2013 NFL Regular Season Betting Record: 41-20 (67.2%), +$472
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*Over/Unders…………….. 9-4 (*My main strength)
Sides..….………………….... 5-1
Teasers…………………….... 13-2
Props………………………..... 12-13
2nd Halves……………….... 1-0
Live………………………....... 1-0
Futures……………………….. 0-0 (Five Pending Win Total Bets)
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Pending Win Totals: KC O7.5, DAL O8.5, MIA O8, DET O8, NYG U9
2012 NFL Regular Season Betting Record: 139-106-8 (56.7%), +$622
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*Over/Unders…………….. 48-39-2 (*My main strength)
Sides…..………………….... 14-8-2
Teasers…………………….... 41-27
Props………………………..... 27-22-4
Moneylines……………...... 1-2
2nd Halves……………….... 5-7
Parlays……………………..... 0-1
Futures……………………….. 3-0
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Yup, just as the title suggests, I’m still going strong with one of the best seasons in the entire country thus far this year, just like I did in baseball over/unders, unsurprisingly. While my baseball dominance at the top of the country is expected, I can’t really say the exact same for football, as my baseball work is obviously a job to me for Vegas Insider that I spend countless hours and tireless effort on, which I thought might minimize some of my potential for football right out of the gate. Instead, I’ve been surging in non-stop fashion, as evident in the fact that I’ve been up every single week, and I just hope to keep that streak going another week. In my opinion, that’s how you win consistently in NFL betting: Just take it one week at a time and treat each game like it is its own identity. That’s how I always approach it, and that certainly didn’t change for this first game to kick off my Week 5 slate (I’m only posting my Thursday Night action; for the rest of my card, check back later and simply scroll down the thread for any additional plays this week)…
Buffalo Bills @ Cleveland Browns - $80 for $50
UNDER 44 (Bought 2.5 points)
Before you cry about me buying points here, you should note that I rarely buy this many points, and when I do, I feel it’s necessary. Why? Well, if my worst-case scenario muddles in around the 24-20/24-21 range, why wouldn’t I want to protect myself if I have the chance? So shut your mouth because my elite 9-4 over/unders record thus far has NOT needed any extra points, clocking in with that high-end percentage if the line remained the same anyway, so if you want to tail me, odds are you don’t need to buy those points. This is MY decision to gain that little extra security, which I feel is very critical in this particular affair, and you don’t necessarily have to gain it for yourselves as well, so no need for the lecture on money management. Anyway, this is an under with a lot of potential, featuring two somewhat makeshift offenses that are led by new starting quarterbacks, whom are both still in the process of developing. That certainly has rung true for Bills QB E.J. Manuel, who has looked a bit inconsistent thus far, albeit while leading his club to a relatively pleasant 2-2 start, including an upset victory over the defending Super Bowl champions. Even so, he didn’t look good last week, finishing 10-for-22 with 167 yards, a TD, and two INTs. With an improving Browns defense, and both talented Buffalo running backs C.J. Spiller and Fred Jackson entering this contest a little banged up, this is a Bills offense that might struggle a bit this evening - especially on national television with the added pressure and unusual variable that they rarely have to experience. Meanwhile, there is Brian Hoyer, the unlikely third-stringer who has sparked this previously punchless Brownies squad to somehow climb back to .500, after everyone thought they virtually gave up with the Trent Richardson trade. Alas, that was not the case, as Hoyer has looked marvelous, while getting very impressive play from WR Josh Gordon and TE Jordan Cameron. In addition, the running game has the potential to be serviceable with Willis McGahee getting a bulk of the load last week, and the underrated talents of Chris Ogbonnaya also playing a role. At the same time, you can’t possible expect them to continue their soaring production, having produced 50 points in two games since Hoyer claimed the job. The Bills defense isn’t bad at all on paper and I think it’s sooner, rather than later, that they start to step it up. Hoyer’s story is a fun one to watch unfold, but it’d be crazy to think that he won’t be prone to any growing pains. Some of those could surface tonight, and even if they don’t, we’ll gladly take something along the lines of a 24-17 score. If you can get the line at 44, you gain that little extra wiggle room that could actually end up being the difference. Either way, this projects as a tight ballgame no matter what.
**May still add another bet(s) involving Thursday Night Football leading up to game time, including second half and/or live action. Always keep checking back**
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
*Over/Unders…………….. 9-4 (*My main strength)
Sides..….………………….... 5-1
Teasers…………………….... 13-2
Props………………………..... 12-13
2nd Halves……………….... 1-0
Live………………………....... 1-0
Futures……………………….. 0-0 (Five Pending Win Total Bets)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pending Win Totals: KC O7.5, DAL O8.5, MIA O8, DET O8, NYG U9
2012 NFL Regular Season Betting Record: 139-106-8 (56.7%), +$622
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
*Over/Unders…………….. 48-39-2 (*My main strength)
Sides…..………………….... 14-8-2
Teasers…………………….... 41-27
Props………………………..... 27-22-4
Moneylines……………...... 1-2
2nd Halves……………….... 5-7
Parlays……………………..... 0-1
Futures……………………….. 3-0
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Yup, just as the title suggests, I’m still going strong with one of the best seasons in the entire country thus far this year, just like I did in baseball over/unders, unsurprisingly. While my baseball dominance at the top of the country is expected, I can’t really say the exact same for football, as my baseball work is obviously a job to me for Vegas Insider that I spend countless hours and tireless effort on, which I thought might minimize some of my potential for football right out of the gate. Instead, I’ve been surging in non-stop fashion, as evident in the fact that I’ve been up every single week, and I just hope to keep that streak going another week. In my opinion, that’s how you win consistently in NFL betting: Just take it one week at a time and treat each game like it is its own identity. That’s how I always approach it, and that certainly didn’t change for this first game to kick off my Week 5 slate (I’m only posting my Thursday Night action; for the rest of my card, check back later and simply scroll down the thread for any additional plays this week)…
Buffalo Bills @ Cleveland Browns - $80 for $50
UNDER 44 (Bought 2.5 points)
Before you cry about me buying points here, you should note that I rarely buy this many points, and when I do, I feel it’s necessary. Why? Well, if my worst-case scenario muddles in around the 24-20/24-21 range, why wouldn’t I want to protect myself if I have the chance? So shut your mouth because my elite 9-4 over/unders record thus far has NOT needed any extra points, clocking in with that high-end percentage if the line remained the same anyway, so if you want to tail me, odds are you don’t need to buy those points. This is MY decision to gain that little extra security, which I feel is very critical in this particular affair, and you don’t necessarily have to gain it for yourselves as well, so no need for the lecture on money management. Anyway, this is an under with a lot of potential, featuring two somewhat makeshift offenses that are led by new starting quarterbacks, whom are both still in the process of developing. That certainly has rung true for Bills QB E.J. Manuel, who has looked a bit inconsistent thus far, albeit while leading his club to a relatively pleasant 2-2 start, including an upset victory over the defending Super Bowl champions. Even so, he didn’t look good last week, finishing 10-for-22 with 167 yards, a TD, and two INTs. With an improving Browns defense, and both talented Buffalo running backs C.J. Spiller and Fred Jackson entering this contest a little banged up, this is a Bills offense that might struggle a bit this evening - especially on national television with the added pressure and unusual variable that they rarely have to experience. Meanwhile, there is Brian Hoyer, the unlikely third-stringer who has sparked this previously punchless Brownies squad to somehow climb back to .500, after everyone thought they virtually gave up with the Trent Richardson trade. Alas, that was not the case, as Hoyer has looked marvelous, while getting very impressive play from WR Josh Gordon and TE Jordan Cameron. In addition, the running game has the potential to be serviceable with Willis McGahee getting a bulk of the load last week, and the underrated talents of Chris Ogbonnaya also playing a role. At the same time, you can’t possible expect them to continue their soaring production, having produced 50 points in two games since Hoyer claimed the job. The Bills defense isn’t bad at all on paper and I think it’s sooner, rather than later, that they start to step it up. Hoyer’s story is a fun one to watch unfold, but it’d be crazy to think that he won’t be prone to any growing pains. Some of those could surface tonight, and even if they don’t, we’ll gladly take something along the lines of a 24-17 score. If you can get the line at 44, you gain that little extra wiggle room that could actually end up being the difference. Either way, this projects as a tight ballgame no matter what.
**May still add another bet(s) involving Thursday Night Football leading up to game time, including second half and/or live action. Always keep checking back**
