ESPN hiring Nate Silver

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Horrible move for him, Disney will control what he says if it's not beneficial to the corporate line. Another bad move - firing the Stump the Schaub guy.
 

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Horrible move for him, Disney will control what he says if it's not beneficial to the corporate line. Another bad move - firing the Stump the Schaub guy.

lol he doesn't say anything controversial. He is a statistician/numbers nerd, not like he is Rush Limbaugh.

He will get his financial backing for his own Grantland-esque site that he will have complete control over content. I'm guessing Disney isn't going to object to him writing an article on why PER is an overrated metric.
 

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​never heard of him
 

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He has won me some $ on the last few elections but I don't know if I will read anything of his unless it gives me winners
 

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Famous statistician that has been dead-on accurate for the last 3 election cycles. Used to be a baseball sabermetrics guy before that.....

Has a book out right now on predictive abilities and such

Well shit, were the last three elections a secret as to who was going to win? Wasn't Obama -750 or something like that last election?
 

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Just a really smart dude that when you read him it is like "Wow I had no clue about that"

Not many people out there like that.
 

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On election day, yes. Not 3 months out though...

Also he predicted every single state correctly both years, if that does anything for you.....

http://www.amazon.com/The-Signal-Noise-Many-Predictions/dp/159420411X

this is a really good book of his about predictive abilities if your interested

I'm not impressed by predicting a president but the state predictions is quite impressive if he got every single one correct. That would be a minor miracle as far as I'm concerned.
 

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I'm not impressed by predicting a president but the state predictions is quite impressive if he got every single one correct. That would be a minor miracle as far as I'm concerned.

Yeah it has only been a few elections and anyone could predict something right over a sample size of 2 (although 2010 he pegged the mid-terms as well)

If ESPN hired him I doubt his content is going to be about elections though, more sports based but not sure what the market will be for that.

I find sabermetrics interesting in baseball, I just don't really find baseball interesting.

One thing about him is his persoanlity is pretty limited (think dork introvert type) so I'm not sure what they can really do with him but will be interested to see...

Little rundown:

Silver has established himself as today’s leading statistician through his innovative analyses of political polling. He first gained national attention during the 2008 presidential election, when he correctly predicted the results of the presidential election in 49 of 50 states, along with all 35 U.S. Senate races. In 2012, FiveThirtyEight predicted the election outcome in all 50 states. FiveThirtyEight has made Nate the public face of statistical analysis and political forecasting.
 

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Predicting elections and sports are two different things.
He would be better off sticking to his election prediction research.
 

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Yeah it has only been a few elections and anyone could predict something right over a sample size of 2 (although 2010 he pegged the mid-terms as well)

If ESPN hired him I doubt his content is going to be about elections though, more sports based but not sure what the market will be for that.

I find sabermetrics interesting in baseball, I just don't really find baseball interesting.

One thing about him is his persoanlity is pretty limited (think dork introvert type) so I'm not sure what they can really do with him but will be interested to see...

You've definitely perked my interest.
 

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Predicting elections and sports are two different things.
He would be better off sticking to his election prediction research.

He talks about a few professional sports bettors in the book, but they aren't the most interesting chapters since he doesn't really go into any detail about their methodologies.

Some of the other stuff is interesting though.
 

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University of Chicago grad. Haven't heard of many guys graduating from there.
 

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You've definitely perked my interest.

FiveThirtyEight.com. The site’s new incarnation will allow Silver to return to his sports roots while expanding his approach to numerous disciplines, including economics, culture, science and technology, and other topics. FiveThirtyEight will also continue to provide data-driven coverage of politics, including forecasts of the 2014 and 2016 elections. The site will extend ESPN’s leadership in using data and analytics in its cross-platform storytelling.


That is the rundown. I'm sure some of the stuff will be boring and hard to really get into but overall seems like a good move by ESPN.
 

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He talks about a few professional sports bettors in the book, but they aren't the most interesting chapters since he doesn't really go into any detail about their methodologies.

Some of the other stuff is interesting though.

There aren't anything to go into any details about sports betting, really. If anything he has to say, I would guess it's probably the same thing every gambling degens already know.

Like I said, the guy has built his reputation on election prediction. The money ESPN offer might not worth to blow away his reputation.Sport outcome prediction is a different monster. Everyone has tried and everyone has failed, except the bookies. Hah.
 

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