Service Plays Monday 9/16/13

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[h=1]Today's NFL Picks[/h] [h=2]Pittsburgh at Cincinnati[/h] The Bengals look to take advantage of a Pittsburgh team that is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 games in September. Cincinnati is the pick (-6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Bengals favored by 9 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-6 1/2). Here are all of this week's picks.

Goodfella

195 SDC / 196 PHI OVER 47.0 Bookmaker.com
Analysis:
(2*) NFL 7 pt Teaser
#195/#196 SAN DI�EGO/PHILADELPHIA OVER 47 to #224 CINCINNATI pk' (Monday Night)

Stephen Nover | NFL Side - Monday, Sep 16 2013 8:40PM
224 CIN -7.0(-110) Hilton vs 223 PIT triple-dime bet

Analysis:
Sometimes it can be a mistake to overreact to what happens on opening week.

But not in the case of the Steelers. Pittsburgh is in deep trouble.

The Steelers were the AFC's lowest scoring team during preseason when they went 0-4. Their troubles continued at home against Tennessee as their offense produced just seven points and 195 yards. This was against Tennessee, which gave up the most points per game last year of any team.

Pittsburgh has its youngest offensive line in 56 years. The Steelers' one key offensive lineman, Pro Bowl center Maurkice Pouncey, was lost for the season against the Titans. Pittsburgh's offensive line imploded without Pouncey. Cincinnati has one of the 10 best defenses and had a franchise-best 51 sacks last year.

Ben Roethlisberger has no ground game to turn to with a running back committee of rejects and his passing attack is minus deep threat Mike Wallace and reliable tight end Heath Miller.

The Steelers' defense still is good, but it's not dominant anymore. The linebacking corps took a hit with a season-ending injury to Larry Foote. Pittsburgh's defense is getting old and missing several former mainstays, including linebacker James Harrison, who is now with Cincinnati. The emotional Harrison will be super psyched going against his former team.

The Bengals have won seven of their last nine regular season games. Their only losses during this span were by one point to Dallas last year and by three points to Chicago on the road last week in a game they should have won.

Cincinnati's offense is improved with Andy Dalton more experienced and rookie running back Giovani Bernard and tight end Tyler Eifert joining A.J. Green, the best wideout in the AFC.

The Steelers have dominated Cincinnati through the years. Now the Bengals have a chance for payback on national TV catching the Steelers when they are physically down and their confidence is at low ebb.

NFL

WEEK 2

Steelers (0-1) @ Bengals (0-1)—This is most points Bengals have been favored by over Pitt since 1989, but with C Pouncey out for year, heart/soul of Steeler OL is gone. Steelers won five of last six games in series where six of last eight games were decided by 7 or less points. Pitt won last three visits here, by 6-7-7 points- they’re 9-7 as road dog under Tomlin, but 5-6 in divisional games. Since ’08, Cincy has been consistent money burner as HF, going 6-15-1 vs spread, 4-11 in division games. Pitt offense didn’t score until last 2:00 at home last week, gaining 195 yards, running for 32- they went 3/out five of 10 drives, leading to huge 21-yard deficit in average field position. Bengals averaged 8.1/pass attempt, outgained Bears, but were -2 in turnovers and came up short- they started eight of ten drives 80+ yards from goal line, also going 3/out on five of 10 drives. Bengals are 0-3-1 in last four tries as favorite in home opener; Steelers are 2-4 in last six road openers, scoring 19 or less points in all six games. Over last five years, Bengals are 14-21-3 vs spread in game following a loss; over last three years, Steelers are 11-4-1 vs spread in same role.

THE GOLD SHEET

NFL
*CINCINNATI 23 - Pittsburgh 12—The Bengals were on a nice late-season
roll last season when they edged the Steelers 13-10 in Game 15, knocking
Pittsburgh to third in the AFC North and essentially out of the playoffs. Now the
Steelers have lost invaluable C Maurkice Pouncy to a knee injury after already
owning the youngest OL in the league! The Cincy front seven is accomplished
and gnarly, and it now includes former Steeler James Harrison, eager for a shot
at his former team. Now, if only Andy Dalton can avoid those interceptions....
CABLE TV—ESPN

Chicago Syndicate
Top Play Bengals


LA Syndicate
Over Steelers/Bengals

College football odds: Week 4 opening line report

The Stanford Cardinal (2-0 SU, 0-2 ATS) get their first real test of the season as they host the Arizona State Sun Devils (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS) in a big matchup in the Pac-12.

Sun Devils RB Marion Grice tallied four touchdowns in a 32-30 victory over No. 20 Wisconsin Saturday night.

Stanford defeated Army 34-20 in an unconvincing victory for the No. 5 team in the land, but open as a double-digit favorite against its conference foe.

Peter Korner, founder of the Nevada-based odds service The Sports Club, and his team had varying opinions on where the line should open.

"We had a low of seven and a high of 13," Korner told Covers. "I put it right in the middle at 10. Stanford didn't show very well against an easy, knock-over team but they are at home, they're ranked and we wanted to keep it at double-digits and not be too low."

Tennessee Volunteers at Florida Gators (-14)

The Florida Gators (1-1 SU, 0-2 ATS) and Tennessee Volunteers (2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS) will renew acquaintances in this fierce SEC rivalry.

The Gators are coming off a tough loss against in-state rivals Miami Hurricanes but a bye week will help them prepare for the Volunteers, who were hammered by the Oregon Ducks 59-14.

Korner and his team fully expect the Gators to win. It's just a question of by how much.

"All five of us were between 13.5 and 15 so we sent out 14," said Korner. "The line should hold right around there so I don't think you'll see too much up or down from the two touchdown area."

Auburn Tigers at LSU Tigers (-18)

Another battle in the SEC features the Auburn Tigers (3-0 SU, 1-2 ATS) traveling to Baton Rouge to face the LSU Tigers (3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS).

Auburn might be 3-0 and are coming off a victory against Mississippi State, but the Tigers haven't proven anything to Korner.

"Most of the guys were between 15 and 18," he says. "I just think Auburn is a mediocre team and LSU at home is always tough. I just have to see Auburn play better than what we've seen for this to be any lower."

Clemson Tigers at NC State Wolfpack (+12)

Week 4 of the NCAA schedule opens with the Clemson Tigers (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS) at the NC State Wolfpack (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS).

Clemson has looked sharp after defeating Georgia in Week 1 and thrashing South Carolina State in Week 2.

WR Charone Peake (eight receptions, 84 yards) tore his ACL during a midweek practice and is out for the rest of the season. But the Tigers boast weapons all over the field and open as double-digit favorites.

"We put it at Clemson -12," Korner states. "Gun to my head says this line goes maybe a little higher. Clemson is obviously the stronger of the two and we know when we have a standalone game like this, everyone bets favorites."

Michigan State Sparatans at Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-7.5)

The Irish (2-1 SU, 0-3 ATS) were not overly convincing in their 31-24 victory over the Purdue Boilermakers but will open as favorites against the Spartans (3-0 SU, 1-2 ATS).

"We were all around a touchdown and I stuck with a 7.5," says Korner. "There's nothing out there that leads me to believe that this should be higher or lower. Notre Dame was a little bit challenged this week against Purdue but they should be better prepared this time."

Norm Hitzges

Bengals

Dave Tuley

Steelers

Jimmy Boyd

4* (NFL) Cincinnati Bengals -6.5

Tale of the tape: Steelers at Bengals

Monday Night Football will be a heated affair as the Pittsburgh Steelers travel to face the Cincinnati Bengals in an AFC North battle. Pittsburgh has fared well in Cincy, however, having won three straight games at Paul Brown Stadium. Both teams sputtered out of the gate in Week 1 and will be hungry to put one in the winning column.

Offense

The Bengals boast one of the most exciting wide receivers in the league in A.J. Green. Green had nine catches for 162 yards and a pair of touchdowns in the Bengals' Week 1 loss to the Bears. Cincy must get the running game going as they mustered just 63 yards on 21 total attempts. BenJarvus Green-Ellis was ineffective averaging 1.8 yards per carry.

Ben Roethlisberger and the Pittsburgh offense did nothing in the 16-9 loss versus the Tennessee Titans in Week 1. Roethlisberger finished 21-of-33 for 191 yards while the rushing attack - and 'attack' is a loose term - totaled just 31 yards. LaRod Stephens-Howling was the leading rusher with 19 yards on six carries. They did re-sign RB Jonathan Dwyer who burned the Bengals for a career-high 122 yards in a 24-17 win at Cincinnati last season.

Edge: Bengals

Defense

Former Steelers LB James Harrison gets to face his old team and says he feels better than he has in a long time. The Bengals, who finished with 51.0 sacks in 2012, did not get to Jay Cutler in Week 1 and will look remedy that against the Steelers. We know they can pressure the passer, we just didn't see it in Week 1.

The Steelers defense was able to keep Tennessee at bay for the bulk of the game and held them to just 229 total yards. They reached Titans QB Jake Locker once for a sack and recorded four tackles for a loss, but the Bengals offense will be a different beast than Locker and the Titans.

Edge: Bengals

Special Teams

Bengals kicker Mike Nugent did not get to attempt a field goal in Week 1. Nugent played in just 12 games last season and finished 19-of-23 for a pedestrian 82.6 percent which ranked him No. 20 in the league.

Shaun Suisham is probable for the Steelers as he deals with a hamstring injury and did not attempt a field goal in Week 1. He is, however, one of the top kickers in the game and finished with a 90.3 percent success rate last year. He's very steady from 40-49 yards and went 12-for-12 in such situations last season.

Edge: Steelers

Notable quotable

"It was three fulls and two halves so I'm going to call it five. To be honest with you, I just know the numbers. He jokes about it that he's the reason I'm in the league." - Bengals LB James Harrison when asked about the sacks he collected when he last faced Roethlisberger in college.

"We can't go in a shell, that's the most important thing. We go out and handle our business, I think everyone knows we have the players, we have the athlets, we can be a really good team." - Steelers guard Ramon Foster.

Steelers at Benglas: What bettors need to know

Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals (-6.5, 41)

The Pittsburgh Steelers will try to rebound from one of their more feeble offensive performances in recent memory when they visit the Cincinnati Bengals on Monday night in a matchup of two teams expected to vie for the AFC North crown. The Steelers are coming off a disastrous Week 1 loss to Tennessee in which they managed only 195 total yards and lost three players to season-ending injuries. The Bengals blew an 11-point, second-half lead in a 24-21 opening loss to Chicago.

Pittsburgh managed only 32 yards rushing and lost three-time Pro Bowl center Maurkice Pouncey for the season due to torn knee ligaments, prompting head coach Mike Tomlin to understate: "We've got a lot of work to do." The first step comes against a rugged Cincinnati defense that includes former Steelers linebacker James Harrison, the 2008 NFL Defensive Player of the Year who signed with the Bengals in the offseason. The Steelers have history on the side, having won 10 of their last 11 in Cincinnati.

TV: 8:40 p.m. ET, ESPN.

LINE: The Bengals opened as a 6.5-point favorites at most shops. The total opened at 40.5 and has moved to 41.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-60s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow across the field at 7 mph.

ABOUT THE STEELERS (0-1): Ben Roethlisberger became the 35th quarterback to surpass the 30,000-yard mark for his career but that was about the only offensive highlight for Pittsburgh, which did not get into the end zone until there were 83 seconds to play. The running game was non-existent, managing a paltry 32 yards, and there seems no easy solution in sight after news that rookie Le'Veon Bell will miss at least another month with a foot injury suffered in the preseason. The defense played well, holding Tennessee to 229 total yards, but Roethlisberger was sacked five times and Isaac Redman lost two fumbles to stall the offense.

ABOUT THE BENGALS (0-1): Third-year wide receiver A.J. Green was on his way to a career game and Cincinnati was having its way with Chicago after putting together three touchdown drives of at least 80 yards to take a 21-10 midway through the third quarter versus Chicago. Green finished with nine catches for 162 yards and two scores and Andy Dalton threw for 282 yards but was picked off twice. The running game did nothing, with BenJarvus Green-Ellis managing only 25 yards on 14 carries, while a defense that was among the league leaders with 51 sacks last season failed to register one and allowed the Bears to possess the ball for the final 6:38.

TRENDS:

* The Steelers are 13-2-1 ATS in their last 16 meetings in Cincinnati.
* Favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings.
* Under is 8-0 in Steelers last eight games in Week 2.
* Bengals are 1-4 ATS in their last five Monday games.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. The Steelers, who haven't started 0-2 since 2002, are 7-1 on Monday Night Football under Tomlin.

2. Dalton has nine touchdowns and one interception in his last four home games.

3. Pittsburgh re-signed RB Jonathan Dwyer, who ran for a career-high 122 yards in a 24-17 win at Cincinnati last season.

Monday's MLB American League betting cheat sheet

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes for Monday's American League games:

Seattle Mariners at Detroit Tigers (-200, 9)

Cold pitching stat: Mariners left-hander Joe Saunders has had a dismal second half, going 3-6 with a 7.11 ERA and 11 home runs allowed in 55 2/3 innings since the All-Star break.

Cold batting stat: Members of the Seattle roster are hitting a paltry .119 with one home run in 59 at-bats against Tigers starter Rick Porcello.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-50s with sunny skies. Wind will blow from left to right field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 20-8-1 in the last 29 meetings at Comerica Park.


Texas Rangers at Tampa Bay Rays (-133, 7.5)

Cold pitching stat: Rays right-hander Alex Cobb is winless in his last four starts, and has surrendered seven runs over 11 innings in his previous two outings.

Cold batting stat: Rangers OF Alex Rios is batting just .192 with eight strikeouts in 26 at-bats versus Tampa Bay this season.

Weather: Dome.

Key betting note: The under is 5-0 in the last five meetings at Tropicana Field.


Cleveland Indians at Kansas City Royals (-154, 8)

Hot pitching stat: Royals right-hander James Shields faced the Indians on Wednesday and was sensational over eight innings, allowing two runs on four hits in a 6-2 victory.

Hot batting stat: Kansas City 1B Eric Hosmer is 5-for-12 in his career against Cleveland lefty Scott Kazmir.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-60s with a 25 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms. Wind will blow from right to left field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The Royals have won 15 of Shields' last 20 starts.


Minnesota Twins at Chicago White Sox (OFF, OFF)

Cold pitching stat: Twins starter Liam Hendriks is 0-2 while surrendering four home runs in 19 2/3 career innings against the White Sox.

Hot batting stat: White Sox DH Adam Dunn is hitting .288 with seven home runs and 14 RBIs in 16 games versus the Twins in 2013.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-60s with sunny skies. Wind will blow from left to right field at 9 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 11-4 in Hendriks' last 15 road starts.


Los Angeles Angels at Oakland Athletics (-140, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Angels left-hander C.J. Wilson is 7-0 with a 3.57 ERA in 11 second-half starts.

Cold batting stat: Los Angeles OF Mike Trout, a .318 career hitter, is batting just .257 with 43 strikeouts in 136 career at-bats against Oakland.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-60s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to right field at 8 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 23-2-2 in Wilson's last 27 road starts.


Interleague

Cincinnati Reds at Houston Astros (OFF, OFF)

Cold pitching stat: The Astros are 0-9 in Erik Bedard's previous 9 starts.

Hot batting stat: Cincinnati 1B Joey Votto is batting .367 in 248 career at-bats against Houston.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-80s with mostly cloudy skies. Wind will blow out to left field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 7-2 in Cincinnati's last nine interleague road contests.


Odds, stats, weather forecast and probable pitchers as of 8:29 p.m. ET Sunday.

Monday's MLB National League betting cheat sheet

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes for Monday's National League games:

Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals (-105, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Nationals right-hander Dan Haren is coming off one of his best outings of the season, allowing one hit over six shutout innings en route to a 3-0 triumph over the New York Mets.

Hot batting stat: Washington C Wilson Ramos has dominated the all-time matchup with Atlanta starter Mike Minor, going 6-for-8 with a homer against him.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-60s with sunny skies. Wind will blow in from left-center field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: Atlanta is 12-2 in Minor's last 14 starts against teams with winning records.


San Diego Padres at Pittsburgh Pirates (-163, 7)

Hot pitching stat: Padres right-hander Andrew Cashner is 4-3 with a 2.72 ERA and four home runs allowed in 59 2/3 innings since the All-Star break.

Cold batting stat: San Diego 3B Chase Headley is 2-for-11 with seven strikeouts against the Pirates this season.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-60s under partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow from left to right field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 20-7 in Pirates right-hander A.J. Burnett's last 27 home starts.


Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies (-210, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Phillies left-hander Cliff Lee is 3-0 in his last five starts and has surrendered just seven earned runs over 36 innings in that span.

Hot batting stat: Marlins OF Giancarlo Stanton is 7-for-16 with a home run and three RBIs lifetime against Lee.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-60s under sunny skies. Wind will blow in from left-center field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: Philadelphia is 6-2 in Lee's last eight Monday starts.


Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers (-130, 8)

Cold pitching stat: Cubs starter Edwin Jackson has surrendered 11 home runs to the Brewers; only the Toronto Blue Jays (16) have hit more against him.

Hot batting stat: Milwaukee C Jonathan Lucroy is 9-for-24 with two homers and six RBIs against Jackson.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-50s with sunny skies. Wind will blow in from left field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The Cubs have won just six of their previous 26 games in Milwaukee.


St. Louis Cardinals at Colorado Rockies (OFF, OFF)

Hot pitching stat: Cardinals starter Lance Lynn allowed one run on five hits over six innings of work in a win against the Milwaukee Brewers in his last start.

Hot batting stat: Colorado 1B Todd Helton has walked in all three career plate appearances against Lynn.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-60s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow out to left-center field at 4 mph.

Key betting note: The Cardinals have lost seven of Lynn's last eight road starts.


Los Angeles Dodgers at Arizona Diamondbacks (-105, 8.5)

Cold pitching stat: Diamondbacks starter Trevor Cahill allowed three runs (one earned) in a 5-3 loss to the Dodgers in his last start on Sept. 10.

Cold batting stat: Los Angeles 1B Adrian Gonzalez is batting .404 with three homers and 11 RBIs in 15 games versus Arizona in 2013.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-90s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to left field at 5 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Arizona.


Odds, stats, weather forecast and probable pitchers as of 8:23 p.m. ET Sunday.

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Panthers (-3) on Sunday and likes the Pirates on Monday.

The deficit is 1303 sirignanos.

Sixth Sense

NFL

Steelers

Pointspreadpros

NFL Week 2 Top Play

Steelers +7