Service Plays Friday 8/9/13

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GL!

[h=1]Today's NFL Picks[/h] [h=2]Kansas City at New Orleans[/h] The Chiefs open their preseason by travelling to New Orleans to face the Saints. Kansas City is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the Saints favored by only 1. Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+3). Here are all of this week's picks.

[h=1]Today's CFL Picks[/h] [h=2]Saskatchewan at Calgary[/h] The Roughriders look to build on their 3-0-1 ATS record in their last 4 road games. Saskatchewan is the pick (+3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Roughriders favored by 5 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (+3 1/2). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

CFL

Week 7

Saskatchewan (5-0) @ Calgary (4-1)-- Roughriders' fast start includes 36-21 (-2) home win over Calgary in Week 2, when Riders outrushed Stamps 151-58, didn't turn ball over and outscored Calgary 22-0 in second half, avenging 36-30 (+6) loss here in first round of LY's playoffs. Calgary won seven of last nine series games,. with last three going over the total, though four of last five played here stayed under. Riders are 3-0 on road, scoring 39-39-32 points; they've had 144+ rushing yards in every game this year. Stampeders held last three foes to 14-27-24 points after allowing 32-36 in first two weeks- they won their first two home games by 12-11 points. Roughriders have one turnover (+8) in five games.

Best over bets of NFL preseason Week 1

If you’re tackling totals this NFL preseason this week, take a look at which teams lean towards the over or the under during Week 1 of the exhibition schedule.

Records since 1995.

Best NFL preseason Week 1 over bets

New York Jets (7-10 SU, 12-5 O/U in Week 1)

The Jets offense was a joke last preseason, leading to a 1-3 over/under mark. Now that the cat’s out of the bag and the scoring struggles are frontpage fodder, New York’s totals could get a serious haircut this summer. Books have set the number at 36 points for the Jets Week 1 preseason date in Detroit.

Jacksonville Jaguars (9-8 SU, 11-5-1 O/U in Week 1)

The Jaguars are another team known for their anemic offense. Jacksonville is bouncing between Blaine Gabbert and Chad Henne at QB and will likely be without RB Maurice Jones-Drew for the preseason opener versus Miami Friday. Oddsmakers have the total at 35.5 for that matchup.

Football Jesus CFL : Saskatchewan + the points

The Factsman

MLB Friday Video Pick

Philadelphia Phillies ML+145
(J. Lannan -L vs D. Haren - R)

DAVE ESSLER

Friday MLB Thoughts

Phillies-Nationals: Honestly, I really wonder if Haren is "back" or if he's just faced weaker opponents. He has, actually. The Phillies have their hitting shoes on and we don't like backing Washington against LHP, however this is John Lannan who did shut out the Nationals not long ago. Nationals more rested, but -165 isn't happening, and I could make a reasonable case for the Phillies, if not the RL.

Padres-Reds: I suppose if there was a pitcher on San Diego's roster we'd try to back it'd be Cashner. Arroyo hasn't been sharp at all his last two starts, and I honestly thought the Reds would be more than -160. Is that value or is that suicide. The Reds haven't seen much of Cashner, but he he did give up a ton more flyball outs to the Yankees than he's used to doing. If it weren't for that, this would be an auto-under and may well still be. Reds pen seemed to be better lately than a week ago.

Miami-Atlanta: I'd almost always look to take the RL or the ML with a big dog, as opposed to the alternative, but the Fish playing extras on Thursday and using all of their bullpen pretty much takes that out of the equation, which only leaves the total. Beachy didn't look terrific in his first start since Tommy John surgery, but the one thing the Braves will gave that the Fish won't is a bullpen. Almost want to think about the over in this one, which is lower due to the park and the pitchers.

Cubs-Cardinals: One could reasonably conclude that as good as Lynn looked against the Reds and as battered as the Cubs were Thursday that St. Louis simply rolls them. But, they haven't seen Rusin. But, that's not enough for me to think about the Cubs ML or the RL. I suppose it should be, but with the rest factor, I doubt it. Perhaps use the Cardinals in a ML parlay or something.

Pirates-Rockies: Well the Pirates certainly are catching all the breaks, but that's against Miami who is perhaps making them look better than they really are. The Fish did make them use a ton of arms out of the pen, which unless I totally trusted Liriano would concern me. I will never totally trust Lirano, and after he just two-hit the Rockies, one might think the Rockies make the adjustments. And De La Rosa was lit up by the Pirates, so perhaps some regression there as well. Because we can't trust either bullpen here, over may be the bet for me. A bit square, and the first move was to the under, but, half the Rockies team rested against the Mets. Perhaps the home dog.

Mets-Cardinals: That's a steep price to pay for Corbin, especially if you look back to Jult 2nd when the Mets tore him a new one in the 7th inning, with not much better of a lineup than they'll put out tomorrow. The Mets pen has been much better of late, and they've won 60% of their games against left handed starters this season. I wouldn't rule it out. I do lean under here as well.

Oakland-Toronto: A lot of love for the A's on the road here at -135, or total disrespect for the Jays and Rogers after coughing up that lead in Seattle on Wednesday. I wonder what this line would have been in April. Hell, Rogers was +180 in Atlanta this year and won, and we do like Toronto better against right handed pitching. I do have to wonder how much of the remaining energy Toronto might have had was left somewhere over Edmonton flying back. Parker is a flyball pitcher and the roof should be open. And since Oakland hammered Rogers and is still playing for all the marbles, one would have to think this goes over.

Angels-Indians: Seems like a cheap price for Weaver, but lets remember the Angels are done, and now perhaps mentally given the three game sweep, at home, to Texas. It's a shame I like the Indians better against LHP, or I'd go ahead and call this one right now. The Angels are 10-19 against LHP. FWIW Kazmir wears his glove on his right hand, which means he is a left handed pitcher. He did take a lot of pitches to get through 6 innings in his last start, and that was against the Fish, who we learned today will swing at anything. Before that he was hit hard at home by the White Sox. Weaver has not won a game on the road this season, so we'll take the Indians here, who still have reason to play, unless they use up their get out of jail free card against the Tigers on Thursday.

Detroit at NYY: Well, obviously the Yankees will be the rested team, and a lot of this probably depends on how may innings they get out of Max on Thursday. If it's not enough, I can make a case for fading Porcello here, but, with as well as the Tigers have hit Nova in limited at bats, perhaps over 8 before it goes to 8.5, which I think it will, is the right call here. At -120 they're begging for people to take Detroit, I would think, even making the Yankees slight dogs at home.

Boston-Kansas City: Totally dependent on Thursday's game, but I like the Royals here. They saw a ton of Peavy when he was with the White Sox, and typically hit him pretty well. I keep waiting for the Santana implosion, given that he had been a flyball pitcher most of his career, and not, until this season, a big strikeout guy. This is a game that I can see reaching eight runs before nine innings.

I'll finish the last few later, perhaps.

Dave Essler NFL Side Fri, 08/09/13 - 8:00 PM

dime bet - 269 ARI 4.0 (-110) vs 270 GBP

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Pirates on Thursday and likes the Reds on Friday.

The deficit is 1437 sirignanos.

JOE WIZ Bonus Plays

NFLx Play Under 36 NY Jets and Detroit

NFLx Play Under 35 Arizona and Green Bay

Vic Monte Sports

Private Play REDS

[h=1]Today's MLB Picks[/h] [h=2]Milwaukee at Seattle[/h] The Brewers look to build on their 7-0 record in Kyle Lohse's last 7 starts against a team with a losing record. Milwaukee is the pick (+105) according to Dunkel, which has the Brewers favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+105). Here are all of today's picks.

[h=1]WNBA Basketball Picks[/h] [h=2]San Antonio at Seattle[/h] The Silver Stars look to build on their 4-0 ATS record in their last 4 games against a team with a SU losing record. San Antonio is the pick (+5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Storm favored by only 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (+5 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

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Gamblers Data

Bonus Plays Friday

Pirates -138

Royals +105