Service Plays Sunday 10/20/13

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Football Jesus FREE NFL Pick, Eagles , so far 5-0-1 in NFL free picks after week 6

DCI Pro Football

[h=3]Week 7 Scores/Predictions[/h]

Thursday, October 17, 2013
Seattle 21.6 at ARIZONA 16.3, 8:25 pm ET
Sunday, October 20, 2013
Tampa Bay 15.2 at ATLANTA 29.1, 1:00 pm ET
Cincinnati 21.3 at DETROIT 22.2, 1:00 pm ET
Buffalo 18.7 at MIAMI 26.9, 1:00 pm ET
New England 25.2 at N.Y. JETS 13.0, 1:00 pm ET
Dallas 33.1 at PHILADELPHIA 29.7, 1:00 pm ET
Chicago 26.8 at WASHINGTON 25.5, 1:00 pm ET
St. Louis 16.6 at CAROLINA 25.1, 1:00 pm ET
San Diego 30.1 at JACKSONVILLE 14.4, 1:00 pm ET
San Francisco 25.8 at TENNESSEE 18.0, 4:05 pm ET
Houston 13.2 at KANSAS CITY 23.9, 4:25 pm ET
Baltimore 23.4 at PITTSBURGH 16.0, 4:25 pm ET
Cleveland 15.2 at GREEN BAY 30.6, 4:25 pm ET
Denver 32.3 at INDIANAPOLIS 27.2, 8:30 pm ET
Monday, October 21, 2013
Minnesota 29.5 at N.Y. GIANTS 25.9, 8:40 pm ET

Today's NFL Picks

Denver at Indianapolis

The Colts look to bounce back from their 19-9 loss at San Diego last week and build on their 9-1 ATS record in their last 10 games following a SU defeat. Indianapolis is the pick (+7) according to Dunkel, which has the Colts favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Indianapolis (+7). Here are all of this week's picks.

NASCAR betting: Camping World RV Sales 500 preview

Talladega could be sports betting’s biggest craps shoot. The 2.66-mile superspeedway, known for gigantic wrecks, is nearly impossible to predict, leaving NASCAR oddsmakers to post some tight prices heading into this weekend’s Camping World RV Sales 500.

Favorite

Jimmie Johnson (+700)

Johnson is the favorite strictly because he’s the public’s choice most weeks and is always a threat to finish first each weekend. However, the No. 48 car isn’t among the most consistent rides at Talladega. Johnson owns an average finish of 17.1 at Talladega with two wins and six Top 5s in 23 career starts.

Underdog

Brad Keselowski (+1,500)

Keselowski cashed in as our underdog pick last week, so why not stick with the hot driver. He’s only started nine races at Talladega but has finished first in two of those and owns six Top-10 showings in those outings. Keselowski is outside the Chase but is making one strong case for the 2014 season.

Long shot

David Ragan (+4,000)

Ragan is another driver that doesn’t have many notches on his belt at Talladega but has impressed in his limited appearances on the superspeedway. He’s won once, finished inside the Top 5 four times and placed within the Top 10 in six of his 13 career races at Talladega. That victory came earlier this season at the Aaron’s 499 back in May. Ragan has finished first, fourth and seventh in his last three trips to Lincoln, Alabama.

Key stat: According to ESPN, “The Big One” has plagued five of the last seven races at Talladega, with at least 11 cars getting caught up in those infamous wrecks. Last year’s fall race featured a 25-car pileup on the final lap of the race.

Odds to win Camping World RV Sales 500 (courtesy of TopBet)

Jimmie Johnson 8-1
Kyle Busch 9-1
Dale Earnhardt Jr. 10-1
Matt Kenseth 10-1
Jeff Gordon 10-1
Kevin Harvick 10-1
Brad Keselowski 15-1
Clint Bowyer 15-1
Kasey Kahne 15-1
Kurt Busch 15-1
Carl Edwards 18-1
Joey Logano 20-1
Greg Biffle 20-1
Aric Almirola 30-1
Jamie McMurray 20-1
Martin Truex Jr. 25-1
Denny Hamlin 25-1
Ryan Newman 30-1
Jeff Burton 35-1
Danica Patrick 40-1
David Ragan 40-1
Juan Montoya 40-1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 40-1
Paul Menard 40-1
Austin Dillon 40-1
Michael Waltrip 40-1
Sam Hornish, Jr. 45-1
David Gilliland 50-1
Trevor Bayne 75-1
Marcos Ambrose 75-1
Dave Blaney 80-1
Casey Mears 80-1
Justin Allgaier 80-1
Field (Any Other Driver) 25-1

NFL Prop Shop: Week 7's best player prop bets
By SEAN MURPHY

Don’t limit your NFL bets to just sides and totals each Sunday. Covers Expert Sean Murphy opens the doors to the Prop Shop, giving you his favorite player prop picks for Week 7.

Most passing yards

Jay Cutler (Chicago Bears) vs. Robert Griffin III (Washington Redskins)

I could sum up this play with one sentence. I don't like what I'm seeing from RGIII.

Jay Cutler can be wildly inconsistent, but for my money, he has a stronger supporting cast than Griffin right now, not to mention the fact that he'll be facing a Redskins defense that has been repeatedly beat down this season.

Cutler is coming off a big bounce-back game against New York last week, throwing for 262 yards and two scores. He and Brandon Marshall will give the Skins secondary a serious test Sunday afternoon.

Take: Cutler

Tony Romo (Dallas Cowboys) vs. Nick Foles (Philadelphia Eagles)

Just when you think that Tony Romo has it all figured out, he generally stinks up the joint.

I'm not saying that Romo is in for a dreadful performance in Philadelphia, but I do expect him to fall short in this particular matchup.

It's rarely a bad idea supporting the Eagles when it comes to individual player props. The simple fact that they run a ton of offensive plays works in our favor. Foles threw for 296 yards in Tampa Bay last week and has tossed five touchdowns without an interception in the last two weeks.

Dallas is also allowing 7.4 yards per pass play this season, a slightly worse mark than the Eagles 7.2

Take: Foles

Most rushing yards

Ryan Mathews (San Diego Chargers) vs. Maurice Jones-Drew (Jacksonville Jaguars)

Ryan Mathews is coming off his first 100-yard rushing game of the season, but there won’t be a repeat performance Sunday. Prior to that outing, Mathews had topped out at 73 rushing yards in a game this year.

The return of Jaguars WR Justin Blackmon from suspension has opened up their anemic offense and RB Maurice Jones-Drew has been a benefactor. He's gained at least 70 yards on the ground in back-to-back games - by far his best two performances of the season.

The Chargers defense looked good Monday, but is still allowing 4.8 yards per rush this season.

Take: Jones-Drew

Most pass receptions

Anquan Boldin (San Francisco 49ers) vs. Kendall Wright (Tennessee Titans)

Last Sunday, it was Vernon Davis' turn to shine. This week, I expect to see Anquan Boldin step to the forefront in the 49ers’ offensive gameplan.

The Titans do possess an extremely physical defense and I believe they match up well against Davis. Boldin has caught just five passes for 49 yards in the last two games, so you can be sure he's eager to get more involved. The 49ers are obviously a better offensive team when Boldin is catching at least seven or eight balls a week.

It's not a difficult decision for the 49ers defense to key on Kendall Wright. He's caught 29 passes in the last five games but should see blanket coverage this week. With Ryan Fitzpatrick throwing to him, I don't have a great deal of confidence in Wright's ability to go off.

Take: Boldin

NFL Betting Week 7 Preview Hot bets and moving odds
By SPORTSINTERACTION

Sports Interaction betting analyst Frank Doyle previews Week 6’s NFL action.

All odds current as of noon ET, Oct. 17

Peyton’s place

At some point, Peyton Manning and the Denver Broncos may not be the top story of the week in the NFL – just don’t count on that happening until they have their bye in Week 9. Right now, Manning is getting ready to visit the Colts at Lucas Oil Stadium for the first time as a Bronco in easily the most anticipated matchup of the week. Sports Interaction opened Denver as a 6-point road favorite, but that line has moved to -7 already with 88 percent of the action coming in on the Broncos. If you missed taking Denver at less than a touchdown, chances are it’s way too late to get that number now.

Over and out

Remember when seeing a 50-point total on the board actually caught your eye? This week we have three more totals above 50 points and a pile of matchups between teams pounding the over. The total for Denver-Indy is this week’s biggest number at 56.5, which isn’t shocking since Denver hasn’t played under yet this season. Dallas visits Philadelphia and Chip Kelly’s up-tempo attack and that total opened at 56.5 before dropping to 54.5. Chicago, which has played over in five of six games, visits Washington with a 50.5 over/under on the board.

Movers and shakers

The Arizona Cardinals have a lot to prove in this week’s Thursday Night Football matchup with the Seahawks. The last time these two teams hooked up, the Seahawks rubbed it in with a 58-0 win in Seattle. Now the Cardinals, who opened at +6, are looking for revenge. This line jumped to +7 for a while, dropped to +6 and is currently holding at +6.5.

The line for Chicago’s date with Washington should be on the top of your watch list this week. The Redskins opened as 1.5-point favorites and actually jumped to -2 not long after. Since then, the line is coming the other way. The game is currently at a pick ‘em and may bounce around for a while.

Hot and not

The Seahawks are seeing 77 percent of Sports Interaction’s bets at -6.5.

New England bettors are all over the Pats in their second meeting with the Jets this season. With New England set as a 4.5-point road favorite, 88 percent of our action is on the Pats.

Sports Interaction bettors have no faith left in the 0-6 Houston Texans anymore. Only 18 percent of our bets are coming in on Houston as the Texans visit the Chiefs as 6.5-point underdogs.

[h=1]Today's CFL Picks[/h]SUNDAY, OCTOBER 20
Time Posted: 7:00 p.m. EST (10/17) Game 497-498: Hamilton at Montreal (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hamilton 116.733; Montreal 113.410
Dunkel Line: Hamilton by 3 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: Hamilton by 1; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (-1); Over

CFL

Week 17

Hamilton (8-7) @ Montreal (6-9)—TiCats (-8) beat Montreal 28-26 in first series meeting in Week 13, Hamilton’s 4th win in last five series games; they outrushed Als 102-47 as home side won for 9th time in last ten series games, with TiCats losing three of last four played here. Six of last nine series games went over total, with average total in those games, 63.9. Hamilton won three of last four games, covered eight of last ten; they’re 3-4 SU on road, covering last five away games- they covered three of last four games when favored. Alouettes lost four of last six games but covered five of last six as an underdog; they were -3 in turnovers last week, reducing season mark to +13, damn good for a 6-9 team. Over is 8-4 in last dozen Montreal games, 1-4 in last five Hamilton games.

CFL
Long Sheet

Week 17

Sunday, October 20

HAMILTON (8 - 7) at MONTREAL (6 - 9) - 10/20/2013, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games in October games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 7-2 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON is 6-3 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

CFL

Week 17

Trend Report

Sunday, October 20

1:00 PM
HAMILTON vs. MONTREAL
Hamilton is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Hamilton's last 5 games
Montreal is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 6 games

Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: Baltimore at Pittsburgh (Sunday 10/20 4:25 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total OVER 40.5 (-110) at TopBet

My how times have changed. It is strange to see both of these teams struggling, with neither over .500 heading into week seven. While they are both respectable on defense, they are both allowing over 20 points per game on the season. The Ravens have allowed 31.7 points per game in their three road tilts. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh has given up 28 per game at home this season. It isn't getting better for Baltimore as they have at least four defensive starters either out or ailing. While defense has been the calling card for these clubs, it hasn't been that way when they tangle, as the OVER has gone 4-1 in the last five meetings overall, and 7-2-1 to the OVER in the last 10 meetings in Pittsburgh. The Ravens have also played to a 13-5 mark to the OVER in their last 18 when following a loss. Under John Harbaugh, Baltimore is 19-10 OVER as a road dog. This one has always looked defensive, but most of the time that simply isn't the case on the scoreboard. Take the OVER.

ESPN Colin Blazing 5 (and a bonus) with wiseguy assessment in parenthesis:

49ers (Disagree);
Redskins (Agree);
Ravens (Disagree);
Jacksonville (Agree);
New England (Disagree);
Eagles (Agree)

He's been awful this year...

SportsWagers NFL

Houston @ KANSAS CITY

Houston +6½ -103 over KANSAS CITY

Anyone can go through the X’s and O’s and tell you which team is supposed to come out ahead but unfortunately it isn’t that simple. One of the criteria you should employ is to look for inflated lines based on last week’s results and the Texans fit that bill to a tee. The Texans went into a nuclear implosion last week in their spanking by the visiting Rams, which is akin to being challenged to a sandlot football game by some middle schoolers who proceed to steal your sense of manhood. Anyone who had previously wagered on the Rams, including us, was flabbergasted that St. Louis could go into Houston and put a beating like that on anyone, let alone the Texans. Well, that result, the loss of Matt Schaub and four straight losses have all combined to make the Texans the least appealing team to bet on in the NFL right now. The entire world is looking to fade the Texans this week against the 6-0 Kansas City Chiefs. We say whoaaaaaa boy because Houston is NOT this bad and rarely are they offered a margin like this. We get the benefit of an inflated price on a true buy-low squad and that’s precisely the right time to step in. Besides, are the Chiefs really this good? A 24-7 win over Oakland last week equals a misleading score. That game was close throughout. In fact, you could go through all the Chiefs’ games and see misleading scores. Sure, K.C.’s defense has been outstanding but its offense is usually stuck in neutral the entire game. Oh, and by the way, no QB has thrown for more than 195 yards on the Texans defense and Alex Smith has thrown one TD in his last four games. On paper, K.C is winning easy but when you look under the hood of this offense, it’s about as pedestrian and predictable as it comes. Houston is playing for dignity here, much in the same way the Jag-wires were last week. Hell, even the language in Houston regarding the Texans is salty and the criticism extends to players’ mamas. Thousands of Texans fans cheering that Matt Schaub got hurt last week surely has this team saying, “enough is enough”. The Texans are down and out right now and a response is in order. Upset possibility.

Our Pick

Houston +6½ -103 (Risking 2.06 units - To Win: 2.00)



Dallas @ PHILADELPHIA
PHILADELPHIA -3 +107 over Dallas

You could spot 2½ and 15 cents if you like but if we thought that a half point mattered we would look elsewhere. Instead, we’ll spot the field goal and take back a small tag because the Cowboys are in too difficult a spot here. The ‘Boys’ stock is high right now after their near win over Denver followed by a prime time, easy win over the Redskins. That’s back-to-back weeks that Dallas has been in the NFL spotlight and they’ve come through with flying colors. Meanwhile, Philadelphia has been out of sight and out of mind since its 26-16 loss to the Chiefs in a Thursday night prime time affair in Week 3. Subsequently, the Eagles were expected to get blown out by Denver and they did, losing 52-20. Last week they played the Bucs in a game that attracted little interest and in between those two, they played the then 0-4 Giants. The Eagles’ flame has completely fizzled out after that incredible offensive display in Week 1. Back then it was the talk of the NFL and now it’s not even mentioned. Enter Nick Foles and the offensive mind of Chip Kelly to face a Dallas defense that is absolutely putrid. The Cowboys have already allowed Eli Manning, Peyton Manning and Philip Rivers to pass for over 400 yards and at least three scores each. Statistically, Dallas is the NFL’s worst defense and now they are without its only legit pass rusher, De Marcus Ware. Nick Foles took the full start last week and ended up with 296 passing yards and three touchdowns along with a rushing score as well. That was against a decent Tampa Bay defense. Philly Chip will have these Eagles on the move in much the same way he did in Week 1. Philadelphia will exploit every weakness the Cowboys have on defense and there are plenty of them. The Cowboys offense takes a step down whenever they board a plane. DeMarco Murray made it five games before getting injured this season and his sprained MCL will keep him out for at least one to three more weeks. Lance Dunbar is out with a hamstring issue so the rookie Joseph Randle becomes the starter this week by default. His only work all year was last week when he ran for 17 yards on 11 carries and scored once. Dallas is banged up, emotionally spent and they’re 0-2 on the road, which makes this week the worst possible time to be facing the Eagles.

Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA -3 +107 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.14)

Burns
10* Tennessee
10* Indy
10* Denver/Indy Under
9* NY Jets
9* San Francisco/Tennessee Under
8* Jacksonville

BeatYourBookie Football Plays

Sunday

10* Play Miami -8 over Buffalo (NFL TOP PLAY)
1:00 PM EST

Buffalo is 3-11 ATS coming off a home game in their last game
Buffalo is 2-8 ATS when playing as a road underdog of 7 points or less


10* Play San Diego -7.5 over Jacksonville (NFL TOP PLAY)
1:00 PM EST

Jacksonville is 3-11 ATS when playing as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points
Jacksonville is 6-12 ATS in home games the last three seasons


10* Play Green Bay -10 over Cleveland (NFL TOP PLAY)
4:30 PM EST

Green Bay is 15-5 ATS in home games the last three seasons
Green Bay is 6-1 ATS after gaining 375 or more total yards on offense in three straight games


10* Play Indianapolis +6.5 over Denver (NFL TOP PLAY)
8:30 PM EST

Indianapolis is 6-0 ATS at home when the total posted is greater than 45.5 points
Indianapolis is 7-0 ATS at home when playing after the 1[SUP]st[/SUP] month of the season

XpertPicks

Sunday Football Plays

·Play San Diego -7.5 over Jacksonville (TOP NFL PLAY)---RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL
1:00 PM EST

Jacksonville has lost 23 of the last 29 games coming off a loss in their last game and they have also lost 10 of the last 11 games after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in two straight games. Jacksonville has lost 14 of the last 15 games when playing as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points and they have lost 21 of the last 26 games when playing after the 1st month of the season.


·Play Philadelphia -2.5 over Dallas (TOP NFL PLAY)---RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL
1:00 PM EST

Dallas has lost 12 of the last 17 games against the spread coming off an UNDER the total in their last game and they have also lost 10 of the last 14 games against the spread vs. division opponents. Dallas has lost 5 consecutive games against the spread coming off a win by 14 points or more in their last game and they have lost 12 of the last 19 games against the spread when the line posted is between +3 to -3.


·Play Baltimore +3 over Pittsburgh (TOP NFL PLAY)---RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL
4:30 PM EST

Pittsburgh has lost 18 of the last 27 games against the spread vs. AFC Conference Opponents and they have also lost 14 of the last 20 games against the spread when the total posted is between 35.5 and 42 points. Pittsburgh has lost 11 of the last 15 games against the spread after having lost four of the last five games and they are only averaging 16 points a game on offense in home games this season.



·Play Green Bay -10 over Cleveland (BONUS NFL PLAY)---RISK 5% OF YOUR BANKROLL
·Play Indianapolis +6.5 over Denver (BONUS NFL PLAY)---RISK 5% OF YOUR BANKROLL

ontheoutside said:

looking for chance nice post last week involving the lvh contest if we bet what you posted wed go 8-2 nice job

Click to expand...

Top Contestants:
(21-8-1): Miami / Wash / Atlanta / Pitt / Indy
(20-8-1): Arizona / NY Jets / Philly / Tenn / Dnvr
(20-8-1): Hstn / Cincy / Dallas / Dnvr / Minn

Last place contestant (Minimum 30 plays)
(6-24):: New Eng / KC / SD / Chic / Dnvr

Just a long time observation: It's almost always better to play against the last place contestant than on the first place contestant in any contest.
Colin Cowherd: is 8-22-2 this year. Try to find someone who has a better record than 22-8-2. Playing against Colin would have you # 1 in the above entioned Hilton contest

Dwayne Bryant

triple dime play
Jaguars.

Top ten in HILTON............including our old friend jarhead.




MATTY ICE - W21 L8 T1 LW 3-2
SINATRA DRIVE - W20 L8 T2 LW 3-2
ROSEAL - W20 L8 T2 LW 5-0
STEVEN B1 - W20 L9 T1 LW 4-1
5 MAN WOLF 7 - W20 L9 T1 LW 5-0
BRUNO AND CARMELLA - W20 L9 T1 LW 3-2
MONK SHOES & THE B - W20 L9 T1 LW 3-2
OFFSHOREBETTOR - W20 L9 T1 LW 3-2
JARHEAD - W20 L9 T1 LW 4-1