Service Plays Friday 10/11/13

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NCAA Football Game Picks

Temple at Cincinnati

The Bearcats look to bounce back from their 26-20 loss at South Florida last week and build on their 5-0 ATS record in their last 5 games following a SU defeat. Cincinnati is the pick (-20 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Bearcats favored by 27. Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-20 1/2). Here are all of this week's games.

Today's CFL Picks

BC at Calgary

The Lions look to bounce back from their 31-17 loss to Saskatchewan last week and build on their 9-3 ATS record in their last 12 games following a SU defeat. BC is the pick (+7) according to Dunkel, which has the Stampeders favored by only 2. Dunkel Pick: BC (+7). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

XpertPicks

Friday Football Play

·Play Cincinnati -20.5 over Temple (TOP NCAA PLAY)---RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL
8:30 PM EST

Cincinnati has covered the spread in 9 of the last 11 games when the total posted is between 49.5 and 56 points and they have also covered the spread in 4 consecutive games coming off a road loss. Cincinnati has covered the spread in 10 of the last 15 home games and they are averaging 54 points a game on offense in home games this season.

Temple and Cincinnati: What bettors need to know

Temple Owls at Cincinnati Bearcats (-20.5, 51.5)

Cincinnati on Saturday looks to bounce back from last week’s upset loss to previously winless South Florida when the Bearcats host Temple, which is seeking its first victory under first-year coach Matt Rhule. The Owls are coming off a 30-7 loss to No. 8 Louisville, while Cincinnati lost 26-20 at South Florida after falling behind 23-6 at the half. "We're going to have to get much better to have the opportunity to win games," Bearcats coach Tommy Tuberville said. "We have to get physical and we have to block somebody."

The Bearcats have been wildly inconsistent since routing Purdue 42-7 in its season opener, but they’ll be heavy favorites against a Temple squad allowing 518 yards per game - fourth-worst in the country. Freshman quarterback P.J. Walker is set to make his first start for the Owls in place of junior Connor Reilly, who was benched after another slow start against Louisville. Bearcats quarterback Brendon Kay, who is expected to start despite suffering a bruised sternum last week, threw two touchdown passes in last season's 34-10 victory at Temple.

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN.

LINE: Cincinnati opened at -21.5 and has been bet down to 20.5. The total has stayed steady at 51.5.

WEATHER: Temperatures in the low 60s with clear skies and winds blowing NE at 4 mph.

ABOUT TEMPLE (0-5, 0-2 American Athletic Conference, 2-3 ATS): Walker, last year’s top New Jersey high school player, took over on the Owls’ third series against Louisville and provided a spark with 182 passing yards and a touchdown. Junior running back Kenny Harper has a team-high six touchdowns on 56 carries for the Owls, who have trailed at halftime in four of their first five games. Temple’s young defense is led by sophomore linebacker Tyler Matakevich, who averages an NCAA-best 10.8 solo tackles per game.

ABOUT CINCINNATI (3-2, 0-1, 2-3 ATS): Tuberville called out his veteran offensive line after the Bearcats rushed for a season-low 110 yards against South Florida last week. While the offense has struggled to establish an identity, Cincinnati ranks third nationally in total defense with linebackers Nick Temple, Jeff Luc and Greg Blair (team-high 32 tackles) leading the way. The special teams unit has become a major concern for Cincinnati, which has missed its last three field goal attempts and ranks 118th nationally in net punting.

TRENDS:

* Owls are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
* Bearcats are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games overall.
* Under is 12-5 in Owls' last 17 road games.
* Over is 5-1 in Bearcats' last six Friday games.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Cincinnati has won 10 of its last 11 home games.

2. The Owls have not intercepted a pass this season.

3. The Bearcats have not allowed an offensive touchdown since the second quarter of the Northwestern State game on Sept. 14, a span of 10 quarters.

Lions at Stampeders: What bettors need to know

B.C. Lions at Calgary Stampederes (-7, 53)

The BC Lions are struggling to maintain their position in the West Division after suffering a rare home loss, but their confidence in backup quarterback Thomas DeMarco gives them a chance when they visit the division-leading Calgary Stampeders on Friday. DeMarco has shown flashes of injured starter Travis Lulay in the two games since Lulay suffered a separated shoulder, throwing for 286 yards and recording a 21-yard run last week against the Saskatchewan Roughriders. Unfortunately for the Lions, DeMarco also threw three picks in that contest, something he’ll need to control better against a Calgary defense that has 18 interceptions.

The Stampeders have dealt with their share of injuries to key personnel and it has not slowed them at all as veteran quarterback Kevin Glenn can attest. Even though starting pivot Drew Tate was 3-for-4 last week in his first pass attempts since Week 2, Glenn’s strong performance in Tate’s absence (169-for-247 passing with 14 touchdowns to five interceptions) will make him tough to bench. With other important players such as wide receiver Joe West in full health as well, Calgary’s problems are ones most teams would love to have.

TV: 9 p.m. ET, TSN

LINE: Calgary opened as a 7.5-point home favorite and has been bet down to -7. The total is steady at 53.

WEATHER: Temperatures in the mid 40s (9 degrees) with partly cloudy skies and a 30 percent chance of rain with winds blowing SE at 3 mph.

ABOUT THE LIONS (9-5, 7-7 ATS): BC’s defense averages a league-best 246.7 passing yards allowed and is second in rushing yards allowed per game with 86.6. Linebackers Adam Bighill and Solomon Elimimian play a big part in containing opposing offenses, with Bighill leading the team with with 72 tackles and six sacks, while Elimimian has 53 tackles, two sacks and three interceptions. Veteran quarterback Buck Pierce has seen limited snaps since arriving from the BC Lions, completing 6-of-13 passes as he becomes reacquainted with the team that launched his CFL career.

ABOUT THE STAMPEDERS (11-3, 9-5 ATS): West caught eight passes for 120 yards in his first action since injuring his shoulder in Week 4. Running back Jon Cornish was named offensive player of the week and Canadian player of the week after rushing for a season-high 208 yards with two touchdowns against the Winnipeg Blue Bombers to overtake Kory Sheets for the league rushing lead. Cornish led the league in rushing last season with a career-high 1,457 yards and is 42 yards away from matching that total with four games remaining.

TRENDS:

* Lions are 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 meetings.
* Lions are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games.
* Over is 4-1 in Lions last five road games.
* Over is 9-2 in Stampeders last 11 home games.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Calgary K Rene Paredes leads the league in kicking points with 166 - four shy of his career-best. Paredes has made 41-of-43 field goal attempts.

2. The Stampeders are tied for the league lead in sacks with 48.

3. BC is 3-4 on the road; Calgary is 6-1 at home.

Dodgers at Cardinals: What bettors need to know

Los Angeles Dodgers at St. Louis Cardinals (+104, 7)

Two of baseball's storied franchises square off when the St. Louis Cardinals host the Los Angeles Dodgers on Friday night in Game 1 of the National League Championship Series. The Dodgers surged into contention with a ridiculous 42-8 stretch and haven't let up, bludgeoning the Atlanta Braves into submission in four games in the NL Division Series. Los Angeles also has a steller rotation led by likely Cy Young Award winner Clayton Kershaw and Game 1 starter Zack Greinke.

St. Louis advanced to its third straight NLCS - and eighth since 2000 - by outlasting Pittsburgh in five games behind ace Adam Wainwright, who will be unavailable until Game 3 in Los Angeles. The Cardinals can't match the muscle of the Dodgers but they have a deep and balanced lineup that led the NL in runs and doubles. Joe Kelly will start the opener for St. Louis, which won the final two games of the NLDS to improve to 8-1 in playoff elimination games since 2011.

TV: 8:37 p.m. ET, TBS

WEATHER: Temperatures in the mid 70s with partly cloudy skies and winds blowing south at 8 mph.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Dodgers RH Zack Greinke (0-1, 3.00 ERA) vs. RH Joe Kelly (0-0, 3.38)

Greinke went 15-4 with a 2.63 ERA in the regular season but lost the Dodgers' only game in the NLDS despite allowing two runs on four hits in six innings. He was 7-2 on the road but his ERA (3.21) was more than a run worst and batting average against (.263 against .207) was substantially higher than at Dodger Stadium. Greinke won at St. Louis on Aug. 5, allowing two runs on eight hits in 6 1/3 innings.

Kelly did not factor in the decision after giving up three runs in 5 1/3 innings of a Game 3 loss in Pittsburgh. Kelly went 10-5 with a 2.69 ERA during the regular season, including 10-2 as a starter after he was inserted into the rotation in early July. The 25-year-old Kelly was outstanding at home with a 5-1 record in eight starts, including 5 1/3 innings of one-run ball against the Dodgers on Aug. 6.

TRENDS:

* Dodgers are 17-35 in the last 52 meetings in St. Louis.
* Cardinals are 36-15 in their last 51 home games.
* Dodgers are 35-16 in their last 51 road games.
* Over is 6-1 in Cardinals' last seven playoff games.

WALK-OFFS:

1. Los Angeles went 4-3 against the Cardinals during the regular season, winning three of four in St. Louis in early August.

2. SS Hanley Ramirez batted .500 and RF Yasiel Puig .471 while Carl Crawford and Juan Uribe combined to hit five homers as the Dodgers set an NL postseason series record with .333 team batting average versus Atlanta.

3. RF Carlos Beltran has been immense in the postseason with career totals of 16 homers and 31 RBIs in 39 games, but the Cardinals need more from 2B Matt Carpenter, who was 1-for-19 in the NLDS after collecting a league-high 199 hits in the regular season.

NASCAR betting: Bank of America 500 preview

The Chase for the Championship marches into Charlotte Motor Speedway for the Bank of America 500 Saturday. Here’s a quick look at three drivers to watch when the Sprint Cup takes to the 1.5-mile quad oval track:

Favorite

Matt Kenseth (+400)

The current points leader is sliding back a bit after back-to-back wins in September. Kenseth followed a seventh-place showing at Dover with an 11th-place finish at Kansas last weekend. The No. 20 car has an average finish of 11.38 at Charlotte and placed 15th there in the Coca-Cola 600 back in May. Kenseth has been dominant on tri-oval tracks, with an average finish of 8.04 over the past three years.

Live underdog

Brad Keselowski (+1,800)

Keselowski may not be among the 13 Chase contenders but there’s no lack of motivation for the No. 2 Ford. He’s in a very vocal battle with Kyle Busch and would love nothing more than to stick it to his rival with a win at Charlotte Saturday. He’s among the best tri-oval drivers in NASCAR and boasts three wins on those intermediate tracks since 2011. With Keselowski outside of the Chase looking in, there is added value in his outright odds.

Long shot

Jamie McMurray (+10,000)

For a guy sitting first among non-Chase contenders, McMurray is sure getting some tasty odds this weekend. He’s been among the best drivers the past six races, posting an average finish of 11th – sixth best in all of the Sprint Cup. McMurray has two Top-5 finishes in his last five races, and while he hasn’t run well at Charlotte for his career, he did win one of the Sprint Cup Showdowns in Concord, NC back in May.

Key stat: Just 14 of the 109 races at Charlotte have been won by the pole sitter (12.8 percent). Jimmie Johnson is the last do it in 2004 and 2009.

Odds to win Bank of America 500 at TopBet.eu:

Matt Kenseth 4-1
Kyle Busch 6-1
Kasey Kahne 7-1
Joey Logano 10-1
Jeff Gordon 10-1
A.J. Allmendinger 100-1
Kevin Harvick 10-1
Kurt Busch 15-1
Carl Edwards 15-1
Brad Keselowski 18-1
Clint Bowyer 18-1
Dale Earnhardt Jr. 18-1
Martin Truex Jr. 25-1
Denny Hamlin 25-1
Greg Biffle 30-1
Ryan Newman 30-1
Brian Vickers 35-1
Jimmie Johnson 7-2
Juan Montoya 60-1
Jeff Burton 60-1
Paul Menard 80-1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 100-1
Marcos Ambrose 100-1
Mark Martin 100-1
Danica Patrick 100-1
Aric Almirola 100-1
Jamie McMurray 100-1
Field (Any Other Driver) 50-1

MLB

Dodgers-Cardinals
Greinke is 7-2, 1.60 in his last 12 starts, with ten of last thirteen starts staying under the total; he beat St Louis here 3-2 on August 5, allowing two runs in his 6.1 IP. Dodgers scored a total of four runs in his last three starts.

Kelly is 7-2, 2.81 in his last ten starts, with over 5-1-1 in his last seven; he was 1-1, 3.24 in two starts against the Dodgers this season.

Dodgers are 4-3 against St Louis this year, with road team winning five of the seven games, and four of seven staying under the total. LA beat Atlanta in last series 3-1, with all four games going over total. Kemp is out, Ethier may play for Dodger squad that scored 26 runs against the Braves.

Cardinals won 11 of their last 14 games; four of their five games vs Pittsburgh went over the total.

NHL

Hot teams
-- Penguins won their first three games, outscoring opponents 12-3.
-- Islanders won two of their first three games.

Cold teams
-- Philly lost three of first four games. Coyotes lost two of their three road games.
-- Carolina split its first four games, scoring nine goals. Kings split their first couple games, with wins in OT/SO.
-- Florida lost its last three games, outscored 16-3.
-- Chicago lost its last two games, both by 3-2 scores.
-- Winnipeg lost its last two games, scoring total of three goals. Dallas split its first couple games, scoring two goals in both games.
-- Flames split their first four games, with losses in OT/SO. New Jersey is 0-4, losing last three games in either OT or SO.

Series records
-- Coyotes are 4-3 in last seven games vs Philly, 2-2 in last four visits here.
-- Home side won last two LA-Carolina games.
-- Penguins won nine of their last eleven games with Florida.
-- Chicago won its last three games against the Islanders.
-- Home side won last two Dallas-Winnipeg games.
-- Home side won last four New Jersey-Calgary games.

Totals
-- Five of last seven Coyote-Flyer games stayed under the total.
-- Three of four Carolina games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Florida-Pittsburgh games.
-- Six of last eight Islander games went over the total.
-- Last two Dallas-Winnipeg games went over the total.
-- Three of first four Calgary games went over the total.

Today's MLB Picks

LA Dodgers at St. Louis

The Dodgers open the NLCS in St. Louis and look to build on their 9-2 record in Zack Greinke's last 11 starts on the road. LA is the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Dodgers favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-120). Here are all of today's picks.

Today's NHL Picks

New Jersey at Calgary

The Devils look to take advantage of a Calgary team that is coming off a 3-2 win over Montreal on Wednesday and is 3-7 in its last 10 games following a victory. New Jersey is the pick (-115) according to Dunkel, which has the Devils favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (-115). Here are all of today's picks.

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Cappers Access

Cincinnati U -20.5

Gamblers Data

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Penguins -1.5 +168

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Week 7

Friday, October 11

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TEMPLE (0 - 5) at CINCINNATI (3 - 2) - 10/11/2013, 8:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 1-0 against the spread versus TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 1-0 straight up against TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

NCAAF

Week 7

Trend Report

Friday, October 11

8:30 PM
TEMPLE vs. CINCINNATI
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Temple's last 17 games on the road
Temple is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Cincinnati is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games
Cincinnati is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home