1 Thursday w/analysis

sherwood · Aug 8, 2013

Range W L P +/- (Units)
Yesterday 2 2 0.00 +0.36
Last 30 Days 42 27 0.00 +50.05
Season to Date 175 165 0.00 +84.65

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All plays are for 2 units

HOME TEAM IN CAPS

N.Y. METS -1½ +143 over Colorado
[FONT=arial !important][FONT=arial !important][FONT=arial !important]12:10 PM EST. Note the early start. The Rockies have dropped four in a row and eight of their past nine games. They’ve scored three runs or fewer in seven of their past eight and they’ve scored a lousy five times over their last four games. The Rockies 37 road defeats in 58 games is the second lowest road win total in the majors, tied with both the Astros and Marlins. Colorado returns home tomorrow to play a weekend set with the first place Pirates and that trip home can’t come soon enough. Jeff Manship was an emergency call-up for this start in place of the injured Tyler Chatwood. Manship was drafted in the 50th round (1479th overall) in 2003. He’s had some brief stints in the majors but they’ve all been a disaster. His major league ERA over 85 innings is 6.02. At Triple –AAA Colorado Springs this season, Manship went 6-8 with a 4.85 ERA and 1.40 WHIP. Jeff Manship has been laboring the minors for years and his chances of success at this level are less than Alex Rodriguez’s chances of getting a standing ovation on the road.[/FONT][/FONT][FONT=arial !important]

On June 12, Dillon Gee’s ERA was 4.84. 10 starts later he has carved that margin down to 3.97. Gee has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of his past four starts. He recently shutout both the Pirates and Braves and allowed one run in his most recent start against the Royals. He’s always been sharp at home and this season is no different. In 10 games started at Citi Field, Gee has a BAA of .219 to go along with a 2.34 ERA. Over his last five starts he has an elite 16% line-drive rate. Gee continues to crank up stellar base skills that feed into his improved results. Control, strikeout rate and command are strong, both individually and in tandem. Gee now gets to face this unmotivated guest that is in a bad frame of mind right now. Can this one turn out any other way? We think not.
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mapana · Aug 8, 2013

thanks sher - gl

XSPower · Aug 8, 2013

Good luck today!!!!

HacheMan · Aug 8, 2013

Best of luck

bloodsweatandbeers · Aug 8, 2013

any CFL tonite sher?

douglas · Aug 8, 2013

blood sweat and beers said:
any CFL tonite sher?

he passed ....below is his write up on the game

Toronto @ MONTREAL
MONTREAL +2 -102 over Toronto
BEST LINE: Pinnacle +2 -102
This is a no bet for several reasons. For one, the Alouettes are so banged up and so out of sync that we cannot recommend a bet on them in good conscious. Dan Hawkins lasted all of five games for Montreal after trying to instill a new system that wasn’t broken to begin with and Hawkins failed miserably. GM Jim Popp takes over for now and that’s another adjustment the players are going to have to make. From the beginning, the media and fans in Montreal have been asking why any coach would come in and throw out an offensive system that was as brilliantly successful as the one Marc Trestman put in. The Als had to make this change because Hawkins looked lost out there. There is just far too much uncertainty surrounding the Als right now and that makes them difficult to pull the trigger on. Why not the Argos then? Well, for one, we’re getting a bad number. The Als opened as a 1½-point choice here and the entire betting world is on the visitor and that influx of money has now made Toronto a 2-point choice. That’s a bad number when we could’ve taken 1½-points just two days ago. Additionally, the Argos are coming off a dismantling of the Lions and that has Toronto’s stock high. That’s also not the right time to step in. On paper it looks like the Argos should run over these Als but we’re not so sure. Montreal has been a highly successful program running the offense it will employ tonight. In fact, the Als have been near unbeatable at home over the past decade and while this is a different year, it’s still very much a lot of the same personnel. The Als players are also likely feeling a sense of relief and they should be a lot more relaxed tonight. We’re never in favor of buying high and selling low and if you bet Toronto tonight that’s precisely what you’ll be doing. We’re much more in favor of buying low and selling high and this game fits that theory to a tee. This is a no play for us but we would not be surprised one bit if the Alouettes came out, played a very strong game and won it outright. You’ve been warned.