Sunday 9/15/13 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

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Thread: Sunday 9/15/13 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

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  1. #1 Sunday 9/15/13 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff... 
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    Post your request, Comments or concerns here.
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  2. #2  
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    CFL
    Long Sheet

    Week 12

    Sunday, September 15

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MONTREAL (4 - 6) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (6 - 4) - 9/15/2013, 4:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BRITISH COLUMBIA is 48-71 ATS (-30.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
    Head-to-Head Series History
    BRITISH COLUMBIA is 3-2 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
    MONTREAL is 3-2 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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  3. #3  
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    CFL

    Week 12

    Trend Report

    Sunday, September 15

    4:30 PM
    MONTREAL vs. BRITISH COLUMBIA
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Montreal's last 6 games when playing British Columbia
    Montreal is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
    British Columbia is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Montreal
    British Columbia is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
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  4. #4  
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    WNBA
    Long Sheet

    Sunday, September 15

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    INDIANA (16 - 17) at CONNECTICUT (9 - 24) - 9/15/2013, 1:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CONNECTICUT is 96-63 ATS (+26.7 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1997.
    CONNECTICUT is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) after allowing 75 points or more this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CONNECTICUT is 8-7 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
    CONNECTICUT is 8-8 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
    11 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    PHOENIX (19 - 14) at LOS ANGELES (23 - 10) - 9/15/2013, 3:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PHOENIX is 24-42 ATS (-22.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 16-27 ATS (-13.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 3 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) in August or September games over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 13-29 ATS (-18.9 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15+ games this season.
    PHOENIX is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games this season.
    PHOENIX is 38-22 ATS (+13.8 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997.
    LOS ANGELES is 12-21 ATS (-11.1 Units) in all games this season.
    LOS ANGELES is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) after a division game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    LOS ANGELES is 7-5 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    LOS ANGELES is 8-4 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    NEW YORK (11 - 22) at WASHINGTON (16 - 17) - 9/15/2013, 4:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    WASHINGTON is 243-296 ATS (-82.6 Units) in all games since 1997.
    WASHINGTON is 152-193 ATS (-60.3 Units) vs. division opponents since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    WASHINGTON is 8-4 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
    NEW YORK is 8-4 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    ATLANTA (17 - 16) at SAN ANTONIO (11 - 22) - 9/15/2013, 4:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ATLANTA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games on Sunday games over the last 3 seasons.
    ATLANTA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
    SAN ANTONIO is 36-20 ATS (+14.0 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SAN ANTONIO is 4-1 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
    SAN ANTONIO is 3-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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  5. #5  
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    Sunday, September 15

    Trend Report

    1:00 PM
    INDIANA vs. CONNECTICUT
    Indiana is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
    Indiana is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    Connecticut is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Indiana
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Connecticut's last 5 games when playing Indiana

    3:00 PM
    PHOENIX vs. LOS ANGELES
    Phoenix is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
    Phoenix is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
    Los Angeles is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Phoenix
    The total has gone OVER in 9 of Los Angeles's last 11 games when playing at home against Phoenix

    4:00 PM
    NEW YORK vs. WASHINGTON
    New York is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Washington
    New York is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing at home against New York
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games at home

    4:30 PM
    ATLANTA vs. SAN ANTONIO
    Atlanta is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing San Antonio
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Atlanta's last 10 games when playing San Antonio
    The total has gone UNDER in 13 of San Antonio's last 19 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 6 games at home
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  6. #6  
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    MLB

    Sunday, September 15

    Trend Report

    1:07 PM
    BALTIMORE vs. TORONTO
    Baltimore is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of Baltimore's last 13 games when playing Toronto
    Toronto is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
    Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

    1:08 PM
    KANSAS CITY vs. DETROIT
    The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Kansas City's last 16 games when playing Detroit
    Kansas City is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
    Detroit is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Detroit's last 10 games at home

    1:10 PM
    MIAMI vs. NY METS
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games at home
    NY Mets are 2-5 SU in its last 7 games

    1:35 PM
    PHILADELPHIA vs. WASHINGTON
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 8 games when playing on the road against Washington
    Philadelphia is 5-18 SU in its last 23 games on the road
    Washington is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Philadelphia
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia

    1:35 PM
    SAN DIEGO vs. ATLANTA
    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of San Diego's last 13 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 7 games on the road
    Atlanta is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Diego
    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Atlanta's last 13 games when playing San Diego

    1:35 PM
    CHI CUBS vs. PITTSBURGH
    Chi Cubs are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
    Pittsburgh is 8-4 SU in their last 12 games when playing Chi Cubs

    2:10 PM
    CLEVELAND vs. CHI WHITE SOX
    Cleveland is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox
    The total has gone OVER in 15 of Chi White Sox's last 22 games when playing at home against Cleveland
    Chi White Sox are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing Cleveland

    2:10 PM
    CINCINNATI vs. MILWAUKEE
    Cincinnati is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Cincinnati's last 23 games when playing Milwaukee
    The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Milwaukee's last 23 games when playing Cincinnati
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 11 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

    2:10 PM
    TAMPA BAY vs. MINNESOTA
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
    Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
    Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay

    2:10 PM
    LA ANGELS vs. HOUSTON
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Angels's last 10 games
    LA Angels are 13-3 SU in their last 16 games on the road
    Houston is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against LA Angels
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing LA Angels

    2:15 PM
    SEATTLE vs. ST. LOUIS
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing at home against Seattle

    3:05 PM
    OAKLAND vs. TEXAS
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 7 games when playing Texas
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games
    Texas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas's last 7 games when playing Oakland

    4:10 PM
    COLORADO vs. ARIZONA
    Colorado is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
    Colorado is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
    The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Arizona's last 17 games when playing Colorado
    Arizona is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Colorado

    4:10 PM
    SAN FRANCISCO vs. LA DODGERS
    San Francisco is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
    San Francisco is 3-6 SU in their last 9 games when playing LA Dodgers
    LA Dodgers are 18-7 SU in their last 25 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games at home

    8:05 PM
    NY YANKEES vs. BOSTON
    NY Yankees are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing Boston
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 6 games when playing on the road against Boston
    Boston is 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
    Boston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
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  7. #7  
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    Sunday Horse Racing Spot Picks

    SPOT PLAYS

    For Sunday
    TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE

    Arlington Park (1st) Shane's Gold, 3-1
    (6th) Kids Game, 3-1

    Belmont Park (2nd) Madame Prosecutor, 4-1
    (6th) Sunbio, 3-1

    Beulah Park (3rd) He's a Slewvescent, 6-1
    (8th) Willubmysugardaddy, 6-1

    Calder Race Course (2nd) Orsonian, 4-1
    (6th) Unreal Reply, 3-1

    Churchill Downs (2nd) Vita Desiderata, 4-1
    (3rd) Zero X Zero, 8-1

    Emerald Downs (3rd) Mattie Blue, 9-2
    (6th) Royal Cantu, 5-1

    Fairplex (6th) Time to Go Robo, 3-1
    (8th) Tones, 3-1

    Fort Erie (2nd) Skip the Night, 4-1
    (8th) Brunnera, 4-1

    Golden Gate Fields (1st) Dilly's Dancer, 3-1
    (3rd) Beast of Bourbon, 7-2

    Gulfstream Park (1st) Many Crowns, 4-1
    (8th) Happy Runner, 3-1

    Hastings Park (1st) Rollingintheaisles, 9-2
    (5th) Unorganized Chaos, 7-2

    Louisiana Downs (1st) So Heavenly, 5-1
    (7th) Pretty K One, 7-2

    Monmouth Park (2nd) Cattail Creek, 6-1
    (6th) Circus Clown, 7-2

    Parx Racing (3rd) Two Hearts in One, 5-1
    (7th) Rhonda's Lemondrop, 8-1

    Presque Isle Downs (1st) Chicago Nights, 9-2
    (8th) Kid Rockette, 5-1

    Thistledown (5th) Burley's Gold, 3-1
    (6th) Run Fat Boy Run, 7-2

    Woodbine (2nd) Chief's Edge, 3-1
    (6th) His Race to Win, 3-1
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  8. #8  
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    Monmouth Race 5 for Sunday, September 15, 2013
    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

    Bar

    Monmouth - Race #5 - Post: 2:54pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $14,000 Class Rating: 77

    Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

    #8 ANA'S AFFAIR (ML=4/1)
    #7 MY ONE AND ONLY (ML=15/1)


    ANA'S AFFAIR - Farfan-Casarez has this mare signed up for the ideal event. MY ONE AND ONLY - I expect a lot from this mount. Her Equibase speed figs under similar conditions are tops in this bunch. I always like to see a filly getting Lasix for the second time. This one fits the bill.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #5 LUCKY EMPRESS (ML=5/2), #1 MIAMI HURRICANE (ML=7/2), #4 TAYLOR JAGGER (ML=9/2),

    LUCKY EMPRESS - Didn't show much run last time out. Probably won't do much running in today's event. Finished sixth on August 24th after the extended time off. Doubtful if there will be any change in this affair. MIAMI HURRICANE - If you keep betting these sort of 'bridesmaid' types, you're going to be disillusioned often. TAYLOR JAGGER - Didn't meet expectations when backed as the favorite twice. Finished second in her most recent race with a substandard speed figure. When I look at today's class figure, it would take an improved performance to triumph after that in this field.



    STRAIGHT WAGERS:
    Play #8 ANA'S AFFAIR to win if you can get odds of 7/5 or more

    EXACTA WAGERS:
    Box [7,8]

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    Pass

    SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
    Pass
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  9. #9  
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    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fort Erie

    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.

    Race 9 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $10920 Class Rating: 78

    FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 116 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 15 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE JULY 15 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000, IF FOR $4,750, ALLOWED 2 LBS.


    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    The Walker Group Picks

    # 3 MR. TIGER 4/1

    # 8 ALIMIN 6/1

    # 5 SENOR UNO 12/1

    I give my vote to MR. TIGER here. Could wake up with Lasix change (with second time Lasix) today. ALIMIN - Had one of the strongest speed figures of this field in his last affair. The average class fig alone makes this entrant a contender.
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  10. #10  
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    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

    Bar

    Emerald Downs - Race #2 - Post: 2:27pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $8,925 Class Rating: 62

    Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

    #1 INKEY MOOEY (ML=7/2)


    INKEY MOOEY - Another way to identify class is earnings per race. This thoroughbred has the highest in the group. I think she'll be close at the finish line.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #4 ITS GUINESS TIME (ML=9/5), #6 CLASSIC HARBOR (ML=3/1), #3 TACTICAL STRIKE (ML=5/1),

    ITS GUINESS TIME - Would have to advance off that fourth place finish last time out to make an impact here. This horse ran a mediocre rating last out. He shouldn't run much better and will probably get beat in today's race running that fig. CLASSIC HARBOR - This pony will likely be pulling up the rear as this bunch crosses the finish line. TACTICAL STRIKE - The Brain always cautions me to stay away from horses in short distance affairs that haven't hit the board in sprint races lately.

    Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - INKEY MOOEY - My research shows that fillies often show signs of improvement second time on Lasix. That's the case right here, so I think she should run well today.





    STRAIGHT WAGERS:
    Play #1 INKEY MOOEY to win if you can get odds of 1/1 or more

    EXACTA WAGERS:
    Skip

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    Pass

    SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
    Pass
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  11. #11  
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    Handicapped by Rick Needham at Belmont Park

    RACE #9 - BELMONT PARK - 5:17 PM EASTERN POST
    The Ashley T. Cole Stakes
    9.0 FURLONGS INNER TURF THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD STAKES $150,000.00 PURSE

    #2 HEAR THE FOOTSTEPS
    #1 KHARAFA
    #7 HANGOVER KID
    #8 LUBASH

    Rick's F.Y.I. Department Continues: The late ASHLEY T. COLE served as chairman of the New York State Racing Commission. He played a pivotal role in the formation of The New York Racing Association. In this year's edition .. the 38th renewal of this stakes event ... #2 HEAR THE FOOTSTEPS, a 6-1 shot, has hit the board in each of his last five outings, with three of those "board hit efforts," including a pair of wins, also qualifying as "POWER RUNS!"
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  12. #12  
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    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

    Bar

    Louisiana Downs - Race #5 - Post: 3:04pm - Maiden Special - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $21,000 Class Rating: 68

    Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

    #5 GURU GITA (ML=8/1)
    #2 SASSY N SPECIAL (ML=10/1)


    GURU GITA - My handicapping intuition tells me to watch out for this racer in this race SASSY N SPECIAL - This filly is in fine condition. Finished second on August 29th. This filly has been training well, and the recent bullet work says she's primed for a top effort today.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #10 TUNICA GIRL (ML=9/5), #12 BETTER NOT CRY (ML=2/1), #1 CRASH CODE (ML=4/1),

    TUNICA GIRL - This morning-line favorite ran on August 18th and hasn't had a workout since. Unlikely that the rating she recorded on Aug 18th will hold up in this clash. BETTER NOT CRY - Just don't think she is pegged at the proper price at the expected odds. CRASH CODE - Would have to move up off that fifth place finish last time out to make an impact here. This filly garnered a speed figure in her last event which likely isn't good enough in today's event.



    STRAIGHT WAGERS:
    #5 GURU GITA to win at post-time odds of 2/1 or better

    EXACTA WAGERS:
    Box [2,5]

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    Pass

    SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
    None
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  13. #13  
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    Recap for Sebastian(Seabass) for Saturday:

    200 unit loser on Michigan
    100 unit winner on Maryland
    100 unit winner on OVER Ohio State
    100 unit winner on UNDER Umass
    600 unit loser on Western Kentucky
    100 unit loser on Utah
    200 unit loser on Arizona State

    Overall 3-4 with 920 units lost.
    This is the third consecutive weekend day that his picks have gotten smashed.
    I sure hope that some of you read what I wrote yeterday about the manner in which he operates his service-it is basically one with ZERO money management and ratings scripted to meet his marketing needs.
    Is it no wonder that he has to offer 70% discounts for yearly service and then extend the deadline for it because of lack of interest!
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  14. #14  
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    STEPHEN NOVER

    NY Giants+4.5

    Peyton Manning and the Broncos got a measure of revenge in high style last Thursday burying Baltimore. The Giants meanwhile committed six turnovers in losing on the road to Dallas.


    Does that make the Broncos so superior to the Giants that they should be more than a field goal favorite on the road? Not in my mind.


    The Giants lost to Dallas, 36-31, despite a minus 5 turnover ratio. It's absolutely amazing that New York came that close to pulling off the upset considering the takeaway/giveaway disparity.


    While the Broncos are living high right now, the Giants already find themselves in an important matchup. As following this matchup, the Giants play three of their next four games on the road. Those away matchups aren't easy since they are against the Panthers, Chiefs and Bears.


    So this becomes a crucial home game for the Giants. New York usually is at its best when in a tough bind. The Giants are 8-2-1 ATS the past 11 times as an underdog and 10-4-1 ATS against foes with a winning record.


    The Broncos' defense is down from last year. It's bad enough that Von Miller is suspended, but he got in more trouble with the law this week. Miller is proving to be a distraction and a pain in the butt.


    The Broncos' secondary is vulnerable. Cornerback Champ Bailey and middle linebacker Wesley Woodyard are questionable.


    Eli Manning certainly won't lack for motivation being 0-2 against brother Peyton. Eli's three wideouts - Victor Cruz, Hakeem Nicks and Rueben Randle - are as good as any trio in the NFL. Talented running back David Wilson could be playing for his starting job. He'll be sky high for this game, too.


    Denver had its big game last week. The Broncos host long-time division rival Oakland on Monday night next week. This game is much bigger for the Giants.
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  15. #15  
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    JEFFREY BRANDES

    NFL TOTALS - SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 15, 2013

    Miami at Indianapolis

    Key Trends:

    Miami Dolphins are 202-258-3 O/U All Games (All Lines)
    Miami Dolphins are 21-35-0 O/U As Dog (PK -> 2.5)
    Miami Dolphins are 64-86-1 O/U As Away Dog (All Lines)
    Miami Dolphins are 11-25-0 O/U As Away Dog (PK -> 2.5)
    Miami Dolphins are 98-137-2 O/U After 1 Wins (All Lines)
    Miami Dolphins are 19-39-0 O/U After 1 Wins (PK -> 2.5)
    Miami Dolphins are 92-117-1 O/U After 1 ATS Wins (All Lines)
    Miami Dolphins are 21-32-0 O/U After 1 ATS Wins (PK -> 2.5)
    Miami Dolphins are 102-141-2 O/U After 1 Unders (All Lines)
    Miami Dolphins are 89-125-0 O/U After 1 Away (All Lines)
    Miami Dolphins are 79-109-1 O/U After 1 As Dog (All Lines)
    Miami Dolphins are 8-16-0 O/U After Playing a Bad Team (PK -> 2.5)

    Remember, the trend is your friend:

    RECOMMENDATION: UNDER (43.5 un-107)
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  16. #16  
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    BRANDON LEE

    Seattle Seahawks-2½
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  17. #17  
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    nfl free pick on oakland raiders -5
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  18. #18  
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    STEVE JANUS

    Sunday's NFL Free Pick ---Indianapolis Colts -2---

    No one expected the Raiders to come out an play as well as they did in Week 1. Not to say the Colts weren’t motivated for the season opener, I’m not 100% convinced that Oakland had their full attention. I don’t think they were ready to chase around Terrell Pryor, who was the only thing that kept the Raiders in that game. Pryor had 112 of the 171 yards rushing for the Raiders. Star running back Darren McFadden was held to just 48 yards on 17 attempts (2.8 ypc). Miami’s duo of Lamar Miller and Daniel Thomas combined for just 17 yards on 18 attempts. Even the Colts suspect run defense should be able to slow down Miami’s lackluster running game.

    If you watched the Colts last year you wouldn’t be worried about their poor showing against the Raiders. This team didn’t win pretty in the majority of their games. The thing you should be focusing on is that they won the game and are now 8-1 at home with Luck as their starting quarterback. There clearly seems to be a lot of value on the Colts laying less than a field goal against a Miami team that I think is getting too much credit for beating a bad football team. Indy should be a lot more focused this week and it’s nice to see that they are 6-1 ATS following an ATS loss and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs a team with a winning road record.

    You also have to remember that it’s difficult to win on the road and even harder to do so in back-to-back weeks, especially for a mediocre team like the Dolphins who are just hoping to make the playoffs. The fact that Miami is just 18-37 ATS in their last 55 games following an upset win as an underdog adds even more value on the home team laying just 2-points. BET THE COLTS!
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  19. #19  
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    ALEX SMART

    Detroit Lions vs Arizona Cardinals

    Wow ...Where do I start. Year after year the public and so called pros call for the Lions to have a break out year. I can remember as far back as 2008, when a large array of sports writers and wannabe linesmakers would vote on their favorite dark horse, and the Lions , seemed to almost always consisently get, these kinds of acolades. Lots of reasons consistently get used for their projected upswing. The talent is there, now its time to execute, would be a consistent mantra. So here we go again. Replay after replay on the same old predictions. I suppose one of these days it will finally come true. But for now I still look at this team as fade material, especially on the road where they are 1-13 ATS L/14 as a 6 point or less away favorites. I dont care that they put up 34 points last week in a win vs a Minnesota team that looked tired and unconcious.I personally was not that impressed . Sorry Motown supporters, Im not on board with this yet.It must also be noted that the Lions have covered just once in their last 11 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. With my controversial opinion now on record, look for new Arizona QB Carson Palmer to have a big day for new coach Bruce Arians, and for the Cards to make it 7 straight wins SU/ATS at home in this series. Final Note: Home team is 9-0 ATS in their last 9 meetings

    Play on the Arizona Cardinals
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    ART ARONSON

    This is a 1* Free play on the “over” between the Carolina Panthers and the Buffalo Bills (1:00 PM EST)

    The Panthers come into Buffalo 0-1 after getting shut down 12-7 at home in a loss to the Seattle Seahawks. QB Cam Newton went 16-for-23 for just 125 yards and one touchdown. Running back DeAngelo Williams rushed for 86 yards on 17 carries while veteran Steve Smith had a TD reception. The Panthers had three fumbles and lost two of them during this game really hurt the offensive output. The Bills are 0-1 after a narrow 23-21 defeat at the hands of the New England Patriots. Bills rookie E.J Manuel impressed everyone in his pro debut, completed 18 of 27 passes for 150 yards and two touchdowns without an interception. The usually explosive C.J Spiller was held to just 41 yards on 17 carries. The Panthers were unable to get much on a very stingy Seahawks defense with is not completely unpredictable but we should expect them to get a bit more here against a Bills defense not really known for shutting down its opponent. "Offensively, we have to score more than seven points, that's what it all comes down to," offensive tackle Jordan Gross said. Buffalo will be playing its second game at home already and will likely improve behind starter Manuel. Take a strong look at the “over
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  21. #21  
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    KEVIN THOMAS

    Kansas City Chiefs-3-105

    Chiefs way better at home and stacked with offensive weapons. Cowboys barely beat the Giants who turned it over many times. Not sold on Cowboys offense and being on the road in Kansas for their opener. LOOK OUT
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  22. #22  
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    Justin Bay

    St Louis vs. Atlanta
    Play: Over 47½

    Rams offense showed some promise in Week 1 with Bradford finishing with 299 yards through the air. Rams defense was a little rough around the edges allowing 390 total yards of offense for the Cardinals. Bradford should be able to put up equivalent numbers against a Falcon's defense that did not perform very well last week.

    Falcon's defense gave up 419 total yards to the Saints last week. Matt Ryan and company should have a better game this week against a Ram's defense that will have trouble guarding the highly potent wide receivers.
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  23. #23  
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    Ben Burns

    Minnesota vs. Chicago
    Pick: Chicago

    With this line staying below the touchdown mark, I believe we're getting some value with the Bears. The home team won both meetings last season. The game here at Chicago was a blowout. The Bears were up 25-3 by halftime and cruised to a 28-10 victory. The Bears check in off a comeback win. The Vikings saw their game go the other way. While the Bears gave up 330 yards in their opener, the Vikes allowed 469. This game figures to have special meaning to Bears' coach Jim Tressman, a native of Minnesota. I expect him to have his team ready and feel that they've got an excellent shot at a big win. Consider Chicago.
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  24. #24  
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    Brandon Shively

    New Orleans Saints vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
    Play: Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3.5

    Who Dat, Who Dat? The Saints got a HUGE win for Sean Payton and the WHO DAT Nation and now they have a tough divisional game vs. a Tampa Bay team that got caught napping vs. the Jets. The Saints are 0-3 ATS in their L3 road openers and an emotional letdown is expected this week as they have been installed as a RF and nobody is giving the Bucs a chance in this game.....but ME.There was a lot of money riding on the Bucs last week and nobody wants any part of them this week. The Saints embarrassed the Bucs 41-0 LY and I can promise you these professionals remember that. Freeman threw 4 picks that game and he is in a contract year so we are expecting this guy to perform to his full capability. The Saints do have some defensive injuries and we just can't see them being as motivated for this game. For the Bucs to start off 0-2 and a game @ New England in Week 3, then that would be a disaster. Tampa Bay is 6-0 ATS w/ div revenge in Games 1-4 of the season and covered as a 3 pt. home dog in their season opener LY vs. Carolina. I can almost guarantee you that Doug Martin will not avg. only 2.7 YPR this week like he did vs. the Jets. Vincent Jackson had 216 rec yards in the 1st matchup between these two teams LY and he is off to a big start again. The scheduling and motivational dynamics favor Tampa Bay in this game and although I expect them to win this game SU, I will advise you to buy the .5 point if needed to get them at +3.5.
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  25. #25  
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    Robert Ferringo

    New Orleans (-3) over Tampa Bay

    I'm never a big fan of playing road favorites in divisional games. But I think that this play warrants it. Tampa Bay has looked horrendous so far this season. I'm not just talking about their Week 1 debacle in New York. This team looked sloppy and disorganized throughout the preseason, and the whole organization is kind of a mess right now. Tampa can't rush the passer, they are still missing one of their best offensive linemen, and they have a quarterback spraying balls all over the place. It is looking more and more like Tampa's competitive 2012 season was an aberration. New Orleans, on the other hand, has to be feeling very good about itself after taking down Atlanta last week. Now they are facing a Tampa team that they throttled 41-0 the last time they saw them. New Orleans is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings, and they are 4-1 ATS in the last five trips down to One Buc Place. The road team is 14-6 ATS in the last 20 meetings, and I have no problem putting my money on Drew Brees over Freeman. The Saints are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 divisional games and 15-7 ATS in their last 22 conference affairs. I still don't trust New Orleans' defense. But I trust the Bucs even less. Lay the points in this one.
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