Service Plays Wednesday 9/18/13

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GL!

Football lines that make you go hmmm...
By JASON LOGAN

We’ve seen this "Rope-a-Dope" from the New York Giants before.

New York, which is 0-2 SU and ATS out of the gate, lost its opening two games of the 2007 season in similar fashion, dropping to Dallas in Week 1 and getting blown out of the water by Green Bay in Week 2.

That New York team would rebound from that 0-2 start to win 10 of its final 14 games SU and ATS, make the playoffs, fight its way to the NFC Championship, and stun the undefeated New England Patriots in Super Bowl XLII.

So you can excuse us for being a little skeptical of the Giants as 1-point road underdogs in Carolina this Sunday. They actually opened as high as 2.5-point pups at some books.

New York is better than its record indicates. If not for a turnover bonanza, the Giants would have likely beaten the Cowboys in the opener, and Week 2’s loss to the Broncos wouldn’t have the G-Men scrambling for the panic button.

According to beat writer Art Stapleton of the N.J. Record, only three teams have gone on to make the playoffs after starting 0-3 since 1990 and none since 1998. That factoid makes this Sunday’s trip to Carolina even more important for New York.

And, just in case you were wondering, the 2007 Giants followed that 0-2 start with a 24-17 win at Washington in Week 3 as 3.5-point underdogs – starting a streak of six straight wins in which N.Y. went 5-1 ATS.

NFL

Oakland Raiders at Denver Broncos (-14.5, 49)

Rarely do you get to say two touchdowns is not enough when talking about NFL spreads. But, here we are.

The Broncos look like world beaters, smoking the defending Super Bowl champs and thumping the one team that may have the most inside info on Peyton Manning (H/T Eli) in the first two weeks of the season. Denver has outscored opponents 90-50 through those two games, winning by an average of 20 points against two very good teams.

The Oakland Raiders are not a very good team. A close loss to Indianapolis – which plays every game close – and a win over Jacksonville – which could be the worst team in NFL history – has everyone’s Silver and Black panties in the bunch.

If Denver’s defense can pick off a total of six passes against Super Bowl MVPs like Eli Manning and Joe Flacco, a forgotten Heisman winner like Terrelle Pryor doesn’t stand a chance.

NCAAF

West Virginia Mountaineers at Maryland Terrapins (-5.5)

The Terps are 3-0 and looking for their first 4-0 start since 2001. But standing in Maryland’s way is a familiar foe – West Virginia. Oddsmakers have this one hanging at Maryland -5.5, moving up from as low as -4.

The Mountaineers have owned the Terrapins in recent years, winning seven straight and going 5-2 ATS in that span. If this is the year Maryland gets over the hump, a win over WVU is the first step.

That sounds a lot easier than it really is. West Virginia isn’t running and gunning like the last few years under Geno Smith. The ‘Neers struggled to put up points in their loss to Oklahoma but will be facing a depleted Maryland secondary that has two new starters in at corner.

Maryland backers can’t afford to give up a couple quick scores over the top at his wonky spread.

Exposing the Top 25: Where the polls went wrong
By JESSE SCHULE

Each week throughout the college football season, Covers Expert Jesse Schule will dissect the new Top 25 rankings, looking for betting value. He'll showcase the most overrated team, along with the most underrated ranked team, and an unranked squad that he feels should be in the Top 25.

Most underrated Top 25 team: Wisconsin Badgers (2-1 SU, 3-0 ATS)

The Badgers suffered their first loss this weekend, but it was not without controversy. By all rights, they should have been able to kick a chip-shot field goal with seconds remaining on the clock in Arizona, but officials appeared to have been confused, failing to spot the ball and letting time expire.

Arizona State won the game by a score of 32-30, but the Pac-12 Conference has conceded that the officials "fell short of the high standard in which Pac-12 games should be managed."

Most overrated Top 25 team: Northwestern Wildcats (3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS)

The Wildcats have beat up on inferior opponents in the first three weeks, with wins over Syracuse, Cal and Western Michigan. They aren't likely to have much trouble with the Maine Black Bears this weekend, but the October schedule gets a lot more challenging.

With upcoming games against Ohio State, Wisconsin, Minnesota and Iowa, they could be out of the Top 25 in a hurry.

Unranked team that should be ranked: Michigan State Spartans (3-0 SU, 1-2 ATS)

There’s no question that the Spartans are a great team defensively, but their lack of scoring prowess hasn't impressed pollsters in the first few weeks.

Connor Cook completed 15-of-22 passes for 202 yards and four touchdowns in a 55-17 win over Youngstown State on the weekend. Michigan State also gained 277 yards on the ground in that game.

We'll see if they can take some of that momentum into South Bend this weekend, they might just be catching Notre Dame at a good time.

Beyond the BCS: Capping college football's small conferences
By DOC'S SPORTS

Some of the best betting value in college football is hiding beyond the BCS, in the small conferences. Each week, Covers Experts’ Doc’s Sports will look at the little programs that could help you make big cash this college season.

Team to watch: Wyoming Cowboys

This week: -3.5 at Air Force

Wyoming is off to a solid start as it heads into its Mountain West opener against Air Force. The Cowboys lost at Nebraska 37-34, then scored a pair of blowouts over Idaho and Northern Colorado. They are 3-0 against the spread so far, 6-1 ATS in their last seven overall dating back to last year, and 6-0 ATS in their last six against teams with losing records.

A losing record is exactly what Air Force has after getting clobbered 52-20 and 42-20 by Utah State and Boise State, respectively. The Falcons are 1-7 ATS in their last eight overall, 1-4 ATS in their last five conference games, and 0-4 ATS in their last four at home. They may have a tough time stopping Wyoming Saturday. Air Force is giving up 474.3 yards per contest, while the Cowboys’ offense is going for an average of 534.3 yards - including 316.3 through the air.

Team to beware: Boise State Broncos

This week: +3 at Fresno State

This doesn’t appear to be one of the better Boise State teams. The Broncos edged Washington 28-26 in last season’s Las Vegas Bowl then got destroyed at Washington 38-6 in their 2013 opener on August 31. They are 1-5 ATS in their last six overall and 3-12 ATS in their last 15 conference games.

Senior quarterback Joe Southwick completed just 11 of 22 passes for 113 yards with one TD and one pick against Fresno State last year. Against Washington three weeks ago, he was 25 of 40 for 152 yards with no scores and one interception. The favorite is 11-0 ATS in the last 11 meetings between these two teams. Fresno State is a field-goal favorite at home Friday.

Total team: Florida Atlantic Owls

This week: 47 vs. Middle Tennessee

Florida Atlantic’s offense is far from a juggernaut. It mustered only 19 total points against Miami and East Carolina, with two quarterbacks combining to throw one touchdown and three interceptions in three games. The Owls are still without the suspended Damian Fortner, who was the team’s feature running back throughout the first half of last season. Their defense, though, limited South Florida to 10 points - none in the final three quarters - last Saturday.

The under is 4-0 in FIU’s last four overall. The Owls are going up against a Middle Tennessee team that has watched the total go under in five of its last six overall and four of its last five road games.

NFL line watch: Washington bettors shouldn't waste time
By ART ARONSON

Each week during the pro football season, Covers Expert Art Aronson looks at the NFL odds and tells you which spread to bet now, which one to bet later, and which total to watch as the week plays out.

Spread to bet now

Detroit Lions at Washington Redskins (Pick)

If you're a Washington fan, you may want to consider jumping on your team as fast as possible. This line opened at a pick’em (still available at some books), but is already starting to climb.

After holding on for a 34-24 win at home versus Minnesota in their opener, the Lions took to the road for a game in Arizona and lost 25-21 as 1-point favorites in Week 2. With a second straight road contest, games versus the Bears and the Packers looming, and facing a desperate Redskins team this week, the public is going to start jumping on the home side in this situation.

Washington has started the year 0-2 after finishing 10-6 and clinching the NFC East in 2012. It looked flat-footed in the opener versus the Eagles and shell shocked in a 38-20 loss as a 9-point dog in Green Bay last week. It's hard to believe that there are now questions regarding whether or not RG III should make way for backup Kirk Cousins (don't worry Skins fans, coach Mike Shanahan has quashed that line of thinking: "We have a lot of confidence in Robert.").

Lions bettors are keeping an eye on RB Reggie Bush. News early in the week says his knee injury is not as bad as initially thought and that the dynamic back could be in the lineup Sunday. If he's not, expect this line to climb even higher.

Spread to wait on

Indianapolis Colts at San Francisco 49ers (-11.5)

If you're a fan of the 49ers, consider waiting until closer to kickoff before jumping on your team. This line opened at -11.5 and is already dropping.

Teams that make it all the way to the Super Bowl and lose, more often than not, struggle the following season. San Francisco was looking to buck that trend in Week 1 and wiped the floor with the Packers. Last week's divisional battle in Seattle was primed to be a classic as well, but that wasn't the case as the Seahawks handled the visitors 29-3.

Andrew Luck and the 1-1 Colts are quickly garnering interest from the general betting public. Luck returns to the West Coast after stumbling in a 24-20 setback to the Dolphins last week. But with a "cream puff" in Jacksonville on deck, there will be no looking ahead for Indianapolis - perhaps another big reason this line continues to fall.

Total to watch

Oakland Raiders at Denver Broncos (49)

If you're a fan of Overs, you may want to consider jumping on this one right away. This line initially opened at 48.5, but it's already starting to climb. There are still a lot of 49s out there, but a few 49.5s are starting to hit the board.

Peyton Manning already has nine TD passes after the first two games (Denver has a combined 90 points in that span), which has this spread on the rise.

It's hard to get a true read on the Raiders quite yet. They lost 21-17 in Indianapolis in Week 1 - a game which they actually controlled for the most part - and then beat the toothless Jaguars 19-9 in Week 2.

Until someone can actually prove that they can stop Denver's offensive assault, expect the public to keep hammering the Over.

Wednesday's Champions League betting cheat sheet

Wednesday's Champions League action features a few more intriguing matches than what we saw Tuesday. The "Group of Death" opens with a pair of tasty matchups as does Group H, which could be called "Group of Death 2" as it features Milan, Barca, Ajax and Celtic.

Napoli v Borussia Dortmund (+200, +240, +150)

Why bet Napoli: No Cavani? No problem! Napoli is on top of the Serie A table after a blistering start in the league. Argentine striker Gonzalo Higuaín has filled the void left by Napoli hero Edinson Cavani who left for the riches of PSG. Higuaín has tallied a pair of goals and an assist in his three Serie A appearances and may have resurrected memories of another Argentine legend who played for I ciucciarelli. Napoli may have lost Cavani and Levezzi over the past couple of seasons, but the free-flowing attack still exists with players such as Lorenzo Insigne, Marek Hamsik and José Callejón maintaining the tradition of beautiful football being played at the San Paolo.

Why bet Dortmund: Well, they did get to the final of the Champions League last season and even though playmaker Mario Götze left for bitter-rivals Bayern Munich, they have seemingly not missed a beat. Götze was replaced by the exciting Henrikh Mkhitaryan and they added winger/striker Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang from French club Saint Etienne and are arguably better than last season. They sit atop the Bundesliga table having won all five of their matches and play some of the most beautiful football in Europe. Whatever the result, this promises to be a match full of awe-inspiring, attacking play and a ton of skilled playmakers and scorers.

Key betting note: Napoli have not won any of their previous seven matches against German opponents in European competition (2 draws, five losses).

Marseille v Arsenal (+200, +240, +150)

Why bet Marseille: Marseille will be in tough with the Gunners in town and have not been in the best form in Ligue 1 with a draw away to Toulouse and a loss at home to Monaco. But this is a side that has talent and determination. L'OM have one of the best strikers in French football in André-Pierre Gignac who is a handful for any club. Playmaker Mathieu Valbuena might be small in stature but is a dynamic passer of the ball in the final third. Stade Vélodrome is one of the most hostile envirnoments on the continent and can be an intimidating place to get a result. But, quite frankly, Marseille just don't fare well against English sides. They have won just one of their previous nine CL games against teams from across the Channel. That was against Chelsea in 2010.

Why bet Arsenal: This could be brief and just say, "because they have Mesut Özil", but the Gunners have actually played some great football to start their Premier League campaign and are much more than their new German playmaker. Striker Olivier Giroud has found the form that he had when he led Montpellier to the Ligue 1 title in 2011-12. Giroud has four goals in four matches in the EPL and has also notched an assist. However, he is not confirmed to play Wednesday, though he himself said that his ankle was fine. Welsh midfielder Aaron Ramsey has seemingly begun to live up to his potential. The 22-year-old is playing the best football of his career and has cemented a place in Arsène Wenger's starting XI. Arsenal is playing in a way that is reminiscent of "The Invincibles" side that won the League title in 2003-04.

Key betting note: The Gunners were 1-0 victors the last time the the two clubs met in Champions League in the 2011-12 group stage.

Wednesday's other matches with odds:

AC Milan v Celtic (-200, +333, +700)
Atletico Madrid v Zenit St. Petersburg (-175, +320, +550)
Barcelona v Ajax (-700, +900, +1800)
Chelsea v Basel (-333, +475, +1100)
Austria Vienna v Porto (+700, +333, -200)
Schalke v Steaua Bucharest (-225, +350, +800)

Wednesday's MLB American League betting cheat sheet

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes for Wednesday's American League games:

Minnesota Twins at Chicago White Sox (-132, 8.5)

Cold pitching stat: Twins left-hander Scott Diamond is 0-5 in eight starts since beating the White Sox back on June 20.

Hot batting stat: White Sox slugger Adam Dunn has two home runs and four RBIs in 14 career at-bats against diamond.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s with a 30 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms. Wind will blow from right to left field at 11 mph.

Key betting note: The White Sox are 2-9 in right-hander John Danks' last 11 starts.

Los Angeles Angels at Oakland Athletics (-157, 8)

Hot pitching stat: Athletics right-hander A.J. Griffin was won four consecutive starts, racking up 28 strikeouts over 32 innings in that span.

Hot batting stat: Los Angeles OF Josh Hamilton is 5-for-10 lifetime against Griffin.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s with sunny skies. Wind will blow from left to right field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 7-1 in umpire Paul Emmel's last eight games behind home plate against Oakland.

New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays (-116, 9.5)

Cold pitching stat: Yankees right-hander Phil Hughes has gone 12 appearances without a victory, a stretch that includes a 5-2 loss to Toronto on Aug. 26.

Cold batting stat: Blue Jays C J.P. Arencibia has just one hit in 14 at-bats and has struck out seven times against Hughes.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-60s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to center field at 5 mph.

Key betting note: New York is just 1-11 in Hughes' last 12 Wednesday starts.

Seattle Mariners at Detroit Tigers (-177, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Mariners right-hander Hisashi Iwakuma is 7-3 with a 2.65 ERA in 15 road starts this season.

Cold batting stat: Seattle OF Raul Ibanez is 3-for-29 with two RBIs in his career against Tigers ace Justin Verlander.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-60s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow in from center field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 9-2-2 in Iwakuma's last 13 starts against teams with winning records.

Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox (-154, 8.5)

Hot pitching stat: Red Sox right-hander Jake Peavy is 3-1 with a 3.66 ERA in eight starts since joining Boston in a trade with the Chicago White Six.

Cold batting stat: Orioles SS J.J. Hardy has just one hit and four strikeouts in 14 career at-bats against Peavy.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-60s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to center field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: Boston is 10-1 in its last 11 games against a left-handed starter.

Texas Rangers at Tampa Bay Rays (-141, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Rays right-hander Chris Archer is coming off one of his best outings of the season, throwing six shutout innings with seven strikeouts in a 3-0 victory over Minnesota.

Hot batting stat: Tampa Bay 3B Evan Longoria has been red-hot when facing Texas starter Derek Holland, going 9-for-24 with three home runs and eight RBIs against him.

Weather: Dome.

Key betting note: The under is 9-2 in Archer's last 11 starts against teams with winning records.

Cleveland Indians at Kansas City Royals (-133, 8)

Hot pitching stat: Royals left-hander Bruce Chen stymied the Indians in their last encounter July 12, limiting them to one hit over six scoreless innings but settling for a no-decision in a 3-0 loss.

Hot batting stat: Indians OF Michael Brantley is hitting a sizzling .529 in 17 at-bats against Chen, including a 2-for-4 performance back on April 28.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-80s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow out to left-center field at 11 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 6-1-1 in Chen's last eight home starts.

Interleague

Cincinnati Reds at Houston Astros (+134, 9)

Hot pitching stat: Astros righty Brad Peacock has won back-to-back starts, surrendering just three runs while striking out 13 over 13 innings in that span.

Hot batting stat: Entering Tuesday, Reds OF Jay Bruce needs one home run to reach 30 for the third season in a row and is four RBIs shy of matching his career high of 99 set last season.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-80s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow out to left field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: Cincinnati is 9-1 in its last 10 games with umpire Tim McClelland behind home plate.

** Odds, stats, weather forecast and probable pitchers as of 6:35 p.m. ET Tuesday.

Wednesday's MLB National League betting cheat sheet

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes for Wednesday's National League games:

Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals (-107, 7)

Hot pitching stat: Nationals right-hander Ross Ohlendorf is 3-0 with a 2.86 ERA in four starts and four relief appearances at home this season.

Hot/Cold batting stat: Atlanta 3B Chris Johnson is 1-for-11 with four strikeouts in his career against Ohlendorf.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-60s under clear skies. Wind will blow out to left field at 4 mph.

Key betting note: Washington has won Ohlendorf's last six starts.

Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies (OFF, OFF)

Cold pitching stat: Marlins right-hander Nathan Eovaldi has been dreadful against Philadelphia in his career, going 0-4 with a 5.85 ERA in four starts.

Hot batting stat: Philadelphia C Carlos Ruiz and OF Domonic Brown are a combined 8-for-14 with three RBIs against Eovaldi.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-60s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to center field at 4 mph.

Key betting note: The road team is 9-2 in umpire Angel Hernandez's last 11 games behind home plate.

San Diego Padres at Pittsburgh Pirates (-159, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Pirates right-hander Charlie Morton has won both career starts against San Diego, allowing two runs over 12 1/3 innings in that span.

Cold batting stat: Members of the Pittsburgh roster are hitting a collective .242 in 33 at-bats against Padres starter Tyson Ross.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-60s under partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow in from right-center field at 4 mph.

Key betting note: San Diego is 2-10 in its previous 12 Wednesday games.

San Francisco Giants at New York Mets (+121, 7.5)

Cold pitching stat: Mets right-hander Aaron Harang is 0-4 in his last seven starts, allowing seven runs three times over that stretch.

Cold batting stat: Giants 3B Pablo Sandoval hasn't solved Harang, going just 4-for-23 lifetime against him.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-60s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to center field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: San Francisco is 1-4 in righty Matt Cain's last five outings following a quality start in his previous appearance.

Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers (-129, 8)

Hot pitching stat: Cubs left-hander Chris Rusin pitched well in defeat last time out, charged with two runs on four hits over seven innings of a 3-1 loss to the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Hot batting stat: Brewers OF Norichika Aoki has punished lefties in 2013, hitting .342 in 161 at-bats against them.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with a 50 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms. Wind will blow from right to left field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 5-1-1 in umpire Chad Fairchild's last seven Wednesday games behind home plate.

St. Louis Cardinals at Colorado Rockies (+133, 8.5)

Hot pitching stat: Cardinals right-hander Adam Wainwright has dominated Colorado in his career, going 5-1 with a 1.17 ERA in six starts and four relief appearances against them.

Cold batting stat: Rockies SS Troy Tulowitzki has just one hit in 11 career at-bats versus Wainwright.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow in from left field at 5 mph.

Key betting note: St. Louis is 7-1 in Wainwright's last eight road starts against teams with winning records.

Los Angeles Dodgers at Arizona Diamondbacks (-118, 9.5)

Hot pitching stat: Diamondbacks right-hander Brandon McCarthy is 2-1 with a 2.10 ERA over his last four starts.

Hot batting stat: Dodgers 3B Michael Young is a career .308 hitter with a homer and five RBIs in 26 at-bats against McCarthy.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-90s with clear skies. Wind will blow from left to right field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 5-1 in McCarthy's last six home starts.

** Odds, stats, weather forecast and probable pitchers as of 7:20 p.m. ET Tuesday.

LA Syndicate

Top MLB Plays

Pirates -155
Cubs/Brewers Over 8
Cardinals -150
Athletics -150

Chicago Syndicate

Top MLB Plays

Pirates -155
Braves +100
White Sox -130
Yankees/Blue Jays Over 9

The Factsman

Wednesday Video Pick

OVER 9.5 - New York vs Toronto
(P. Hughes -R - J.A. Happ -L)

Big NFL Favorites are Anything but a sure bet
by Jason Logan

The Seattle Seahawks opened as 20-point home favorites against the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 3, which is about as rare as a vampire's steak.

There have been only nine other NFL teams favored by 20 points or more since 1985, with those teams going just 1-8 ATS in that time frame. The most recent line of that magnitude was the New England Patriots, who were 20.5-point faves hosting the Indianapolis Colts in Week 13 of the 2011 season. The Manning-less Colts lost but covered in a 31-24 loss.

Some books have taken money on the Jaguars, dropping that monstrous line to Seattle -19.5, which is even more rare than 20-plus point spreads. There have been only three NFL games with a closing spread of 19.5 points since 1985, with those favorites posting a collective 2-1 ATS mark.

The biggest spread in the past 28 years is 24 points, which has actually shown up twice since 1985. The San Francisco 49ers were 24-point home favorites hosting the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 14 of the 1993 season. They won but failed to cover in a 21-8 victory. New England was the other 24-point chalk, hosting the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 12 of the 2007 schedule. The Patriots won but fell way short of the spread, edging the Eagles 31-28.

The lone 20-plus point favorite to cover that thick line were the 1991 Buffalo Bills, who beat the Colts 42-6 as a 20-point chalk in Week 7.

The Seahawks aren’t the only NFL team giving a wheelbarrow of points in Week 3. The Denver Broncos host the Oakland Raiders as 14.5-point favorites on Monday Night Football and were as big as -16.5 earlier in the week. Since 1985, favorites between 14 and 15 points are just 38-53-3 ATS (42 percent).

Overall, favorites of two touchdowns (-14) or more are 87-111-6 ATS (187-17 SU) since 1985, covering those massive piles of chalk at just a 44 percent rate.

The biggest underdog to ever win outright during that span were the 1995 Washington Redskins, who stunned the Dallas Cowboys, 24-17, as 17.5-point underdogs in Week 14.

Note: The most profitable big favorites are teams set between -15 and -16, going 21-15 ATS over the last 28 seasons.

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Braves (Game 1) on Tuesday and likes the A’s on Wednesday.

The deficit is 1440 sirignanos.

TMC Sports Advisors 0918

Rayas de Tapa Bay -150

Yankees de Nueva York -110

Medias Rojas de Boston -150

Piratas de Pittsburgh -150

Sun. 4-0
Mon. 2-1-1

Suerte

The Broker

SDL SPORTS PICKS

5* Pirates
5* Athletics
3* Giants

2-1 yesterday 4-1 since tracking

Wednesday Umpire Under Streakers

Cuzzi 16-0-1 L17 - Mariners/Tigers

Cooper 13-3-2 L18 - Rays/Rangers

West 7-2 L9 - Diamondbacks/Dodgers

98-43 ytd 70%

Jeff white prosportshandicappers

Cardinals-155

MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Washington is 6-0 when Ohlendorf starts (3-0, 3.31).
-- Rusin is 1-3, 2.50 in his last seven starts.
-- Cain is 2-3, 2.79 in his last seven starts.
-- Thornburg is 1-1, 2.10 in five starts this season.
-- Wainwright is 1-0, 0.60 in his last couple starts.
-- McCarthy is 2-1, 2.40 in his last four starts. Fife is 3-1, 2.70 in his last four starts, last of which was August 4.

-- Peacock is 2-0, 2.07 in his last couple starts.

-- Griffin is 4-0, 3.60 in his last four starts.
-- Iwakuma is 2-0, 2.27 in his last six starts.
-- Peavy is 2-0, 2.94 in his last five starts.
-- Salazar has a 1.57 RA in his last five starts, but only lasted 23 innings total; he seems to be on an 80-pitch limit.

Cold pitchers
-- Eovaldi is 1-4, 7.00 in his last five starts. ZMiner is 25-21, 3.72 in 35 starts in big leagues, but his last start was in '09-- he was 5-6, 3.90 in 12 AAA starts this season.
-- Wood is 0-1, 14.14 in his last two starts.
-- Ross is 0-3, 6.48 in his last five starts. Morton is 0-1, 10.80 in his last two.
-- Harang is 0-4, 7.32 in his last seven starts.
-- Chatwood is 0-0, 3.55 in three starts since coming off the DL.

-- Reynolds is 1-2, 4.74 in three starts this season.

-- Danks is 0-3, 10.67 in last three starts. Diamond is 0-2, 7.72 in his last three.
-- Vargas is 0-2, 9.42 in his last three starts.
-- Hughes is 0-6, 6.24 in his last eleven starts. Happ is 1-4, 7.13 in his last five.
-- Verlander is 1-2, 4.96 in his last five starts.
-- Archer is 1-2, 5.27 in his last three starts. Holland is 0-3, 12.15 in his last three outings.
-- WChen is 0-1, 8.10 in his last four starts.
-- BChen is 2-3, 6.75 in his last six starts.

Starting Pitchers/First Inning
You can wager on whether teams will score in the first inning. Below is how often a starting pitcher has allowed 1+ runs in first inning in one of his starts........
-- Eovaldi 5-15 (3 of last 5); ZMiner 0-0
-- Wood 2-10; Ohlendorf 2-5
-- Ross 5-13; Morton 3-17 (1 of last 9)
-- Cain 8-28 (1 of last 9); Harang 9-23 (3 of last 6)
-- Rusin 3-11; Thornburg 1-5
-- Wainwright 9-31 (5 of last 11); Chatwood 6-18
-- Fife 1-9; McCarthy 7-19 (3 of last 5)

-- Reynolds 1-3; Peacock 3-12 (0 of last 6)

-- Diamond 6-20 (1 of last 9); Danks 8-21
-- Vargas 3-21; Griffin 3-30
-- Hughes 8-27; Happ 4-15
-- Iwakuma 6-31 (1 of last 15); Verlander 9-31
-- Holland 6-30 (3 of last 4); Archer 7-20 (5 of last 8)
-- WChen 4-20 (1 of last 9); Peavy 2-21 (0 of 8 with Bos)
-- Salazar 2-8; BChen 3-12

Totals
-- Five of last seven Miami games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven Met games stayed under the total.
-- 11 of last 13 Atlanta games stayed under the total; 12 of last 17 Washington games went over..
-- Eight of last eleven San Diego games stayed under the total.
-- Nine of last eleven Cub games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Colorado games.
-- Six of last eight Arizona games went over the total.

-- Seven of last eleven Houston games stayed under the total.

-- Eight of last ten Detroit games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last eight Hughes starts went over the total.
-- Under is 10-3-1 in last fourteen Baltimore games.
-- Eight of ten Archer home starts stayed under total.
-- Nine of 12 BChen starts stayed under the total.
-- 11 of last 16 Minnesota games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Oakland games stayed under the total.


Hot teams
-- Phillies won eight of their last eleven games.
-- Washington won 12 of its last 14 games.
-- Giants won seven of their last nine games.
-- Pirates won six of their last nine games. San Diego won eight of last eleven.
-- Brewers won five of their last six games.
-- Cardinals won eight of their last eleven games.
-- Diamondbacks won four of their last six games.

-- Reds are 10-5 in their last fifteen games.

-- Detroit won six of its last seven games.
-- Red Sox won eight of their last eleven games.
-- Tampa Bay won four of its last six games.
-- Kansas City won eight of its last 11 home games. Indians won ten of their last fourteen games overall.
-- A's won nine of their last eleven games; Angels won nine of last thirteen


Cold teams
-- Miami lost ten of its last twelve games.
-- Braves lost nine of their last thirteen games.
-- Mets lost six of their last nine games.
-- Cubs are 11-24 in their last 35 games.
-- Colorado lost ten of its last fourteen games.
-- Dodgers lost nine of their last twelve games.


-- Houston lost ten of its last twelve home games.

-- Mariners lost eight of their last nine games.
-- Blue Jays lost five of their last seven games. Bronx lost last four games, allowing 26 runs.
-- Orioles are 3-4 in their last seven games.
-- Texas lost 10 of its last 12 games.
-- Twins lost 10 of their last 13 games; White Sox lost 15 of last 19.

Umpires
-- Mia-Phil-- Over is 15-5 in last twenty Hernandez games.
-- Atl-Wsh-- Underdogs won eight of last ten Bucknor games; under is 6-2-2 in his last ten games behind the plate.
-- SF-NY-- Home teams won four of last five Hickox games.
-- SD-Pitt-- Underdogs won eight of last eleven TWelke games.
-- Chi-Mil-- Four of last six Basner games went over the total.
-- StL-Col-- 18 of last 20 Danley games stayed under the total.
-- LA-Az-- Under is 12-5-1 in last eighteen West games.

-- Cin-Hst-- Three of last four McClelland games stayed under.

-- Sea-Det-- Under is 14-1-1 in last sixteen Cuzzi games.
-- Blt-Bos-- Over is 11-5-1 in last 17 Diaz games; underdogs won 18 of his last 30 games behind the plate.
-- NY-Tor-- Underdogs won last eight Iassogna games; under is 6-1-1 in those eight games.
-- Tex-TB-- Under is 9-1-1 in last eleven Cooper games.
-- Min-Chi-- Home side won 13 of last 14 Dimuro games.
-- Cle-KC-- Under is 14-5-1 in l;ast twenty Johnson games.
-- LA-A's-- Favorites won seven of last nine Meals games.