Service Plays Saturday 8/24/13

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[h=1]Today's NFL Picks[/h] [h=2]St. Louis at Denver[/h] The Broncos look to bounce back from last week's 40-10 loss to Seattle as they host the Rams on Saturday. Denver is the pick (-6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the game Broncos favored by 11. Dunkel Pick: Denver (-6 1/2). Here are all of this week's picks.
SATURDAY, AUGUST 24
Time Posted: 7:00 p.m. EST (8/21)
Game 259-260: Buffalo at Washington (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 119.436; Washington 120.478
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 46
Vegas Line: Washington by 3; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+3); Over
Game 261-262: NY Jets at NY Giants (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 113.701; NY Giants 125.882
Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 12; 35
Vegas Line: NY Giants by 2; 38 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (-2); Under
Game 263-264: Cleveland at Indianapolis (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 117.326; Indianapolis 121.777
Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 4 1/2; 38
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 2 1/2; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indianapolis (-2 1/2); Under
Game 265-266: Tampa Bay at Miami (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 121.138; Miami 117.741
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 3 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Miami by 3; 40
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+3); Over
Game 267-268: Kansas City at Pittsburgh (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City 117.075; Pittsburgh 117.177
Dunkel Line: Even; 44
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 2 1/2; 40
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+2 1/2);
Game 269-270: Philadelphia at Jacksonville (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 122.435; Jacksonville 121.703
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 39
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 3 1/2; 43
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville (+3 1/2); Under
Game 271-272: Atlanta at Tennessee (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 117.485; Tennessee 118.322
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 1; 45
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 3; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+3); Over
Game 273-274: St. Louis at Denver (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 114.665; Denver 125.470
Dunkel Line: Denver by 11; 40
Vegas Line: Denver by 6 1/2; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-6 1/2); Under
Game 275-276: Cincinnati at Dallas (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 124.555; Dallas 121.561
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 3; 47
Vegas Line: Dallas by 2 1/2; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+2 1/2); Over
Game 277-278: San Diego at Arizona (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 117.509; Arizona 126.452
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 9; 37
Vegas Line: Arizona by 4; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-4); Under
 
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[h=1]Today's CFL Picks[/h] [h=2]Winnipeg at Hamilton[/h] The Blue Bombers look to build on their 5-1 ATS record in their last 6 road games. Winnipeg is the pick (+10) according to Dunkel, which has the Tiger-Cats favored by only 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+10). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.
SATURDAY, AUGUST 24
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST (8/21)
Game 295-296: Winnipeg at Hamilton (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 106.242; Hamilton 108.902
Dunkel Line: Hamilton by 2 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Hamilton by 10; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+10); Over
Game 297-298: Saskatchewan at Edmonton (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Saskatchewan 114.875; Edmonton 112.831
Dunkel Line: Saskatchewan by 2; 51
Vegas Line: Saskatchewan by 4; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+4); Under
 
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Best over/under bets of NFL preseason Week 3

If you’re tackling totals this NFL preseason this week, take a look at which teams lean towards the over or the under during Week 3 of the exhibition schedule.

Records as of 1995.

Best NFL preseason Week 3 over bets

Denver Broncos (10-7 SU, 12-5 O/U in Week 3)

The Broncos are 1-1 O/U thus far in the 2013 preseason after being defeated by the Seattle Seahawks 40-10 in Week 2. In the two combined games, Denver has managed just 20 points with quarterback Brock Osweiler getting the bulk of snaps on offense. The Broncos host the St. Louis Rams in their Week 3 game and it will be the first home game of the preseason. Both home games went over the total in their 2012 preseason.

Indianapolis Colts (7-9 SU, 11-5 O/U in Week 3)

The Colts were one of the top under plays in the 2012 regular season (6-10 O/U) but have trended over the total in Week 3 of the preseason since '95. Indy was throttled in its preseason opener 44-20 drawing the ire of team owner Jim Irsay. They bounced back in fine fashion, defeating the New York Giants 20-12 in Week 2 behind a pair of TD tosses by Andrew Luck.The Colts have played over the total in three consecutive Week 3 preseason games. Indy will host the Cleveland Browns in Week 3.

Best NFL preseason Week 3 under bets

New York Giants (2-15 SU, 4-13 O/U in Week 3)

The G-Men are already 0-2 O/U to start the 2013 preseason, with their Week 2 matchup against the Colts playing under the 41 point total Sunday night. The Giants have played under the total in three straight Week 3 preseason games.

New York Jets (13-4 SU, 4-13 O/U in Week 3)

The Jets are coming off a massive Week 2 37-13 blowout of the hapless Jacksonville Jaguars. The big offensive production pushed their O/U record to 2-0 in their two preseason games. Mark Sanchez played the majority of the game and the rushing attack - spearheaded by Bilal Powell - looked effective against the Jags.

The Jets and Giants meetup in Week 3.

The two clubs traditionally square off in the preseason and have played under the total in eight of the last 10 and two straight heading into their 2013 matchup.
 
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CFL

Week 9

Winnipeg (1-6) @ Hamilton (3-4)—TiCats (-3.5) won 37-18 in Winnipeg last week, outgaining hosts 456-321; Bombers then fired OC Crowton after game, week after they canned their GM. New guy calling plays makes this harder game to call; road team is 7-0 vs spread in Winnipeg games this year. Bombers are 3-0 as road dogs, losing by 5-7 points and winning SU at Montreal. Hamilton is 0-3 vs spread in its temporary home this year; they beat Winnipeg 25-20 (-5.5) here in Week 3, its only win in three games at Guelph- they’ve won last three series games vs Bombers, by 10-5-19 points- five of last seven series games stayed under total. Winnipeg allowed average of 32.2 ppg last five weeks, with three of their last four Winnipeg games going over total. Hamilton is 3-1 when it scores 25+ points, 0-3 when it doesn’t.

Saskatchewan (6-1) @ Edmonton (1-6)—Roughriders (-2.5) snapped 6-game skid on this field with 39-18 win Opening Day, just their third win in last ten series games. After scoring 36.6 ppg in 5-0 pre-bye start, Riders split last two games, scoring 27-24 points, narrowly surviving Alouettes last week in game Calvillo left early (concussion). Saskatchewan is 3-1 on road, winning by 21-11-17 points, losing at Calgary. Eskimos passed for 511 yards last week, still lost 36-33 at Toronto (+9), its fifth straight loss; Argos were 31-36/458 passing, a ridiculous 12.7 yards/attempt. Edmonton is 0-3 at home, allowing 28.7 ppg in losses by 1-14-21 points. Last week was first time this year Roughriders ran ball for less than 145 yards (93). Six of last nine series games went over total, as have six of seven Edmonton games and three of four Roughrider road games.
 
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English Breakfast: Premier League betting cheat sheet

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Saturday's action in the Barclay's Premier League.

We talked to Aron Black at Bet365 to get some input about the betting action for a few of Saturday's matches.

Fulham v Arsenal (+300, +250, +105)

Why bet Fulham: The Cottagers got their season off to a great start by defeating Sunderland 1-0 last weekend and a win in their debut at Craven Cottage would have Fulham supporters on top of the world. Arsenal could be ripe for the picking following a disheartening 3-1 loss versus Aston Villa. If Fulham is to get a positive result from this fixture, they'll have to do it without No. 1 keeper Maarten Stekelenburg who is out with a shoulder injury. David Stockdale will replace the big Dutch keeper.

Key players out/doubtful: Maarten Stekelenburg, Kieran Richardson, Fernando Amorebieta, Alexander Kacaniklic

Why bet Arsenal: Arsenal attempted to erase the memories of its humiliating 3-1 home defeat to Villa a week ago with a great performance versus Fenerbache in Champions League Qualifying midweek. The Gunners looked much better winning comfortably by a score of 3-0. The back four will be thin with Laurent Koscielny out with suspension following his red card versus Villa.

Key players out/doubtful: Laurent Koscielny, Thomas Vermaelen, Vassiriki Abou Diaby, Mikel Arteta, Yaya Sanogo, Ryo Miyaichi, Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain

2012-13 fixture result: Fulham 0, Arsenal 1

Key betting note: The Cottagers closed the 2012-13 season with four straight home losses.

Where the action is: "Given their first week performance, Arsenal was not seeing near the action we would expect on them, or what we would expect at their price as a road fav. Following the midweek performance, the punters are finding Arsenal a little more fashionable, but still not to the degree that would have been expected. Injuries still an issue, but they did get some players back for the Fenerbache match, however the quick turnaround and rather long travel may come back to haunt them on Saturday."


Everton v West Brom (-175, +320, +550)

Why bet Everton: After a season opening 2-2 draw away to Norwich, Everton will be keen to play its first home match in front of the Goodison Park faithful. The Toffees were the third best home team in 2012-13, behind only Manchester United and Manchester City, boasting a record of 12 wins, six draws, and just one defeat. There has been a lot of transfer rumblings in the blue half of Liverpool, with United looking at a double swoop for highly rated LB Leighton Baines and MF Marouane Fellaini, but they are still Toffees, for the time being at least.

Key players out/doubtful: Antolin Alcaraz, Magaye Gueye, Sylvain Distin, Darron Gibson, Tony Hibbert

Why bet West Brom: The Baggies were unlucky to come out of the match against Southampton with zero points after a 90' penalty gave Southampton the full points in heartbreaking fashion. With striker Nicolas Anelka excused from the team for personal reasons, Matej Vydra should get the start up front.

Key players out/doubtful: Zoltán Gera, George Thorne, Nicolas Anelka, Steven Reid

2012-13 fixture result: Everton 2, West Brom 1

Key betting note: These two clubs have met 14 times in the Barclay's Premier League. Only one match has resulted in a draw.


Hull v Norwich (+145, +240, +210)

Why bet Hull: Hull can take a silver lining from the fact that Chelsea jumped out to a quick 2-0 lead last Sunday, but didn't concede again. It will be a tall order for Hull to survive the campaign, but a victory over Norwich would do wonders for confidence. Norwich only managed 13 points away from home in 2012-13 and were the third-worst performers on the road.

Key players out/doubtful: Stephen Quinn, Abdoulaye Faye

Why bet Norwich: The Canaries will be a bit disappointed they only mustered the one point at home against Everton in the opening match to their season. They can find solace with the fact that record signing Ricky van Wolfswinkel netted a goal in his debut and the side should be bolstered by the return of Leroy Fer and Sébastien Bassong.

Key players out/doubtful: Gary Hooper, Elliott Bennett

2012-13 fixture result: N/A

Key betting note: The Canaries have gone over the 2.5 goal total in seven of their previous eight matches in the Premier League.


Newcastle v West Ham (+130, +240, +240)

Why bet Newcastle: Things really couldn't be worse for Newcastle United. They were throttled by Man City in their season opener. CB Steven Taylor will miss the game after he picked up a red card versus City. Midfielder Yohan Cabaye will likely miss out with a few clubs showing interest in the French international. A win would do wonders for gaffer Alan Padrew and the club, but at this stage, it's a tall ask for the troubled Tyneside club.

Key players out/doubtful: Jonás Gutiérrez, Loïc Remy, Massadio Haidara, Ryan Taylor, Steven Taylor, Yohan Cabaye

Why bet West Ham: It looks as if boss Sam Allardyce will leave the starting XI that defeated Cardiff in tact for this one. The Hammers got off to a dream start at home, defeating the newly-promoted Cardiff side 2-0 on goals from Joe Cole and Kevin Nolan. Fun stat o' the day: The Hammers were the only club to keep Newcastle off the scoreboard in both the home and away fixture in 2012-13.

Key players out/doubtful: Andy Carroll, Razvan Rat, Stewart Downing

2012-13 fixture result: Newcastle 0, West ham 1

Key betting note: Dating back to include the final two matches last season, Newcastle has lost three matches in a row. The Magpies have never lost four straight in the Premier League.

Where the action is: "The draw is the most popular bet so far for this fixture, with the visitors seeing some solid support at the price.
Newcastle will be without Steven Taylor, and possibly Yohan Cabaye after recent bid from Arsenal and speculation that PSG are in the frame to outbid them."


Southampton v Sunderland (-138, +280, +450)

Why bet Southampton: The Saints have quietly put together a very competitive squad. Earlier in the week, the Saints bolstered their attack with the addition of Pablo Daniel Osvaldo from Roma. The club has already gotten three points in the bank following Ricky Lambert's late penalty against West Brom and will look to keep their winning ways in front of the home crowd at St. Mary's.

Key players out/doubtful: Nathaniel Clyne

Why bet Sunderland: Sunderland has added many pieces to the side, but they have yet to gel as was evidence in their 1-0 loss to Fulham last week. The side will look to improved performances from newcomers like Jozy Altidore and Emanuele Giaccherini, but they will need great performances from the entire XI if they want to leave St. Mary's with any points.

Key players out/doubtful: Wes Brown, Phillip Bardsley, Modibo Diakité, Lee Cattermole, Steven Fletcher

2012-13 fixture result: Southampton 0, Sunderland 1

Key betting note: Sunderland have lost six of the previous seven Premier League away matches.


Stoke v Crystal Palace (-118, +250, +400)

Why bet Stoke: An Herculean effort from keeper Asmir Begovic wasn't enough to record any points against Liverpool in last week's fixture. Begovic tallied 10 saves, some sensational, but Stoke just couldn't find the back of the net. An issue which very well may plague the side throughout the course of the season. Again. The Potters only managed 34 goals last season. Only relegated QPR had fewer goals.

Key players out/doubtful: Brek Shea, Wilson Palacios

Why bet Crystal Palace: Palace lost their opener 1-0 at home to Tottenham, but the newly promoted side threatened to score after manager Ian Holloway brought on attackers in the second half. One of those subs, striker Marouane Chamakh, played well enough that he may feature in the starting XI.

Key players out/doubtful: Glenn Murray, Jerome Thomas, Yannick Bolasie, Jonathan Parr

2012-13 fixture result: N/A

Key betting note: Stoke have tallied just three goals in the previous six home matches in the Premier League.


Aston Villa v Liverpool (+300, +275, -105)

Why bet Aston Villa: The Villains, already having beaten Arsenal, were in it to win midweek away to Chelsea. They squandered the lead early via an own goal, but pulled even through, who else, Christian Benteke. Chelsea took the three points, however, after Branislav Ivanovic's 72' goal. The Villains have opened the season against top-level talent, and performed well. It doesn't get any easier with Liverpool coming to Villa Park Saturday.

Key players out/doubtful: Charles N'Zogbia

Why bet Liverpool: Even without Luis Suarez (who now has five games to serve in his suspension), Liverpool looked threatening going forward in their opener versus Stoke. Star-in-the-making Philippe Coutinho was brilliant with the ball at his feet, constantly looking for the killer pass into the box. But really, the star of the show was new keeper Simon Mignolet who made one spectacular save after another en route to the clean sheet versus the Potters.

Key players out/doubtful: Sebastián Coates, Luis Suárez, Martin Skrtel

2012-13 fixture result: Aston Villa 1, Liverpool 2

Key betting note: Liverpool have conceded just five goals in their previous 14 Premier League matches at Villa Park.

Where the action is: "This one has the most balanced action on all outcomes. The main thing for those looking to back the Villans, is that they will be playing their 3rd game in a week come Saturday, and with such a young team, it may be some tired legs that betrays them later in this game. While Suarez still remains unavailable, its going to be tough to ensure they finish the chances being created, but Sturridge and Coutinho showed late last season that they could do the business without Suarez, and it wont be a shock if they do so again on Saturday."
 
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Dave Essler's Satruday NFL/MLB Thoughts

Arizona-Philadelphia: Martin HAS settled down since his first game, but he's allowed a home run in all four of his starts so far. I wanted (and still might) back him, because Delgado simply isn't very good. He's a flyball pitcher (Martin has been too, so I lean over, weather depending) who's only two good outings came against San Diego and San Francisco, and the Phillies saw some of him when he was with the Braves. With that in mind, I think the wrong team is favored. Granted the D-backs have the better bats, but I can't get behind Randall.

Brewers-Reds: As we add the Brewers to the list of teams that are done, Gomez comes back but Aoki is dinged. Tough to even consider backing Peralta after the beating the Reds gave him in Milwaukee last outing. I suppose one could make the usual argument that he makes some adjustments, but not enough to bet on. Total comes out 8.5 shaded to the under, so IMO they're expecting about a 7-1 Reds win, and so am I.

Miami-Colorado: OK, who has a futures bet that the Fish would be a -200 favorite this season. I do not. The way they (Miami) play defense, there is simply no chance of even me taking the RL here, especially in a game w/a total of 7 runs projected. So, Manship has been beaten up, but this IS Miami and this IS the Rockies who CAN score. Most likely more fun to pass, but Fernandez has thrown a lot of pitches, so over is not out of the realm of possibility.

Atlanta-Cardinals: Finally, a game that actually matters to both teams. Teheran always scares me, but gets away with it in the big park known as Turner Field. And, he two-hit the Cardinals at home last month, so I'd be inclined to go the other way and take Miller. But, I don't like that he's thrown a lot of pitches lately. Still have to probably go Cardinals at home, which if it weren't "the Braves" would probably be more than -135. Slight lean to the under.

Cubs-Padres: Always looking to back Samrdzija on the road, where he's held batters to a .222 BAA as opposed to .273 at home. He's done well against the Padres, and it IS perhaps the Padres best pitcher in Stults. But, realistically, the best play here is probably the under.

Pirates-Giants: Without further adieu I tried to back Lincecum against Boston and tried to fade Liriano against the Padres and thought about it against the Cardinals. I won't do that again, so he'll pitch like he did against Colorado and lose. Won't matter, because one team needs to win and one doesn't, so Pirates or pass.

Oakland-Baltimore: If I fade the Orioles at home it's almost always against a LHP since it does take something away from Davis and Markakis, and turns Weiters around. However, Milone's been quite hittable on the road, away from one of the biggest parks in baseball. But, Tillman has thrown a ton of pitches, something like eight straight games of 100+ pitches, and he's given up 20 (correct) jacks in home games this season. That would make me inclined to take the over, and the team with the better bullpen after Friday.

Minnesota-Cleveland: Tough to even care. Cleveland at what's probably a big price or nothing. Which means nothing.

Yankees-Rays: A game that matters. Price is -170 against the Yankees for a reason, and the reason is Sabathia, IMO. There's nobody in the Yankees lineup with any real reason to go off here, based on matchup history, and the Rays seem to have their bullpen issues of a month ago worked out. Myers resting tonight, which he needs. Rays win 64% of their home games and are well above .500 against LHP's. There's no reason to think the Rays won't do to CC what they did a month ago. However, there's always Fridays' game to consider, which is yet to be played.

Toronto-Houston: I do think that "undecided" guy for the Jays is probably better than that Peacock guy for the Astros. However, it doesn't really matter. Always look at overs in this park.

Texas-Chicago: I can't see laying -200 on the road with anyone, really, and certainly not Darvish. Not that he doesn't suck, but when he's off he's really off, and when Santiago is on, he can be solid. White Sox pen pitching well and a small total, by process of elimination, I would consider the White Sox RL.

Angels-Mariners: There is no chance whatsoever of backing Vargas, even as a LHP against the Mariners. I've seen every pitch since he's come back, and he has nothing. There is very little likelihood that I could back Ramirez, either, but it would be the easier bet to make, as would the over if the roof was open.

Detroit-Mets: Ha. This game would certainly inspire Harvey, I would think. And then there's Max and his 0.90 season long WHIP. Because of Harvey, that's really a pretty cheap price on the Tigers, even on the road. And, since the Tiger don't get the DH, which either takes Victor out of the equation, or puts him behind the plate, meaning if the Mets DO get baserunners they can walk to second, so I might consider the Mets, actually.

Boston-Dodgers: Without overthinking the fact that Boston simply hammers lefties and Lester has been great, I'd have to lean Boston. Ryu isn't dominant, but what I really want to see is Adrian against Lester. Somehow, because both of these pitchers can have really bad days, I might look at the over, which might happen late once bullpens become involved, of not before.

Washington-Kansas City: Far too much love for Zimmerman here, and total disrespect for Davis. I will probably take the Royals unless something happens between now and then or bullpens get abused. Haven't checked weather, but Nationals if Desmond is healthy and are allowed to use a DH (they are) so perhaps the over, but eight is much better than 8.5.
 
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CFL Saturday: What bettors need to know

Winnipeg Blue Bombers at Hamilton Tiger-Cats (-10.5, 51.5)

Quarterback Henry Burris and the Hamilton Tiger-Cats looked firmly in control last week when they won their second straight game and second of four contests against the Winnipeg Blue Bombers. The Tiger-Cats will try to defeat Winnipeg for a third time when they host the Blue Bombers on Saturday. Burris, who leads the league with 2,136 passing yards, welcomed wide receiver Andy Fantuz back from injury with four passes for 29 yards in the 37-18 victory over Winnipeg, while Hamilton also recorded its second straight game with more than 100 rushing yards.

The CFL debut of quarterback Max Hall did not turn around the Blue Bombers, who fired offensive coordinator Gary Crowton following their fifth straight loss. Hall threw for 241 yards and found chemistry with slotback Terrence Edwards (eight completions, 172 yards), but Winnipeg still trails the league in points for (153) and against (210). Hall will be under center again Saturday, this time with Marcel Bellefeuille calling plays as the Blue Bombers search for answers in what is quickly becoming a lost season.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, TSN

ABOUT THE BLUE BOMBERS (1-6): Defensive end Alex Hall recorded his league-leading ninth sack last week, matching his total from 2012. Winnipeg’s defensive line has accounted for the majority of the team’s league-leading 27 sacks, but its secondary allows 298.6 passing yards per game - more than any team other than the Toronto Argonauts. Edwards leads the Blue Bombers with 290 receiving yards, but only six receivers have more than 100.

ABOUT THE TIGER-CATS (3-4): Rookie running back C.J. Gable recorded 147 yards from scrimmage last week and has established himself as Burris’ main option on the ground. Wide receivers Greg Ellingson and Bakari Grant have each recorded more than 400 receiving yards, while Samuel Giguere has 394 and Fantuz had 155 in Week 1 before getting injured. Defensive back Raymond Brown caught Hamilton’s first interception of the season in the third quarter against Winnipeg, while Rico Murray had a sack, an interception and a forced fumble in the contest.

TRENDS:

* Blue Bombers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
* Tiger-Cats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
* Under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Hamilton.
* Under is 4-1 in Blue Bombers last 5 Saturday games.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Burris has thrown for more than 300 yards in four of seven starts.

2. If the Blue Bombers lose their sixth straight game, it will be their longest losing streak since they dropped seven in a row in 1999.

3. The four-game season series between Hamilton and Winnipeg concludes in Winnipeg on the final week of the regular season.


Saskatchewan Roughriders at Edmonton Eskimos (+3.5, 53)

The Edmonton Eskimos keep seeing their fourth-quarter comeback attempts fall short, while the Saskatchewan Roughriders needed 10 points in the final 62 seconds to get back in the win column last week. The Eskimos hope the luck will even out when they host the Roughriders on Saturday looking to snap a five-game losing skid. The Eskimos have dropped their last three contests by a combined nine points and managed to score a season-high 33 against the Toronto Argonauts last week on the strength of quarterback Mike Reilly’s first 500-yard game, but have not won since Week 2.

Fortune smiled on Saskatchewan last week in the form of a 65-yard touchdown pass from quarterback Darian Durant to wide receiver Taj Smith, which tied the game and set the stage for Chris Milo’s game-winning field goal, but the Roughriders have not looked as dominant over the last two games as they did in their first five. Saskatchewan running back Kory Sheets, who has a league-leading 919 rushing yards, was limited to 74 last week. Perhaps a visit to the site of their 39-18 Week 1 victory will help the Roughriders regain their early season form.

TV: 4 p.m. ET, TSN

ABOUT THE ROUGHRIDERS (6-1): Wide receiver Rob Bagg, who missed the entire 2011 season due to injuries, left last week’s game in the second quarter with a knee injury and is considered day-to-day. Slotback Geroy Simon caught the 1,000th pass of his career last week and the CFL all-time receiving yards leader has 208 with Saskatchewan. Linebacker Renauld Williams is leading the defense with six sacks and also has an interception and 28 tackles. Kick returner Jock Sanders dropped a punt and a kickoff return last week, leading to two turnovers.

ABOUT THE ESKIMOS (1-6): Wide receiver Nate Coehoorn, who is on pace for a career-best season with 362 receiving yards, signed a contract extension through 2015. Slotback Fred Stamps leads the league with 573 receiving yards and wide receiver Car Koch has 360, giving Reilly plenty of options as he gets comfortable as a starter. The Eskimos are missing linebacker JC Sherritt and cornerback Aaron Grymes on defense, but defensive end Odell Willis stepped up in their absence last week, recording two sacks and forcing two fumbles.

TRENDS:

* Roughriders are 0-9 ATS in their last 9 games in August.
* Eskimos are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.
* Under is 14-5 in the last 19 meetings in Edmonton.
* Under is 4-0 in Roughriders last 4 games in Week 9.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Willis, who has five sacks with the Eskimos, had six last year as a member of the Roughriders.

2. Smith, who has four touchdowns, has caught passes of 61, 70, and 65 yards for his last three.

3. Edmonton is 0-3 against West Division opponents and 0-3 at home.
 

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NFL Preseason Plays for Saturday's Action

Consensusfreepicks

Washington -2.5
Cleveland +3
Giants -2
Steelers -2.5
Dolphins -3
Eagles -3
Rams +7
Bengals +2.5
Falcons +3
Cardinals -4

Good Luck!
 
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NFL preseason primer: Saturday game betting breakdown
By BRYAN POWER

Here's a quick look at what to expect in Saturday's NFL preseason tilts.

Buffalo at Washington (-1, 42.5)

Injuries at the quarterback position are the story here for this late Saturday afternoon start time. Both the Bills and Redskins are 2-0 SU/ATS in the preseason, but the respective moods surrounding both teams are a bit darker than you’d think. In Buffalo, EJ Manuel appeared to be well on his way to winning the starting QB job in his rookie season. But after completing 26 of 33 passes for 200+ yards in two games, swelling was discovered in his left knee & he’s been lost for the remainder of the preseason. This leaves Kevin Kolb to start here. After injuring himself by slipping on a wet practice mat and missing the opener, Kolb didn’t look too good last week, throwing an INT and completing only 13 of 21 passes.

The Robert Griffin III saga has grabbed all the headlines in the Nation’s capital during training camp. Though he reportedly took reps against the starting defense in practice, RG3 has still not been cleared for the regular season opener against Philadelphia on September 9th (Monday night game). This is problematic because backup Kirk Cousins sprained his knee in Monday’s 24-13 win over Pittsburgh. Rex Grossman is the only other QB currently on the roster. The short week certainly is no help to Washington here.

NY Jets at NY Giants (-2.5, 38)

This annual clash is always one of the “most anticipated” games of the preseason, if for no other reason that it’s New York vs. New York. Because they’ve really never accomplished anything since Super Bowl III, the game was always taken more seriously by the Jets, who hold a 14-5 ATS edge since 1993. However, the Giants dominated last year’s game, winning 26-3. That was actually the second and not the third preseason game for both teams though.

After losing their opener to the Lions, the Jets won last week against the Jaguars 37-13, but that score is somewhat misleading as they outscored Jacksonville 27-0 after halftime. Rookie Geno Smith will get the start at QB this week over Mark Sanchez and this is his moment to try and earn the starting gig. Sanchez has been his usual uneven self this preseason, looking good at times and then turning the ball over like always. Smith did not play last week after injuring his ankle in the first game.

Cleveland at Indianapolis (-2.5, 42.5)

The Browns are 2-0 and have surprisingly looked pretty good for first year head coach Rob Chudzinski. They have beaten both St. Louis and Detroit at home, and the most promising bit of news has been the play of second year QB Brandon Weeden, who has gone a combined 18 of 25 for 229 yards and three touchdowns. To no one’s shock, he was officially named the team’s starter for the regular season, mid-week. In both games the Browns have led 17-0. Running back Trent Richardson saw game action for the first time last week. Unfortunately, several Cleveland players suffered serious injuries last week, including Richardson’s backup (Dion Lewis) as well as 1st round draft choice Barkevious Mingo.

The Colts responded nicely from a 44-20 drubbing at the hands of Buffalo in their opener to defeat the Giants on the road last week, 20-12. The defense (obviously) played much better, recording six sacks. QB Andrew Luck threw a pair of touchdown passes. Putting Indianapolis at somewhat of a disadvantage here is the fact they will have had two less days to prepare.

Tampa Bay at Miami (-3, 40)

During the week, we all learned how Hall of Famer Fran Tarkenton felt about Bucs QB Josh Freeman. Still though, it is widely presumed that he will win the starting job over rookie Mike Glennon out of North Carolina State. Tampa Bay is 0-2 this preseason and last week’s final score vs. New England was somewhat misleading as the team trailed 25-10 going into the fourth quarter. The week previous they were dismantled at home by Baltimore 44-16.

Miami is playing its fourth preseason game, but its first at home. After opening the NFL season with an outright loss to the Cowboys in the Hall of Fame Game, they have split a pair of road games, first winning at Jacksonville 27-3 and then losing last week at Houston 24-17. The worst news of all has been the loss of tight end Dustin Keller for the year on a much debated shot to the knee. On a positive note, second year QB Ryan Tannehill and newly acquired WR Mike Wallace connected on three passes for 58 yards last week.

Kansas City at Pittsburgh (-3, 40)

Both of these teams are 0-2 so far and have scored 13 points in each of their games. Thus, it hasn’t been pretty for either of these playoff hopefuls. The short week does the Steelers no favors here, though they will at least get to play at home. Rookie running back Le’Veon Bell won’t play for the remainder of the preseason after getting hurt last week at Washington, but at least the injury doesn’t appear to be as bad as was originally feared. But it has been a sloppy two games for Mike Tomlin’s team.

One would think that the Chiefs would really want to get Andy Reid a win in his first preseason with the team. But then again, they failed to ‘circle the wagons’ last week for QB Alex Smith, who was facing his former team, the San Francisco 49ers. Playing without injured running back Jamal Charles, the only touchdown Kansas City scored last week came via a kick return. Smith did not look very good. Surprisingly, after playing one another, the Chiefs and 49ers made a trade. They exchanged receivers Jonathan Baldwin and AJ Jenkins, both of whom have been considered disappointments in their short careers.

Philadelphia at Jacksonville (+3.5, 43)

Mike Vick has officially been named the starter for the Eagles, which seems to be the right call as his skill set seems better suited to run Chip Kelly’s up-tempo offense compared to Nick Foles. This will be Philadelphia’s first road game under Kelly as they split a pair of home games against the Patriots and Panthers. It will be interesting to see how the quarterbacks perform now that the competition has been settled. The defense was much better last week, holding Carolina to only nine points after being shredded by Tom Brady and New England in the opener. Five-time Pro Bowl offensive lineman Jason Peters is set to return to the lineup here and is scheduled to play about three quarters.

For the Jaguars, it’s the same old story. This team simply cannot put points on the board. They are 0-2 and have scored only 16 points total. The much maligned Blaine Gabbert has officially been named the starter by 1st year Head Coach Gus Bradley, but I found that interesting as he’s injured and there are concerns about him being ready to practice for the regular season opener. Gabbert did play well last week vs. the Jets and the team did lead 13-10 at halftime before getting blown out in the second half.

Atlanta at Tennessee (-3, 42.5)

Both teams here are 0-2, but with the Falcons that’s a bit misleading as their backups stink and blew a 23-7 fourth quarter lead last week at Baltimore. Both Julio Jones and Stephen Jackson looked good in limited action last week. With the first team offense getting extended playing time this week, you have to like Atlanta’s chances more. However, special teams have been an issue so far as they have given up a touchdown on a punt return each of the first two games.

Tennessee is a team that I don’t have much regard for heading into the regular season and it’s not been a very good first two games for them at all. The first team offense has yet to generate a touchdown and the kicking game was a disaster last week in Cincinnati with three missed field goals. The Titans defense allowed the most points in the league a year ago and again looks suspect coming into 2013. Wide receiver Kendall Wright is injured. Just about the only positive has been the re-tooled offensive line.

St. Louis at Denver (-6.5, 43.5)

Big line here as the injury-riddled Broncos host the 0-2 Rams. After pulling out an ugly 10-6 victory over San Francisco in the opener, the Broncos were flat out embarrassed last week by Seattle, losing 40-10. This will be their first home game of the preseason. Denver defenders have been dropping like flies as of late, most notably now Von Miller, who will be suspended for the first six regular season games. At least Peyton Manning will see his most action of the preseason this week, thereby giving the team a chance.

The Rams issues have been on offense as they generated only seven points last week in a loss to Green Bay, at home. That lone touchdown came in the fourth quarter as once again the first team offense failed to impress. St. Louis was 1 of 14 on third down vs. the Packers and 0 for 3 when going for it on fourth down.

Cincinnati at Dallas (-2.5, 43.5)

The Bengals are becoming a trendy pick to contend not just in the AFC North, but to be one of the very best teams in the conference as well. They are 2-0 so far in the preseason and that’s playing without stud receiver AJ Green, who may play this week here in Dallas. I like what I see from rookie running back Giovani Bernard. The first team offense put up 220 total yards in last week’s win over Tennessee. In two games, the Bengals have averaged 431.5 yards of offense as a whole.

This will be the fourth preseason game for the Cowboys and their first at home. Since winning the Hall of Fame Game, they have lost at both Oakland and Arizona and looked unimpressive in doing so, scoring a combined 24 points. The lone touchdown last week came in the fourth quarter. The first team offense has yet to account for a single point. The ugliest part of last week’s 12-7 loss were the six turnovers.

San Diego at Arizona (-4, 40.5)

If one thing is clear with the Cardinals, it’s that they have a solid defense. In two games, they have given up just seven points and that came on a touchdown in the fourth quarter last week vs. Dallas. As mentioned in the Cowboys writeup, they forced six turnovers. Now 2-0 in the preseason for first year coach Bruce Arians, they host a San Diego team that’s 0-2 and not looked very good. This would seem to be a favorable matchup for the home team.

The Lightning Bolts appear to be headed for a long season in their first year under Mike McCoy. While both Cardinals’ preseason games have gone Under, both Chargers games have gone Over. The San Diego defense has allowed 64 total points thus far. On offense, there were four turnovers in last week’s 33-28 loss at Chicago. At least running back Ryan Matthews looked decent, carrying the ball nine times for 45 yards. Don’t forget that both starting receivers are sidelined with injuries.
 
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Saturday's American League betting cheat sheet

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Saturday's American League games:

Oakland Athletics at Baltimore Orioles (-142, 9)

Cold pitching stat: Baltimore right-hander Chris Tillman is winless in his last three starts and absorbed the loss last time out, charged with four run on five hits - including a pair of homers - against Tampa Bay.

Hot batting stat: Orioles slugger Chris Davis is 3-for-8 with a pair of solo homers in his career against Oakland starter Jarrod Parker.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-80s under partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow in from right-center field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: Baltimore is 18-5 in Tillman's last 23 starts against teams with winning records.


Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Indians (-180, 8.5)

Hot pitching stat: Indians right-hander Zach McAllister has bounced back following a rough outing against Detroit, surrendering two runs over 12 1/3 innings in victories over Minnesota and the Los Angeles Angels.

Hot batting stat: Twins 1B Justin Morneau is 3-for-8 with a homer against McAllister.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s with clear skies. Wind will blow in from right field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 10-2 in McAllister's last 12 starts as a home favorite.


Texas Rangers at Chicago White Sox (+174, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Rangers right-hander Yu Darvish has allowed three runs or fewer in six consecutive starts while racking up 57 strikeouts over 42 2/3 innings in that span.

Cold batting stat: Members of the Chicago roster are hitting .263 with zero home runs and 12 strikeouts in 38 combined at-bats against Darvish.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s with clear skies. Wind will blow in from center field at 9 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 10-2-1 in Darvish's last 13 starts.


Toronto Blue Jays at Houston Astros

Cold pitching stat: Astros right-hander Brad Peacock is 0-2 with a 6.14 ERA in three home starts this season.

Cold batting stat: Blue Jays C J.P. Arencibia has homered in consecutive games for the first time since June 14-16 against Texas.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-80s with a 30 percent chance of a shower or thunderstorm. Wind will blow from right to left field at 9 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 4-1 in Peacock's last five starts.


New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays (-165, 7.5)

Cold pitching stat: Yankees left-hander CC Sabathia is 2-2 with a 7.86 ERA in six starts since the All-Star break.

Cold batting stat: New York DH Mark Reynolds has just four hits in 24 at-bats against Tampa Bay starter David Price, but three of them are homers.

Weather: Dome.

Key betting note: Tampa Bay has won just once in its last eight meetings with a left-handed starter.


Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners (-130, 8)

Cold pitching stat: Mariners right-hander Erasmo Ramirez has given up seven home runs in 36 1/3 innings so far this season - one more than he surrendered in 59 innings in 2012.

Hot batting stat: Seattle DH Kendrys Morales has homered twice in 19 career at-bats against Seattle starter Jason Vargas.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-60s under partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow in from left field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 7-1 in Seattle's last eight home games against a left-handed starter.


Interleague

Washington Nationals at Kansas City Royals (+104, 7.5)

Cold pitching stat: Nationals right-hander Jordan Zimmermann is coming off his worst start of the season, tagged for eight runs on seven hits - including three home runs - in an 11-1 loss to the Chicago Cubs.

Cold batting stat: Through Thursday's action, Washington OF Bryce Harper has just four home runs since July 2.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-80s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to left field at 9 mph.

Key betting note: Kansas City is 2-7 in starter Wade Davis' last nine starts.


** Odds, probable starters and weather forecast as of 11:24 p.m. ET.
 
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Saturday's National League betting cheat sheet

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Saturday's National League games:

Arizona Diamondbacks at Philadelphia Phillies (+100, 8.5)

Cold pitching stat: Diamondbacks right-hander Randall Delgado has hit his roughest stretch of the season, allowing 18 runs over his last four starts.

Hot batting stat: Arizona 1B Paul Goldschmidt is batting .400 with two homers and seven RBIs during a seven-game hitting streak.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow out to left field at 4 mph.

Key betting note: Philadelphia has won just once in its last 11 attempts in the second game of a series.


Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds (-190, 8.5)

Cold pitching stat: Brewers right-hander Wily Peralta was torched by the Reds on Monday, surrendering seven runs on eight hits while walking four over 4 1/3 innings of a 9-1 loss.

Cold batting stat: Reds 2B Brandon Phillips is just 2-for-13 lifetime against Peralta.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-80s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow in from left-center field at 4 mph.

Key betting note: Cincinnati is 10-1 in starter Bronson Arroyo's last 11 home outings against teams with losing records.


Colorado Rockies at Miami Marlins (-190, 7)

Hot pitching stat: Marlins right-hander Jose Fernandez is 6-0 with a 1.40 ERA and 86 strikeouts in 77 home innings.

Hot batting stat: Rockies SS Troy Tulowitzki doubled twice Friday night and has six multi-hit outings in his last nine games.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-80s with a 30 percent chance of thunderstorms. Wind will blow from right to left field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 4-0 in Fernandez's last four starts against teams with losing records.


Atlanta Braves at St. Louis Cardinals (-133, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Braves right-hander Julio Teheran is 3-1 with a 1.75 ERA and 38 strikeouts in 36 innings since the All-Star break.

Hot batting stat: Cardinals C Yadier Molina has five multi-hit performances over his last six games.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-80s with sunny skies. Wind will blow from right to left field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The Braves have won eight straight times in the third game of a series.


Chicago Cubs at San Diego Padres (-120, 7)

Hot pitching stat: Cubs right-hander Jeff Samardjiza is coming off his second complete game of the season, a one-run, six-hit performance in an 11-1 drubbing of the Washington Nationals.

Hot batting stat: Cubs 2B Darwin Barney has three doubles in seven career at-bats against Padres starter Eric Stults.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s under cloudy skies. Wind will blow in from left field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: Chicago is 8-2 in its last 10 road games against a left-handed starter.


Pittsburgh Pirates at San Francisco Giants (+115, 6.5)

Hot pitching stat: Since allowing 10 runs in just 2 1/3 innings Aug. 9 in Colorado, Pirates lefty Francisco Liriano has held opponents to one run on eight hits over a 16-inning stretch.

Cold batting stat: Pittsburgh OF Andrew McCutchen is just 2-for-14 lifetime against San Francisco starter Tim Lincecum.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-60s under sunny skies. Wind will blow out to center field at 13 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 6-1-1 in Liriano's last eight starts on four days' rest.


Interleague

Boston Red Sox at Los Angeles Dodgers (-115, 7.5)

Cold pitching stat: Red Sox left-hander Jon Lester is 7-7 with a 4.34 ERA in 17 road starts, compared to 4-0 with a 3.64 ERA at Fenway Park.

Cold batting stat: Dodgers 2B Mark Ellis has just two hits in 12 career at-bats against Lester.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-80s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to left-center field at 5 mph.

Key betting note: Boston is 7-1 in Lester's last eight Saturday starts.


Detroit Tigers at New York Mets (+116, 6)

Hot pitching stat: Tigers right-hander Max Scherzer has allowed two runs or fewer in six consecutive starts.

Cold batting stat: The five Mets who have faced Scherzer are a combined .188 with five strikeouts in 16 at-bats against him.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-80s with sunny skies. Wind will blow in from right field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 4-1-1 in Scherzer's last six Saturday starts.


** Odds, probable starters and weather forecast as of 11:20 p.m. ET Friday.
 
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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Bonus Plays are 1082-817 (57 + %) over the last 5 1/2 years !

Free winner SAT over 8 Blue Jays/Houst
 
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[h=1]WNBA Basketball Picks[/h] [h=2]Chicago at Atlanta[/h] The Dream look to build on their 6-1 ATS record in their last 7 games against a team with a winning SU record. Atlanta is the pick (-4) according to Dunkel, which has the Dream favored by 6. Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-4). Here are all of today's picks.
SATURDAY, AUGUST 24
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST
Game 601-602: Indiana at Minnesota (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 107.815; Minnesota 119.323
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 11 1/2; 152
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 10; 147 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-10); Over
Game 603-604: Chicago at Atlanta (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 110.207; Atlanta 116.300
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 6; 149
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 4; 155
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-4); Under
 

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