Service Plays Labor Day Monday 9/2/13

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GL!

[h=1]NCAA Football Game Picks[/h] [h=2]Florida State at Pittsburgh[/h] The Seminoles look to take advantage of a Pittsburgh team that is 6-13-1 ATS in its last 20 September games. Florida State is the pick (-10) according to Dunkel, which has the Seminoles favored by 13. Dunkel Pick: Florida State (-10). Here are all of this week's games.

BEST Football

10* Pittsburgh +11

Hondo

last year
138-104 56.9%

Fla st -10

Ben Lee Eckstein

103-69 last year

Pitt +10

Mighty Quinn

2-5 saturday
75-97 last year

Fla st -10

FSU at Pitt: What bettors need to know

Florida State Seminoles at Pittsburgh Panthers (+10.5, 49.5)

Florida State is steadily working its way back to perennial contender status and begins the 2013 campaign ranked No. 12 despite losing three first-round NFL draft picks and a slew of other contributors. The Seminoles begin their defense of the ACC Championship by visiting Pittsburgh Monday. The Panthers are making their ACC debut after coming over from the remains of the Big East.

Quarterback EJ Manuel and defensive end Bjoern Werner are the two biggest losses on either side of the ball for Florida State, which has named redshirt freshman Jameis Winston the new starting quarterback after a strong spring. The Seminoles will ease Winston into the job with an experienced offensive line and a running game led by juniors Devonta Freeman and James Wilder Jr. Pittsburgh is breaking in its own new quarterback, though senior Tom Savage does have some experience.

Savage was a two-year starter at Rutgers before a pair of transfers stalled his career. The Springfield, Penn., native threw for 2,732 yards and 16 touchdowns at Rutgers in 2009 and 2010 and will be dealing with two first-year starters on the offensive line when he makes his Panthers' debut on Monday. Pittsburgh got rolling at the end of the 2012 season, going 4-2 in its last six regular season games, and returns eight starters from a standout defense.

Key betting stat: The under is 7-2 in the Seminoles last nine road games.

Weather watch: Forecasts in Pittsburgh are calling for a 50 percent chance of thunderstorms for this game. Temperatures will be in the low-70s

Eskimos at Stampeders: What bettors need to know

Edmonton Eskimos at Calgary Stampeders (-7.5, 56.5)

Frustration is starting to set in for the Edmonton Eskimos, who sit at the bottom of the West Division after dropping their last four games by a combined 12 points during a six-game losing streak. Edmonton will try to snap out of its funk when it visits the rival Calgary Stampeders on Monday for the first half of a home-and-home series. Eskimos quarterback Mike Reilly has thrown for 814 yards and six touchdowns over the last two games and will need to continue connecting with his receivers if Edmonton hopes to overcome the struggles of its injury-plagued defense, which has surrendered a division-worst 235 points.

Injuries have not slowed the Stampeders, who defeated the Toronto Argonauts last week without team rushing leader Jon Cornish or slotback Nik Lewis - the receiving yards leader. Jonathan Williams replaced Cornish and ran for 82 yards on 18 carries in his CFL debut, while Marquay McDaniel did his best impersonation of Lewis, catching seven passes for 106 yards and one touchdown. Veteran quarterback Kevin Glenn, who has played most of the season in place of injured starter Drew Tate, passed concussion tests after leaving the game late against Toronto for precautionary reasons, further showcasing Calgary’s resilience.

TV: 5 p.m. ET, TSN

ABOUT THE ESKIMOS (1-7): Injured linebacker JC Sherritt could return to the lineup Monday if he has the pin removed from his broken thumb. Sherritt set a CFL record last season with 130 tackles, but has missed the last two games. Cornerback Aaron Grymes also missed two weeks with an internal injury suffered during practice and will likely miss Monday’s contest. Defensive end Odell Willis - with a team-leading five sacks - is day-to-day with a shoulder injury suffered in the first half of last week’s loss to the Saskatchewan Roughriders. Slotback Fred Stamps leads the league with 684 receiving yards and has caught six touchdown passes.

ABOUT THE STAMPEDERS (6-2): Cornish was on pace for a career-high in rushing yards before his injury and could return to the lineup Monday to continue that pursuit, while Lewis will be sidelined for the rest of the season. Defensive linemen Cordarro Law and Charleston Hughes share the team lead with five sacks apiece. Tate remains out with a soft tissue injury around his right elbow and the solid play of Glenn has allowed Calgary to take precautions with Tate’s recovery. Kick returner Larry Taylor is second in the league with 964 combined return yards.

TRENDS:

* Eskimos are 1-5 ATS in their last six versus the West.
* The over is 8-1-1 in the Eskimos' last 10 road games.
* The Stampeders are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five home games.
* The over is 4-1 in the last five meetings.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Calgary is 3-0 at McMahon Stadium, while Edmonton is 0-4 against West Division opponents.

2. Edmonton holds a 123-91-3 advantage in the regular-season series against their provincial rival, but Calgary has won the last five meetings.

3. The Eskimos and Stampeders meet again in Edmonton on Friday to close out their home-and-home series.

Monday's MLB American League betting cheat sheet

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Monday's American League games:

Chicago White Sox at New York Yankees (-166, 9)

Hot pitching stat: White Sox left-hander Jose Quintana has posted three straight quality starts, allowing just eight runs while racking up 22 strikeouts in 21 2/3 innings over that stretch.

Hot batting stat: Yankees OF Alfonso Soriano is a .270 career hitter with 18 homers and 42 RBIs in 285 at-bats against the White Sox.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-80s with a 65 percent chance of thunderstorms. Wind will blow from right to left field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: Chicago has won just seven of its past 24 visits to New York.


Detroit Tigers at Boston Red Sox (-132, 9)

Cold pitching stat: Tigers right-hander Doug Fister is 1-4 with a 5.20 ERA in seven career starts against the Red Sox.

Hot batting stat: Detroit DH Victor Martinez is 10-for-24 with three walks lifetime against Red Sox starter John Lackey.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s with a 65 percent chance of thunderstorms. Wind will blow out to left field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 22-5-1 in Lackey's last 28 starts.


Seattle Mariners at Kansas City Royals (+123, 7.5)

Cold pitching stat: Mariners ace Felix Hernandez has lost three straight decisions for the first time since last December, surrendering 16 runs over 14 innings in that span.

Hot batting stat: Royals 1B/DH Billy Butler is a .336 career hitter with eight home runs and 33 RBIs in 44 games against Seattle.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-80s with sunny skies. Wind will blow in from left field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 10-2-2 in Kansas City's last 14 games against teams with losing records.


Minnesota Twins at Houston Astros (+104, 8.5)

Hot pitching stat: Astros right-hander Paul Clemens fared well in his first career major-league start Tuesday, limiting the Chicago White Sox to a run on four hits over six innings.

Cold batting stat: Houston OF Chris Carter has just five hits in 46 career at-bats against Minnesota.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-90s with a 20 percent chance of thunderstorms. Wind will blow out to right field at 5 mph.

Key betting note: Houston is 3-13 in its last 16 games against teams with losing road records.


Texas Rangers at Oakland Athletics (+114, 8)

Hot pitching stat: Rangers left-hander Derek Holland was at his best in his previous encounter with the Athletics nearly a month ago, limiting them to four hits over eight shutout innings while striking out 10.

Hot batting stat: Athletics C Kurt Suzuki is 7-for-20 with a pair of home runs against Holland.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with mostly cloudy skies. Wind will blow out to right field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: The Rangers have won nine straight Monday games.


Baltimore Orioles at Cleveland Indians (-128, 8)

Hot pitching stat: Orioles right-hander Bud Norris is 7-6 with a 3.57 ERA and 94 strikeouts in 98 1/3 career innings in September.

Hot batting stat: Cleveland OF Nick Swisher has 24 career home runs against Baltimore, his most versus any major-league team.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with a 25 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms. Wind will blow in from left field at 12 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 11-1-1 in Cleveland righty Justin Masterson's last 13 starts against teams with winning records.


Tampa Bay Rays at Los Angeles Angels (+105, 8)

Hot pitching stat: Rays right-hander Chris Archer dominated the Angels five days ago, limiting them to a run on five hits over seven innings of a 4-1 win.

Cold batting stat: Entering Sunday's action, Los Angeles 1B/OF Mark Trumbo is a career .198 hitter in September.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-80s under partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow out to right-center field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings.


** Odds courtesy Betonline.com

** Odds, probable starters, stats and weather forecast as of 4:20 p.m. ET Sunday.

Monday's MLB National League betting cheat sheet

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Monday's National League games:

New York Mets at Atlanta Braves (-230, 8)

Cold pitching stat: Mets right-hander Daisuke Matsuzaka is 0-2 with an 8.68 ERA in two starts since joining the club.

Hot batting stat: Braves OF B.J. Upton batted .269 in August, his best monthly mark of the season.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-80s with a 40 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms. Wind will blow out to right field at 4 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 7-1 in Atlanta's last eight series openers.


St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds (-124, 7)

Cold pitching stat: Cardinals right-hander Adam Wainwright was trounced by the Reds in their previous encounter five days ago, tagged for nine runs on eight hits while lasting just two innings.

Cold batting stat: St. Louis SS Pete Kozma batted .063 with 13 strikeouts in 48 August at-bats.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-80s with a 30 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms. Wind will blow out to left-center field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The Reds have won right-hander Mat Latos' last six Monday starts.


Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers (+124, 9)

Hot pitching stat: Pirates right-hander Charlie Morton limited Milwaukee to an unearned run over 6 2/3 innings last time out, and has put together five consecutive quality starts.

Hot batting stat: Pittsburgh OF Pedro Alvarez has five homers and 11 RBIs in 14 games against the Brewers this season.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow from left to right field at 8 mph.

Key betting note: Pittsburgh has won nine of its last 54 games in Milwaukee.


Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs (-167, 8)

Cold pitching stat: Cubs left-hander Travis Wood is 1-2 with a 10.93 ERA and five home runs surrendered in 14 career innings against the Marlins.

Cold batting stat: Marlins SS Adeiny Hechavarria batted just .196 with 20 strikeouts in 102 at-bats in August.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow in from left field at 11 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 7-0 in Miami's last seven road games against teams with losing records.


San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres (-172, 9)

Cold pitching stat: Giants left-hander Barry Zito has lost back-to-back starts, allowing 11 runs over 7 2/3 innings in that span.

Hot batting stat: Padres OF Chris Denorfia is 7-for-19 with a homer and five RBIs against Zito.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow in from left field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 21-5 in the last 26 meetings in San Diego.


Los Angeles Dodgers at Colorado Rockies (+200, 9)

Hot pitching stat: Dodgers left-hander Clayton Kershaw is 5-2 with a 1.07 ERA and just two home runs surrendered in eight second-half starts.

Cold batting stat: Los Angeles SS Hanley Ramirez batted just .254 with a .293 on-base percentage in 19 games in August.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-80s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow out to center field at 3 mph.

Key betting note: The Dodgers have won Kershaw's last six road starts against teams with losing records.


Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies (-104, 6.5)

Hot pitching stat: Nationals right-hander Stephen Strasburg went the distance on a four-hit shutout - the first of his career - in his last meeting with Philadelphia back on Aug. 11.

Cold batting stat: Phillies SS Jimmy Rollins is just 2-for-16 in his career versus Strasburg.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-70s with a 55 percent chance of thunderstorms. Wind will be calm.

Key betting note: Philadelphia is 19-7 in starter Cole Hamels' last 26 meetings with the Nationals.


Interleague

Toronto Blue Jays at Arizona Diamondbacks (-168, 9)

Hot pitching stat: Diamondbacks right-hander Brandon McCarthy is 2-1 with a 0.93 ERA over his last four home starts.

Hot batting stat: Blue Jays 3B Brett Lawrie finished with 37 hits in August, the highest single-month total of his career.

Weather: Temperatures will exceed 100 under partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow out to right-center field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 35-15-2 in Arizona's last 52 interleague home games against right-handed starters.


** Odds courtesy Betonline.com

** Odds, probable starters, stats and weather forecast as of 4:05 p.m. ET Sunday.

The Gold Sheet

*Florida St. 22 - PITTSBURGH 17—The post-EJ Manuel era begins at FSU,
and those who wonder about touted RS frosh replacement Jameis Winston
should know that Nole OL coach Rick Trickett told his QB son Clint to transfer
after spring work (which Clint did, to WVU) because he was not going to play
much in Tallahassee. But this is still Winston’s first start, and Jimbo Fisher’s
team failed to cover all five chances with Manuel as visiting chalk LY. Pitt sky-
high for ACC debut, and camp reports positive on new (and ex-Rutgers) QB
Tom Savage.

Winning Points Newsletter

Florida State over Pittsburgh* by 10

FLORIDA STATE 30-20

Inside The Pressbox Newsletter (Phil Steele)

FLORIDA ST 31 PITTSBURGH 17

These two last met in ‘83, a 17-16 FSU loss. Pitt is 13-3 in home openers. Second year HC Chryst has 13 ret st’rs vs just 11 for FSU which has a first time starting QB on the road. Pitt is a bowl team playing their first ACC game and will be fired up for the national spotlight of a Monday night game. However, FSU has huge edges on offense as well as ST. The Noles despite losing a record 11 players to the draft are still one of the more talented teams in the country and will use this spotlight game to prove they are back as a perennial National Title contender.

The Winners Circle


Monday Football Plays

10* Play Pittsburgh +10.5 over Florida State (TOP NCAA PLAY) 8:00 PM EST

Florida State has lost 6 of the last 9 games against the spread when playing as a road favorite and they have also lost 6 of the last 9 games against the spread when playing in the month of September.

northcoast

4 star late phone

florida state-10

LA Syndicate Top Plays

CFB - Florida State

MLB
NL Game of the Month - Padres
Mariners
Twins/Astros Under 8.5
Rays

Chicago Syndicate Top Plays

CFB - Florida State

MLB
Pirates
Cubs/Marlins Under 8
White Sox/Yankees Over 8.5
Red Sox
Rays

STATFOX

PLATINUM SHEET

Stat Fox Forecaster:
Florida State 28
Pittsburgh 21

• Jimbo Fisher is 21-11 UNDER as a favorite as coach of FLORIDA ST.
• FLORIDA ST is 0-5 ATS in its last five road games.
• The total has gone UNDER in 7 of FLORIDA ST’S last 9 games on the road.

Game Breakdown: FSU and Pitt haven’t played in 30 years. The Noles hope new starting QB Jameis Winston can live up to his potential—he’ll be surrounded by playmakers in the receiving corps. RBs Devonta Freeman and James Wilder combined for 1,300 rushing yards and 19 TDs last year. FSU is replacing their D-line in front of an impressive back seven.

Pitt’s offense is a mess, with transfer Tom Savage under center, no experience at RB and a dicey line. The Panthers nasty D returns nine starters, and should be a strength in 2013.

Norm Hitzges

Single Play

Florida St. -10 1/2 Pittsburgh