hno:
I've heard a lot of good things about NFL teasers and am going to try to play more of them.
I tried one as one of my plays yesterday and it worked perfectly, as I had the Bears (easy winner) and the Bills (lost by 7, but teased to +9.5).
Any tips are welcome, but I guess generally the strongest teasers are when you can cross 3 and 7? Like -8 to -2 or +1.5 to +7.5, etc?
I tried one as one of my plays yesterday and it worked perfectly, as I had the Bears (easy winner) and the Bills (lost by 7, but teased to +9.5).
Any tips are welcome, but I guess generally the strongest teasers are when you can cross 3 and 7? Like -8 to -2 or +1.5 to +7.5, etc?
General rule is to make sure to tease across 2 key numbers. +1 to +7.5 goes across 3 and 7, -15 to -8.5 goes across 14 and 10 (obviously these are key #s to a lesser extent), but you get the picture. I usually look for +1.5 to +2.5 dogs to tease up and -7.5 to -9 favorites to tease down.
Other general rule is to never tease across zero (a -3 favorite to a +3.5 dog), you are giving up value by crossing zero.
This works much better in the NFL than it does in college because the scores are typically more predictably close to the spread in the NFL.
I also like to try to tease games with lower totals. Logic there is if a game is expected to be low-scoring then points are at a bigger premium and the points you get from teasing have more intrinsic value.
A +2.5 point dog in a game where the total is 40, for example, is a prime candidate.
If this were the case how come sportsbooks keep changing there rules to discourage teasers?
You would figure this not to be the case if you were right.
There was only 1 teaser that qualified as a smart play yesterday and it won.
You cant use blanket comments like "how many 6 point teasers would have won yesterday?".
Because not all games are candidates for teasing due to key numbers not lining up.
Books are going out of there way to make games non teaser friendly.
There was a time when sportsbooks did not even make a betting line with teasers in mind.
Now days teasers are in the mind of every line maker in the business.
If teasers were a pure square play the books would not go thru this trouble to make them so difficult.
You dont see books bending there rules and changing lines for parlays do you?
Actually now that I think about it.
AK is a good way to explain teasers.
There is a correct way and an incorrect way to play AK.
If you play AK wrong it will kill you.
If you know what you are doing and you play it correctly you will be the one doing the killing long term.
Teasers are the same way.
If you properly know how to play an NFL teaser you can make out really well in certain spots.
But if you randomly just tease a game just for the sake of teasing you will get killed.
Just like in poker if you just randomly think AK gives you a birthright to the pot you will lose longterm.
Well if you are at heritage only I would stay away from teasers.
If teasers were so beneficial for the player, why haven't they pulled them all together.
Yes, you can win, just like you can straight up. However, so many people I know look at a line and automatically move it 6 or 7 points.
Perfect example, you just gave a 2 easy straight wins with a teaser.
Yes, you can win, just like you can straight up. However, so many people I know look at a line and automatically move it 6 or 7 points.
Perfect example, you just gave a 2 easy straight wins with a teaser.
