Service Plays Monday 8/5/13

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Blue Bombers at Lions: What bettors need to know

Winnipeg Blue Bombers at B.C. Lions (-11, 49.5)

A week after naming Justin Goltz their starting quarterback for the remainder of the season, the Winnipeg Blue Bombers face yet more questions under center. Goltz was hurt in his first career start and might not be available as the Blue Bombers try to snap a three-game skid when they visit the BC Lions on Monday. Goltz replaced struggling veteran pivot Buck Pierce, who is suffering from an abdominal injury, meaning that third-string quarterback Max Hall may get a chance to helm Winnipeg’s lacklustre offense.

The Lions' defense had trouble with a backup quarterback last week in a 38-12 road loss to Zach Collaros and the Toronto Argonauts. BC could not contain Toronto’s shifty offense, while quarterback Travis Lulay couldn't manage a touchdown on four separate trips to the red zone as the Lions failed to execute plays on both sides of the ball and saw their three-game winning streak come to an end. The Blue Bombers should not be as difficult for BC to defend, but Lulay will need to regain the form that saw him complete seven touchdown passes in the first four weeks.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, TSN

ABOUT THE BLUE BOMBERS (1-4): Winnipeg’s defensive line is no longer as fearsome as it appeared to start the season. Only defensive end Alex Hall and defensive tackle Zach Anderson have sacks in the last two weeks after the team recorded 18 over the first three. Hall leads the team with six sacks. Cornerback Jovon Johnson and defensive back Demond Washington are questionable for Monday’s game, while cornerback Jeremy McGee and defensive back Desia Dunn are expected to return from injury.

ABOUT THE LIONS (3-2): Linebacker Adam Bighill finished with two sacks in his return after missing two weeks with an ankle injury, but missed numerous other opportunities against the mobile Collaros. Running back Andrew Harris has 403 yards and is on pace for a career highs in yardage and touchdowns, while Lulay has added 180 yards on the ground. Slotback Nick Moore has 357 receiving yards - 42 shy of the mark he set last year in his sophomore season.

TRENDS:

* Lions are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
* Blue Bombers are 4-0 ATS in their last four Monday games.
* Under is 6-1 in Lions last seven games in August.
* Under is 8-1 in the last nine meetings in BC.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Max Hall, who started three games at quarterback for the NFL’s Arizona Cardinals in 2010, has yet to run a play in a CFL game.

2. BC has given up five touchdowns in each of its two losses while allowing three total in its three victories.

3. The Lions are 2-0 at home.
 
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[h=1]Today's CFL Picks[/h] [h=2]Winnipeg at BC[/h] The Lions look to bounce back from last week's 38-12 loss to Toronto and build on their 5-0 ATS record in their last 5 games following a SU defeat. BC is the pick (-11) according to Dunkel, which has the Lions favored by 14. Dunkel Pick: BC (-11). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.
MONDAY, AUGUST 5
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST (8/2)
Game 423-424: Winnipeg at BC (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 106.242; BC 120.398
Dunkel Line: BC by 14; 52
Vegas Line: BC by 11; 48
Dunkel Pick: BC (-11); Over
 
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Monday's American League betting cheat sheet

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Monday's American League games:

Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Indians (+106, 8)

Hot pitching stat: Tigers starter Anibal Sanchez is 2-0 with a 0.69 ERA in his previous two outings.

Cold batting stat: Tigers slugger Prince Fielder is 2-for-12 (.167) in his career versus Indians starter Corey Kluber. One of Fielder's hits has been a home run, however.

Weather: There is a 30 percent chance of showers in the forecast for gametime. Temperatures will be in the high-60s and wind will blow out to left field at 4 mph.

Key betting note: The Indians are 6-0 in Kluber's last six home starts.


Boston Red Sox at Houston Astros (+180, 8.5)

Hot pitching stat: Astros lefty Brett Oberholtzer fared quite well in his debut start on July 31. The southpaw tossed seven innings of three-hit ball en route to an 11-0 victory over the Baltimore Orioles.

Cold batting stat: Sox 1B Dustin Pedroia had a rough time at the plate over the weekend. He went 2-for-12 in the three-game set versus the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-90s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to right field at 13 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 5-0 in Lackey's last five road starts.


New York Yankees at Chicago White Sox (+105, 8)

Hot pitching stat: Sox starter Jose Quintana finished July with very respectable numbers. The lefty was 2-1 with a 2.79 ERA in his six July starts.

Hot batting stat: Sox slugger Paul Konerko is 13-for-35 (.371) with two doubles, two homers and 11 RBIs in his career versus Yankees starter Andy Pettitte.

Weather: There is a 30 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast. Temperatures will be in the low-70s with wind blowing in from right field at 12 mph.

Key betting note: The White Sox are 7-1 in their last eight home games versus a left-handed starter.


Minnesota Twins at Kansas City Royals (-167, 9)

Hot pitching stat: Royals starter Jeremy Guthrie is 3-0 with a 3.60 ERA in his last three outings.

Cold batting stat: Royals OF Alex Gordon is 2-for-9 (.222) in his career versus Twins starter Kevin Correia.

Weather: There is a 30 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast for gametime. Temperatures will be in the low-90s and wind will blow from right field to left field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The Royals are 15-2 in Guthrie's last 17 home starts.


Texas Rangers at Los Angeles Angels (-103, 9)

Cold pitching stat: Angels starter Jerome Williams had an atrocious July. The righty finished the month 0-4 with a 9.12 ERA in his six July starts.

Hot batting stat: To say Nelson Cruz has Williams' number would be an understatement. The Rangers' slugger is 11-for-18 (.611) with four homers and 10 RBIs in his career versus the Angels hurler.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with sunny and clear skies. Wind will blow out to right field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The Angels are 2-9 in Williams' last 11 home starts.


Toronto Blue Jays at Seattle Mariners (-119, 7)

Hot pitching stat: Mariners starter Hisashi Iwakuma went seven innings, giving up five hits and one earned run in an 8-1 victory over the Jays on May 4.

Cold batting stat: Jays 3B Brett Lawrie and OF Colby Rasmus are both 0-for-8 in their careers versus Iwakuma.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-70s with sunny skies. Wind will blow from left field to right field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The Blue Jays are 2-7 in the last nine meetings.


Click here for the National League cheat sheet.

* Odds courtesy of BetOnline.com

** Odds, probable starters, stats and weather forecast as of 7:30 p.m. ET Sunday.
 
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Monday's National League betting cheat sheet

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Monday's National League games:

Los Angeles Dodgers at St. Louis Cardinals (OFF, OFF)

Hot pitching stat: Pretty solid July numbers for scheduled Dodgers starter Zack Greinke. The righty went 3-1 with a 2.63 ERA in his six July outings. The Dodgers were 5-1 in the games he started.

Cold batting stat: Dodgers 1B Adrian Gonzalez is 3-for-14 (.214) with five strikeouts in his career versus Cards starter Adam Wainwright.

Weather: There is a 30 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast. Temperatures will be in the low-80s with wind blowing from right field to left field at 11 mph.

Key betting note: The Dodgers are 10-1 in their last 11 during Game 1 of a series.


Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals (-132, 7)

Cold pitching stat: Nats starter Stephen Strasburg is coming off a rough outing versus the Detroit Tigers on July 30. The Nats righty last seven innings but gave up five runs on six hits, including one homer, in a 5-1 loss.

Hot batting stat: Braves 2B Dan Uggla has fared well versus Strasburg. Uggla is 11-for-24 (.458) with two doubles, two homers and eight RBIs versus the Nats ace. The Braves roster hits a collective .313 versus Strasburg.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-70s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to left field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: The Braves are 8-3 in starter Mike Minor's last 11 road starts.


Milwaukee Brewers at San Francisco Giants (-157, 7)

Hot pitching stat: Brewers pitcher Tyler Thornburg is coming off a strong outing in his first start of 2013. The young righty went six innings giving up four hits and no runs in a 3-2 win over the Cubs on July 30.

Cold batting stat: It hasn't been a productive August for Pablo Sandoval. The Giants 3B is 1-for-13 (.077) to start the month.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-50s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to center field at 10 mph.

Key betting note: The Giants are 3-13 in their last 16 home games.


Click here for the American League cheat sheet.

* Odds courtesy of BetOnline.com

** Odds, probable starters, stats and weather forecast as of 7:36 p.m. ET Sunday.
 

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MLB Report

August 5

Hot pitchers

--
Minor is 3-1, 1.78 in his last five starts.
-- Greinke is 5-1, 2.73 in his last eight starts.
-- Gaudin is 3-1, 2.38 in his last six starts. Thornburg blanked the Cubs for six innings in his first '13 start; he was 0-9, 5.79 in 15 AAA starts before that.

-- Indians won Kluber's last five home starts (3-0, 2.61). Sanchez is 2-1, 0.95 in his last three starts.
-- Oberholtzer blanked Baltimore for seven innings in his first '13 start.
-- Guthrie is 3-0, 4.00 in his last three starts.
-- Quintana is 2-1, 2.79 in his last six starts.
-- Iwakuma is 3-0, 2.10 in his last four starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Strasburg is 0-3, 5.63 in his last four starts.
-- Wainwright is 1-1, 4.50 in his last four starts.

-- Lackey is 0-2, 5.40 in his last three starts.
-- Correia is 0-3, 7.11 in his last four road starts.
-- Pettitte is 0-3, 4.60 in his last five road starts.
-- Perez is 0-2, 7.25 in his last four starts. Williams is 0-5, 8.29 in his last eight.
-- Dickey is 0-3, 5.81 in his last five starts.

Starting Pitchers/First Inning
You can wager on whether teams will score in the first inning. Below is how often a starting pitcher has allowed 1+ runs in first inning in one of his starts........

-- Minor 7-22; Strasburg 5-21
-- Greinke 5-17; Wainwright 6-23
-- Thornburg 0-1; Gaudin 3-9 (3 of last 4)
-- Sanchez 5-18 (3 of last 4); Kluber 3-18

-- Lackey 8-19 (6 of last 10); Oberholtzer 0-1
-- Correia 6-21 (0 of last 7); Guthrie 6-22 (1 of last 7)
-- Pettitte 8-19 (6 of last 6); Quintana 8-22
-- Perez 4-9; Williams 5-15
-- Dickey 6-23 (1 of last 11); Iwakuma 5-23 (0 of last 7)

Totals
-- Six of the last seven Atlanta games went over the total; nine of the last twelve Washington road games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 7-1-1 in the last nine Dodger games.
-- Four of the last five Milwaukee games stayed under the total.

-- Four of the last five Detroit games stayed under the total.
-- Five of the last six Boston games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 8-3-1 in Kansas City's last twelve games.
-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Bronx road games.
-- Nine of the last twelve Texas games stayed under the total.
-- Eight of the last ten Toronto road games went over the total.

Hot teams
-- Braves won their last ten games, scoring 66 runs. Washington won four of its last five home games.
-- Dodgers are 31-7 in their last 38 games; they've won 14 in row on road. St Louis won three of last four games, scoring 44 runs.

-- Detroit won 12 of its last 13 games. Indians won ten of their last eleven.
-- Red Sox won seven of their last nine games.
-- Royals won 11 of their last 12 games. Minnesota won its last three games, by a total of four runs.
-- Rangers won six of their last seven games. Angels won three of their last four.
-- Mariners won 12 of their last 19 games.

Cold teams
-- Brewers lost three of their last four games. San Francisco lost 10 of its last 14 games, scoring four runs in the last two games.

-- Houston lost nine of its last eleven games.
-- White Sox lost their last ten games, scoring 19 runs. Bronx lost 11 of their last 17 games.
-- Toronto lost 14 of its last 21 games.
 

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Baseball Crusher
Seattle Mariners -119 over Toronto Blue Jays
(System Record: 59-7, won last 3 games)
Overall Record: 59-63-1
 

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Soccer Crusher
FC Istra + Lokomotiva Zagreb UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Croatia
(System Record: 437-15, lost last game)
Overall Record: 437-372-58
 
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[h=1]Today's MLB Picks[/h] [h=2]LA Dodgers at St. Louis[/h] The Cardinals look to build on their 10-1 record in their last 11 games as a home favorite. St. Louis is the pick (-155) according to Dunkel, which has the Cardinals favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-155). Here are all of today's picks.
MONDAY, AUGUST 5
Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST
Game 901-902: Atlanta at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Minor) 16.981; Washington (Strasburg) 14.872
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 2; 8
Vegas Line: Washington (-135); 7
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+115); Over
Game 903-904: LA Dodgers at St. Louis (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Greinke) 16.275; St. Louis (Wainwright) 17.772
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-155); 7
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-155); Under
Game 905-906: Milwaukee at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Thornburg) 14.351; San Francisco (Gaudin) 15.770
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-160); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-160); Over
Game 907-908: Detroit at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Sanchez) 16.391; Cleveland (Kluber) 17.464
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Detroit (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-105); Under
Game 909-910: Boston at Houston (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Lackey) 16.167; Houston (Oberholtzer) 13.874
Dunkel Line: Boston by 2 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Boston (-200); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-200); Over
Game 911-912: Minnesota at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Correia) 15.913; Kansas City (Guthrie) 15.583
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-175); 9
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+155); Under
Game 913-914: NY Yankees at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Pettitte) 15.539; White Sox (Quintana) 16.421
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 7
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+100); Under
Game 915-916: Texas at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Perez) 16.585; LA Angels (Williams) 15.147
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Texas (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-120); Over
Game 917-918: Toronto at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Dickey) 15.468; Seattle (Iwakuma) 14.391
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Seattle (-130); 7
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+110); Under
 
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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Bonus Plays are 1074-805 (58 + %) over the last 5 1/2 years !

Free winner Mon Yankees -120
 
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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Pirates Sunday.

Monday it's the Cardinals.The deficit is 1308 sirignanos.
 
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CFL

Week 6

Winnipeg (1-4) @ BCLions (3-2)-- Road team covered all five Bomber games; Winnipeg is 2-0 as road dogs, winning SU at Montreal, losing 25-20 at Hamilton for TiCats' only win. Bombers allowed 38-25-35-37 points in their four losses, 16 in their win. Lions has short week after losing 38-12 in Toronto Tuesday; they're 2-0 as home favorites, winning 24-16 over Toronto, 31-21 vs Edmonton- all three of their wins are by 8+ points. Under is 13-3 in last 16 series games, including last eight played here. Lions won last three series games by 11-17-3 points, streak that started with 34-23 BC win in '11 Grey Cup.
 
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MLB
Short Sheet

Monday, August 5

National League

Atlanta at Washington, 7:05 ET
Minor: Under is 5-1-1 last seven times Minor has started the opener of a road series
Strasburg: Nationals 4-8 SU in last 12 games versus a southpaw starter

Los Angeles Dodgers at St. Louis Cardinals, 7:05 ET
Kershaw: Dodgers 6-1 SU in last seven road starts for Kershaw
Wainwright: Over is 12-5 last 17 games that Cardinals have opposed a southpaw starter

Milwaukee at San Francisco, 10:15 ET
Thornburg: Brewers 1-6 SU in last seven road series openers
Gaudin: Uunder is 5-1-2 in 2013 when Giants start a homestand


American League

Detroit at Cleveland, 7:05 ET
Kluber: Indians 6-0 in Kluber's last six starts at home
Sanchez: Under is 12-6 when Sanchez starts on the road for the Tigers

Boston at Houston, 8:10 ET
Lackey: Under is 10-3 in Lackey's last 13 road starts
Oberholtzer: Astros 4-10 SU in last 14 games when beginning a homestand

Minnesota and Kansas City, 8:10 ET
Correia: Under is 7-3 in Correia's road starts for the Twins
Guthrie: Royals 15-4 SU when Guthrie starts at home for Royals

New York Yankees at Chicago White Sox, 8:10 ET
Pettitte: Yankees 1-5 SU last six road series openers in the middle of a road trip
Quintana: Under is 7-3 in Quintana's last 10 starts at home

Texas at Los Angeles Angels, 10:05 ET
Perez: Rangers 3-6 SU in last nine road series openers
Williams: Over is 8-3 in Williams' last 11 home starts

Toronto at Seattle, 10:10 ET
Dickey: Under is 8-3 when Dickey starts on the road for Blue Jays
Iwakuma: Mariners 16-6 SU when Iwakuma starts at home
 
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MLB

Monday, August 5

Trend Report

7:05 PM
LA DODGERS vs. ST. LOUIS
LA Dodgers are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games when playing St. Louis
LA Dodgers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games
St. Louis is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games

7:05 PM
DETROIT vs. CLEVELAND
Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Cleveland is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games

7:05 PM
ATLANTA vs. WASHINGTON
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta

8:10 PM
MINNESOTA vs. KANSAS CITY
Minnesota is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Kansas City's last 12 games
Kansas City is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

8:10 PM
BOSTON vs. HOUSTON
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games on the road
Houston is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home
Houston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Boston

8:10 PM
NY YANKEES vs. CHI WHITE SOX
The total has gone OVER in 12 of NY Yankees's last 18 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 7 games on the road
Chi White Sox are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games
Chi White Sox are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games when playing NY Yankees

10:05 PM
TEXAS vs. LA ANGELS
Texas is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games
LA Angels are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 6 games

10:10 PM
TORONTO vs. SEATTLE
Toronto is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Seattle
Toronto is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Seattle is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home
Seattle is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

10:15 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. SAN FRANCISCO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing San Francisco
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Francisco
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games
 
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TheSportsCapper

MONDAY BASEBALL

100* Play Atlanta +135 over Washington (TOP MLB PLAY)

Steven Strasburg has lost 7 consecutive games when pitching with five or six days of rest and he has lost 18 of the last 28 night games. Steven Strasburg has lost 12 of the last 18 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and he has lost 5 of the last 6 games when pitching in the 2nd half of the season.

=================================================================================

100* Play Cleveland +110 over Detroit (TOP MLB PLAY)

Anibal Sanchez has lost 24 of the last 35 games when the line posted is between +125 to 125 and he has lost 6 of the last 8 games when pitching on a Monday. Anibal Sanchez has lost 19 of the last 27 games after giving up one or less earned runs in his last outing and he has lost 7 of the last 10 games when pitching in the month of August.

=================================================================================

100* Play Seattle -110 over Toronto (TOP MLB PLAY)

Hisashi Iwakuma has won 16 of the last 22 home games and he has won 21 of the last 32 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs. Hisashi Iwakuma has won 16 of the last 24 night games and he is 2-0 over the last three starts with an ERA of 0.96.

=================================================================================

100* Play Kansas City -155 over Minnesota (TOP MLB PLAY)

Minnesota has lost 79 of the last 138 games when playing as an underdog of +150 or higher and they have also lost 84 of the last 147 games when the total posted is between 9 and 9.5 runs. Minnesota has lost 41 of the last 59 games when playing in the month of August and they have lost 33 of the last 55 road games.


50* Play San Francisco -155 over Milwaukee (Bonus MLB Play)

50* Play Boston -170 over Houston (Bonus MLB Play)
 

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