This Weeks ML Winner

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  1. #1 This Weeks ML Winner 
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    Last week 1-0. Season total 1-0. +100 units

    This weeks pick. Oregon -1600, available at the William Hill Shops. A loss kills me this season, but it would be worth it to see all of the Oregon homers take a leap from the tallest building they can find.

    If you do not want to lay that much, I suggest Texas -280, also available at William Hill Shops.
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  2. #2  
    RX Senior Lostyet's Avatar
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    Bet you don't see a lot of rebel flags in Palm Springs, do you? I see them here all the time in Alabama. Usually in trailer parks and places such as that.
    If you want something you've never had before you're going to have to do something you've never done before.
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  3. #3  
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    Does one say good luck to this play or...
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    Quote Originally Posted by nojuice9 View Post
    Does one say good luck to this play or...
    Really putting his ass on the line here.....
    If you want something you've never had before you're going to have to do something you've never done before.
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  5. #5  
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    Quote Originally Posted by nojuice9 View Post
    Does one say good luck to this play or...
    Remeber that old game show, Press You Luck? I think they used to yell, "No Whammies!".
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  6. #6  
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    Professional move
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  7. #7  
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    Quote Originally Posted by 919 View Post
    Professional move
    no
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  8. #8  
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    Quote Originally Posted by nojuice9 View Post
    no
    Sarcasm missed
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  9. #9  
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lostyet View Post
    Bet you don't see a lot of rebel flags in Palm Springs, do you? I see them here all the time in Alabama. Usually in trailer parks and places such as that.
    Actually you see more than most people would expect. The greater Palm Springs area, made up of several communities, is really a melting pot of Liberals, Conservatives, Old, Young, and just about anything else you can think of. The one common thing these areas have is great food. Pricey, but great.
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  10. #10  
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    The fact is this. While all of you tend to laugh at these picks, I win ALL of them. If I wager 1K per pick, that nets me 10K per season, more than 90+% of the people in here win. It takes money to make money, and I have money. Again, while most of you just sit there and think up of smart a** comments to make, I go to the bank on these picks.
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  11. #11  
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    Quote Originally Posted by Junk47 View Post
    The fact is this. While all of you tend to laugh at these picks, I win ALL of them. If I wager 1K per pick, that nets me 10K per season, more than 90+% of the people in here win. It takes money to make money, and I have money. Again, while most of you just sit there and think up of smart a** comments to make, I go to the bank on these picks.
    Serious reply here: I don't think people are criticizing your particular plays. They are saying you lose one time over 8-10 weeks, you lose your entire profit margin. I saw guy bet $90K to win $10K, down the drain (granted it was an EPL game with Man U (even dumber)). Everyone is contending that the majority of your games will win with ease, is the risk worth the reward.
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  12. #12  
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    I understand this, but to be perfectly honest, I have lost one of these games in the past 5 yers, tht being the 2008 Notre Dame-Syracuse game which I lost by a point. That was at -1300 and gave me a profit of 100 units, or one game. The rest have been gold. One of the secrets is to try and stay away from Conference games. Right now I am up 100 units, and if Oregon wins on Saturday, I will be up 200 units. If they lose, I am down 1500 units but have the pleasure of watching all of the Oregon Homers in here have their season ruined.
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  13. #13  
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    Quote Originally Posted by Junk47 View Post
    The fact is this. While all of you tend to laugh at these picks, I win ALL of them. If I wager 1K per pick, that nets me 10K per season, more than 90+% of the people in here win. It takes money to make money, and I have money. Again, while most of you just sit there and think up of smart a** comments to make, I go to the bank on these picks.
    So you're laying 16,000 to win 1,000 here on Oregon then?

    I have read many of your threads diligently, and though you are abrasive in spots, you seem to also know what you're talking about in many instances. However, I am not sure how anyone can condone laying this type of number consistently. I know there can be value in large favorites, if the real number should be higher, especially in sports like UFC and boxing, but have never seen anyone that is long term profitable betting TEAM sports that continually lays these types of moneyline favorites.

    That being said, I am NOT looking to start a feud here. I wish you the best of luck and hope that you have a profitable season.

    Good Luck!
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  14. #14  
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    Funny thread....from the START all the way to the BOTTOM....
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  15. #15  
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    Quote Originally Posted by Junk47 View Post
    The fact is this. While all of you tend to laugh at these picks, I win ALL of them. If I wager 1K per pick, that nets me 10K per season, more than 90+% of the people in here win. It takes money to make money, and I have money. Again, while most of you just sit there and think up of smart a** comments to make, I go to the bank on these picks.
    I don't understand your math. If you wager 1k per pick and there are 12 weeks in the season but for the benefit of the doubt lets say you actually play 14 picks including 2 extra bye weeks, then you would wager 14k for the season. We all know that a moneyline of +140 pays 100. So it figures that to win 1000, you need to wager 1400 and so on when the moneyline equals +140. However thus far, your average moneyline wager has not been +140, rather your average wager has been +985 thus far -- (1600 + 370) ÷ 2 = 985

    Consequently this means that if you wagered 1k per week at +985, your return every week would average just a little over $100 per week with a net return of $1421.32 to be exact if you wagered $14,000 for the year -- not a $10,000 profit as you claim but far less than that. $1421.32 is only about 1/7th as much as $10,000. Therefore if you expect to win $10,000 you would need to wager about 7k per week for 14 weeks or about 100k on the season to make $10,000 when wagering at the odds you have used thus far. (+985 avg.)

    Bottom line is -- your fuzzy math doesn't work here.
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  16. #16  
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    sounds like if he lost early he would be done but now he has some house $$$$ to play with so he presses on,..

    not something i would do but i respect his angle. hope you have big GMC pickup for that flag !!
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  17. #17  
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    he wins what he bets 1K, just pays giant juice when he loses.
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  18. #18  
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    You can't win 10k betting this way unless you are risking obscene amounts..
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  19. #19  
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    Quote Originally Posted by gynecologist View Post
    You can't win 10k betting this way unless you are risking obscene amounts..


    yea but he has obscene amounts of money, didn't he tell all of us that ?
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  20. #20  
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    Quote Originally Posted by Junk47 View Post
    Actually you see more than most people would expect. The greater Palm Springs area, made up of several communities, is really a melting pot of Liberals, Conservatives, Old, Young, and just about anything else you can think of. The one common thing these areas have is great food. Pricey, but great.
    At the rate you are playing, while risking $14,000 ($1000 per week) you stand to win $1400 this season, $350 per month = $12 per day .

    ¿Yo quiero Taco Bell?
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    This reminds me of "free dinner parlay"
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  22. #22  
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    regardless. Oregon ml is a winner.
    Junk..
    Put them in one big parlay all season long. risks way less. Good luck as it should be easy. If I had 10k to lay down id bet it all on Oregon ml. $10,000 to win $6250. um fuck yea
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  23. #23  
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    Quote Originally Posted by Conan View Post
    At the rate you are playing, while risking $14,000 ($1000 per week) you stand to win $1400 this season, $350 per month = $12 per day .

    ¿Yo quiero Taco Bell?
    Child, try thinking like a gambler and not some pauper who can only wager 1K per game. When you grow up and want to talk about real wagering, let me know. And you guys wonder why people like myself have more money than you can ever hope of seeing, unless you win a lottery, and then I'm not that sure.
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  24. #24  
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    junk, post a copy of this ticket w/out the # and lose the haters bro. they dont believe u have $ then show them.
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  25. #25  
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    Quote Originally Posted by Junk47 View Post
    Child, try thinking like a gambler and not some pauper who can only wager 1K per game. When you grow up and want to talk about real wagering, let me know. And you guys wonder why people like myself have more money than you can ever hope of seeing, unless you win a lottery, and then I'm not that sure.
    Can't you read? I was using your own numbers not mine. With a 1k wager, you will not make $10,000 with the odds you are using. Can't you understand that you imbecile? Or were you deliberately lying and screwed up your little story?
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