Service Plays Monday 10/7/13

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Today's NFL Picks

NY Jets at Atlanta

The Jets look to bounce back from last week's 38-13 loss to Tennessee and build on their 4-1 ATS record in their last 5 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. New York is the pick (+10) according to Dunkel, which has the Falcons favored by only 5. Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (+10). Here are all of this week's picks.

DCI Pro Football

The Daniel Curry Index
Week 5 Scores/Predictions

Monday, October 7, 2013
N.Y. Jets 15.2 at ATLANTA 27.3, 8:40 PM ET

Pigskin Prophecy

LIKE:
Atlanta

Norm Hitzges Picks of the Pole

NFL
DOUBLE PLAY:
Atlanta -10 NY Jets

Playbook:

5 ATL by 20

R.a.w. Football

3* = atlanta falcons

BeatYourBookie

Monday

10* Play Atlanta -9.5 over NY Jets (NFL TOP PLAY)
8:30 PM EST

New York is 4-11 ATS coming off a road loss by 21 points or more
New York is 5-13 ATS coming off an OVER the total in their last game

Jimmy Boyd

4* (NFL) NY Jets +10

Northcoast

3* Atlanta -9'

HONDO

BEST BET: Falcons

NFL

Week 5

Trend Report

Monday, October 7

8:40 PM
NY JETS vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the NY Jets last 6 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of the NY Jets last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games at home

NFL
Short Sheet

Monday, October 7

NY Jets at Atlana, 8:40 ET
NY Jets: 0-8 ATS off 1 or more straight overs
Atlanta: 17-5 UNDER after gaining 375 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 5

Monday, October 7

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


NY JETS (2 - 2) at ATLANTA (1 - 3) - 10/7/2013, 8:40 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

NFL

Week 5

Jets (2-2) @ Falcons (1-3)—Jets are making way too many mistakes to win, and its not all the rookie QB; they’ve turned ball over 12 times (-10) and in last three games, they committed 38 penalties for 300 yards, which helped create field position deficits of 16-9-18 yards. Two takeaways in four games ( none in last three games) isn’t good. Atlanta failed in last-minute red zone drives on offense in Weeks 1,4, on defense in Week 3, or else they could just as easily be 4-0; Smith is 19-5 vs spread coming off loss, but something is missing with Atlanta, which is 22-12-1 as home favorite under Smith. Would expect Atlanta to try and run ball more; they’ve run ball more than 16 times in only one of four games with Jackson out of lineup. Jets are 7-12 as road underdogs under Rex Ryan, 1-7 in last eight as a non-divisional road dog. Atlanta was torched (9.2/10.2 yards/attempt) by two quality QBs they faced (Brees/Brady) but Smith isn’t in that category—Falcons held Bradford/Tannehill to 6.4/4.9.

Prediction Machine
Oct-7
Jets +9.5 (57.9)

College football odds: Week 7 opening line report

With the NCAA football schedule moving along to Week 7, a new chapter in one of the game's greatest rivalries will be written.

The annual matchup between the Oklahoma Sooners (5-0 SU, 3-2 ATS) and Texas Longhorns (3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS) - the Red River Rivalry - will be played at the Cotton Bowl in Dallas, Texas and the Horns will look to put a stop to the Sooners' dominance in the matchup over the previous three seasons.

The Sooners are 3-0 SU and ATS in the past three meetings and have put up a combined 118 points on the board in their past two victories.

According to Peter Korner, founder of the Nevada-based odds service The Sports Club, he and his team of oddsmakers were all on the same page when it came time to discuss this matchup.

"With Texas missing QB David Ash, they're not the same team," Korner told Covers. "This is on the same neutral field and Oklahoma is the better team. We made the game Oklahoma -12 and had very little diversity among the five oddsmakers."

Florida Gators at LSU Tigers (-8)

LSU (5-1 SU, 3-2-1 ATS) suffered a tough loss to Georgia back on Sept. 28, but got back in the winning column as they trounced Mississippi State 59-26 in Week 6.

The Tigers boast one of the top offenses in the SEC and go up against a stingy Florida Gators (4-1 SU, 2-3 ATS) defense, which is allowing 12.2 points per game - good enough for fourth overall in the country.

Korner and his team were on a variety of numbers before settling at LSU -8.

"We were mixed on this. The range went from LSU -5.5 to -11," said Korner. "I like the LSU 'pit' they play in as an advantage. We stuck it in the middle at LSU -8 as Florida doesn't appear to be that mighty powerhouse we've seen in recent years."

Texas A&M Aggies at Mississippi Rebels (+7)

After a very impressive 3-0 start which generated a lot of buzz, Ole Miss (3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS) has dropped a pair of tough road games in the past two weeks.

Despite the back-to-back losses, Ole Miss still gets respect and faces a tough task in Week 7 with Johnny Manziel and the Aggies (4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS) coming to Vaught-Hemingway Stadium.

"We went from Texas A&M -5 to -8 and I sent out -7," says Korner. "You don't want to be too low with A&M's offense but Mississippi is no pushover so we didn't get too crazy."

Oregon Ducks at Washington Huskies (+16)

The Ducks (5-0 SU, 5-0 ATS) keep putting up basketball-like numbers and are coming off a 57-16 win at Colorado in Week 6. The Ducks are the first team to own a 5-0 record against the spread and will be another big, double-digit fave against Pac-12 foe Washington in Week 7.

The Huskies (4-1 SU, 4-1 ATS) put up a good fight against Stanford but ultimately lost by a field goal in California.

"We had a range from -14 to -18," Korner said. "Washington's good showing versus Stanford holds this line in check but we still sent our Oregon -16. There's no problem in rooting for Oregon if we were too high. I'll take my chances with that."

Monday's MLB ALDS betting: What bettors need to know

Oakland A's at Detroit Tigers (-150, 7)

The Oakland Athletics are matching the vaunted Detroit Tigers’ rotation pitch-for-pitch. After settling for a split against Max Scherzer and Justin Verlander, the Athletics will attempt to take the series lead when is shifts to Detroit for Game 3 on Monday. Tigers pitchers have notched 29 strikeouts in the first two games but the offense produced only two extra-base hits - both in the first inning of Game 1.

Detroit finished near the top of the majors in most offensive categories during the regular season and scored three runs in the first inning of Game 1 only to be held scoreless in the following 17. Oakland did not exactly tear the cover off the ball at home either, but Stephen Vogt got the hit that counted with his walk-off single in Game 2. Tigers slugger Miguel Cabrera managed two hits in the first two contests and continues to battle groin and abdominal injuries.

TV: 1:07 p.m. ET, MLB Network

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-50s. Wind will blow across the field at 21 mph.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Athletics RH Jarrod Parker (12-8, 3.97 ERA) vs. Tigers RH Anibal Sanchez (14-8, 2.57)

Parker went 19 starts in between losses before falling flat in September. The 24-year-old allowed seven earned runs and failed to get through five innings in two of his last three starts. Parker made two starts against Detroit in the 2012 ALDS and lost both, surrendering a total of seven runs (six earned) on 14 hits in 12 2/3 innings.

Sanchez led the AL in ERA and finished strong by going 2-1 with a 2.05 ERA in five September starts. The Venezuela native struggled at home against Oakland on August 26, yielding four runs on five hits in five innings. Sanchez made one start against the Athletics in the 2012 ALDS and suffered a loss despite giving up just two runs in 6 1/3 frames.

TRENDS:

* Over is 15-5-1 in the last 21 meetings in Detroit.
* Athletics are 0-4 in Parker's last four starts vs. Tigers.
* Under is 8-0 in Tigers last eight overall.
* Athletics are 13-3 in their last 16 Monday games.

WALK-OFFS:

1. Tigers 1B Prince Fielder is 1-for-8 with a single in the series and 1-for-10 against Parker in his career.

2. Oakland LF Yoenis Cespedes is 4-for-8 with two runs scored and two RBIs in the series.

3. Detroit CF Austin Jackson has struck out five times in eight at-bats, including four times in Game 2.


Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays (-104, 7)

The Boston Red Sox are one game away from advancing to the American League Championship Series. They will attempt to close out the Division Series when they visit Tampa Bay for Game 3 on Monday. The Red Sox got all the breaks the quirky dimensions of their home park had to offer in the first two games and ended up tagging Tampa Bay pitching for 19 runs in the two contests.

The Rays struggled to figure out the “Green Monster” in left field and rookie Wil Myers endeared himself to the Boston fans with a big mistake in right during Game 1, but the familiar dimensions of their own stadium await in Game 3. Tampa Bay went 51-30 at home during the regular season, tied for the third-best home record in the AL behind the Red Sox and the Oakland Athletics. To get back in the series the Rays need to figure out a way to stop David Ortiz, who homered twice in Game 2 and contributed a key double in Game 1.

TV: 6:07 p.m. ET, TBS

PITCHING MATCHUP: Red Sox RH Clay Buchholz (12-1, 1.74 ERA) vs. Rays RH Alex Cobb (1-0, 0.00)

Buchholz went 3-1 with a 1.88 ERA in four starts after returning from a shoulder injury that cost him three months during the regular season. The 29-year-old made his return at Tampa Bay on Sept. 10 and struck out six in five scoreless innings to earn the win. Buchholz made only one previous postseason start, yielding two runs on six hits in five innings against the Los Angeles Angels in the 2009 ALDS.

Cobb pitched the Rays into the Division Series with 6 2/3 scoreless innings at Cleveland in the wild card game last Wednesday. The Boston native allowed a total of three runs in 30 innings while striking out 31 over his last four starts. Cobb had trouble with the Red Sox, however, going 0-1 with a 5.16 ERA in four starts against his hometown team during the regular season.

TRENDS:

* Rays are 0-4 in Cobb's last four starts vs. Red Sox.
* Under is 10-3 in the last 13 meetings.
* Red Sox are 11-3 in Buchholz's last 14 Monday starts.
* Road team is 6-1 in Dana DeMuth's last seven Monday games behind home plate.

WALK-OFFS:

1. Saturday marked the first multi-homer game of Ortiz’s postseason career. He is 1-for-6 lifetime against Cobb.

2. Myers is 1-for-13 with five strikeouts in his first three postseason games.

3. Boston closer Koji Uehara threw 11 pitches - all strikes - in earning the save in Game 2.

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Panthers (-2) on Sunday and likes the Tigers on Monday.

The deficit is 1314 sirignanos.

Hondo MLB ? Thanks in advance and good luck !!