Service Plays Saturday 8/10/13

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[h=1]Today's NFL Picks[/h] [h=2]NY Giants at Pittsburgh[/h] The Steelers open the preseason by hosting the Giants tonight. Pittsburgh is the pick (-2) according to Dunkel, which has the Steelers favored by 9 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-2). Here are all of this week's picks.

Giants at Steelers: What bettors need to know

Check out our cheat sheet for Saturday's NFL Week 1 matchup for the New York Giants at Pittsburgh Steelers:

New York Giants at Pittsburgh Steelers (-2.5, 35.5)

Giants head coach Tom Coughlin said earlier in the week that the starters will "probably play about a quarter", though a few starters will miss out in the preseason opener. Namely, O-linemen James Brewer (concussion) and Chris Snee (undisclosed), as well as FB Henry Hynoski. WR Hakeem Nicks is suffering from a groin strain and is uncertain whether or not he will see the field, though the wideout says he is 100 percent. On the other side of the ball, Justin Tuck claims that the competition at the DE position is "heating up" and competition will be fierce with guys fighting for a limited number of jobs. The Giants finished the 2012 preseason 3-1 ATS, 2-2 SU and 1-3 O/U.

The starting unit for the Pittsburgh Steelers will get 10 to 12 snaps of action in the opener and rookie running back Le'Veon Bell will get a chance to show his stuff with the starters. Bell will play with the second unit as well, however, so that head coach Mike Tomlin can see where the rookie stands. Fellow RB's Isaac Redman and Jonathan Dwyer will also get plenty of opportunity to show their stuff as the trio jockey for position in a heated RB battle. Pittsburgh finished the 2012 preseason with a record of 3-1 SU, 1-2-1 ATS and 3-1 O/U.

The two franchises met in Week 9 last season. The Giants prevailed at home by a score of 24-20 and covered as 3.5-point home dogs.

DAVE ESSLER MLB Saturday Thoughts

Washington-Philadelphia: I simply cannot back the Nationals against a LHP, and the very early money tends to agree.

Miami-Atlanta: There's every reason to think that Eovaldi COULD keep Atlanta in check. A lot depends on Friday's game, but Nate has only been touched for more than three runs once. Atlanta hit him last year, hence the -230 or whatever, but Wood simply CAN be had. Don't think this is a high scoring game, again, bullpen usage dependent.

Padres-Reds: The world will be on Cingriani and I get that, but Ross already burned me once (by pitching well) and we like the Padres better against LHP, so worst case scenario I may well take the Padres RL.

Cubs-Cardinals: Carlos was a freak show against the Dodgers, but my issue w/him is that's three straight 100+ pitch games for someone that's been a bullpen guy. I suppose that could work to his advantage, given he's probably more rested than most. Wacha's a young kid that the Cubs, nor many others, have seen. Beastly numbers w/Memphis this season, so probably under here, I would think. Probably decided by the bullpens.

Pirates-Cubs: We all know AJ hasn't been the same dominant pitcher on the road, but obviously still a force. My issue here is that although Pittsburgh beat the Fish three straight, they really were handed those game and hence perhaps a little over valued. I could make a case for the Rockies here.

Met-D-Backs: What I don't like about Wheeler in this spot is that he's a flyball pitcher in a small park, so if he's not getting the K's that could be a problem. And the same can be said about McCarthy, and ex-Oakland pitcher that benefited from the big park. I can see this game being higher scoring, especially if either team uses much bullpen Friday. Although without Montero, and the Mets sucking against RHP's this season, perhaps not. Lean D-Backs a little.

Tigers-Yankees: Welp, we obviously know that the book on Hughes has been fade him at home, but I've never liked Sanchez and honestly, no matter who plays the Yankee RL is only -125 so I would gladly take my chances.

Oakland-Toronto: Need to clarify who's pitching for the A's. Buehrle has been better at home and perhaps a bit cheaper after the Angels lit him up. Callaspo's status still a question mark. Both bullpens steady and this game may stay under. Like under better if Gray is pitching. Griffin just scares me.

Minnesota-White Sox: Probably all comes down to whether Rienzo throws balls or strikes. He can be wild and walk the park, or he can easily strikeout 10 in game. Pelfrey rarely pitches deep, so with these guys playing two on Friday one could reasonable assume that the bullpens matter even more here. Lean Twins and over, but haven't checked the weather and it DOES depend on tonight's game.

Angels-Indians: Clearly misprint with Wilson at only -115 over Ublado? Nope. We love the Indians much better against left handed pitching, and the Angels can't seem to hit anyone. All we'd need is for Ubaldo to get the ball somewhere near the plate to take the Indians. I couldn't bet on that happening, but would take the Indians and/or the over if you made me.

Boston-Kansas City: OK, Kyle, I like Boston here. Wasn't doubting Doubront's ability the other night as much as his mental focus. Actually like him a bit here against a team that's had trouble this season w/LHP against Guthrie, who obviously Boston saw tons of when he was with the Orioles

Around the Horn: The Pirates & PNC Park
Art Aronson | Aug 9, 2013 |

Pittsburgh just took three-straight from the Marlins and has won five straight overall. The Pirates are in Colorado over the weekend. Slugger Andrew McCutchen sat out Thursday's victory, but is expected back in the lineup at hitter-friendly Coors Field. McCutchen is 11 for 17 over his last six games.

The Bucs are getting contributions across the board, as they'd have to rally from behind in all three games vs. the Fish, while the bullpen worked 10 1/3 scoreless frames in the series.

Starting Rotation

AJ Burnett is 5-7 with a 2.73 ERA
Francisco Liriano is 12-4 with a 2.02 ERA
Gerrit Cole is 5-5 with a 3.95 ERA
Jeff Locke is 9-3 with a 2.47 ERA
Charlie Morton is 4-3 with a 3.88 ERA

2012 Park Factor (Park Factor compares the rate of stats at home vs. the rate of stats on the road. A rate below 1.000 favors the pitcher. Higher than 1.000 favors the hitter).

Runs: 0.764
HR: 0.631
H: 0.871
2B: 1.037
3B: 0.718
BB: 0.796

Interesting facts about PNC Park: After Three Rivers Stadium was imploded, PNC Park opened for the 2001 MLB season and seats just over 38,000. Construction took just 24-months in total and the design is a salute to other "classic style" ballparks such as Wrigley Field and Fenway Park (was the first "two-deck" facility to be built in the USA since Milwaukee County Stadium opened in 1953). It is the first stadium to feature an "out-of-town scoreboard" with the score, inning, count, number of outs and base runners for every other game being played around the league. In 2001 PNC Park was given a score of 95 out of 100 by ESPN.com. The Allegheny River is 443 feet from home plate and on July 6th, 2002, Daryle Ward was the first player to hit the river on the fly (however, on June 2, 2013, Garrett Jones become only the second player to hit the river and he was the first Pirate to accomplish the feat).

Has home field been an advantage for the Pirates over the last five years?

2008: 67-95 overall. 39-42 at home. 28-53 on road.
2009: 62-99 overall. 40-41 at home. 38-43 on road.
2010: 57-105 overall. 40-41 at home. 17-64 on road.
2011: 72-90 overall. 36-45 at home. 36-45 on road.
2012: 79-83 overall. 45-36 at home. 34-47 on road.

2013 as of writing: 70-44 overall. 41-20 at home. 29-24 on road.

Pittsburgh's core group of players has come together over the last few years, but over the previous four, home field has been anything but an advantage for the Pirates.

Upcoming Series

The Pirates welcome the Diamondbacks to town from the 16th-18th.

These teams played a three game set in Arizona in early April and the Diamondbacks went 2-1.

They played four times at PNC Park in 2012 and the Pirates went 2-2.

Braves paying off for bettors with fourteenth straight win

The Atlanta Braves won their fourteenth game in a row after opening a three-game set with the Miami Marlins with a 5-0 victory Friday.

Any $100 bettor would be up a nice sum of $1,183.07 if they had wagered the Braves in each of their previous 14 ball games.

A winning streak of this length needs contributions from everybody and the Braves have been no different. The NL's leading hitter, Chris Johnson (.338) was batting at a torrid clip before having an eight game multi-hit streak snapped in a 5-4 victory over the Philadelphia Phillies on Aug. 3.

More recently, Justin Upton has been swinging a hot stick. Upton went 1-for-4 with one homer in Friday's victory. The LF has 11 hits in his previous 20 at-bats, is riding a 13-game hitting streak, and is batting .467 in eight August ball games.

The Braves will try to continue their winning ways as they continue the three-game home stand against the Marlins Saturday.

Atlanta is currently the favorite at -215.

Alex Wood will get the start for the Braves and will bid for his third-straight victory. The Marlins will counter with Nathan Eovaldi.

LA Syndicate

Top Plays

XNFL - Giants/Steelers Under 36

MLB
Diamondbacks
Over 9 A's/Blue Jays
Red Sox
Dodgers

Chicago Syndicate

Top Plays

Phillies
Over 8.5 Tigers/Yankees
White Sox
Red Sox

MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Wood is 2-0, 2.77 in his last couple starts. Eovaldi is 0-1, 1.42 in his last three outings.
-- Cingrani is 2-0, 2.41 in his last three starts. Ross is 2-1, 1.35 in his last three.
-- Burnett is 1-0, 1.13 in his last two starts.
-- Mets won five of last six Wheeler starts (3-1, 4.15).

-- Greinke is 3-1, 1.90 in his last six starts. Hernandez is 3-1, 4.11 in last five.
-- WChen is 2-1, 2.57 in his last five starts. Gaudin is 1-0, 1.35 in his last two.
-- Iwakuma is 3-0, 2.10 in his last four starts.

-- Buehrle is 2-0, 2.05 in his last three starts.
-- Sanchez is 2-1, 0.95 in his last three starts.
-- Doubront is 4-2, 2.33 in his last six starts. Guthrie is 3-0, 4.00 in last three.
-- Holland is 2-2, 2.48 in his last five starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Jordan is 1-3, 4.65 in seven starts. Lee is 0-3, 6.50 in his last three starts.
-- Cubs are 1-9 in last ten Villanueva starts (0-3, 6.33 last four). Wacha has a 4.58 RA in three starts, last of which was June 11.
-- Nicasio is 0-2, 12.96 in his last two starts.
-- McCarthy is 0-2, 10.29 in his last couple starts.

-- Gorzelanny is 1-3, 4.88 in his last five starts.

-- Gray (1st round pick in '11) is making his first MLB start; he is Hughes is 0-3, 7.54 in his last five starts.
-- Rienzo is 0-0, 3.46 in his first two MLB starts. Pelfrey is 0-2, 3.92 in his last four starts.
-- Jimenez is 1-2, 4.57 in his last four starts.
-- Wilson has a 6.38 RA in his last three starts. Houston lost last four Peacock starts (0-3, 8.53).

Starting Pitchers/First Inning
You can wager on whether teams will score in the first inning. Below is how often a starting pitcher has allowed 1+ runs in first inning in one of his starts........
-- Lee 4-21 (3 of last 5); Jordan 1-7
-- Eovaldi 2-9; Wood 1-4
-- Ross 2-6; Cingrani 3-13
-- Villanueva 7-14; Wacha 1-3
-- Burnett 5-20; Nicasio 9-21
-- Wheeler 4-9; McCarthy 4-12

-- WChen 3-13; Gaudin 3-10
-- Hernandez 8-21; Greinke 6-18
-- Gorzelanny 1-6; Iwakuma 5-23 (0 of last 7)

-- Sanchez 5-18 (3 of last 4); Hughes 5-21 (0 of last 7)
-- Gray 0-0; Buehrle 4-23
-- Pelfrey 7-20 (1 of last 7); Rienzo 0-2
-- Wilson 5-22 (1 of last 10); Jimenez 6-21 (1 of last 7)
-- Doubront 4-20 (0 of last 6); Guthrie 6-22 (1 of last 7)
-- Holland 3-23; Peacock 3-6

Totals
-- Three of last four Philly games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Cincinnati games went over the total.
-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Miami games.
-- Seven of last ten Cub games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Colorado games.
-- Seven of last ten Arizona games stayed under total.

-- Seven of last ten Milwaukee games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last nine Tampa Bay games stayed under the total.
-- Eight of last nine San Francisco games stayed under total.

-- Four of last six Minnesota games stayed under total.
-- Seven of last eight Toronto games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Angel games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Detroit games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last eleven Boston road games stayed under total.
-- Last three Houston games went over the total.

Hot teams
-- Reds won four of their last five games.
-- Braves won their last fourteen games.
-- Pirates won five of their last six games.
-- Mets won three of their last four games. Arizona is 9-5 in its last fourteen home games.

-- Brewers are 8-5 in their last thirteen road games.
-- Dodgers are 35-8 in their last 43 games.
-- Orioles won eight of their last eleven road games.

-- Minnesota won six of its last eight ames.
-- Tigers won 16 of their last 18 games.
-- Kansas City won 15 of its last 17 games.
-- Rangers won ten of their last eleven games.

Cold teams
-- Phillies lost 15 of their last 18 games. Washington lost four of last five. .
-- Padres lost four of their last five games.
-- Marlins lost their last six games, scoring 12 runs.
-- St Louis lost four of last five games. Cubs lost six of their last eight.
-- Colorado lost nine of its last eleven games.

-- Mariners lost seven of their last ten games.
-- Rays lost five of their last seven games.
-- Giants lost five of their last seven games.

-- Oakland lost six of its last eight games. Toronto is 3-5 in its last eight.
-- White Sox lost 12 of their last 15 games.
-- Angels lost four of their last five games. Cleveland lost its last five games.
-- Bronx Bombers lost four of their last five games.
-- Red Sox lost three of their last five games.
-- Astros lost 21 of their last 26 games.

Umpires
-- Phil-Wsh-- Underdogs are 15-10 in last 25 Reynolds games.
-- Mia-Atl-- Last five Joyce games stayed under the total.
-- SD-Cin-- Nine of last eleven Drake games stayed under.
-- Chi-StL-- Six of last seven Vanover games stayed under.
-- Pitt-Col-- Underdogs won three of last five Culbreth games.
-- NY-Az-- Favorites won seven of last eight Winters games.

-- Balt-SF-- Favorites won 10 of last 12 Bucknor games.
-- TB-LA-- Under is 8-2-2 in last twelve Nauert games.
-- Mil-Sea-- Six of last eight Dreckman games wemt over total.

-- Det-NY-- Under is 6-3-1 in last ten Meals games.
-- A's-Tor-- Seven of last eleven Bell games went over.
-- Min-Chi-- Nine of last eleven LBarrett games stayed under.
-- LA-Cle-- Favorites won 12 of last 16 Barksdale games.
-- Bos-KC-- Under is 4-0-1 in last five Porter games.
-- Tex-Hst-- Under is 7-0-1 in last eight Cuzzi games.

[h=1]Today's MLB Picks[/h] [h=2]San Diego at Cincinnati[/h] The Padres look to bounce back from last night's 7-2 loss and build on their 8-1 record in their last 9 games after scoring 2 runs or less in the previous game. San Diego is the pick (+170) according to Dunkel, which has the Padres favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+170). Here are all of today's picks.

[h=1]WNBA Basketball Picks[/h] [h=2]Atlanta at Indiana[/h] The Dream look to build on their 18-8 ATS record in their last 26 games versus the Fever. Atlanta is the pick (+3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Fever favored by only 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+3 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

Joe Wiz

Bonus Play Saturday N.Y.Mets/Arizona Under 9

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Reds on Friday and likes the Reds on Saturday.

The deficit is 1387 sirignanos.

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Bonus Plays are 1076-808 (57 + %) over the last 5 1/2 years !

Free winner Sat Seattle w/ Iwakuma

Gamblers Data

Bonus Plays Saturday

Pirates -150

Tigers -160

Cappers Access

Steelers -2.5
Tigers(RL) -1.5(+100)

IntPicks Full Card

Saturday, August 10, 2013

MLB
1 Unit Official Selections

7:10 PM ET
Texas @ Houston
Take Texas Run Line -1.5 (-130)

7:10 PM ET
San Diego @ Cincinnati
Take Cincinnati Run Line -1.5 (+110)

NFL Pre-Season Recommendation *
7:30 PM ET
NY Giants @ Pittsburgh
Take Pittsburgh -2.5

*Their Pre-Season NFL picks are recommendations only. They do not grade them, win or lose. Tread lightly. They went 2-0 with their paid NFL recommendations on Friday.

StatFox Super Situations - FoxSheets

MLB MIAMI at ATLANTA

Play On - Road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (MIAMI) stranding 6.9 or less runners on base per game on the season, after scoring 4 runs or less 6 straight games
36-33 over the last 5 seasons. ( 52.2% 32.0 units )
6-12 this year. ( 33.3% -1.1 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends - FoxSheets

MLB OAKLAND at TORONTO

OAKLAND is 58-31 (+33.3 Units) against the money line with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.000 the last 5 games over the last 2 seasons.

The average score was: OAKLAND (4.9) , OPPONENT (3.8)