Everytime I bet against Bis, I get screwed. Let's face it, the damn SOB is tough. Good chin, elite TDD, great striking, and good grappling. Nothing out there he hasn't seen. The same can be said for Munoz though. I lean Bis, but this could easily be FOTN and go either way. I'm watching this one from cageside. No wager.
Agree. I'll stay away also as no way in hell I'm laying -380 on Machida.
Actually like Munoz for small here basically just to fade the new weight cut experience for the Brazilian. The dragon is fighting out if desperation - losing 4 out of his last 7. I think the cut is necessary but desperate. Weight cuts, especially for those that aren't accustomed, can have a huge effect on speed, which his offense is extremely reliant on, strength, which he'll need to defend the Munoz grimding style, and stamina, which can be in play if Munoz tries the cage grind offense that is likely his gameplan for the win. Add to that the cut will be a traveling cut and on shorter notice, I will probably take a chance on the wrecking machine. Pretty sure it's a 5 rounder too, but I haven't read one way or another.
Nice observation. I will probably talk myself into playing Munoz small now with these guidelines. Like stated, I don't think a play on Machidaa is warranted anywhere.
