Service Plays Monday7/29/13

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Monday's National League betting cheat sheet and tips

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Monday's National League games:

St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates (-140, 7)

Hot pitching stat: Cards starter Jake Westbrook went six strong innings in his last start against the Pirates on April 17. He gave up six hits but K'd six and did not allow a run.

Cold batting stat: Pirates star OF Andrew McCutcheon is batting .188 (3-for-16) against the Cardinals this season. It is his worst average against any team in the majors this season.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s and skies will be mostly sunny at gametime. Wind will blow out to left field at 8 mph.

Key betting note: The Cardinals are 1-8 in Westbrook's last nine road starts versus a team with a winning record.


Colorado Rockies at Atlanta Braves (-145, 7.5)

Cold pitching stat: Braves pitcher Brandon Beachy is scheduled to make his first appearance of the season Monday. He made one start against the Rockies at Turner Field in 2012, lasting 6 1/3 innings and allowing two ER en route to a 7-2 victory.

Hot batting stat: With a home run Sunday, Rockies SS Troy Tulowitzki has now homered in back-to-back games.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-80s with sunny skies. Wind will blow in from left field at 4 mph.

Key betting note: The Rockies are 2-9 in the last 11 meetings.


New York Mets at Miami Marlins (-115, 7.5)

Cold pitching stat: Mets starter Jeremy Hefner is 0-2 with an 18.47 ERA over his last two starts.

Hot batting stat: Marlins star OF Giancarlo Stanton continues his torrid pace at the dish. Stanton is 9-for-13 (.692) over his last four games. He has four doubles and two homers over that span.

Weather: The roof could be closed in Miami due to a 20 percent chance of rain by gametime. Temperatures will be in the low-90s and wind will blow in from center field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: The Mets are 1-5 in the last six meetings in Miami.


Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs (-120, OFF)

Cold pitching stat: Cubs starter Jeff Samardzija took the loss in his only 2013 start against the Brewers on April 19. He lasted seven innings, giving up five runs on six hits en route to the 5-4 loss.

Hot batting stat: Cubs OF David DeJesus is a career .462 hitter (12-for-26) against Brewers scheduled starter Kyle Lohse. He has a double, triple, homer and four RBIs versus the veteran righty.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow from right field to left field at 5 mph.

Key betting note: The Brewers are 7-23 in their last 30 versus the National League Central.


Cincinnati Reds at San Diego Padres (+130, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Reds starter Mike Leake is 3-0 with a 2.70 ERA over his last three starts.

Cold batting stat: The Reds were 4-for-26 with runners in scoring position in their four-game series versus the Los Angeles Dodgers. They dropped three of the four games.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-60s with partly cloudy skies and 10 percent chance of rain. Wind will blow in from left field at 3 mph.

Key betting note: The Reds are 8-1 in Leake's last nine road starts.


Click here for the American League cheat sheet.


*Odds courtesy of BetOnline.com

** Odds, probable starting pitchers and weather forecasts as of 7:32 p.m. ET.
 
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Monday's American League betting cheat sheet and tips

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Monday's American League games:

Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox (+105, 8.5)

Hot pitching stat: Rays ace David Price is 4-1 with a 1.76 ERA in his five starts since returning from the DL. He has three complete games in that span.

Cold batting stat: Sox DH David Ortiz is 7-for-31 (.226) with no homers and seven strikeouts in his career versus the lefty Price.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-80s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow out to center field at 7 mph

Key betting note: The under is 7-0 in the last seven meetings.


Los Angeles Angels at Texas Rangers (-129, 8)

Hot pitching stat: Rangers starter Matt Garza went 7 1/3 strong innings while giving up one run (unearned) on five hits in a 3-1 victory over the New York Yankees in his Rangers debut on July 24.

Hot batting stat: Rangers SS Elvis Andrus is 23-for-62 (.371) with four doubles, two homers and five RBIs in his career versus Angels starter Jered Weaver.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-90s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow in from right field at 9 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 14-3 in the last 17 meetings in Texas.


Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Indians (-150, 8)

Cold pitching stat: Indians starter Zach McAllister is 0-3 with a 6.14 over his last three starts.

Cold batting stat: White Sox OF Alex Rios is 4-for-31 (.129) this season versus the Indians. It is his lowest batting average against any American League club.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with partly cloudy skies and 10 percent chance of rain. Wind will blow from left field to right field at 10 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 9-0-3 in Sox SP John Danks' last 12 starts versus the American League Central.


Toronto Blue Jays at Oakland A's (-162, 7.5)

Cold pitching stat: A's starter A.J. Griffin has given up five homers in his last two starts (11 1/3 innings). He is 1-1 with a 5.56 ERA over those two starts. Griffin has given up eight dingers in his five July starts.

Hot batting stat: Jays OF Colby Rasmus continued his scorching-hot July with the game-winning RBI in Sunday's 2-1 victory over the Houston Astros. Rasmus is hitting .375 with 11 doubles, three homers and 13 RBIs in the month.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-50s with mostly sunny skies. Wind will blow out to right field at 12 mph.

Key betting note: The Athletics are 11-2 in Griffin's last 13 starts as a home favorite.


Click here for the National League cheat sheet.


*Odds courtesy of BetOnline.com

** Odds, probable starting pitchers and weather forecasts as of 7:27 p.m. ET.
 
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WNBA betting: Top 3 trends from the first half

As the WNBA regular season resumes its schedule with the New York Liberty at the Washington Mystics Thursday, we thought we'd look back at some big betting trends from the first half of the season.

Under Siege

The biggest trend in the first half of the regular season was certainly games playing under the total. League wide, the collective over/under record was 40-63-2. That means the 'under' is playing at a nice clip of 61.2 percent in games thus far. It's certainly worth following this trend to see if the pattern continues.

It Was All A Dream

The Atlanta Dream are the best home team when it comes to covering the spread. The Dream posted excellent 8-0 straight up and 7-1 ATS records at home in the first half of the season. Atlanta plays will open the second of the schedule with a pair of road games, but will resume their home slate on August 11 when the New York Liberty come to town.

Mercury Rising

The Phoenix Mercury were the hottest squad against the spread heading into the All-Star break covering in three straight games. Phoenix is the highest scoring squad in the league averaging 83.1 points per game, but also has the worst defense allowing 85.2 points per contest. The Mercury were 8-10 ATS in their 18 games prior to the All-Star break. They open their second half of the season at the Seattle Storm on August 1.
 
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CFL betting: Home underdogs 0-6 ATS in 2013

With the Hamilton Tiger-Cats failing to cover as 4-point home dogs against the Saskatchewan Roughriders Saturday night, the home underdog is now 0-6 against the spread on the season.

Homer underdogs were 0-4 heading into Week 5 on the CFL schedule. The Winnipeg Blue Bombers lost to the Calgary Stampeders 37-24 Friday evening and moved the trend to 0-5 as the Bombers were 5.5-point home dogs for that matchup.

Winnipeg is now 0-3 on the season as the home dog. With the loss Saturday, the Ti-Cats now move to 0-2 ATS as home dogs.

The final matchup of the week, the BC Lions at Toronto Argonauts, is currently off the board with Argo QB Rickey Ray's status day-to-day with a knee injury.
 
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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Blue Jays on Sunday and likes the Pirates on Monday.

The deficit is 1433 sirignanos.
 

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MLB Report

July 29

Hot pitchers

-- Liriano is 5-1, 1.99 in his last six starts. Westbrook is 3-1, 2.96 in his last four outings.
-- Turner is 2-3, 2.70 in his last six starts.
-- de la Rosa is 3-1, 1.96 in his last seven starts.
-- Lohse is 2-0, 0.69 in his last couple starts.
-- Leake is 3-0, 2.70 in his last three starts; Reds won eight of his last nine road starts. .

-- Garza is 6-0, 1.64 in his last six starts. Angels won five of last six Weaver starts (4-1, 1.33).
-- Price is 4-1, 1.76 in five starts since coming off the DL. Doubront is 3-1, 2.70 in his last four starts.
-- Oakland won Griffin's last three home starts (2-0, 2.78). Rogers is 1-1, 1.91 in his five road starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Hefner lost his last two starts, allowing 14 runs in 6.1 IP.
-- Beachy is making first '13 start; he is 12-10, 3.07 in 41 career starts (5-5, 2.00 in 13 starts LY)- he was 1-4, 3.00 in seven AAA rehab starts.
-- Samardzija is 1-2, 7.23 in his last four starts.
-- O'Sullivan is 0-2, 3.97 in two starts for San Diego.

-- Danks is 0-3, 5.60 in his last four starts. McAllister is 0-3, 7.36 in his last three outings.

Starting Pitchers/First Inning
You can wager on whether teams will score in the first inning. Below is how often a starting pitcher has allowed 1+ runs in first inning in one of his starts........

-- Westbrook 4-14; Liriano 3-14
-- Hefner 8-20; Turner 1-10
-- de la Rosa 4-21; Beachy 0-0
-- Lohse 7-21; Samardzija 6-21
-- Leake 4-20; O'Sullivan 0-2

-- Danks 5-12 (3 of last 4); McAllister 5-12 (3 of last 3)
-- Weaver 2-13; Garza 0-12
-- Rogers 2-10; Griffin 2-21
-- Price 5-14; Doubront 4-18

Totals
-- Six of last seven St Louis games stayed under the total.
-- 11 of last 12 Marlin games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last eight Colorado road games stayed under the total.
-- Last four Milwaukee games went over the total; six of last eight Cub games stayed under the total..
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Cincinnati games.

-- Seven of last nine Cleveland games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 6-1-1 in last seven Texas games.
-- Five of last seven Toronto games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Boston games stayed under the total.

Hot teams
-- Marlins won five of their last seven games.
-- Braves won four of their last five games.
-- Cubs won four of their last five games.
-- San Diego won five of its last seven games.

-- Rays won 21 of their last 25 games; Boston won 13 of last 18 home games.
-- Indians won their last four games, scoring 28 runs.
-- A's won 12 of their last 16 home games. Toronto won three of its last four games overall.

Cold teams
-- Mets lost five of their last seven road games.
-- Cardinals lost their last two games, scoring one run. Pirates lost three of their last four games.
-- Colorado is 1-9 in game following its last ten wins.
-- Brewers lost five of their last seven games.
-- Reds lost their last three games, scoring two runs total.
-- White Sox lost six of their last seven games.
-- Rangers lost last four games (shut out three times); Angels lost six of their last eight games.
 

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Baseball Crusher
Miami Marlins -115 over New York Mets
(System Record: 56-6, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 56-59-1
 

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Soccer Crusher
Lokomotiva Zagreb + Slaven Belupo UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Croatia
(System Record: 432-15, lost last game)
Overall Record: 432-371-57
 
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[h=1]Today's MLB Picks[/h] [h=2]Cincinnati at San Diego[/h] The Padres look to build on their 6-0 record in their last 6 home games against a team with a winning record. San Diego is the pick (+140) according to Dunkel, which has the Padres favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+140). Here are all of today's picks.
MONDAY, JULY 29
Time Posted: 6:30 a.m. EST
Game 951-952: St. Louis at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Westbrook) 15.220; Pittsburgh (Liriano) 16.869
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-150); 7
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-150); Under
Game 953-954: NY Mets at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Hefner) 15.585; Miami (Turner) 14.492
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Miami (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+100); Over
Game 955-956: Colorado at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (De La Rosa) 15.311; Atlanta (Beachy) 14.206
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-145); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+125); Over
Game 957-958: Milwaukee at Chicago Cubs (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Lohse) 14.274; Cubs (Samardzija) 15.634
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-120); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-120); N/A
Game 959-960: Cincinnati at San Diego (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Leake) 15.284; San Diego (O'Sullivan) 16.384
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-160); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+140); Under
Game 961-962: Chicago White Sox at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Danks) 14.655; Cleveland (McAllister) 17.224
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 2 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-170); 8
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-170); Over
Game 963-964: LA Angels at Texas (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Weaver) 14.377; Texas (Garza) 14.016
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Texas (-135); 8
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (+115); Under
Game 965-966: Toronto at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Rogers) 14.502; Oakland (Griffin) 15.905
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Oakland (-165); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-165); Over
Game 967-968: Tampa Bay at Boston (6:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Price) 16.886; Boston (Doubront) 15.353
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-115); Under
 
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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Bonus Plays are 1071-801 (58 + %) over the last 5 1/2 years !

Free winner MON: Cinci -155
 
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StatFox Super Situations - FoxSheets

MLB COLORADO at ATLANTA

Play On - All favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (ATLANTA) with a bullpen that averages less than 2.75 innings per game against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL)
285-143 since 1997. ( 66.6% 89.5 units )
15-9 this year. ( 62.5% 3.4 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends - FoxSheets

MLB TORONTO at OAKLAND

OAKLAND is 45-23 (+27.8 Units) against the money line after 3 consecutive game versus a division rival over the last 2 seasons.

The average score was: OAKLAND (5.1) , OPPONENT (3.8)
 
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Handicapping Kings

PJ

WTA (2PM)
Magdalena Rybarikova -140

ATP (645PM)
Lukas Lacko +115

ATP (815PM)
Tobias Kamke +135

JIMMY

MLB (8PM)
Cubs Chicago Cubs -118

MARC

MLB (610PM)
Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox
UNDER 8.5 -115
 

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