Service Plays Saturday 9/28/13

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GL!

[FONT=&quot]Gold Medal Club College Football Selections 28/09/2013[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]#128 Boston College +21.5[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]#186 Tennessee -19.5[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]#140 Colorado State -13.5[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]25* #150 Arizona State -5.5[/FONT][FONT=&quot][/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]#126 North Carolina -12 UNDER 59[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]#173 South Carolina -7[/FONT]

NCAA Football Game Picks

LSU at Georgia

The Bulldogs look to take advantage of an LSU team that is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 conference games. Georgia is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Bulldogs favored by 6. Dunkel Pick: Georgia (-3). Here are all of this week's games.

NFLBettingPicks

Week 5 CFB Picks

A solid 4-0 week last weekend with our college football picks. Below are the first round of plays for Week 5 - we've got a bunch of plays that match our systems this week so be sure to follow the bankroll management rules of risking just 2% of your football bankroll on each. Any Over/Under total plays will be sent out Friday evening.
Fri Sept 27th - Utah State @ San Jose State - [110] SAN JOSE STATE +10 (-110)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.82)
Sat Sept 28th - South Carolina @ Central Florida - [174] CENTRAL FLORIDA +7 (-101)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.98 units)
Sat Sept 28th - Temple @ Idaho - [164] IDAHO +7.5 (-104)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.92 units)
Sat Sept 28th - Florida State @ Boston College - [127] FLORIDA STATE -21.5 (-104)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.92 units)
Sat Sept 28th - Arizona @ Washington - [143] ARIZONA +10 (-103)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.94 units)
Sat Sept 28th - Wisconsin @ Ohio State - [192] OHIO STATE -7 (-101)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.98 units)
Sat Sept 28th - California @ Oregon - [148] OREGON -36 (-106)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.89 units)
Sat Sept 28th - Fresno State @ Hawaii - [197] FRESNO STATE -18.5 (-102)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.96 units)

[h=1]Today's CFL Picks[/h]

The Winners Circle

Saturday Football Plays

10* Play Miami -18.5 over South Florida (TOP NCAA PLAY) 12:00 PM EST

South Florida has lost 18 of the last 26 games against the spread and they have also lost 11 of the last 14 home games against the spread. South Florida has lost 7 consecutive games against the spread coming off an UNDER the total in their last game and they are allowing an average of 34 points a game on defense this season.


10* Play Oklahoma State -18 over West Virginia (TOP NCAA PLAY) 12:00 PM EST

Oklahoma State has covered the spread in 23 of the last 29 games after scoring 50 points or more in their last game and they have also covered the spread in 21 of the last 30 games when playing as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points. Oklahoma State has covered the spread in 10 of the last 13 games coming off two or more wins and they are averaging 45 points a game on offense this season.


10* Play Boise State -28 over Southern Mississippi (TOP NCAA PLAY) 10:15 PM EST

Southern Mississippi has lost 12 of the last 16 games against the spread when playing on artificial turf and they have also lost 3 consecutive games against the spread vs. Mountain West Conference Opponents. Southern Mississippi has lost 10 of the last 15 games against the spread coming off a loss and they are only averaging 10 points a game on offense this season.


10* Play Oregon -36 over California (TOP NCAA PLAY) 10:30 PM EST

California has lost 8 of the last 9 games against the spread when the total posted is greater than 63 points and they have also lost 11 of the last 15 games against the spread when playing as an underdog. California has lost 7 of the last 8 games against the spread after gaining 475 or more total yards in their last game and they are allowing an average of 42 points a game on defense this season.


5* Play Florida Atlantic +13.5 over Rice (TOP NCAA PLAY) 7:00 PM EST
5* Play Wisconsin +6.5 over Ohio State (TOP NCAA PLAY) 8:00 PM EST

[h=2]The Philly Godfather[/h]

• CFB [178] WASHINGTON STATE +10-110 100:

Factsman Saturday: Pittsburgh Panthers -6

RAS TOTALS
UAB/Vanderbilt (Over 54.5)
Army/Louisiana Tech (Under 54.5)
Akron/Bowling Green (Over 53)
Kent St./Western Michigan (Under 51.5)
East Carolina/North Carolina (Over 59)
Air Force/Nevada (Under 61)

RAS

CFB SIDES

118 Buffalo +2
129 UAB +21
151 Army +1

Vincent Rizzo Sports ‏

COLLEGE FOOTBALL

UAB +20 (1.10 UNIT’S)

Steve Fezzik

College Football Total

OVER 55.5 - Idaho/Temple

Northcoast

Early Bird --- Tennessee
Power Play --- New Mexico
Underdog --- Buffalo

Predicition Machine

Sides

120 Ball State -2.5. 60.2 (this is the lock)
184 Rice -13. 60.1
145 Mississippi 17. 59 (line at 15 is 57.6)
166 UL Monroe. -12. 58.3
152 La Tech. -2 58.1 (line dropped to -1.5 which makes it 61.5)
156 ND. 3.5. 57.6


Totals
Georgia/LSU. Over 61.5 61.8 (highest of week)
Minnesota/Iowa Under 47. 59.7
Florida/Kentucky Under 46. 57.7
Temple/Idaho Over 56.5. 57.4
Rice/Florida Atlantic Over 52.5. 57.3
Pitt/Virginia Under 51.5. 57.2

Betting Line Moves

Army -1 Released Tuesday
Houston -2
BGreen Over 53
Temple Under 56
North Carolina Under 59.5

Spartan 3* Georgia -3

CFL

Week 14

Calgary (9-3) @ Hamilton (6-6)—TiCats won five of last seven games after 1-4 start, covering six of the seven but they lost 26-22 (+5.5) at McMahon two weeks ago in game where they outgained Stampeders by 105 yards, were +1 in turnovers, led 15-13 at half, but only scored seven second half points in losing third in row and 7th in last eight tries vs Calgary. Hamilton won its last three home games, scoring 34 ppg; they held off Montreal 28-26 last week despite gaining only 288 yards, its second-lowest total of season. First road game in three weeks for Stamps, who were upset at home by Toronto last week; Calgary won four of its last five games on foreign soil. Five of last seven series games in Hamilton stayed under total. Five of last seven TiCat games went over the total.

Toronto (8-4) @ Edmonton (3-9)— Argos won last three games overall, all on road, scoring 33.3 ppg- seriously, who makes the CFL schedule, and how much Labatt’s do they drink doing it? This is Argos’ 4th road game in a row. Argonauts (-9) outlasted Edmonton 36-33 six weeks ago, in aerial battle where teams combined for 969 passing yards and neither team turned ball over; it was their second straight win over Eskimos for Toronto after five straight losses. Edmonton was 1-9 before sweeping pair from hapless Winnipeg; Eskimos are 5-1 vs spread since their bye, 1-3 as home underdog, losing home games by 21-14-1-3-10 points. Toronto lost four of its last five visits here, with last two losses by total of five points. Eight of last ten Toronto games, seven of last nine Edmonton games went over the total.

Norm Hitzges

College Football

Double Plays

• Washington -9.5 vs Arizona

Single Plays

• BYU -24 vs Middle Tennessee State
• UCF +6.5 vs South Carolina
• Vandy -20 vs UAB
• Florida -13 vs Kentucky
• Wyoming -12 vs Texas State
• Mississippi +14 vs Alabama
• E. Carolina +12.5 vs North Carolina
• Florida State -23.5 vs Boston College
• Oregon -37.5 vs California
• Tulane +13.5 vs U La Monroe
• Bowling Green -14 vs Akron
• Washington St +9.5 vs Stanford
• Idaho +7.5 vs Temple
• Fresno St -18.5 vs Hawaii
• SMU +19 vs TCU

StatFox Super Situations - FoxSheets

CFB S CAROLINA at UCF

Play Under - All teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences, after playing 2 straight conference games
112-60 since 1997. ( 65.1% 46.0 units )

CFB COLORADO at OREGON ST

Play Against - A home team vs. the money line (OREGON ST) terrible rushing team (<=3 YPR) against a team with an excellent rushing defense (<=3 YPR), after gaining 1.5 or less rushing yards/att last game
33-13 since 1997. ( 71.7% 0.0 units )

CFB SOUTHERN MISS at BOISE ST

Play Over - Any team vs the the 1rst half total terrible offensive team - scoring 14 or less points/game, after scoring 14 points or less in 2 straight games
89-45 over the last 10 seasons. ( 66.4% 39.5 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% -0.1 units )

Saturday's NCAAF Top 25 Betting Cheat Sheet Afternoon Action

Miami Hurricanes at South Florida Bulls (+19, 47)

Miami Senior quarterback Stephen Morris suffered an ankle injury last week, but is expected to play. The Hurricanes have allowed only 29 points in three games, keyed by junior linebacker Denzel Perryman’s 20 tackles.

South Florida’s quarterbacks are struggling and five defensive touchdowns have been scored against the Bulls. Sophomore Steven Bench, a transfer from Penn State, is expected to be the third different starter at quarterback after completing 8-of-23 passes for 128 yards in the 28-10 loss to Florida Atlantic on Sept. 14. The Bulls have turned the ball over eight times.

LINE: Miami opened -20.5 and has moved as low as -18. Total moved from 48.5 to 47.

WEATHER: Temperatures in mid 80s, 20 percent chance of thunderstorms, winds NE 7 mph.

TRENDS:
* Under is 5-0 in the last five meetings.
* Road team is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Bulls are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 vs. ACC.

Oklahoma State Cowboys at West Virginia Mountaineers (+19, 57)

Oklahoma State tallied 115 points in its last two games and is tied for 10th in the country in scoring at 45.3 points per game coming out of an early bye week. Senior Jeremy Smith leads the team with six rushing touchdowns, including three first-half scores in the Cowboys’ 59-3 win against Lamar last week. Oklahoma State racked up 426 total yards in that victory.

West Virginia redshirt freshman Ford Childress is expected to start his third consecutive game despite floundering against the Terrapins last week. West Virginia has scored seven total points in its two losses. Coming off a 37-0 shutout to Maryland, the Mountaineers will look to stay above .500 under third-year coach Dana Holgorsen, who served as Oklahoma State’s offensive coordinator in 2010.

LINE: OSU opened -20.5 and has moved to -19. Total moved between 57 and 58.

WEATHER: Temperatures in mid 60s, clear skies, winds 5 mph SE

TRENDS:
* Cowboys are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games.
* Mountaineers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games.
* Under is 7-0 in Mountaineers last seven games overall.

South Carolina Gamecocks at UCF Knights (+7, 53)

The Gamecocks, whose only loss was at Georgia, 41-30, are coming off a bye following a 35-25 home win over Vanderbilt. Senior quarterback Connor Shaw is completing 64.9 percent of his passes and has thrown six touchdowns without an interception.

Central Florida enters Saturday's game unbeaten and with arguably the more impressive win. The Knights (3-0), who have scored at least 30 points in their first three games of a season for the first time in school history, are coming off a 34-31 upset of Penn State in Happy Valley.

LINE: UCF opened +7.5 and moved to +7. Total steady at 53.

WEATHER: Temperatures in low 80s, 19 percent chance of rain, winds NE 12 mph

TRENDS:
* Gamecocks are 6-2 ATS in their last eight non-conference games.
* Knights are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games.
* Over is 5-1 in Gamecocks last six road games.

Oklahoma Sooners at Notre Dame Fighting Irish (+3.5, 50)

The Irish used their passing game to stretch Michigan State and put pressure on the cornerbacks last week, drawing several penalties that kept drives alive and helped lead to a 17-13 triumph. Notre Dame is looking for its 11th straight home win.

Oklahoma is getting its biggest test of the first month and had an off week to prepare for the Fighting Irish after trouncing Tulsa on Sept. 14. The Sooners are bringing a different starting quarterback into this matchup, with junior Blake Bell proving himself after passing for 413 yards and four touchdowns in the win over Tulsa.

LINE: Notre Dame opened -1 and moved to +3.5. Total moved from 48.5 to 50.

WEATHER: Temperatures in mid 70s, clear skies, winds south 12 mph

TRENDS:
* Sooners are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games.
* Fighting Irish are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven home games.
* Under is 25-9-1 in Fighting Irish's last 35 non-conference games.

LSU Tigers at Georgia Bulldogs (-3, 62)

The Tigers have outscored opponents 173-88 and have not trailed at any point, but they also haven't yet played in a hostile environment like they'll face between the hedges. LSU's offense has taken flight under new coordinator Cam Cameron, as the Tigers have topped 30 points in their first four games for only the third time in history - and the first since 1928.

The Bulldogs put a 14-game home winning streak on the line and are after their second home win over a top-10 opponent after a 41-30 victory over South Carolina two weeks ago. Georgia's offense has been dynamic with quarterback Aaron Murray and running back Todd Gurley - the SEC's leading rusher at 125.7 yards per game.

LINE: Georgia opened -4.5 and moved to -3. Total steady at 62.

WEATHER: Temperatures in mid 70s, clear skies, winds ENE 6 mph

TRENDS:
* Over is 5-1 in the last six meetings.
* Tigers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 conference games.
* Bulldogs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall.

Florida State Seminoles at Boston College Eagles (+23.5)

Spurred by the country’s 19th-ranked running game, the Seminoles look to extend a seven-game win streak in ACC play. The Seminoles have been remarkably efficient on offense, averaging 8.8 yards per play - the third-best mark in the nation. However, the defense has created only four turnovers and allowed 43 more rushing yards per game than it did a season ago.

Boston College, which had the FBS' 10th-worst run defense in 2012, appeared to be making strides in that area until it surrendered 257 yards in a 35-7 loss at Southern California last Saturday. However, the Eagles’ best chance at winning this game may come behind running back Andre Williams, who leads the conference in rushing.

LINE: FSU opened -22.5 and moved to -23.5. Total moved 52 to 54.

WEATHER: Temperatures in low 60s, clear skies, winds east 6 mph

TRENDS:
* Underdog is 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings.
* Road team is 6-2 ATS in their last eight meetings.
* Over is 6-2-1 in Seminoles last nine games overall.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Clemson Tigers (-28.5, 58.5)

The Demon Deacons have lost 32 straight games against teams ranked in the Top 5 dating back to a victory over Tennessee in 1946. Wake Forest is 9-73 all-time in road games against ranked programs.

Clemson QB Tajh Boyd had a field day against Wake Forest last season, throwing for five touchdowns and setting a school record with 428 yards. coach Dabo Swinney said that WR Martavis Bryant will have his playing time reduced against Wake Forest for making a throat-slashing gesture after one of the scores.

LINE: Clemson opened -27.5 and moved to -29. Total steady at 58.5.

WEATHER: Temperatures in mid 70s, clear skies, winds ENE 5 mph.

TRENDS:
* Under is 5-0 in the last five meetings.
* Under is 17-8 in Tigers last 25 conference games.
* Tigers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall.