Service Plays Friday 7/12/13

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CFL

Week 3

Calgary (1-1) @ Montreal (1-1)-- Stampeders lost three of four visits here since winning Grey Cup in Montreal in 2008; they lost here 33-32 (+7) LY, snapping three-game win streak vs Alouettes. Calgary has been hit hard by flooding, so life hasn't been normal for Stampeder players; they allowed 34 ppg in first two games, getting outscored 48-13 after halftime. Montreal split its first two games, both vs Winnipeg; Calvillo had one of worst days of his excellent career last week, getting sacked seven times and passing for only 121 yards. Six of last seven series games went over the total.

[h=1]Today's CFL Picks[/h] [h=2]Calgary at Montreal[/h] The Stampeders look to bounce back from last week's loss to Saskatchewan and build on their 13-3 ATS record in in their last 16 games following a SU defeat. Calgary is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the Stampeders favored by 6 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+3). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

Football Jesus Free Text for CFL : Calgary + points . went 3-0 last week ...

Alouettes' home history tested versus Stampeders
By SEAN MURPHY

If you're a believer in the Montreal Alouettes, you might want to load up your bankroll for Friday's matchup with the Calgary Stampeders.

Off a shocking home-opening loss to the Blue Bombers, Montreal will be in rebound mode this week. And if history is any indication, the Als should be in excellent position to do just that.

The Alouettes hadn’t lost a home opener since the 2007 season, when they fell 16-7 to Saskatchewan. They went on to lose their next home game that year as well but haven't dropped their first two home games in any season since.

In fact, since 2008, the Als haven't suffered a second home loss any earlier than September 18, nor have they dropped more than two regular season home games in any of their last five seasons, even going undefeated at home in one of those years (2009).

Obviously, things are a little different in Montreal these days, with Dan Hawkins taking over from long-time head coach Marc Trestman. It's far too early to hit the panic button. After all, the Als still sit in a three-way tie atop the East Division at 1-1.

Still, this is about as strong of a motivational spot as you'll see in Week 3 of the regular season.

The Als opened as high as 5-point home favorites but have been bet down to -2 after last week’s loss. The Stampeders are coming off a discouraging loss of their own in Saskatchewan. Montreal opened as -135 moneyline favorites for Week 3.

Stampeders at Alouettes: What bettors need to know

Calgary Stampeders at Montreal Alouettes (-3, 54)

After allowing 11 sacks in two games, the Montreal Alouettes will need to do more to protect quarterback Anthony Calvillo when they host the Calgary Stampeders on Friday. Calvillo appeared frustrated after being sacked seven times in a Week 2 home loss to the Winnipeg Blue Bombers, calling the performance “disgusting” and raising questions about the offensive schemes instituted by new coach Dan Hawkins and his staff. Calvillo later backtracked on his comments, reiterating his confidence in his coaches and teammates, but the questions will continue to mount unless the 40-year-old pivot sees more protection in the coming weeks.

Calgary has its own problems at quarterback as starter Drew Tate is day-to-day with a forearm strain suffered in a Week 2 road loss to the Saskatchewan Roughriders. Tate, who missed significant time last year because of injuries, left last week’s game in the fourth quarter and was replaced by veteran Kevin Glenn, who completed 4-of-7 passes. With no clear starter for Friday, the Stampeders will need a strong showing from running back Jon Cornish, who was limited to 42 yards at Saskatchewan after running for 172 in the season opener.

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, TSN

ABOUT THE STAMPEDERS (1-1): Glenn has more than 36,000 passing yards in his CFL career, including 4,220 for Calgary last year while filling in for an injured Tate. Glenn also started for the Stampeders in last year’s 100th Grey Cup final, when they lost to the Toronto Argonauts. As someone who knows Calgary’s offence well, Glenn should have no problem connecting with wide receivers Joe West (148 yards, three touchdowns) and Maurice Price (77 yards, touchdown in Week 1) if he needs to start. Defensive back Jonathan Hefney leads the team with 14 tackles and will have his hands full with Montreal’s versatile receiving corps.

ABOUT THE ALOUETTES (1-1): Because of the increased defensive pressure, Calvillo has thrown for only 385 yards in the first two weeks, which is concerning for a team without a reliable running back. Noel Devine leads the team in rushing yards with 65 but is primarily a kick returner, posting 296 combined return yards. Calvillo’s favourite target in a new offensive playbook is a familiar face in slot back S.J. Green, who has 150 receiving yards after topping 1,100 in each of the last two seasons. Green, along with slot backs Jamel Richardson and Arland Bruce, form a formidable trio that will be key to getting Montreal’s offence moving after a lacklustre Week 2.

TRENDS:

* Over is 5-1 in the last six meetings.
* Stampeders are 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings.
* Under is 5-0-1 in the Alouettes’ last six home games.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Alouettes’ rookie KR Tyron Carrier, who returned a punt 78 yards for a touchdown in Week 1, was at practice this week after missing last game with a shoulder injury.

2. Calgary was 5-3 against East Division opponents last year, while Montreal went 6-2 against the West.

3. Montreal RB Brandon Whitaker made his season debut in Week 2 after suffering a torn ACL last year, running for 33 yards and adding 23 receiving yards. Whitaker cracked the 2,000 combined yards plateau in 2011.

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Tigers Thursday and likes the Yankees Friday.

The deficit is 960 sirignanos.

MLB Betting: Book Offers Yasiel Puig Season Props

Rookie phenom Yasiel Puig has taken the MLB by storm since June 3 and is a big reason why the Los Angeles Dodgers have been a good bet lately.

The boys in blue are 22-13 since Puig energized the squad and now bettors will have a chance to bet on the Cuban’s performance in the second half of the season.

Here are some of the Puig props being offered at Sportsbook:

Total Regular Season Home Runs – over/under 20.5
Currently: Eight home runs

Total Regular Season Hits = over/under 144.5 hits
Currently: 56 hits

Regular Season Batting Average = over/under .319
Currently: .394

All above bets being offered with -115 odds.

Will He Win NL Rookie of Year?

Yes 1/6 -600
No 1/4 +400

[h=1]Today's MLB Picks[/h] [h=2]San Francisco at San Diego[/h] The Padres look to build on their 7-2 record in their last 9 games as a home underdog. San Diego is the pick (+100) according to Dunkel, which has the Padres favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+100). Here are all of today's picks.

[h=1]WNBA Basketball Picks[/h] [h=2]Chicago at Connecticut[/h] The Sky look to build on their 4-1 ATS record in their last 5 games versus the Sun. Chicago is the pick (-5) according to Dunkel, which has the Sky favored by 7. Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-5). Here are all of today's picks

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Bonus Plays are 1060-795 (58 + %) over the last 5 1/2 years !

Free winner FRI Cards -125

Gamblers Data

Bonus Play Friday

Dodgers -1.5 -120

Joe Wiz

Bonus Play Friday Dodgers/Colorado Over 6

Cappers Access

Cardinals -130
W.Sox -140

ScLiveDogs

Friday MLB
Why we like the Mets on Friday at +120...here we have a Mets team that is playing good ball right now going 5-2 in their past 7 games while averaging 6.4 rpg and allowing just 4.1 rpg during that stretch. During the Pirates past 7 games, they have seen a 2-5 record while averaging just 3 rpg and allowing 2.9 rpg during that stretch. More importantly for this Pirates team is that they have now seen their July record slip to 3-6 and after a 17-9 June, with that being said, you have to wonder how this Pirates team will react after a day off and knowing that they are a few days away from the All-Star Break. The Mets will be pitching Jeremy Hefner who is not getting much respect this season as he has posted a 3.39 era through 101 innings of work as well as posting a 1.35 era through his last 20 innings of work where he went 2-0 in his last two starts as an underdog of +120 & +130. Hefner has not been afraid of pitching in road games either as he has a respectable 3.74 road era through 53 innings of work as well as allowing just 5 runs through his last 26 road innings on 24 Ks, 4 BBs & 2 HRs in the above average offensive ballparks of Nationals Park, Citizens Bank Park, Coors Field & Miller Park. The Pirates will be pitching Charlie Morton who is making just his 6th start of the season where he has posted a 3.37 in his previous 24 innings of work. Morton has not fared so well of late where he has posted a 4.61 era over his last 14 innings of work against the below average offensive teams of the Cubs, Brewers & Angels where he allowed 13 hits on 8 BBs, 11 Ks, & 2 HRs. An interesting trend with Morton is that his worst starts have come on 5 days of rest (Fridays start will be on 5 days of rest) where in 2013 he has made just one start on 5 days of rest where he allowed 4 runs through 6 innings on 7 hits & 2 HRs. When we look at Mortons 2012 numbers on 5 days of rest, he carried a 5.33 through 25 innings on 34 hits, 8 BBs & just 15 Ks. In Mortons career against the Mets, he is 0-2 with a 4.91 era while the Pirates are 0-4 in games that he has started against the Mets. From a bullpen standpoint, the Pirates do have the home edge with a 2.25 era but we do have to make notice that the Mets bullpen has improved greatly as of late and are not a caution bullpen at this point of the season.
Play on the Mets at +120.

BRYAN LEONARD

2* Boston Red Sox ML
2* SF Giants ML
2* Houston +1.5

PAUL LEINER

100* Over 7.5 - Redsox/A's

50* Phillies -135

StatFox Super Situations - FoxSheets

MLB COLORADO at LA DODGERS

Play On - Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (COLORADO) average hitting team (AVG =.255 to .269) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA <=3.00) -NL
41-44 over the last 5 seasons. ( 48.2% 36.8 units )
1-9 this year. ( 10.0% -6.7 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends - FoxSheets

MLB NY METS at PITTSBURGH

PITTSBURGH is 44-27 (+23.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

The average score was: PITTSBURGH (3.8) , OPPONENT (3.3)