Service Plays Friday 9/20/13

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NCAAF
Long Sheet

Week 4

Friday, September 20

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


BOISE ST (2 - 1) at FRESNO ST (2 - 0) - 9/20/2013, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FRESNO ST is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
BOISE ST is 109-70 ATS (+32.0 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 109-70 ATS (+32.0 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 66-43 ATS (+18.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
BOISE ST is 67-42 ATS (+20.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
BOISE ST is 69-37 ATS (+28.3 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
BOISE ST is 63-33 ATS (+26.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
BOISE ST is 74-45 ATS (+24.5 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOISE ST is 2-0 against the spread versus FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons
BOISE ST is 2-0 straight up against FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

NCAAF
Short Sheet

Week 4

Friday, September 20th, 2013

Boise State at Fresno State, 9:00 ET ESPN
Boise State: 3-11 ATS after scoring 37+ points
Fresno State: 14-4 ATS playing on artificial turf

NCAAF

Week 4

Trend Report

Friday, September 20

9:00 PM
BOISE STATE vs. FRESNO STATE
Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Fresno State
Boise State is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Fresno State's last 6 games at home
Fresno State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

NCAA Football Game Picks

Boise State at Fresno State

The Broncos look to build on their 11-1 ATS record in their last 12 games versus Fresno State. Boise State is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the Broncos favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Boise State (+3). Here are all of this week's games.

LA Syndicate

Top CFB Play

Boise State/Fresno State Over 68

Fresno State hosts Boise State Friday night
by Nick Bracken

Kickoff: Friday, 9:00 p.m. ET
Line: Fresno State -3, Total: 68

Boise State finds itself as a rare underdog Friday in Bulldog Stadium against an uprising Fresno State team eager to end its long losing skid in this series.

Fresno State hasn't always been a household name on the football field, but was 7-1 in the Mountain West last season. However, the Broncos have dominated this series with seven straight victories (both SU and ATS) over Fresno by a combined score of 319 to 103, or an average score of 46 to 15. Since 2001, Boise is 11-1 ATS versus the Bulldogs, including 5-1 ATS at Fresno. The Bulldogs haven't fared well when being stamped as a moderate favorite, going 1-4 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points in the past five such games. Fresno might not be great when favored, but has certainly been very strong against conference opponents, going 11-4 ATS (10-5 SU) over the past three seasons. On the flip side, Boise State has built a prestige over the years and is no longer the darling underdogs as they often once were. Being the underdog has treated the Broncos well, as they are 21-11 ATS as an underdog since 1993, including 4-1 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points.

Boise State is looking to rack up some quality wins and reclaim itself in the Top 25. The Broncos have gotten better play out of their senior QB Joe Southwick recently, who is coming off an impressive effort where he completed 27-of-29 passes for 287 yards and a touchdown. Southwick struggled in an embarrassing 38-6, season-opening loss to Washington, completing 25-of-40 passes for a pedestrian 152 yards. Boise gave Air Force a dose of its own medicine last week by running all over the Falcons for 229 yards. Leading the rushing attack was Jay Ajayi, who racked up 125 yards on just 17 carries (7.4 YPC). Ajayi wasn't the only standout in last week's victory; Junior Matt Miller grabbed a whopping 10 passes for 112 yards. If Miller and Southwick can get a groove going again on Friday, it will really put the pressure on a Fresno defense that has had its problems this year, allowing 51 points against Rutgers and giving up 416 total yards to Cal Poly.

Under center for the Bulldogs is a senior with a familiar last name. Derek Carr, younger brother of the former number one draft pick, David Carr, has been terrific this year and is a big reason why Fresno has a great chance to win its conference. Carr has thrown for eight touchdowns in the young year with only one interception. Carr threw the ball a ridiculous 73 times against Rutgers week one in which he completed 52 of them for 456 yards (6.2 YPC) and also managed five scores with just one interception. Carr's favorite two targets have been sophomore Davante Adams and senior Isaiah Burse. The two wideouts have combined for 36 catches for 340 yards and 4 TD in just two games. Adams reeled in 14 catches for 148 yards and two scores in the overtime win over Rutgers to start the season.

NCAAF

Week 4

Friday's games

Favorites covered the last 11 Boise-Fresno games; Broncos won/covered its last seven games with Fresno- they lost here 27-7 (+9.5) the last time they were series underdog, but won three visits since by combined score of 142-62 (47-21 average). Peterson is a ridiculous 86-7 coaching Boise, covering three of five times he was getting points- they lost 38-6 (+3) in only road game this year, at Washington- they lost 13 of 22 starters from LY's team. Fresno had unexpected week off last week because of the bad floods in Colorado; Bulldogs are 6-1 as home favorites under DeRuyter, in his second year coaching Fresno.

[h=1]Today's CFL Picks[/h] [h=2]Edmonton at Winnipeg[/h] The Blue Bombers look to take advantage of an Edmonton team that is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 games at Winnipeg. Winnipeg is the pick (+2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Blue Bombers favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+2 1/2). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

Boise State at Fresno State: What bettors need to know

Boise State Broncos at Fresno State Bulldogs (-3.5, 68.5)

Fresno State looks to snap a seven-game losing streak to Boise State when the teams meet at Bulldog Stadium on Thursday in a key Mountain West matchup. No. 25 Fresno State is ranked for the first time since 2008 and seeking its first 3-0 start since 2004. The Bulldogs had an unexpected bye last week when flooding forced the cancellation of their game at Colorado, while Boise State has bounced back from its season-opening loss at Washington with two straight wins, including a 42-20 victory over Air Force on Saturday.

Boise State dominated the series from 2006-11, winning by an average score of 50-16 before holding on for a 20-10 victory at home last season. Thursday’s contest figures to be a shootout, with Fresno State ranked 11th in the FBS in scoring offense at 46.5 points per game and Boise State averaging 37. The game features two of the top quarterbacks on the West Coast in Fresno State’s Derek Carr and the Broncos’ Joe Southwick, who set a school accuracy record last week by completing 27-of-29 passes for 287 yards.

TV: 9 p.m. ET, ESPN.

LINE: Fresno State opened as high as -4.5 and has been bet down to -3. Some books are seeing buyback on FSU at that key number, moving the spread to -3.5. The total has moved from 67.5 to 68.5.

WEATHER: Temperatures in mid 70s with partly cloudy skies and a 2 percent chance of rain. Winds blowing west at 5 mph.

ABOUT BOISE STATE (2-1, 1-0 Mountain West, 1-2 ATS): The Broncos’ offensive line did not allow a sack in two of their first three games, and sophomore Jay Ajayi rushed for a career-high 125 yards and four touchdowns against Air Force. At 6-3 and 222 pounds, junior wide receiver Matt Miller could be in for a big game against a Fresno State secondary that has struggled against physical receivers. The Broncos limited Air Force to 99 passing yards last week, and cornerback Bryan Douglas will need to continue his strong play against the explosive Fresno State aerial attack.

ABOUT FRESNO STATE (2-0, 0-2 ATS): Carr has been as good as advertised, especially at home, where he’s thrown 31 touchdown passes against four interceptions in his last eight games. Sophomore wide receiver Davante Adams has made a TD reception in 10 straight games and senior wideout Isaiah Burse has 338 all-purpose yards in the first two games, but the Bulldogs have struggled to establish a running game. Fresno State has caused a turnover in 16 straight games, but they enter Thursday ranked 111th in the FBS in total defense.

TRENDS:

* Favorite is 11-0 ATS in their last 11 meetings.
* Broncos are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 meetings.
* Broncos are 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings in Fresno State.
* Bulldogs are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games overall. Broncos are 23-9 ATS in their last 32 road games.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. The Bulldogs are 10-0 under head coach Tim DeRuyter when scoring 30 or more points in a game.

2. Since the 2000 season, Boise State is 94-7 (.931) in conference games - the highest winning percentage in the country during that period.

3. Fresno State has won eight straight home games with an average margin of victory of 25.9 points.

Friday's MLB American League betting cheat sheet

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes for Friday's American League games:

Houston Astros at Cleveland Indians (-225, 8)

Hot pitching stat: Astros left-hander Brett Oberholtzer is 2-1 with a 2.93 ERA in 27 2/3 road innings this season.

Hot batting stat: Houston 1B Chris Carter is 3-for-5 with a homer against Cleveland starter Zach McAllister.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s with a 60 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms. Wind will blow out to right-center field at 13 mph.

Key betting note: Cleveland is 7-1 in its last eight games against a left-handed starter.


Chicago White Sox at Detroit Tigers (-300, 8)

Hot pitching stat: Tigers right-hander Max Scherzer is 7-5 with a 2.58 ERA and 120 strikeouts in 115 1/3 career innings against the White Sox.

Cold batting stat: White Sox SS Alexei Ramirez has just four hits in 39 at-bats against Scherzer.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with an 80 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms. Wind will blow from right to left field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 10-2 in the Tigers' last 12 Friday games.


Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox (-222, 8.5)

Hot pitching stat: Red Sox lefty Jon Lester is 2-0 with a 1.96 ERA in his last three starts, all against American League East foes.

Cold batting stat: Blue Jays C J.P. Arencibia is batting .195 with 16 strikeouts in 41 career-at bats versus Lester.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-60s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to left field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: Boston is 10-2 in Lester's last 12 home starts.


Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays (-175, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Rays left-hander David Price has surrendered just one home run over his last nine games.

Hot batting stat: Tampa Bay 1B James Loney is a career .333 hitter with three home runs in 27 at-bats against Baltimore starter Jason Hammel.

Weather: Dome.

Key betting note: The under is 5-0 in Price's last five starts against the American League East.


Texas Rangers at Kansas City Royals (-120, 7.5)

Cold pitching stat: Rangers left-hander Martin Perez has lost consecutive starts, allowing seven runs over 11 1/3 innings in that stretch.

Hot batting stat: Texas 3B Adrian Beltre has five home runs and 15 RBIs in 54 all-time at-bats against Kansas City starter Ervin Santana.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-60s with sunny skies. Wind will blow from left to right field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The Rangers are 2-10 in their previous 12 games against American League Central teams.


Seattle Mariners at Los Angeles Angels (OFF, OFF)

Cold pitching stat: Mariners right-hander Erasmo Ramirez was torched for five runs on eight hits over four innings in his previous start.

Hot batting stat: Angels OF Mike Trout is hitting .393 with two homers and 10 RBIs in 61 at-bats against Seattle this season.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s under clear skies. Wind will blow out to center field at 5 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 4-1 in the last five head-to-head meetings.


Minnesota Twins at Oakland Athletics (-225, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Athletics right-hander Bartolo Colon has won back-to-back starts, allowing one run while striking out 14 over 14 innings in that span.

Cold batting stat: Entering Friday, Twins OF Josh Willingham has 14 home runs in 363 at-bats after belting 35 in 2012.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-60s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow out to right field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: Oakland is 10-2 in Colon's last 12 starts on five days' rest.


Interleague

San Francisco Giants at New York Yankees (-138, 8)

Cold pitching stat: Yankees left-hander CC Sabathia is 4-5 with a 6.58 ERA in 11 starts since the All-Star break.

Cold batting stat: New York 1B Mark Reynolds is 3-for-21 with 13 strikeouts against Giants starter Tim Lincecum.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with sunny skies. Wind will blow from right to left field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 8-2-2 in the Giants' last 12 interleague games.


** Odds, stats, weather forecast and probable pitchers as of 8:05 p.m. ET Thursday.

Friday's MLB National League betting cheat sheet

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes for Friday's National League games:

Atlanta Braves at Chicago Cubs (+114, OFF)

Cold pitching stat: Braves right-hander Paul Maholm is just 4-8 with a 5.86 ERA in 15 road starts this season.

Hot batting stat: Cubs SS Starlin Castro is a career 9-for-21 hitter with three doubles versus Maholm.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-70s with a 60 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms. Wind will blow out to right field at 12 mph.

Key betting note: Atlanta is 17-7 in its last 24 series openers.


Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates (-124, 6.5)

Hot pitching stat: Pirates left-hander Francisco Liriano has surrendered just three runs over 12 innings in his last two starts.

Cold batting stat: Reds OF Jay Bruce is batting just .148 with 17 strikeouts in 54 at-bats against the Pirates in 2013.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with a 35 percent chance of showers. Wind will blow from right to left field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: Pittsburgh has won Liriano's last seven home starts.


New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies (-202, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Phillies lefty Cole Hamels is 4-0 in his last nine starts and has surrendered three or fewer earned runs in each of them.

Hot batting stat: Mets OF Eric Young, Jr., is 7-for-17 in his career against Hamels.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to center field at 5 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 9-1-1 in Hamels' last 11 home starts.


Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals (-248, 7)

Hot pitching stat: Nationals right-hander Jordan Zimmermann has won his last three starts, allowing just seven runs in 19 innings over that stretch.

Hot batting stat: Washington OF Bryce Harper has homered twice in six at-bats against Marlins right-hander Jacob Turner.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow out to left field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: Miami has lost 10 of Turner's last 11 starts.


St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers (+157, 9)

Hot pitching stat: Cardinals rookie right-hander Shelby Miller has dominated the Brewers, going 3-0 with a 1.08 ERA in four starts against them.

Hot batting stat: St. Louis C Yadier Molina is hitting .364 with two home runs and nine RBIs in 55 at-bats against Milwaukee this season.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-60s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow out to left-center field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: The Cardinals have won six of the last seven games in Milwaukee.


Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies (-135, 9.5)

Cold pitching stat: Rockies right-hander Jhoulys Chacin is 0-2 in his last three starts, allowing 11 runs over 18 innings in that span.

Hot batting stat: Diamondbacks 1B Paul Goldschmidt has three home runs and 14 RBIs in 16 games against Colorado this season.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-60s with sunny skies. Wind will be calm.

Key betting note: Colorado is 6-1 in Chacin's last seven starts on four days' rest.


Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres (OFF, OFF)

Cold pitching stat: Dodgers right-hander Edinson Volquez is 0-1 with a 5.40 ERA in three starts and one relief appearance since joining Los Angeles from the San Diego Padres.

Cold batting stat: Members of the San Diego roster are hitting just .129 in 31 at-bats against Volquez.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-60s with sunny skies. Wind will blow from left to right field at 4 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 10-2-1 in San Diego's last 13 Friday games.


** Odds, stats, weather forecast and probable pitchers as of 8:07 p.m. ET Thursday.

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Pirates on Thursday and likes the Rays on Friday.

The deficit is 1468 sirignanos.

Eskimos at Blue Blombers: What bettors need to know

Edmonton Eskimos at Winnipeg Blue Bombers (+2.5, 50.5)

The Edmonton Eskimos finally broke out of their eight-game losing streak by beating the Winnipeg Blue Bombers last week. On Friday, the Eskimos will try for consecutive victories over the Blue Bombers when they travel to Winnipeg. Edmonton quarterback Mike Reilly threw three touchdowns and ran for 113 yards in the win - enough to earn him offensive player of the week honors and take the team rushing lead with 530 yards.

Winnipeg managed three sacks last week and is tied for the league lead with 41. Starting quarterback Justin Goltz was pulled for the second half last week and replaced by Max Hall, who fared slightly better but could not orchestrate a touchdown drive in the 25-7 loss. The Blue Bombers won their last home game, but unless they can slow down Reilly and establish their own offensive game - worst in the league with 224 points - even struggling opponents such as Edmonton might be too much to handle.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, TSN

ABOUT THE ESKIMOS (2-9): Reilly connected twice for touchdowns with slotback Fred Stamps, who leads the league in receiving yards with 821 and has already tied his career-high in touchdowns with nine. Linebacker J.C. Sherritt returned last week after undergoing surgery to repair his left hand but left the game in the fourth quarter. Sherritt finished with two tackles and recovered a fumble in the first quarter.

ABOUT THE BLUE BOMBERS (2-9): Winnipeg traded veteran quarterback Buck Pierce to BC, leaving Goltz and Hall as its two main options under centre. Slotback Terrence Edwards leads the team with 405 receiving yards, but only he and slotback Clarence Denmark (368) have more than 300 yards in the air. The Blue Bombers’ defensive line has accounted for 30 of the team’s 41 sacks and defensive end Alex Hall is tied for the league lead with 12.

TRENDS:

* Eskimos are 0-4 ATS in their last four meetings in Winnipeg.
* Under is 5-1-1 in the last seven meetings in Winnipeg.
* Eskimos are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.
* Blue Bombers are 0-4 ATS versus a team with a losing record.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Winnipeg announced Tuesday it will start Max Hall on Friday.

2. Edmonton’s defense - last in the West Division with 301 points allowed - has given up only 29 points over the last two games and has 12 sacks in its last three.

3. The Eskimos and Blue Bombers - a combined 4-18 in 2013 - are four points behind the Montreal Alouettes for the final playoff spot.

PGA Betting

Scott the favorite heading to Day 2

Henrik Stenson might be on top of the leaderboard after Day 1 of the Tour Championship, but it's Adam Scott who is the favorite to win outright.

Stenson shot a six-under 64 Thursday to get himself out ahead of the pack. The Swede is currently +333 to win outright.

Meanwhile, Scott (+300) is right on Stenson's heels after carding seven birdies and a pair of bogeys to finish one stroke back.

The Tour Championship is the final event of the FedEx Cup playoff and a win by any player ranked in the Top 5 (Tiger Woods, Stenson, Scott, Zach Johnson and Matt Kuchar) sees him pocket the cool $10 million prize that comes with being FedEx Cup Champion.

Jeff White

Stl -RL

CPAW you should kick these two knuckle heads above me off the site...Probably the same person...

BURNS MAIN EVENT

FRESNO ST

SDL Sports Picks
5* Boise St. +3.5
3* Yankees
3* Rockies

2-3 yesterday 7-8 since tracking

No doubt... Only 2 bozos in the workd who have heard of him post 4 monites apart around midnight, and happened to have both joined this month....

TribeTime said:

CPAW you should kick these two knuckle heads above me off the site...Probably the same person...

BURNS MAIN EVENT

FRESNO ST

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