Okay gentleman..
Team #1
3 @ STL
3 vs REDS
3 vs STL
4 vs WASH
3 @ SD
3 @ LAD
6 series, 19 games.. Although the Nationals series will likely be wagered on small. I like SD @ home, I think
thats a good series.. Prices won't be too steep and I think SD wins 2/3 for sure.
Cubs are terrible right and their starting pitching is falling apart.
Last 15 games their starters have a combined ERA of 6+
This rotation looks to me like its ready to be in shambles.
Wood (the ace, pretty good)
Samardzjia (he's starting to fall apart)
Rusin (young average kid)
Villanueva (ERA creeping up, might be falling apart)
E. Jackson (Very inconsistent and about avg)
Their hitting isn't much better
Last 15 games
.225 ba, .273 OBP.
Tough schedule..
Should make some good $ fading the Cubbies
Team #1
3 @ STL
3 vs REDS
3 vs STL
4 vs WASH
3 @ SD
3 @ LAD
6 series, 19 games.. Although the Nationals series will likely be wagered on small. I like SD @ home, I think
thats a good series.. Prices won't be too steep and I think SD wins 2/3 for sure.
Cubs are terrible right and their starting pitching is falling apart.
Last 15 games their starters have a combined ERA of 6+
This rotation looks to me like its ready to be in shambles.
Wood (the ace, pretty good)
Samardzjia (he's starting to fall apart)
Rusin (young average kid)
Villanueva (ERA creeping up, might be falling apart)
E. Jackson (Very inconsistent and about avg)
Their hitting isn't much better
Last 15 games
.225 ba, .273 OBP.
Tough schedule..
Should make some good $ fading the Cubbies
Team #2
Brewers
Brewers have an OBP of .292 last 15 games, it really doesn't get worse than that..
Weeks is gone. Their pitching has been okay lately but I expect that to change.
They have been playing some horrible offensive teams.
Look at the Brewers upcoming schedule
3 @ SEA
2 @ TEX
3 vs REDS
3 vs STL
3 @ REDS
3 @ PITT
I will go on the smaller side of the M's series, but after that its Texas, Cincy, STL, Cincy and Pitt.
We could see an 8+ game losing streak here. I think they will at the very least lose 8 out of 10 at some
point. They will be playing hungry teams, the hungriest of teams.
Brewers will tank.
Brewers 6-9 hitters will be 1-2-3 innings consistently. They will get nothing out that part of the lineup.
This fade will be great I think.
Brewers
Brewers have an OBP of .292 last 15 games, it really doesn't get worse than that..
Weeks is gone. Their pitching has been okay lately but I expect that to change.
They have been playing some horrible offensive teams.
Look at the Brewers upcoming schedule
3 @ SEA
2 @ TEX
3 vs REDS
3 vs STL
3 @ REDS
3 @ PITT
I will go on the smaller side of the M's series, but after that its Texas, Cincy, STL, Cincy and Pitt.
We could see an 8+ game losing streak here. I think they will at the very least lose 8 out of 10 at some
point. They will be playing hungry teams, the hungriest of teams.
Brewers will tank.
Brewers 6-9 hitters will be 1-2-3 innings consistently. They will get nothing out that part of the lineup.
This fade will be great I think.
Team # 3
Giants
Once a strength now a weakness. The Giants are one of the worst teams in baseball.
Giants BP last 15 games?
1.59 WHIP..
Giants have no offense whatsoever
Last 10 games, 10 runs scored!
Last 15 games the 3-4-5 hitters are batting .227
The last 20 games the Giants OBP is barely over .300
The team is not getting on base, not hitting HRs and the BP hasn't been great either.. This rotation once a strength
is not to be relied upon.
Lets look at the Giants schedule
3 vs Balt
3 @ Wash
3 @ MIA
3 vs Bos
4 vs PITT
Some of you are probably looking at the 6 game stretch vs Wash and Mia and think that might not be good.
Giants are terrible on the road this season no matter who they play. 21-34
There are 13 games here.. I see the Giants winning 5 at the most.
Giants can't hit, if you can score 4 vs them its pretty much an auto win.
Giants
Once a strength now a weakness. The Giants are one of the worst teams in baseball.
Giants BP last 15 games?
1.59 WHIP..
Giants have no offense whatsoever
Last 10 games, 10 runs scored!
Last 15 games the 3-4-5 hitters are batting .227
The last 20 games the Giants OBP is barely over .300
The team is not getting on base, not hitting HRs and the BP hasn't been great either.. This rotation once a strength
is not to be relied upon.
Lets look at the Giants schedule
3 vs Balt
3 @ Wash
3 @ MIA
3 vs Bos
4 vs PITT
Some of you are probably looking at the 6 game stretch vs Wash and Mia and think that might not be good.
Giants are terrible on the road this season no matter who they play. 21-34
There are 13 games here.. I see the Giants winning 5 at the most.
Giants can't hit, if you can score 4 vs them its pretty much an auto win.
Team #4
Mets
This will pretty much be the lineup you will be seeing from the Mets
1. Eric Young (S) LF
2. Daniel Murphy (L) 2B
3. Marlon Byrd (R) RF
4. Ike Davis (L) 1B
5. Juan Lagares (R) CF
6. Wilmer Flores (R) 3B
7. John Buck (R) C
8. Omar Quintanilla (L) SS
9. Jenrry Mejia (R) P
Not very good is it..
Good timing on this fade because the Mets are currently on a 3 game winning streak. But keep in mind David Wright
wont be coming back for a while. Hes by far the best player on the team.
Obviously when Harvey starts I will shy away but the other times should be money in the bank.
Other starters are all shaky
Hafner shaky
Wheeler shaky
Niese back from DL soon shaky
Gee also inconsistent. (although I kind of like him)
When the Mets dont have Wright and when Harvey is not pitching this team really sucks.
Lets look at the Mets upcoming schedule:
They go on the road for a while..
3 @ AZ
3 @ LAD
4 @ SD
1 vs Twins
2 vs BRAVES
3 vs Tigers
Not sure what I'll do with Twins game but there are 15 other games and I see the Mets losing many of them. Very tough
stretch of games and don't think the Padres series will be easy. SD could easily get 3 out of 4.
AZ, LAD, ATL and DET will be the meat of this fade.. Mets will likely lose 75% of those games.
This should be a good fade.
Mets
This will pretty much be the lineup you will be seeing from the Mets
1. Eric Young (S) LF
2. Daniel Murphy (L) 2B
3. Marlon Byrd (R) RF
4. Ike Davis (L) 1B
5. Juan Lagares (R) CF
6. Wilmer Flores (R) 3B
7. John Buck (R) C
8. Omar Quintanilla (L) SS
9. Jenrry Mejia (R) P
Not very good is it..
Good timing on this fade because the Mets are currently on a 3 game winning streak. But keep in mind David Wright
wont be coming back for a while. Hes by far the best player on the team.
Obviously when Harvey starts I will shy away but the other times should be money in the bank.
Other starters are all shaky
Hafner shaky
Wheeler shaky
Niese back from DL soon shaky
Gee also inconsistent. (although I kind of like him)
When the Mets dont have Wright and when Harvey is not pitching this team really sucks.
Lets look at the Mets upcoming schedule:
They go on the road for a while..
3 @ AZ
3 @ LAD
4 @ SD
1 vs Twins
2 vs BRAVES
3 vs Tigers
Not sure what I'll do with Twins game but there are 15 other games and I see the Mets losing many of them. Very tough
stretch of games and don't think the Padres series will be easy. SD could easily get 3 out of 4.
AZ, LAD, ATL and DET will be the meat of this fade.. Mets will likely lose 75% of those games.
This should be a good fade.
Wagers for today:
0.3* risked on open parlay with one spot left
AZ ML -200 (METS FADE)
one open spot
0.2* AZ RL +115 (METS FADE)
0.25* ML Parlay (+124)
STL/AZ (Cubs and Mets fade mix)
0.25* risked open parlay with one spot open
STL ML -210 (CUBS FADE)
one spot open
0.15* STL RL +105 (CUBS FADE)
0.10* Parlay (+119)
STL/ATL
0.25* O's -126 (GIANTS FADE)
0.15* O's RL +130 (GIANTS FADE)
0.3* Wash -1 -117 (PHILLIES FADE)
0.25* Seattle -124 (BREWERS FADE)
0.3* risked on open parlay with one spot left
AZ ML -200 (METS FADE)
one open spot
0.2* AZ RL +115 (METS FADE)
0.25* ML Parlay (+124)
STL/AZ (Cubs and Mets fade mix)
0.25* risked open parlay with one spot open
STL ML -210 (CUBS FADE)
one spot open
0.15* STL RL +105 (CUBS FADE)
0.10* Parlay (+119)
STL/ATL
0.25* O's -126 (GIANTS FADE)
0.15* O's RL +130 (GIANTS FADE)
0.3* Wash -1 -117 (PHILLIES FADE)
0.25* Seattle -124 (BREWERS FADE)
