (22)	630	L	HR Log
7.	Jim Thome (22)	612	L	HR Log
8.	Sammy Sosa (18)	609	R	HR Log
9.	Frank Robinson+ (21)	586	R	HR Log
10.	Mark McGwire (16)	583	R	HR Log
11.	Harmon Killebrew+ (22)	573	R	HR Log
12.	Rafael Palmeiro (20)	569	L	HR Log
13.	Reggie Jackson+ (21)	563	L	HR Log
14.	Manny Ramirez (19)	555	R	HR Log
15.	Mike Schmidt+ (18)	548	R	HR Log
16.	Mickey Mantle+ (18)	536	B	HR Log
17.	Jimmie Foxx+ (20)	534	R	HR Log
18.	Willie McCovey+ (22)	521	L	HR Log
	Frank Thomas (19)	521	R	HR Log
	Ted Williams+ (19)	521	L	HR Log
21.	Ernie Banks+ (19)	512	R	HR Log
	Eddie Mathews+ (17)	512	L	HR Log
23.	Mel Ott+ (22)	511	L	HR Log
24.	Gary Sheffield (22)	509	R	HR Log
25.	Eddie Murray+ (21)	504	B	HR Log
26.	Lou Gehrig+ (17)	493	L	HR Log
	Fred McGriff (19)	493	L	HR Log
28.	Albert Pujols (13, 33)	488	R	HR Log
29.	Stan Musial+ (22)	475	L	HR Log
	Willie Stargell+ (21)	475	L	HR Log
31.	Carlos Delgado (17)	473	L	HR Log
32.	Chipper Jones (19)	468	B	HR Log
33.	Dave Winfield+ (22)	465	R	HR Log
34.	Jose Canseco (17)	462	R	HR Log
35.	Carl Yastrzemski+ (23)	452	L	HR Log
36.	Jeff Bagwell (15)	449	R	HR Log
	Vladimir Guerrero (16)	449	R	HR Log
38.	Dave Kingman (16)	442	R	HR Log
39.	Andre Dawson+ (21)	438	R	HR Log
40.	Jason Giambi (19, 42)	435	L	HR Log
41.	Juan Gonzalez (17)	434	R	HR Log
	Andruw Jones (17)	434	R	HR Log
43.	Cal Ripken+ (21)	431	R	HR Log
44.	Paul Konerko (17, 37)	429	R	HR Log
45.	Adam Dunn (13, 33)	427	L	HR Log
	Mike Piazza (16)	427	R	HR Log
47.	Billy Williams+ (18)	426	L	HR Log
48.	David Ortiz (17, 37)	417	L	HR Log
49.	Darrell Evans (21)	414	L	HR Log
50.	Duke Snider+ (18)	407	L	HR Log
Rank	Player (yrs, age)	Home Runs	Bats	HR Log
51.	Andres Galarraga (19)	399	R	HR Log
	Al Kaline+ (22)	399	R	HR Log
53.	Dale Murphy (18)	398	R	HR Log
54.	Joe Carter (16)	396	R	HR Log
55.	Jim Edmonds (17)	393	L	HR Log
56.	Graig Nettles (22)	390	L	HR Log
57.	Johnny Bench+ (17)	389	R	HR Log
58.	Dwight Evans (20)	385	R	HR Log
59.	Harold Baines (22)	384	L	HR Log
60.	Larry Walker (17)	383	L	HR Log
61.	Frank Howard (16)	382	R	HR Log
	Jim Rice+ (16)	382	R	HR Log
63.	Albert Belle (12)	381	R	HR Log
	Alfonso Soriano (15, 37)	381	R	HR Log
65.	Orlando Cepeda+ (17)	379	R	HR Log
	Tony Perez+ (23)	379	R	HR Log
67.	Matt Williams (17)	378	R	HR Log
68.	Norm Cash (17)	377	L	HR Log
	Jeff Kent (17)	377	R	HR Log
70.	Carlton Fisk+ (24)	376	R	HR Log
71.	Rocky Colavito (14)	374	R	HR Log
72.	Gil Hodges (18)	370	R	HR Log
73.	Ralph Kiner+ (10)	369	R	HR Log
74.	Lance Berkman (15, 37)	366	B	HR Log
75.	Joe DiMaggio+ (13)	361	R	HR Log
76.	Adrian Beltre (16, 34)	360	R	HR Log
	Gary Gaetti (20)	360	R	HR Log
	Todd Helton (17, 39)	360	L	HR Log
79.	Johnny Mize+ (15)	359	L	HR Log
80.	Yogi Berra+ (19)	358	L	HR Log
	Carlos Lee (14)	358	R	HR Log
82.	Greg Vaughn (15)	355	R	HR Log
83.	Luis Gonzalez (19)	354	L	HR Log
	Lee May (18)	354	R	HR Log
85.	Carlos Beltran (16, 36)	352	B	HR Log
	Ellis Burks (18)	352	R	HR Log
87.	Dick Allen (15)	351	R	HR Log
88.	Chili Davis (19)	350	B	HR Log
89.	George Foster (18)	348	R	HR Log
90.	Aramis Ramirez (16, 35)	347	R	HR Log
91.	Miguel Cabrera (11, 30)	345	R	HR Log
92.	Ron Santo+ (15)	342	R	HR Log
93.	Mark Teixeira (11, 33)	341	B	HR Log
94.	Jack Clark (18)	340	R	HR Log
95.	Tino Martinez (16)	339	L	HR Log
	Dave Parker (19)	339	L	HR Log
	Boog Powell (17)	339	L	HR Log
98.	Don Baylor (19)	338	R	HR Log
99.	Joe Adcock (17)	336	R	HR Log
100.	Darryl Strawberry (17)	335	L	HR Log

HacheMan · Jun 30, 2013

MLB All-Time Single Season Home Run List

Rank	Player (age that year)	Home Runs	Year	Bats	HR Log
1.	Barry Bonds (36)	73	2001	L	HR Log
2.	Mark McGwire (34)	70	1998	R	HR Log
3.	Sammy Sosa (29)	66	1998	R	HR Log
4.	Mark McGwire (35)	65	1999	R	HR Log
5.	Sammy Sosa (32)	64	2001	R	HR Log
6.	Sammy Sosa (30)	63	1999	R	HR Log
7.	Roger Maris (26)	61	1961	L	HR Log
8.	Babe Ruth+ (32)	60	1927	L	HR Log
9.	Babe Ruth+ (26)	59	1921	L	HR Log
10.	Jimmie Foxx+ (24)	58	1932	R	HR Log
	Hank Greenberg+ (27)	58	1938	R	HR Log
	Ryan Howard (26)	58	2006	L	HR Log
	Mark McGwire (33)	58	1997	R	HR Log
14.	Luis Gonzalez (33)	57	2001	L	HR Log
	Alex Rodriguez (26)	57	2002	R	HR Log
16.	Ken Griffey (27)	56	1997	L	HR Log
	Ken Griffey (28)	56	1998	L	HR Log
	Hack Wilson+ (30)	56	1930	R	HR Log
19.	Jose Bautista (29)	54	2010	R	HR Log
	Ralph Kiner+ (26)	54	1949	R	HR Log
	Mickey Mantle+ (29)	54	1961	B	HR Log
	David Ortiz (30)	54	2006	L	HR Log
	Alex Rodriguez (31)	54	2007	R	HR Log
	Babe Ruth+ (25)	54	1920	L	HR Log
	Babe Ruth+ (33)	54	1928	L	HR Log
26.	George Foster (28)	52	1977	R	HR Log
	Mickey Mantle+ (24)	52	1956	B	HR Log
	Willie Mays+ (34)	52	1965	R	HR Log
	Mark McGwire (32)	52	1996	R	HR Log
	Alex Rodriguez (25)	52	2001	R	HR Log
	Jim Thome (31)	52	2002	L	HR Log
32.	Cecil Fielder (26)	51	1990	R	HR Log
	Andruw Jones (28)	51	2005	R	HR Log
	Ralph Kiner+ (24)	51	1947	R	HR Log
	Willie Mays+ (24)	51	1955	R	HR Log
	Johnny Mize+ (34)	51	1947	L	HR Log
37.	Brady Anderson (32)	50	1996	L	HR Log
	Albert Belle (28)	50	1995	R	HR Log
	Prince Fielder (23)	50	2007	L	HR Log
	Jimmie Foxx+ (30)	50	1938	R	HR Log
	Sammy Sosa (31)	50	2000	R	HR Log
	Greg Vaughn (32)	50	1998	R	HR Log
43.	Albert Belle (31)	49	1998	R	HR Log
	Barry Bonds (35)	49	2000	L	HR Log
	Andre Dawson+ (32)	49	1987	R	HR Log
	Lou Gehrig+ (31)	49	1934	L	HR Log
	Lou Gehrig+ (33)	49	1936	L	HR Log
	Shawn Green (28)	49	2001	L	HR Log
	Ken Griffey (26)	49	1996	L	HR Log
	Todd Helton (27)	49	2001	L	HR Log

HarryCaray · Jun 30, 2013

I don't think either is completely unreachable. They're not like 511 or 56...

I wouldn't be shocked to see either HR record toppled in my lifetime.

Murphy8276 · Jun 30, 2013

Single season homers NO WAY

Lifetime - definitely reachable by 3-4 guys currently

-murph

Doug · Jun 30, 2013

Murphy8276 said:
Single season homers NO WAY

Lifetime - definitely reachable by 3-4 guys currently

-murph

which 3-4 guys ? No way on A-Roid. Pujols maybe if he was really 33, who else ?

Doug · Jun 30, 2013

HarryCaray said:
I don't think either is completely unreachable. They're not like 511 or 56...

I wouldn't be shocked to see either HR record toppled in my lifetime.

I can't see the single season record in danger. The career record could go with a guy that starts young, plays into his 40's, remains injury free and has protection in the lineup.....maybe a Puig type if everything falls in place perfectly for 20 years.

Murphy8276 · Jun 30, 2013

Doug said:
which 3-4 guys ? No way on A-Roid. Pujols maybe if he was really 33, who else ?

How can you discount cabrerra at all? He is on course to blast the record in 9/10 or so years

-murph

Doug · Jun 30, 2013

Murphy8276 said:
How can you discount cabrerra at all? He is on course to blast the record in 9/10 or so years

-murph

he'd have to average about 40 a year for 10 years, but he has as good a shot as anyone. That's still only 2 guys.

Chi_Archie · Jun 30, 2013

yeah I could see a guy like Bryce Harper or Mike Trout making the run at it, they started early and could be absolute beasts for a decade, and then stick around and play till they are 43-45

single season? no way

Doug · Jun 30, 2013

Griffey had a shot at it, A-Roid looked like a lock.

Anyway you slice it you have to come close to 40 a year for 20 years, it will likely be broken in the next 50 years by somebody that manages to play for 25 seasons.

Doug · Jun 30, 2013

Chi_Archie said:
yeah I could see a guy like Bryce Harper or Mike Trout making the run at it, they started early and could be absolute beasts for a decade, and then stick around and play till they are 43-45

single season? no way

agree, they would pitch around anybody that hot.

Chi_Archie · Jun 30, 2013

if Mike Stanton can be healthy and have longevity, he already is up there as quickest to 100 HR's and things like that...

RupertPupkin · Jun 30, 2013

Arod 647 age 37 , Lets say he doesn't play again this year, but plays 120-140 games for the next
4 years ... and retiring at age 41 ( maybe even with a stint at dh )

LETS SAY he averages 25 a year for 4 years, that puts him a little short, BUT , since he is signed
for that time , chances are he will be playing. He could do it ...but I would say NO -300

Pujols 488 at age 33 ... ( prob closer to 36 ) if he really is 33 , then he does have a legit shot
eventhough his numbers dropped off signifigantly the last 2 years , if he can average 30 a year , and
play 7 more years, that puts him in the neihborhood of 700. I would say NO -350 ish

Another legit shot is Miguel Cabrera , at age 30 and already with 345 HR under his belt , and assuming the last
9 years hehasnt missed more then 10 games in any one season, and already has 24 this year,
with the way he sees the ball and hits when it counts, i can see him easily putting up another 350 in
the next ten years, which also puts him in the ballpark ... NO -350

Those are the 3 best shots as I see it ....

as for 73 ... I highly doubt it , unless some new undetectable enchancement comes out , or the balls
get LIVE overnight.

Chi_Archie · Jun 30, 2013

what player listed above do these numbers/records go to??? I bob loblawed out some of the names to eliminate clues...

Became the quickest MLB player to hit 100 home runs (376 Games); later passed by blah blah (325 games)
Became the quickest MLB player to hit 200 home runs (706 Games); later passed by blah blah (658 games)
Became the quickest MLB player to hit 300 home runs (1,087 Games)
Most home runs in first 3 seasons, 114, (tied with blah blah)
Most home runs in first 4 seasons, 168
Most home runs in first 5 seasons, 215
Most home runs in first 6 seasons, 257
Most home runs in first 7 seasons, 294
Most home runs in first 8 seasons, 329

Chi_Archie · Jun 30, 2013

also guess how many HR's the mystery player ended up with...

Doug · Jun 30, 2013

A-Roid would hit 15-20 a year max IF he ever plays again. He wants to retire before he gets suspended for 100 games so he can get the 100 million or so left on his contract. he has zero chance of breaking this record. no should be -9000

Pujols and Cabrerra are the only two veterans with a shot.

That record will fall someday, but not within 10 years.

RupertPupkin · Jun 30, 2013

Ken Griffey Jr ?

RupertPupkin · Jun 30, 2013

Nope nevermind , just checked, Ill let somebody else guess ....

RupertPupkin · Jun 30, 2013

Cabrera is on pace compared to some similar studs at the same age
http://www.baseball-reference.com/f...emi01:Miguel Cabrera&st=age&compage=29&age=29

Chi_Archie · Jun 30, 2013

RupertPupkin said:
Ken Griffey Jr ?

no, good guess though....

Assuming MLB Keeps Steroids Under Control, Do You Think You'll See The Career OR Single Season Home Run Record Broken In Your Lifetime?

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