Service Plays Monday 8/19/13

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[h=1]Today's NFL Picks[/h] [h=2]Pittsburgh at Washington[/h] The Steelers look to bounce back from their 18-13 loss to the Giants in the preseason opener as they face the Redskins on Monday. Pittsburgh is the pick (+1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+1 1/2). Here are all of this week's picks.

Premier League betting: Monday's EPL cheat sheet

Only two clubs have yet to get the ball rolling in the Premier League and they will battle for three points in the final Week 1 fixture Monday. Here's your quick cheat sheet.

Manchester City v Newcastle United (-300, +450, +1000)

Why bet Manchester City: The Man City check book was open again as the club inked star forwards such as Stevan Jovetic, Jesús Navas and Álvaro Negredo as well as midfielder Fernandinho. The Citizens also have a new gaffer as Manuel Pellegrini steps in from Malaga. He'll look for his side to get the ball rolling with three points in front of the home supporters. City finished a distant 11 points back of Manchester United a season ago and will look for improvements in the league.

Key players doubtful: Sergio Agüero, Matija Nastasic, Scott Sinclair.

Why bet Newcastle: The Magpies finished a disapointing 16th in the table last season and will look for drastic improvements of their own.
They've been pillagaing France's Ligue 1 for young, affordable talent that have yet to gel. Boss Alan Pardew has his hands full in this away match, but with attacking players such as Hatem Ben Arfa, Yoan Gouffran and Papiss Demba Cissé, the Magpies could pose trouble for City defenders.

Key players doubtful: Jonás Gutiérrez, Ryan Taylor, Loïc Remy.

Key betting note: With seven losses and a pair of draws, Newcastle has never won a Premier League game at City's Etihad Stadium.

2012-13 fixture result: Manchester City 4, Newcastle 0

NFL preseason primer: Monday game betting breakdown
By BRYAN POWER

A look from the bettor's perspective of Monday's NFL preseason game.

Pittsburgh at Washington (-1, 38)

Week 2 of the NFL preseason concludes Monday night in the Nation's capital where the RG3-less Redskins host the Pittsburgh Steelers. Obviously, the big story with Washington right now is Griffin's status. The Shanahans aren't even going to let him sniff the field here. And why should they? In fellow second-year QB Kirk Cousins, they have a more than capable backup, one that completed six of seven passes for 52 yards and a touchdown in last week's 22-21 at Tennessee.

The Steelers have some work to do after an ugly performance last week against the Giants. They lost at home 18-13, thanks to a lot of mistakes. They committed seven penalties, had a punt blocked and fumbled a handoff in the end zone, resulting in a safety. The offensive line didn't do a very good job of protecting Ben Roethlisberger while he was in there, and when Big Ben left, the offense didn't do much from there.

Monday's American League betting cheat sheet

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Monday's American League games:

Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles (+112, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Rays left-hander David Price is 6-2 with a 2.60 ERA in 14 career starts against the Orioles, and is 30-13 lifetime after the All-Star break.

Hot batting stat: Orioles 1B Chris Davis is hitting .311 with four home runs and 15 RBIs in 12 games against the Rays this season.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s with a 30 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms. Wind will blow out to left field at 4 mph.

Key betting note: Baltimore has won eight of its last 10 series openers.


Houston Astros at Texas Rangers (-280, 9)

Cold pitching stat: Rangers righty Matt Garza has surrendered 12 earned runs and 23 hits over 20 2/3 innings of work in his three August starts.

Hot batting stat: Rangers 3B Adrian Beltre is hitting .377 with four home runs and 10 RBIs in 13 games against the Astros, and went 3-for-3 versus Lyles in their last meeting.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-90s with sunny skies. Wind will blow in from left field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: Houston is 0-4 in starter Lucas Harrell's last four starts.


Seattle Mariners at Oakland Athletics (-180, 8)

Cold pitching stat: Mariners right-hander Aaron Harang is winless in his last four decisions, charged with 18 runs - including five homers - over 17 innings in that span.

Cold batting stat: Seattle 1B Justin Smoak is hitting .242 with zero homers in 33 at-bats against Oakland this season, and is a .224 batter versus the A's in his career.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-60s with a 20 percent chance of a shower or thunderstorm. Wind will blow out to right field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 5-1 in Harang's last six road starts.


Cleveland Indians at Los Angeles Angels (-135, 7.5)

Cold pitching stat: Angels right-hander Jered Weaver coughed up nine runs on nine hits over five innings in his previous start, his worst performance since a nine-run shellacking last Aug. 17 against Tampa Bay.

Cold batting stat: Indians 2B Jason Kipnis is just 1-for-10 against the Angels on the season, and is homerless in 52 at-bats versus Los Angeles in his career.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to right-center field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 11-1-2 in Weaver's last 14 starts against Cleveland.


Interleague

New York Mets at Minnesota Twins (-115, 8.5)

Hot pitching stat: Mets right-hander Dillon Gee has been on fire of late, surrendering just four runs over his previous three starts - a span of 20 2/3 innings.

Cold batting stat: Twins 2B/SS Brian Dozier is hitting just .213 in 19 games against interleague foes this season, including a 1-for-7 mark against the Mets.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-80s under partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow out to left field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: New York is 9-1 in its last 10 interleague road games against an opponent with a losing record.


** Odds, probable starters and weather forecast as of 10:20 p.m. ET Sunday.

Monday's National League betting cheat sheet

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Monday's National League games:

Colorado Rockies at Philadelphia Phillies (-117, 9)

Cold pitching stat: Phillies right-hander Ethan Martin has surrendered at least one home run in each of his three major-league starts.

Hot batting stat: Rockies 3B Nolan Arenado hit 5-for-12 with four RBIs in a three-game series against Philadelphia back in mid-June.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow out to right field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The Phillies are 3-18 in their last 21 games against a right-handed starter.


Arizona Diamondbacks at Cincinnati Reds (-166, 8.5)

Hot pitching stat: Reds right-hander Bronson Arroyo has allowed just one run on six hits over his past two starts, striking out 14 without walking a batter.

Hot batting stat: Diamondbacks 2B Aaron Hill is enjoying his hottest stretch of the season, recording eight multi-hit efforts over his last 10 games.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-70s under partly cloudy skies. Wind will be calm.

Key betting note: The under is 32-8-5 in the last 45 meetings in Cincinnati.


Los Angeles Dodgers at Miami Marlins (+108, 6.5)

Hot pitching stat: Dodgers left-hander Hyun-Jin Ryu has won each of his last five starts, posting a 2.56 ERA and 28 strikeouts in 31 2/3 innings over that stretch.

Cold batting stat: The Marlins rank last in the majors in runs scored, hits, home runs, batting average, slugging and OPS.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-80s with a 20 percent chance of a shower or thunderstorm. Wind will blow out to left field at 12 mph.

Key betting note: The Dodgers have won each of Ryu's last nine starts against a team with a losing record.


Washington Nationals at Chicago Cubs (+123, 7.5)

Cold pitching stat: Cubs right-hander Jeff Samardzija is 1-2 with a 5.09 ERA in six starts since the All-Star break.

Hot batting stat: Chicago 1B Anthony Rizzo batted 5-for-13 with three RBIs in a three-game series against the Nationals back in mid-May.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-80s with clear skies. Wind will blow out to right-center field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 9-1 in the last 10 meetings in Chicago.


St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers (+126, 8)

Hot pitching stat: Cardinals rookie right-hander Shelby Miller has dominated the Brewers in 2013, allowing one run on eight hits over two starts - both victories.

Hot batting stat: St. Louis 1B Allen Craig is batting .410 with a home run and eight RBIs in 10 games against Milwaukee in 2013.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-70s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to left field at 5 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 5-1 in Brewers' SP Marco Estrada's last six Monday starts.


Pittsburgh Pirates at San Diego Padres (+126, 6.5)

Hot pitching stat: Pirates left-hander Francisco Liriano has allowed one earned run or fewer in seven of his last 10 starts - including a complete-game four-hitter in his previous outing against the St. Louis Cardinals.

Cold batting stat: OF Will Venable leads the club with 26 RBIs at home - the lowest team-leading total in the majors.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-60s with sunny skies. Wind will blow from left to right field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 5-0 in San Diego right-hander Andrew Cashner's last five outings following a quality start in his previous appearance.


Interleague

Boston Red Sox at San Francisco Giants (+111, 7)

Cold pitching stat: Red Sox left-hander Jon Lester is 6-7 with a 4.72 ERA in 16 starts away from Fenway Park.

Cold batting stat: Giants SS Brandon Crawford is hitting just .202 with one home run in 124 at-bats against left-handed pitching in 2013.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-60s with a 20 percent chance of a shower or thunderstorm. Wind will blow out to right field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: San Francisco is 4-17 in right-hander Tim Lincecum's last 21 series-opening starts.


** Odds, stats, probable starters and weather forecast as of 10:23 p.m. ET Sunday.

MLB Top 3: Monday starters who excel at night

With all of Monday's action taking place under the lights, the focus is on starters who turn it up when the sun goes down.

Here is a look at three pitchers to consider if you're looking for strong evening performances:

Jose Fernandez, Miami Marlins (8-5, 2.45 ERA)

Considered by many to be the top National League rookie of the year candidate, Fernandez has been most dominant in the evening. The 21-year-old is 6-1 with a 1.97 ERA and 91 strikeouts in 87 night innings, compared to a 2-4, 3.25 mark during the day.

The Marlins host the Los Angeles Dodgers for a four-game series beginning Monday.

Chris Tillman, Baltimore Orioles (14-3, 3.70 ERA)

As his record may suggest, Tillman has been strong no matter what time of day he takes the hill. His night starts, however, have been especially impressive: he's 11-1 with a 3.47 ERA in the evening, while posting a 3-2 record with a 4.46 ERA in the afternoon.

The Orioles entertain the AL East-rival Tampa Bay Rays for a three-game set starting Monday.

Jordan Zimmermann, Washington Nationals (14-6, 3.02 ERA)

Zimmermann's performances have been night and day (pardon the pun), depending on what time it is. The 27-year-old is 12-2 with a 2.59 night ERA, and just 2-4 with a pedestrian 4.28 ERA in afternoon starts.

The Nationals visit the Chicago Cubs for a four-game series opening Monday.

Texas hot, San Diego not, after MLB suspensions

It's been a couple of weeks since the biogenesis suspensions were handed out and with the list of suspended players featuring only a few "everyday" players, we thought we'd take a look to see how those teams have performed post suspensions.

We'll look at how the Texas Rangers, Detroit Tigers and San Diego Padres have fared without Nelson Cruz, Jhonny Peralta and Everth Cabrera respectively.

Texas Rangers (9-3)

The Rangers have been hot without Cruz in the lineup and rattled off seven-straight victories in their first seven games after he accepted the suspension. They've added RF Alex Rios to the lineup and he's hitting .310 since joining the club.

Any $100 bettor would be up $288.60 if they had wagered the Rangers in each of the 12 ball games.

Detroit Tigers (9-6)

Peralta was batting .305 with 11 homers and 54 RBIs prior to accepting the terms of the suspension and has been replaced by Jose Iglesias, who gives the Tigers a much better defensive option. Heading into Sunday's ball game, the Tigers were 8-6 since the Peralta suspension but the Tigers still had the AL Central lead by six games over the Cleveland Indians.

Any $100 bettor would be up $33.07 if they had wagered Detroit in each of its previous 15 games.

San Diego Padres (4-8)

The Padres have continued their downward spiral in life post-Everth Cabrera. The Friars were 52-60 before he was suspended and are 3-8 without the shortstop. Ronny Cedeno has filled in at SS but is hitting just .200 in eight games since coming over from the Houston Astros.

The poor performance makes the Pads decent fade material, however. Any $100 bettor would be up $269.74 if they had wagered Padres' opposition in each of their previous 12 ball games.

Northcoast

Steelers -1

Dave Essler Monday MLB Thoughts

Colorado-Philadelphia: Break up the Phillies. Ethan Martin and his 1.81 WHIP in three games in the bigs is a favorite. Over Jeff Manship and his 1.70 WHIP in two games. I suppose one might conclude that this goes over, but that's a ton of runs in an NL game where neither team has seen the opposing pitcher, and the Phillies are DFL in hitting this week, sitting at .183. I suppose it's the Sanberg factor. The Rockies did use some bullpen in Baltimore, but not the better arms. Lean under here.

Arizona-Reds: I can never trust Arroyo, and honestly much of his recent success has come against bad teams. The D-backs do hit him pretty well, and then there's the flyball pitcher Delgado, who after the lengthy affair in Pittsburgh has little or no bullpen behind him, so I can't take Arizona, as much as I'd like to. Do think if the Reds bring some of their sticks home they win and score plenty.

Dodgers-Miami: Break up the Fish. A great win for them (and us) and now the Dodgers are only -125 at Miami. Well, then. That's a lot of respect for Miami and Fernandez, who also has very little bullpen behind him, either. I suppose with that number begging people to take the Dodgers that it's either a gift or yet another disaster. That total at only 6.5 implies that a 3-3 game is a winner, and I happen to think it is. The Fish actually hit LHP (see Bumgarner) reasonably well.

Washington-Chicago: I said I wouldn't back Samardzija at home again this season, but I could change my mind. After the series in Atlanta and with little to play for, one might think this is a bad spot for the Nationals. Zimmerman has thrown a lot of pitches, and really hasn't beaten a good (not that the Cubs are good) lately, so I could actually see this one not being a pitchers' duel, and perhaps leaning Chicago.

Cardinals-Brewers: Gallardo was simply destroyed as was the Brewer bullpen on Sunday, while St. Louis did what they had to in order to beat the Cubs. Estrada has pitched well since coming back, and because Gomez has been out, Lucroy and Ramirez rested yesterday, I wouldn't chalk this up to a Cardinals win just yet. They have certainly not been hitting well enough for me to take as a road favorite. Miller threw a ton of pitches last outing, and for sure with a potential elbow issue may look at the (gulp) Brewers here.

Pirates-Padres: Casher is obviously the Padres best hope, the Pirates play a million innings and send a LHP against the Padres. Padres or nothing for me.

Baltimore-Tampa Bay: Huge series for the Orioles if they want to stay in a race, and huge series for the Rays if the want to pretty much eliminate Baltimore. That's a fair bit of respect for Price on the road, but the Orioles do struggle a bit against LHP as it negates (to some extent) Markakis and Davis. Let's not forget that Tillman is 14-3 with a reasonable WHIP and has only really been shelled once. With that in mind and the Rays bullpen working late, I am inclined to take the Orioles, perhaps at least the RL, but it won't be cheap.

Seattle-Oakland: Harang comes off a tough loss in Tampa, but the stat that kills me there is 3 ground ball outs to 14 flyball outs in that game. What really concerns me about taking Seattle is the travel. They played in Florida, the several games in the heat in Arlington, so they've got to be a little tired, one would think. That and the A's have more or less had their way with him. Although Parker has been a freak, it's been against Houston twice, and interestingly enough those were his two last losses. With that in mind, and I know he's owned the Mariners, I could make a case at that number for the Seattle RL, especially in a big park that might keep the score down.

Boston-San Francisco: One would have to think the Giants AND Boston are tired. Boston playing late and getting into SF in the wee hours of the morning, and the Giants flying back from South Florida and series' at Washington and Baltimore. Giants typically hit LHP better, and Posey rested Sunday. Truly never know what you're going to get with either pitcher, and I suppose if Scutaro plays, I'd have to lean Giants since Boston also loses the DH.

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Dodgers on Sunday and likes the Mets on Monday.

The deficit is 1564 sirignanos.

Joe Wiz

Bonus Play Monday Seattle/Oakland Under 9

GC: MLB System Play

Monday card has a Big MLB 5* from 100% Blowout System that wins by 4 runs per game. There is also a 90% Monday night NFLX System and a 90% MLB Totals system. Sunday Sweeps MLB + NFL. MLB Road warrior Play below.

On Monday the MLB road warrior Play is on the Washington Nationals. Game 907 at 8:05 eastern. Washington is 8-0 this season as a road favorite off a road dog loss and they fit one of our league Wide Power systems that has won 21 of 29 times and plays on road favorites that are off a road dog loss and scored 4 or less runs and are taking on an opponent like the Cubs that are off a home dog loss and scored 4 or less runs. The Cubs are 4-12 this month and are scoring just 2.6 runs on .206 hitting the past week. The Nationals have won 25 of 34 long term as a road favorite in this range and have a pitching advantage with J. Zimmerman whi has a 3.39 road era and 1.59 era in his last 3 starts, over Cubs starter J. Samardzija who has struggled going 4-9 at home and has a 9.39 era in his last 3 starts. Look for the Nationals to win the opener. Big card on Monday as we come off the Sunday sweep. 90% NFL Play + 5* MLB Blowout system and a 90% totals Play. Start the week big. Jump on and bang your book. For the Bonus Play take Washington. GC

Chicago Syndicate Top Plays

Nationals
Cardinals
Pirates

LA Syndicate Top Plays

Pirates
Rangers/Astros Over 8.5
Angels
Giants

[h=1]Today's MLB Picks[/h] [h=2]Tampa Bay at Baltimore[/h] The Rays look to follow up yesterday's 2-1 win over Toronto and build on their 9-3 record in their last 12 games after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Tampa Bay is the pick (-130) according to Dunkel, which has the Rays favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-130). Here are all of today's picks.

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