Independence Day Service Plays 7/4/13

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Joey Chestnut opens as -1000 fave in July 4 hot dog eating contest

One of the staples of the July 4 holiday is, of course, Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest.

The contest will take place on Coney Island in Brooklyn, New York.

The hot dog celebration was dominated from 2001 to 2006 as the legendary Kobayashi won each event in that span. Since 2006, it has been all Joey Chestnut.

Chestnut has won six-straight events sine 2007 and he is the overwhelming favorite to take home the prize again this year.

The defending champ is favored at -1000 to win the event with any other eater coming in at +600.

You can also wager the over/under on hot dogs eaten by Chestnut. The current line is 63.5 dogs.

Chestnut at 68 hot dogs last year and 62 in 2011.

Here's a list of total number of wieners eaten by Chestnut in his winning years:

2012: 68
2011: 62
2010: 54
2009: 68
2008: 59
2007: 66

Odds courtesy of BetOnline.com
 
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BEN BURNS

**FIRST CFL PLAY OF SEASON** Thursday ANNIHILATOR!

Toronto vs. BC Lions 7/4/13
Take the BC Lions -4
 
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[h=1]Today's CFL Picks[/h] [h=2]Winnipeg at Montreal[/h] The Blue Bombers look to bounce back from last week's loss to and build on their 7-0 ATS record in their last 7 games following an ATS defeat. Winnipeg is the pick (+7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Alouettes favored by only 5. Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+7 1/2). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.
THURSDAY, JULY 4
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST (7/3)
Game 421-422: Winnipeg at Montreal (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 110.958; Montreal 116.011
Dunkel Line: Montreal by 5; 57
Vegas Line: Montreal by 7 1/2; 53
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+7 1/2); Over
Game 423-424: Toronto at BC (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 111.596; BC 121.933
Dunkel Line: BC by 10 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: BC by 4 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: BC (-4 1/2); Under
 
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The Greenbrier Classic Golf Betting Preview & Picks
by Matt Fargo

The Old White TPC at The Greenbrier plays host to the fourth annual Greenbrier Classic this week.

The Old White TPC is one of only two tracks that finish with a Par 3, the other being East Lake, host of the Tour Championship. It’s a Par 70 that that stretches 7,274 yards and, as with most tour layouts, driving accuracy will be important as the fairways are tight and greens are firm.

Three years ago, the course ranked second easiest of the 14 Par-70 tracks on tour and that was certainly justified after Stuart Appleby put up a Sunday 59 to card an overall score of 22 under par. Two years ago, it ranked 13th out of 51 courses in difficulty and was 27th out of 49 tour stops and the fifth easiest Par 70 last year.

The finishes have been some of the best of late. Two years ago, Scott Stallings defeated Bob Estes and Bill Haas on the first playoff hole. Last year, Ted Potter Jr., after closing eagle-birdie on the final two holes, defeated Troy Kelly on the third playoff hole. We can expect more drama this week with another wide open field in play.

Tiger Woods was the main attraction last year but he missed the cut by one stroke as did Phil Mickelson, who has missed the weekend in both of his appearances. Woods is not playing this week but Mickelson is back, among seven of the Top 30 players in this week's world rankings.

Recent major winners Webb Simpson, Bubba Watson and Keegan Bradley are also playing. Just three players have Top-10 finishes two out of three years here, Simpson (2011-12), Brendon de Jonge (2010-11) and Jimmy Walker (2010-11).

Webb Simpson (+1,200) is the co-favorite along with Mickelson this week and for good reason. He’s coming off a T5 at the Travelers, which was his fourth Top 10 of the season, including three Top 5s. He has not been able to nab his fourth tour win but finishes of T7 and T9 at the Old White TPC the last two years has him in good position.

Graham DeLaet (+2,200) looks to be close to his breakaway victory on the PGA Tour. He has made 15 cuts in 18 starts and that includes 10 Top 25s and five Top 10s. Two of those have come in his last two starts with a T8 at the AT&T last week and a solo third at the Travelers. He finished T12 at the Greenbrier last year.

Brendon de Jonge (+4,000) missed the cut at Congressional last week but he is still having a very solid season with eight Top 25s including three Top 10s. He has yet to win on tour but, if there is a place it will happen, this could it. He is 3-for-3 at the Greenbrier including a solo third in 2010 and a T4 in 2011.

Jimmy Walker (+5,500) is another player that is still seeking his first PGA Tour win. After 15 consecutive cuts made to start the season, he has missed the weekend in each of his last two starts but he is poised for a rebound here. As mentioned, he is one of only three players with two Top 10s here, a T4 in both 2010 and 2011.

Gary Woodland (+5,500) shares long-shot odds with Walker and is playing his best golf of the season. He has three Top 20s in his last four events with the lone non-Top 20 being a withdraw from the Travelers because of a sore back two weeks ago. He came back with a T16 last week and he finished T4 here two years ago.

Recommended tournament win five pack at the Greenbrier Classic (All for one unit)

Webb Simpson (+1,200)
Graham DeLaet (+2,200)
Brendon de Jonge (+4,000)
Jimmy Walker (+5,500)
Gary Woodland (+5,500)
 
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CFL Thursday football: What bettors need to know

Winnipeg Blue Bombers at Montreal Alouettes (-7, 52)

Dan Hawkins began his tenure as coach of the Montreal Alouettes by defeating the Winnipeg Blue Bombers and spoiling the debut of their new stadium. The Blue Bombers (0-1) will be out for revenge when they visit Montreal (1-0) on Thursday. Hawkins relied heavily on quarterback Anthony Calvillo and receiver S.J. Green in his first CFL regular-season game, but the Blue Bombers got to Calvillo on numerous occasions and the veteran pivot finished the game with tape on his throwing hand.

Winnipeg held a nine-point lead heading into the fourth quarter last week but was unable to produce offense in the final 15 minutes en route to a 38-33 setback. Blue Bombers quarterback Buck Pierce threw an interception on his final play of the game but can build on his 258-yard performance as Winnipeg looks for a rare road victory. The Blue Bombers' defense averaged 29.5 points against per game last year.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, TSN

ABOUT THE BLUE BOMBERS (0-1): James Green has rejoined the team with fellow linebacker Rene Stephan out for a month with a hamstring injury. Green spent three campaigns with the Blue Bombers but was released after last season and spent the previous week helping the effort in his hometown of Calgary following devastating floods in the area. Defensive end Zach Anderson was promoted to the main roster and former Winnipeg defensive lineman Marquis Frazier was added to the practice roster with JT Gilmore suffering from a calf injury.

ABOUT THE ALOUETTES (1-0): Rookie Tyron Carrier recorded Montreal’s first punt return for a touchdown in three years in the season opener. Carrier, who finished with 103 yards on six returns, gives the Alouettes a special teams threat they have lacked in recent seasons. Green finished with 119 yards, although no other Montreal receiver accounted for more than 37. The latter number could be a concern, considering how pass-heavy the Alouettes have been in recent seasons.

TRENDS:

* Blue Bombers are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 Thursday games.
* Alouettes are 5-0 ATS in their last five games in Week 2.
* Under is 5-2 in Blue Bombers last seven vs. East.
* Blue Bombers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Montreal was 7-2 at home last year while Winnipeg finished 2-7 on the road.

2. Pierce threw three interceptions in Week 1, including two in the first half that resulted in 10 points for the Alouettes.

3. These East Division foes will not face each other again until Oct. 14 in Montreal.


Toronto Argonauts at B.C. Lions (-6, 52.5)

The BC Lions opened this season like they finished the last one: with a loss to the Calgary Stampeders. The Lions (0-1) will attempt to put that season-opening setback behind them when they host the defending Grey Cup champion Toronto Argonauts (1-0) on Thursday. Lions quarterback Travis Lulay finished Week 1 with three touchdown passes on 283 passing yards and added 55 rushing yards, but BC could not overcome a 25-point first-half deficit en route to a 44-32 loss.

Toronto posted a 39-34 triumph over the Hamilton Tiger-Cats to open its season after raising the banner for its Grey Cup victory. Quarterback Ricky Ray’s 368 passing yards and four touchdown tosses paced the Argonauts, who also received 112 rushing yards from Grey Cup Most Outstanding Player Chad Kackert. Toronto’s defense allowed just three points in the second half of Friday’s victory.

TV: 10 p.m. ET, TSN

ABOUT THE ARGONAUTS (1-0): Chad Owens, who set a professional football record for all-purpose yards last season with 3,863, amassed 235 combined yards in Week 1. Fellow slotback Jason Barnes caught two touchdown passes to go with 85 total yards and wide receiver Spencer Watt scored his fourth career touchdown, giving Toronto depth in its receiving corps. Kicker Swayze Waters is expected to miss at least two weeks with an injury suffered on Friday, leading the Argonauts to re-sign veteran Noel Prefontaine.

ABOUT THE LIONS (0-1): Wide receiver Emmanuel Arceneaux led the team with 103 receiving yards, surpassing the 2,000-yard plateau in his career to start his third CFL season. Arceneaux, who last played for BC in 2010, spent three seasons trying to earn a spot on an NFL team, trying out with Minnesota, Washington and the New York Jets. Arceneaux’s return helped blunt the loss of CFL all-time receiving yards leader Geroy Simon, who was traded in the off-season. K Hugh O’Neill missed an extra point attempt in the first half of Week 1, but converted the next two and made a 40-yard field goal in the fourth quarter.

TRENDS:

* Argonauts are 7-1 ATS in their last eight road games.
* Lions are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games.
* Over is 5-1 in Argonauts last six games overall.
* Under is 14-4 in the last 18 meetings.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Toronto, which finished 6-4 against West Division last year, was the only East Division team to secure a winning record versus the West.

2. The Lions were 8-1 at home last year en route to a league-best 13-5 regular-season record.

3. Kackert, who recorded 638 rushing yards on 100 attempts last year, has already surpassed his longest career regular-season run with a 57-yard touchdown dash on Friday.
 
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Who's hot, who's not in Fourth of July baseball betting

What better way to celebrate the Fourth of July than some time with family and friends, some ice-cold American beer, a bbq overflowing with meat, and a full slate of games in America's past time?

We decided to take a look at the past 10 season in the majors to total up the wins, losses, overs and unders in games played on July 4.

* The San Diego Padres have won six straight games on July 4.
* The New York Yankees are 7-1-2 O/U in the past 10 July 4 games.
* The Seattle Mariners are 2-7-1 O/U in the past 10 July 4 games.
* The St. Louis Cardinals and Philadelphia Phillies have posted the best July 4 record over the past 10 seasons at 8-2.
* The Detroit Tigers have posted the worst Fourth of July record over the past 10 seasons at 2-9.
* The Houston Astros have lost six-straight games on Independence Day.
* The combined O/U is 150-136-14 for MLB clubs. The AL is 77-62-11 O/U and the NL is 73-74-3 O/U.

Here is a look at the numbers per team.

AL East:

Baltimore Orioles: 5-5 SU, 7-3 O/U
Boston Red Sox: 3-7 SU, 6-3-1 O/U
New York Yankees: 4-6 SU, 7-1-2 O/U
Tampa Bay Rays: 4-6 SU, 6-4 O/U
*Toronto Blue Jays: 4-5 SU, 7-2 O/U

AL Central:

Chicago White Sox: 5-5 SU, 4-5-1 O/U
#Cleveland Indians: 6-5 SU, 6-4-1 O/U
#Detroit Tigers: 2-9 SU, 5-6 O/U
Kansas City Royals: 3-7 SU, 5-4-1 O/U
Minnesota Twins: 6-4 SU, 4-4-2 O/U

AL West:

Houston Astros: 2-8 SU, 6-4 O/U
Los Angeles Angels: 6-4 SU, 6-4 O/U
*Oakland A's: 5-4 SU, 2-7 O/U
Seattle Mariners: 6-4 SU, 2-7-1 O/U
Texas Rangers: 6-4 SU, 4-4-2 O/U

NL East:

Atlanta Braves: 6-4 SU, 3-7 O/U
Miami Marlins: 5-5 SU, 3-7 O/U
New York Mets: 6-4 SU, 5-5 O/U
Philadelphia Phillies: 8-2 SU, 5-5 O/U
Washington Nationals: 6-4 SU, 6-4 O/U

NL Central:

Chicago Cubs: 3-7 SU, 5-5 O/U
Cincinnati Reds: 5-5 SU, 3-7 O/U
Milwaukee Brewers: 4-6 SU, 6-4 O/U
Pittsburgh Pirates: 6-4 SU, 6-4 O/U
St. Louis Cardinals: 8-2 SU, 4-5-1 O/U

NL West:

Arizona Diamondbacks: 4-6 SU, 5-3-2 O/U
Colorado Rockies: 6-4 SU, 5-5 O/U
Los Angeles Dodgers: 6-4 SU, 3-7 O/U
San Diego Padres: 7-3 SU, 6-4 O/U
San Francisco Giants: 3-7 SU, 8-2 O/U

* The A's and Jays did not play on July 4 in 2005.
# The Tigers and Indians played a double header on July 4 in 2005.
 

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Baseball Crusher
New York Yankees + Minnesota Twins OVER 9
(System Record: 46-6, lost last 8 games)
Overall Record: 46-49-1
 

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Soccer Crusher
Start + Lillestrom UNDER 3
This match is happening in Norway

(System Record: 420-15, lost last game and a push)
Overall Record: 420-363-56
 
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Greenbrier Classic

Steve Golf Picks

Cameron Tringale: 125-1

Kyle Stanley: 70-1

Roberto Castro: 50-1

Jimmy Walker: 60-1

Graham DeLaet: 25-1

Scott Piercy: 45-1

Head to Head

Scott Piercy +105 over Jordan Spieth

GRAHAM DELAET (-140) over Louis Oosthuizen
 

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Happy Birthday America! CPAW and all who contribute, thank you for your continued efforts.
 

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Hondo

Hondo avoided the dreaded four-figure deficit last night when he hit with the Yanks to trim the negative number to 870 lupiens.

Today, Mr. Aitch will properly celebrate Independence Day by freely making four investments — 20 units apiece on the Giants, Pirates, Rockies and Indians.
 
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"Mr Chalk" 2013 MLB Season

Ben lee lost on Wednesday with the 2nd "Chalkest" play on the board the Mets -$190/Diamondbacks.

For Thursday "Mr Chalk" likes the Rockies -$135/Dodgers.

"Mr Chalk" is 0-2 -$350 for the week 49-31 +$407 for the 2013 MLB Season.


On Wednesday Ben lee won at Wimbledon with J Del Porto$130/D Ferrer.

For Thursday Ben lee will put $50 on A Radwanska +$155/S Lisicki.

Ben lee is 3-1 +$230.


Ben lee will put $50 on the under 63 in the Nathans hot dog eating contest over in Coney Island.
 
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[h=1]Today's MLB Picks[/h] [h=2]NY Yankees at Minnesota[/h] The Twins look to take advantage of a Yankees team that is 2-8 in its last 10 games as a road underdog. Minnesota is the pick (-115) according to Dunkel, which has the Twins favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-115). Here are all of today's picks.
THURSDAY, JULY 4
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST
Game 901-902: Milwaukee at Washington (11:05 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Hand) 14.144; Washington (Jordan) 15.752
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Washington (-160); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-160); Under
Game 903-904: Arizona at NY Mets (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Kennedy) 14.972; NY Mets (Gee) 13.633
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Arizona (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-115); Over
Game 905-906: San Francisco at Cincinnati (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Cain) 14.573; Cincinnati (Leake) 14.007
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+115); Over
Game 907-908: Philadelphia at Pittsburgh (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Hamels) 15.335; Pittsburgh (Cole) 17.003
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-140); Under
Game 909-910: Miami at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Alvarez) 15.231; Atlanta (Teheran) 16.974
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-230); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-230); Under
Game 911-912: LA Dodgers at Colorado (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Capuano) 16.246; Colorado (Chacin) 13.765
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 2 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Colorado (-140); 10
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (+120); Over
Game 913-914: Cleveland at Kansas City (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Jimenez) 15.947; Kansas City (Shields) 15.532
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-155); 8
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+135); Over
Game 915-916: NY Yankees at Minnesota (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Phelps) 14.208; Minnesota (Gibson) 15.951
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-115); Under
Game 917-918: Tampa Bay at Houston (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Archer) 15.970; Houston (Lyles) 13.366
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 2 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-160); 9
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-160); Over
Game 919-920: Baltimore at Chicago White Sox (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Britton) 16.118; White Sox (Quintana) 14.594
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-110); 9
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-110); Under
Game 921-922: Detroit at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Verlander) 16.961; Toronto (Rogers) 15.535
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Detroit (-145); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-145); Over
Game 923-924: Seattle at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Iwakuma) 14.412; Texas (Perez) 16.029
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Texas (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-140); Under
Game 925-926: San Diego at Boston (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Stults) 14.016; Boston (Webster) 16.045
Dunkel Line: Boston by 2; 9
Vegas Line: Boston (-155); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-155); Under
Game 927-928: Chicago Cubs at Oakland (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Wood) 15.487; Oakland (Straily) 14.990
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Oakland (-165); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+145); Over
Game 929-930: St. Louis at LA Angels (9:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Wainwright) 16.512; LA Angels (Williams) 15.155
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-135); 8
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-135); Under
 
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[h=1]WNBA Basketball Picks[/h] [h=2]New York at Los Angeles[/h] The Sparks look to take advantage of a New York team that is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 road games. Los Angeles is the pick (-12 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Sparks favored by 14 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-12 1/2). Here are all of today's picks
THURSDAY, JULY 4
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST
Game 601-602: New York at Los Angeles (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 108.879; Los Angeles 123.551
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 14 1/2; 151
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles by 12 1/2; 155 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-12 1/2); Under
 
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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Bonus Plays are 1056-790 (58 + %) over the last 5 1/2 years !

Free winner 7-1 run in a row THURS Rockies -140
 

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