Service Plays Saturday 10/26/13

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[h=1]NCAA Football Game Picks[/h]
SATURDAY, OCTOBER 26
Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST (10/23)
Game 111-112: Georgia Tech at Virginia (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Tech 91.088; Virginia 84.173
Dunkel Line: Georgia Tech by 7; 43
Vegas Line: Georgia Tech by 10; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Virginia (+10); Under
Game 113-114: Connecticut at Central Florida (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 66.671; Central Florida 101.139
Dunkel Line: Central Florida by 34 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: Central Florida by 22 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Central Florida (-22 1/2); Over
Game 115-116: Ball State at Akron (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ball State 88.746; Akron 69.126
Dunkel Line: Ball State by 19 1/2; 61
Vegas Line: Ball State by 10 1/2; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ball State (-10 1/2); Over
Game 117-118: Miami (OH) at Ohio (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 59.257; Ohio 80.515
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 21; 48
Vegas Line: Ohio by 25; 51
Dunkel Pick: Miami (OH) (+25); Under
Game 119-120: Buffalo at Kent State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 84.884; Kent State 74.868
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 10; 54
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 1 1/2; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-1 1/2); Over
Game 121-122: Western Michigan at Massachusetts (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 61.122; Massachusetts 61.056
Dunkel Line: Even; 43
Vegas Line: Massachusetts by 3; 47
Dunkel Pick: Western Michigan (+3); Under
Game 123-124: Houston at Rutgers (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 91.737; Rutgers 88.710
Dunkel Line: Houston by 3; 68
Vegas Line: Rutgers by 7; 61
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+7); Over
Game 125-126: Boston College at North Carolina (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston College 86.841; North Carolina 85.208
Dunkel Line: Boston College by 1 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 7; 58
Dunkel Pick: Boston College (+7); Under
Game 127-128: Clemson at Maryland (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Clemson 101.137; Maryland 91.831
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 9 1/2; 66
Vegas Line: Clemson by 14; 60
Dunkel Pick: Maryland (+14); Over
Game 129-130: Duke at Virginia Tech (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Duke 81.283; Virginia Tech 99.249
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 18; 42
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 13; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Virginia Tech (-13); Under
Game 131-132: Pittsburgh at Navy (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 88.175; Navy 79.115
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 9; 47
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 5 1/2; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-5 1/2); Under
Game 133-134: UAB at TX-San Antonio (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UAB 70.532; TX-San Antonio 72.066
Dunkel Line: TX-San Antonio by 1 1/2; 64
Vegas Line: TX-San Antonio by 7; 59 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UAB (+7); Over
Game 135-136: Temple at SMU (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Temple 67.956; SMU 83.688
Dunkel Line: SMU by 15 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: SMU by 12; 60 1/2
Dunkel Pick: SMU (-12); Under
Game 137-138: Eastern Michigan at Northern Illinois (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 61.048; Northern Illinois 88.298
Dunkel Line: Northern Illinois by 27; 72
Vegas Line: Northern Illinois by 30; 66
Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois (-30); Over
Game 139-140: Arizona at Colorado (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 98.762; Colorado 74.431
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 24 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: Arizona by 14; 58
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-14); Under
Game 141-142: Vanderbilt at Texas A&M (12:21 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vanderbilt 90.771; Texas A&M 105.705
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 15; 73
Vegas Line: Texas A&M by 18; 68 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt (+18); Over
Game 143-144: Florida Atlantic at Auburn (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 76.657; Auburn 98.072
Dunkel Line: Auburn by 21 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Auburn by 24; 51
Dunkel Pick: Florida Atlantic (+24); Under
Game 145-146: Tennessee at Alabama (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 85.072; Alabama 119.631
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 34 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Alabama by 28; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Alabama (-28); Over
Game 147-148: UCLA at Oregon (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 106.117; Oregon 121.731
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 15 1/2; 75
Vegas Line: Oregon by 23 1/2; 70
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (+23 1/2); Over
Game 149-150: Utah at USC (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 102.448; USC 95.149
Dunkel Line: Utah by 7 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: USC by 7; 54
Dunkel Pick: Utah (+7); Under
Game 151-152: Tulsa at Tulane (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 75.551; Tulane 84.893
Dunkel Line: Tulane by 9 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Tulsa by 3 1/2; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tulane (+9 1/2); Under
Game 153-154: California at Washington (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: California 77.378; Washington 107.300
Dunkel Line: Washington by 30; 68
Vegas Line: Washington by 24 1/2; 64
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-24 1/2); Over
Game 155-156: West Virginia at Kansas State (3:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: West Virginia 87.934; Kansas State 95.301
Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 7 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: Kansas State by 10 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (+10 1/2); Over
Game 157-158: Michigan State at Illinois (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 102.451; Illinois 88.371
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 14; 46
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 10 1/2; 50
Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (-10 1/2); Under
Game 159-160: Wake Forest at Miami (FL) (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wake Forest 70.898; Miami (FL) 102.326
Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 31 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 22 1/2; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (FL) (-22 1/2); Under
Game 161-162: North Carolina State at Florida State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina State 90.214; Florida State 111.928
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 21 1/2; 63
Vegas Line: Florida State by 31 1/2; 58
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina State (+31 1/2); Over
Game 163-164: Texas Tech at Oklahoma (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas Tech 98.691; Oklahoma 108.778
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 10; 65
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 6 1/2; 59
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma (-6 1/2); Over
Game 165-166: Texas at TCU (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas 98.271; TCU 95.369
Dunkel Line: Texas by 3; 48
Vegas Line: TCU by 2 1/2; 51
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+2 1/2); Under
Game 167-168: Northwestern at Iowa (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northwestern 95.037; Iowa 93.798
Dunkel Line: Northwestern by 1 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Iowa by 4; 53
Dunkel Pick: Northwestern (+4); Under
Game 169-170: UNLV at Nevada (6:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UNLV 72.022; Nevada 81.614
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 9 1/2; 70
Vegas Line: Nevada by 6 1/2; 66 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nevada (-6 1/2); Over
Game 171-172: Wyoming at San Jose State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wyoming 78.470; San Jose State 81.633
Dunkel Line: San Jose State by 3; 76
Vegas Line: San Jose State by 7; 71 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wyoming (+7); Over
Game 173-174: Stanford at Oregon State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 109.777; Oregon State 95.617
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 14; 51
Vegas Line: Stanford by 3 1/2; 55
Dunkel Pick: Stanford (-3 1/2); Under
Game 175-176: Troy at Western Kentucky (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Troy 69.980; Western Kentucky 83.042
Dunkel Line: Western Kentucky by 13; 65
Vegas Line: Western Kentucky by 10 1/2; 60 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Kentucky (-10 1/2); Over
Game 177-178: Notre Dame at Air Force (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Notre Dame 94.129; Air Force 77.720
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 16 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 20; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Air Force (+20); Under
Game 179-180: Georgia State at UL-Monroe (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia State 59.393; UL-Monroe 67.175
Dunkel Line: UL-Monroe by 8; 47
Vegas Line: UL-Monroe by 11 1/2; 51
Dunkel Pick: Georgia State (+11 1/2); Under
Game 181-182: South Alabama at Texas State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Alabama 77.201; Texas State 72.024
Dunkel Line: South Alabama by 5; 56
Vegas Line: South Alabama by 1 1/2; 52
Dunkel Pick: South Alabama (-1 1/2); Over
Game 183-184: Idaho at Mississippi (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 59.713; Mississippi 98.091
Dunkel Line: Mississippi by 38 1/2; 62
Vegas Line: Mississippi by 41 1/2; 58 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Idaho (+41 1/2); Over
Game 185-186: North Texas at Southern Mississippi (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 81.327; Southern Mississippi 59.933
Dunkel Line: North Texas by 22 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: North Texas by 10 1/2; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Texas (-10 1/2); Under
Game 187-188: Louisiana Tech at Florida International (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisiana Tech 67.256; Florida International 56.028
Dunkel Line: Louisiana Tech by 11; 46
Vegas Line: Louisiana Tech by 5; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Louisiana Tech (-5); Under
Game 189-190: South Carolina at Missouri (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Carolina 105.229; Missouri 103.124
Dunkel Line: South Carolina by 2; 56
Vegas Line: Missouri by 3; 52
Dunkel Pick: South Carolina (+3); Over
Game 191-192: Oklahoma State at Iowa State (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma State 96.414; Iowa State 89.532
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 7; 50
Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 13 1/2; 56
Dunkel Pick: Iowa State (+13 1/2); Under
Game 193-194: Baylor at Kansas (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baylor 119.121; Kansas 75.761
Dunkel Line: Baylor by 43 1/2; 72
Vegas Line: Baylor by 34 1/2; 65 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baylor (-34 1/2); Over
Game 195-196: Nebraska at Minnesota (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nebraska 97.482; Minnesota 90.273
Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 7; 57
Vegas Line: Nebraska by 10 1/2; 52
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+10 1/2); Over
Game 197-198: Louisville at South Florida (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisville 101.146; South Florida 66.251
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 35; 42
Vegas Line: Louisville by 20; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-20); Under
Game 199-200: Toledo at Bowling Green (2:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toledo 85.993; Bowling Green 86.873
Dunkel Line: Bowling Green by 1; 53
Vegas Line: Bowling Green by 4; 56
Dunkel Pick: Toledo (+4); Under
Game 201-202: Penn State at Ohio State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Penn State 91.417; Ohio State 110.698
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 19 1/2; 60
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 14 1/2; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-14 1/2); Over
Game 203-204: UTEP at Rice (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UTEP 64.935; Rice 84.813
Dunkel Line: Rice by 20; 54
Vegas Line: Rice by 17; 58
Dunkel Pick: Rice (-17); Under
Game 205-206: Fresno State at San Diego State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 87.148; San Diego State 81.545
Dunkel Line: Fresno State by 5 1/2; 67
Vegas Line: Fresno State by 8 1/2; 61
Dunkel Pick: San Diego State (+8 1/2); Over
Game 207-208: Colorado State at Hawaii (12:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado State 76.151; Hawaii 75.067
Dunkel Line: Colorado State by 1; 62
Vegas Line: Colorado State by 4; 56
Dunkel Pick: Hawaii (+4); Over
OTHER MAJOR GAMES:
Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST (10/23)
Game 241-242: Furman at LSU (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Furman 50.961; LSU 113.407
Dunkel Line: LSU by 62 1/2
Vegas Line: LSU by 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LSU (-45 1/2)
Abilene Christian at New Mexico State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Abilene Christian 50.716; New Mexico State 55.039
Dunkel Line: New Mexico State by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
 
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Football lines that make you go hmmm...
By JASON LOGAN

NCAAF

Texas Longhorns at TCU Horned Frogs (-1.5)

Big 12 bettors aren't the only ones going "hmmm..." when it comes to the spread for Texas at TCU Saturday.

“I heard we were picked to lose,” Texas QB Case McCoy told the Fort Worth Star-Telegram, questioning Saturday’s spread, which has come down from TCU -3 to -1.5.

The Longhorns are picking up steam after a huge victory over Oklahoma in the Red River Rivalry two weeks ago and bring a three-game winning streak into Fort Worth. Texas is still going with McCoy under center. He's doing a good job managing the passing game while allowing the Horns rushing attack to set the pace. Texas stampeded over OU for 255 yards and is averaging just over 200 yards on the ground since McCoy took over for the injured David Ash.

Texas Christian fell to Oklahoma State last weekend and hasn’t been able to hang with the conference elite this season, losing to OSU, OU, and Texas Tech. Yet, books are setting the Horned Frogs as slight home favorites Saturday night.

“People are always doubting us,” Texas CB Quandre Diggs told reporters. “It motivates me a lot. We were the underdog against OU. We’ll be the underdog against TCU. That’s even better. We just need to go out with the same energy. If we do, it should be a good one.”

Who said teams don't pay attention at the pointspread?

Oklahoma State Cowboys at Iowa State Cyclones (+13)

Oklahoma State’s offense isn’t living up to stats of past seasons. After ranking among the most powerful scoring attacks in the land, the Pokes are mustering only 35.7 points per game this fall – a bleak average compared to last season’s production of 44.7 points per game.

However, the Cowboys have a real chance to open up the playbook against Iowa State, which just got rolled for 71 points versus Baylor last Saturday. The Cyclones rank 111th in points against, giving up 36.7 per game and have lost three straight, dropping to 1-5 on the year.

Oklahoma State is coming off a big win over TCU, defeating the Horned Frogs 24-10 as a 6-point home favorite, and is just under two-touchdown road chalk in Week 9.

The Cowboys could roll with two QBs again Saturday, splitting snaps between J.W. Walsh and Clint Chelf. Whoever is throwing the ball should have plenty of space to operate against an ISU defense that is last in the Big 12 with only 10 sacks and just two interceptions.
 
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Exposing the Top 25: Where the polls went wrong
By JESSE SCHULE

Each week throughout the college football season, Covers Expert Jesse Schule will dissect the new Top 25 rankings, looking for betting value. He'll showcase the most overrated team, along with the most underrated ranked team, and an unranked squad that he feels should be in the Top 25.

Most underrated Top 25 team: Auburn Tigers (6-1 SU, 5-2 ATS)

The Tigers won outright at College Station Saturday, defeating Texas A&M and moving to 6-1. Their only loss came on the road to LSU and they covered the points as 17-point underdogs in that game.

Auburn ran for 379 yards versus the Aggies last week and rank eighth in the country, averaging over 300 yards rushing per game. Auburn will have four very winnable games against unranked teams before finishing the season versus Alabama at home.

Most overrated Top 25 team: Fresno State Bulldogs (6-0 SU, 1-5 ATS)

The Bulldogs are undefeated and they continue to climb their way up the rankings, despite the fact that they haven't really played anybody. Not only have they been padding their stats against unranked teams, they have failed to cover the spread in all but one of their games.

The Fresno State defense has allowed an average of more than 30 points per game - ranking 89th in the nation. The Bulldogs are giving up 9.5 points on the road this week versus San Diego State and they may have to be lucky to win this game outright.

Unranked team that should be ranked: BYU Cougars (5-2 SU, 4-3 ATS)

The Cougars have now won four straight since losing the “Holy War” to Utah in September. They have some tough games coming up against Boise State, Wisconsin and Notre Dame, but all of their remaining five contests are very winnable.

The defense that was so dominant last year hasn't had as much success, but Taysom Hill and the offense are picking up the slack. Hill threw for 417 yards and four touchdowns in Houston Saturday.
 
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Beyond the BCS: Capping college football's small conferences
By DOC'S SPORTS

Some of the best betting value in college football is hiding beyond the BCS, in the small conferences. Each week, Covers Experts’ Doc’s Sports will look at the little programs that could help you make big cash this college season.

Team to watch: Colorado State Rams (3-4 SU, 5-2 ATS)

This week: -5.5 at Hawaii

The Rams are battle tested on the road heading into Saturday’s date at winless Hawaii. They lost at Tulsa and Alabama before scoring a 30-point win at Wyoming last weekend. Colorado State churned out 509 yards at the Cowboys’ expense, including 290 yards on the ground. Quarterback Garrett Grayson threw three touchdown passes and has nine in his last three outings. The offensive unit should be licking its chops to an even greater extent against a 0-6 Hawaii squad that is allowing 475.8 yards per game. Colorado State won this matchup 42-27 at home last year.

The Rams are 5-1 ATS in their last six overall and 4-0 ATS in their last four road contests. Hawaii is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 Mountain West showdowns and 3-9 ATS in its last 12 against opponents with losing records.

Team to beware: Akron Zips (2-6 SU, 4-4 ATS)

This week: +10.5 vs. Ball State

Akron is 2-6 (1-3 MAC) and has lost five of its last six games. The Zips are coming off a road win at Miami (Ohio), which is 0-7 and has not come closer in any contest than it did in last week’s seven-point margin. Akron is 1-6 ATS in its last seven home games and 5-11 ATS in its last 16 conference dates. Ball State, on the other hand, is 7-2 ATS in its last seven against the MAC and 7-2 ATS in its last nine against teams with losing records.

If there is a weakness on Ball State (7-1, 4-0 MAC), it’s a rushing defense that surrenders 204.5 rushing yards per game. The Zips, though, likely can’t capitalize on such an opportunity. They are gaining a mere 107.9 yards per game on the ground.

Total team: Marshall Thundering Herd (4-2 SU, 1-5 O/U)

This week: 56.5 at Middle Tennessee

The Thundering Herd’s defense is the main reason why they are 4-2 overall and off to a 2-0 start in the C-USA. Marshall is allowing just 117.8 rushing yards and 180.3 passing yards per contest. It has given up more than 23 points in regulation only once this season.

Middle Tennessee, meanwhile, is averaging only 176.9 yards per game through the air and running back William Pratcher, who rushed for 71 yards and two touchdowns in his team’s season opener, is out for the season.

The Under is 5-1 in Marshall’s last six overall and 5-1 in Middle Tennessee’s last six overall. It is 6-2 in Middle Tennessee’s last eight road games and 5-1 in its last six against opponents with winning records.
 
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Clemson QB Boyd addresses sports betting rumors

Clemson quarterback Tajh Boyd responded to an internet rumor that he owed more than $80,000 on a gambling debt, telling reporters the rumor is false in his weekly news conference with the press.

"I have no idea where that came from," Boyd told reporters. "It was kind of shocking to me as well. That on top of the loss (to Florida State) made for a rough little weekend."

The rumor has it that Boyd dug himself quite a hole betting on NFL games. According to USA Today, that “brought laughter from Boyd as he cited the fact that his cable provider allows him access to only two games each Sunday.”

"I rarely watch NFL games," Boyd told the media.

Boyd was questioned by his head coach Dabo Sweeney Sunday morning. Sweeny told reporters, “He just shook his head and said, 'No way, coach,'".

"I have no reason not to believe Tajh Boyd,” Sweeney said. “He's never lied to me before. His character and integrity from my view are impeccable, so I'm going to take his word over some website that I've never heard of, ever."

The university is investigating the clams. The rumors originated from the Twitter account @Pregame_Steam, known for posting false information and being an alias account for notorious rumor kick starter "Incarcerated Bob".

Clemson is coming off a loss to Florida State and faces Maryland as a 14-point road favorite Saturday. Boyd heads into Week 9 as a +10,000 long shot to win the Heisman Trophy.
 

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The DCI:

Saturday, October 26, 2013
American Athletic Conference
Houston -- 31.6, RUTGERS -- 32.0 (--)
Temple -- 22.4, SMU -- 38.0 (--)
Louisville -- 28.3, SOUTH FLORIDA -- 13.8 (--)
Connecticut -- 4.0, UCF -- 40.9 (--)
Atlantic Coast Conference
NC State 9.5 at FLORIDA STATE 44.6, 3:30 pm ET
Clemson 36.9 at MARYLAND 19.3, 3:30 pm ET
Wake Forest 17.1 at MIAMI (FLA.) 34.6, 12:00 pm ET
Boston College 24.1 at NORTH CAROLINA 30.9, 3:30 pm ET
Georgia Tech 33.3 at VIRGINIA 18.7, 12:30 pm ET
Duke 18.5 at VIRGINIA TECH 29.3, 3:30 pm ET
Big 12 Conference
Oklahoma State 41.0 at IOWA STATE 25.0, 12:00 pm ET
Baylor 56.4 at KANSAS 20.5, 7:00 pm ET
West Virginia 27.8 at KANSAS STATE 39.6, 3:45 pm ET
Texas Tech 29.5 at OKLAHOMA 34.6, 3:30 pm ET
Texas 28.1 at TCU 22.1, 7:30 pm ET
Big Ten Conference
Michigan State 30.7 at ILLINOIS 15.6, 3:30 pm ET
Northwestern 20.9 at IOWA 25.1, 12:00 pm ET
Nebraska 33.5 at MINNESOTA 22.9, 12:00 pm ET
Penn State 25.4 at OHIO STATE 38.3, 8:00 pm ET
Conference USA
Louisiana Tech 28.5 at FIU 27.0, 6:00 pm ET
Utep 19.8 at RICE 43.9, 3:30 pm ET
North Texas 36.2 at SOUTHERN MISS 14.2, 7:00 pm ET
Tulsa 27.7 at TULANE 31.6, 3:30 pm ET
Uab 30.6 at UTSA 38.0, 5:00 pm ET
Mid-American Conference
Ball State 39.0 at AKRON 18.6, 12:00 pm ET
Toledo 22.6 at BOWLING GREEN 29.7, 2:30 pm ET
Buffalo 26.2 at KENT STATE 19.3, 3:30 pm ET
Western Michigan 17.1 at MASSACHUSETTS 22.3, 3:00 pm ET
Eastern Michigan 12.8 at NORTHERN ILLINOIS 57.4, 3:30 pm ET
Miami (Ohio) 9.7 at OHIO 36.2, 2:00 pm ET
Mountain West Conference
Colorado State 35.9 at HAWAI'I 29.5, 11:59 pm ET
Unlv 32.7 at NEVADA 43.0, 6:05 pm ET
Fresno State 39.8 at SAN DIEGO STATE 31.6, 10:30 pm ET
Wyoming 26.2 at SAN JOSE STATE 38.8, 7:00 pm ET
Pacific-12 Conference
Arizona 46.5 at COLORADO 27.4, 8:00 pm ET
Ucla 26.9 at OREGON 50.4, 7:00 pm ET
Stanford 33.6 at OREGON STATE 29.5, 10:30 pm ET
Utah 24.4 at USC 29.7, 4:00 pm ET
California 22.1 at WASHINGTON 44.4, 11:00 pm ET
Southeastern Conference
Tennessee 11.4 at ALABAMA 43.6, 3:30 pm ET
South Carolina 24.5 at MISSOURI 37.4, 7:00 pm ET
Vanderbilt 34.9 at TEXAS A&M 45.1, 12:21 pm ET
Sun Belt Conference
South Alabama 28.9 at TEXAS STATE 24.1, 7:00 pm ET
Georgia State 16.2 at ULM 32.7, 7:00 pm ET
Troy 28.7 at WESTERN KENTUCKY 35.5, 4:00 pm ET
FBS Non-Conference
Notre Dame 38.9 at AIR FORCE 10.1, 5:00 pm ET
Florida Atlantic 12.3 at AUBURN 41.2, 7:30 pm ET
Furman 1.1 at LSU 48.0, 7:00 pm ET
Pittsburgh 29.6 at NAVY 22.3, 1:00 pm ET
Abilene Christian 37.3 at NEW MEXICO STATE 32.2, 8:00 pm ET
Idaho 7.3 at OLE MISS 55.6, 7:30 pm ET
Big Sky Conference
Northern Arizona 23.9 at CAL POLY 28.0, 9:05 pm ET
Eastern Washington 31.0 at MONTANA 29.8, 3:30 pm ET
UC Davis 12.3 at MONTANA STATE 34.8, 4:05 pm ET
North Dakota 27.9 at PORTLAND STATE 38.4, 4:05 pm ET
Idaho State 13.4 at SOUTHERN UTAH 36.5, 3:05 pm ET
Big South Conference
Vmi 13.9 at COASTAL CAROLINA 57.9, 6:00 pm ET
Liberty 34.1 at GARDNER-WEBB 23.7, 1:30 pm ET
Colonial Athletic Association
Delaware -- 28.2, RHODE ISLAND -- 23.8 (--)
Towson -- 35.2, RICHMOND -- 17.7 (--)
New Hampshire -- 26.0, STONY BROOK -- 25.1 (--)
Maine -- 26.7, VILLANOVA -- 24.4 (--)
James Madison -- 18.2, WILLIAM & MARY -- 22.5 (--)
Ivy League
Brown 33.8 at CORNELL 19.4, 12:30 pm ET
Columbia 12.1 at DARTMOUTH 25.0, 1:30 pm ET
Princeton 26.1 at HARVARD 34.6, 1:00 pm ET
Yale 16.0 at PENN 25.8, 1:00 pm ET
Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference
South Carolina State 19.8 at BETHUNE-COOKMAN 20.7, 4:00 pm ET
North Carolina A&T 16.8 at FLORIDA A&M 12.2, 2:00 pm ET
Delaware State 16.4 at HAMPTON 18.0, 1:00 pm ET
Morgan State 21.2 at HOWARD 27.2, 1:00 pm ET
North Carolina Central 34.6 at SAVANNAH STATE 19.8, 2:00 pm ET
Missouri Valley Football Conference
South Dakota 25.3 at ILLINOIS STATE 25.7, 2:00 pm ET
North Dakota State 42.7 at INDIANA STATE 3.4, 3:05 pm ET
Northern Iowa 25.6 at SOUTH DAKOTA STATE 20.8, 3:00 pm ET
Missouri State 25.4 at WESTERN ILLINOIS 12.1, 7:00 pm ET
Northeast Conference
Duquesne 24.7 at BRYANT 25.7, 1:00 pm ET
Sacred Heart 32.3 at SAINT FRANCIS (PA.) 30.3, 12:00 pm ET
Robert Morris 15.8 at WAGNER 27.0, 12:00 pm ET
Ohio Valley Conference
UT Martin 36.3 at AUSTIN PEAY 14.9, 5:00 pm ET
Eastern Kentucky 32.6 at SOUTHEAST MISSOURI STATE 25.2, 2:00 pm ET
Eastern Illinois 33.4 at TENNESSEE STATE 34.4, 5:00 pm ET
Jacksonville State 33.3 at TENNESSEE TECH 26.5, 2:30 pm ET
Patriot League
Lehigh 32.7 at BUCKNELL 15.5, 1:00 pm ET
Colgate 33.4 at GEORGETOWN 24.4, 1:00 pm ET
Lafayette 21.8 at HOLY CROSS 32.9, 1:00 pm ET
Pioneer Football League
Mercer 38.7 at CAMPBELL 32.4, 4:00 pm ET
Valparaiso 14.2 at DRAKE 41.2, 2:00 pm ET
Davidson 20.7 at JACKSONVILLE 40.8, 1:00 pm ET
Stetson 10.4 at MARIST 41.5, 1:00 pm ET
Dayton 43.4 at MOREHEAD STATE 26.7, 1:00 pm ET
Butler 26.9 at SAN DIEGO 32.5, 4:00 pm ET
Southern Conference
Georgia Southern 37.6 at APPALACHIAN STATE 19.0, 3:30 pm ET
The Citadel 17.2 at CHATTANOOGA 30.9, 2:00 pm ET
Elon 30.1 at WESTERN CAROLINA 26.8, 3:30 pm ET
Samford 21.4 at WOFFORD 23.4, 1:30 pm ET
Southland Conference
Stephen F. Austin 32.8 at CENTRAL ARKANSAS 43.5, 4:00 pm ET
McNeese State 52.8 at NICHOLLS STATE 20.9, 4:00 pm ET
Northwestern State 16.4 at SAM HOUSTON STATE 47.3, 3:00 pm ET
Lamar 13.5 at SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA 36.6, 8:00 pm ET
Southwestern Athletic Conference
Alabama A&M 12.1 vs. Alabama State 34.6, 3:30 pm ET
Texas Southern 19.9 at GRAMBLING 15.4, 3:00 pm ET
Prairie View A&M 29.8 vs. Jackson State 25.2, 5:00 pm ET
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 21.4 at MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE 25.2, 3:00 pm ET
Alcorn State 24.3 at SOUTHERN 27.4, 6:30 pm ET
FCS Non-Conference
Charlotte 23.7 at CHARLESTON SOUTHERN 29.6, 1:00 pm ET
Houston Baptist 20.1 at INCARNATE WORD 32.6, 7:00 pm ET
Old Dominion 44.9 at NORFOLK STATE 12.7, 1:00 pm ET
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Inside the stats: Notre Dame Fighting Irish are leaking oil
By MARC LAWRENCE

Each week we take a look inside the numbers, from both a statistical and a pointspread aspect, on the college football and NFL cards.

Here are this week’s findings:

Behind the 8-ball

Game 8 of the college football season is often a crossroads for teams. Those who have won more games than they have lost are entertaining thoughts of securing a bowl bid. Those who are reeling and going down for the count are disappointed – and their actions on the field confirm those feelings.

According to our powerful database, teams playing Game 8 off three consecutive losses are prime candidates to be dropped into a corner pocket and counted out, especially when they take out as road dogs against an opponent off a loss in this situation. That’s because teams in this scenario are a paltry 14-96 SU and 38-69-3 ATS since 1980.

Better yet, bring them in against an opponent off back-to-back losses and they fall to 10-59 SU and 20-46-2 ATS. This week, we’ll be queuing up against California and Northwestern.

And faster than you can say “break ‘em”, if our qualified “play-against” Game 8 road dog arrives with a wobbly defense allowing 32.5 or more PPG on the season, they scratch like a poison-ivy infected boy scout, going 3-33 SU and 7-27-2 ATS, including 1-37 SU and 3-23-2 ATS as dog of eight or more points.

With that, look for the Bears to get “racked” this week.

Vinegar & oil

In keeping with our “leaking oil” theory (fading favorites who have lost the stats in each of their previous three games), and after a rocky effort last week, these plays are now 8-15 ATS (6-10 CFB; 2-5 NFL) this season.

This week’s Exxon Mobil plays would be against: Louisiana Monroe and Notre Dame in college football, along with San Francisco in the NFL.

In the stats

As a follow up to last week’s accounting of teams that are 100 percent perfect “in the stats” (ITS) in all games played this season, we report these perfect squads:

• Arizona State, Baylor, BYU, Florida State, Michigan State, Oregon, and (surprise) Western Kentucky.

• Miami (Ohio) and New Mexico State remain winless.

In the NFL the only perfect ITS team - winless - is Minnesota.

Overwhelming

There have been 57 Overs and 49 Unders in the NFL this season.

Leading the charge have been the totals results in non-conference games (AFC vs. NFC). These games have gone 24-11 O/U.

This week’s potential non-conference Overs would be: Jacksonville vs. San Francisco (London), Buffalo vs. New Orleans and Denver vs. Washington.

Stat of the Week

North Texas has not won three games in a row since 2004, and is 1-24 straight up in games off a previous win.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
NCAAF
Long Sheet

Week 9

Saturday, October 26

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GEORGIA TECH (4 - 3) at VIRGINIA (2 - 5) - 10/26/2013, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 1-13 ATS (-13.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
VIRGINIA is 1-1 against the spread versus GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA is 1-1 straight up against GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CONNECTICUT (0 - 6) at UCF (5 - 1) - 10/26/2013, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BALL ST (7 - 1) at AKRON (2 - 6) - 10/26/2013, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BALL ST is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALL ST is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BALL ST is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
BALL ST is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
BALL ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
AKRON is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MIAMI OHIO (0 - 7) at OHIO U (5 - 2) - 10/26/2013, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI OHIO is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI OHIO is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI OHIO is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI OHIO is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI OHIO is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI OHIO is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI OHIO is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI OHIO is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI OHIO is 2-0 against the spread versus OHIO U over the last 3 seasons
OHIO U is 1-1 straight up against MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BUFFALO (5 - 2) at KENT ST (2 - 6) - 10/26/2013, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
KENT ST is 1-0 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
KENT ST is 1-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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W MICHIGAN (0 - 8) at MASSACHUSETTS (1 - 6) - 10/26/2013, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W MICHIGAN is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
W MICHIGAN is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
W MICHIGAN is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
W MICHIGAN is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in games played on turf this season.
W MICHIGAN is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
W MICHIGAN is 1-0 against the spread versus MASSACHUSETTS over the last 3 seasons
W MICHIGAN is 1-0 straight up against MASSACHUSETTS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (5 - 1) at RUTGERS (4 - 2) - 10/26/2013, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all lined games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BOSTON COLLEGE (3 - 3) at N CAROLINA (1 - 5) - 10/26/2013, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CLEMSON (6 - 1) at MARYLAND (5 - 2) - 10/26/2013, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEMSON is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MARYLAND is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEMSON is 2-0 against the spread versus MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
CLEMSON is 2-0 straight up against MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DUKE (5 - 2) at VIRGINIA TECH (6 - 1) - 10/26/2013, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DUKE is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
DUKE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 79-55 ATS (+18.5 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
VIRGINIA TECH is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
VIRGINIA TECH is 1-1 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA TECH is 2-0 straight up against DUKE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PITTSBURGH (4 - 2) at NAVY (3 - 3) - 10/26/2013, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NAVY is 83-52 ATS (+25.8 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
NAVY is 86-58 ATS (+22.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NAVY is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
NAVY is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games against ACC opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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UAB (2 - 4) at UTSA (2 - 5) - 10/26/2013, 5:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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TEMPLE (1 - 6) at SMU (2 - 4) - 10/26/2013, 3:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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E MICHIGAN (1 - 6) at N ILLINOIS (7 - 0) - 10/26/2013, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N ILLINOIS is 81-56 ATS (+19.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
N ILLINOIS is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in home games in October games since 1992.
N ILLINOIS is 46-27 ATS (+16.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
N ILLINOIS is 47-27 ATS (+17.3 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
N ILLINOIS is 1-1 against the spread versus E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
N ILLINOIS is 2-0 straight up against E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ARIZONA (4 - 2) at COLORADO (3 - 3) - 10/26/2013, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points since 1992.
ARIZONA is 44-72 ATS (-35.2 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
ARIZONA is 68-98 ATS (-39.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
COLORADO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 2-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO is 1-1 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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VANDERBILT (4 - 3) at TEXAS A&M (5 - 2) - 10/26/2013, 12:20 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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FLA ATLANTIC (2 - 5) at AUBURN (6 - 1) - 10/26/2013, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLA ATLANTIC is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLA ATLANTIC is 1-0 against the spread versus AUBURN over the last 3 seasons
AUBURN is 1-0 straight up against FLA ATLANTIC over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TENNESSEE (4 - 3) at ALABAMA (7 - 0) - 10/26/2013, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ALABAMA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) as a favorite of 21.5 to 31 points over the last 3 seasons.
ALABAMA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
ALABAMA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 25-10 ATS (+14.0 Units) in road games in October games since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 28-11 ATS (+15.9 Units) in road games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
ALABAMA is 45-66 ATS (-27.6 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ALABAMA is 2-0 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
ALABAMA is 2-0 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UCLA (5 - 1) at OREGON (7 - 0) - 10/26/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UCLA is 36-55 ATS (-24.5 Units) in road games after playing a conference game since 1992.
UCLA is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) in road games in October games since 1992.
OREGON is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON is 127-96 ATS (+21.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
OREGON is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON is 50-30 ATS (+17.0 Units) in October games since 1992.
OREGON is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON is 55-35 ATS (+16.5 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
UCLA is 1-0 against the spread versus OREGON over the last 3 seasons
OREGON is 1-0 straight up against UCLA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (4 - 3) at USC (4 - 3) - 10/26/2013, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
UTAH is 52-30 ATS (+19.0 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
USC is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
USC is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
USC is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
USC is 1-1 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
USC is 2-0 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TULSA (2 - 4) at TULANE (5 - 2) - 10/26/2013, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TULSA is 2-0 against the spread versus TULANE over the last 3 seasons
TULSA is 2-0 straight up against TULANE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CALIFORNIA (1 - 6) at WASHINGTON (4 - 3) - 10/26/2013, 11:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 2-0 against the spread versus CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 2-0 straight up against CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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W VIRGINIA (3 - 4) at KANSAS ST (2 - 4) - 10/26/2013, 3:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS ST is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS ST is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS ST is 72-50 ATS (+17.0 Units) in home games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 72-50 ATS (+17.0 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS ST is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS ST is 72-50 ATS (+17.0 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS ST is 42-24 ATS (+15.6 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.
W VIRGINIA is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS ST is 1-0 against the spread versus W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS ST is 1-0 straight up against W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MICHIGAN ST (6 - 1) at ILLINOIS (3 - 3) - 10/26/2013, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ILLINOIS is 50-75 ATS (-32.5 Units) in home games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 50-75 ATS (-32.5 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ILLINOIS is 50-73 ATS (-30.3 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 65-103 ATS (-48.3 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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WAKE FOREST (4 - 3) at MIAMI (6 - 0) - 10/26/2013, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


NC STATE (3 - 3) at FLORIDA ST (6 - 0) - 10/26/2013, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NC STATE is 33-52 ATS (-24.2 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA ST is 1-1 against the spread versus NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA ST is 1-1 straight up against NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


TEXAS TECH (7 - 0) at OKLAHOMA (6 - 1) - 10/26/2013, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS TECH is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 56-35 ATS (+17.5 Units) in October games since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 60-38 ATS (+18.2 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA is 1-1 against the spread versus TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA is 1-1 straight up against TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
---------------------------------------------------------------------


TEXAS (4 - 2) at TCU (3 - 4) - 10/26/2013, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TCU is 56-35 ATS (+17.5 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
TCU is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TCU is 1-0 against the spread versus TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
TCU is 1-0 straight up against TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


NORTHWESTERN (4 - 3) at IOWA (4 - 3) - 10/26/2013, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NORTHWESTERN is 40-23 ATS (+14.7 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
NORTHWESTERN is 48-30 ATS (+15.0 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA is 1-1 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
IOWA is 1-1 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


UNLV (4 - 3) at NEVADA (3 - 4) - 10/26/2013, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UNLV is 36-56 ATS (-25.6 Units) in road games since 1992.
UNLV is 36-56 ATS (-25.6 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
UNLV is 65-99 ATS (-43.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
UNLV is 27-44 ATS (-21.4 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
UNLV is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in road games in games played on turf since 1992.
NEVADA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEVADA is 1-1 against the spread versus UNLV over the last 3 seasons
NEVADA is 2-0 straight up against UNLV over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WYOMING (4 - 3) at SAN JOSE ST (3 - 3) - 10/26/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE ST is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
SAN JOSE ST is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) after a bye week since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


STANFORD (6 - 1) at OREGON ST (6 - 1) - 10/26/2013, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON ST is 102-71 ATS (+23.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
OREGON ST is 96-64 ATS (+25.6 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
OREGON ST is 95-69 ATS (+19.1 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
OREGON ST is 52-30 ATS (+19.0 Units) in October games since 1992.
OREGON ST is 49-27 ATS (+19.3 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
OREGON ST is 40-23 ATS (+14.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
OREGON ST is 59-35 ATS (+20.5 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
STANFORD is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
STANFORD is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
STANFORD is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
STANFORD is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
STANFORD is 2-0 against the spread versus OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
STANFORD is 2-0 straight up against OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TROY (4 - 3) at W KENTUCKY (4 - 3) - 10/26/2013, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TROY is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
TROY is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
W KENTUCKY is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
W KENTUCKY is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
W KENTUCKY is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
W KENTUCKY is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
W KENTUCKY is 2-0 against the spread versus TROY over the last 3 seasons
W KENTUCKY is 2-0 straight up against TROY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


NOTRE DAME (5 - 2) at AIR FORCE (1 - 6) - 10/26/2013, 5:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NOTRE DAME is 1-0 against the spread versus AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
NOTRE DAME is 1-0 straight up against AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


GEORGIA ST (0 - 7) at LA MONROE (3 - 4) - 10/26/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA MONROE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


S ALABAMA (3 - 3) at TEXAS ST (4 - 3) - 10/26/2013, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


IDAHO (1 - 6) at OLE MISS (4 - 3) - 10/26/2013, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


NORTH TEXAS (4 - 3) at SOUTHERN MISS (0 - 6) - 10/26/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SOUTHERN MISS is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SOUTHERN MISS is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SOUTHERN MISS is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
SOUTHERN MISS is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


LOUISIANA TECH (2 - 5) at FLA INTERNATIONAL (1 - 5) - 10/26/2013, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISIANA TECH is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
LOUISIANA TECH is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after a bye week since 1992.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


S CAROLINA (5 - 2) at MISSOURI (7 - 0) - 10/26/2013, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
S CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
S CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


OKLAHOMA ST (5 - 1) at IOWA ST (1 - 5) - 10/26/2013, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA ST is 70-43 ATS (+22.7 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA ST is 1-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
IOWA ST is 1-1 straight up against OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


BAYLOR (6 - 0) at KANSAS (2 - 4) - 10/26/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BAYLOR is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BAYLOR is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BAYLOR is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
BAYLOR is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
BAYLOR is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
BAYLOR is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS is 59-85 ATS (-34.5 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
KANSAS is 65-96 ATS (-40.6 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
KANSAS is 40-67 ATS (-33.7 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS is 1-1 against the spread versus BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
BAYLOR is 2-0 straight up against KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


NEBRASKA (5 - 1) at MINNESOTA (5 - 2) - 10/26/2013, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEBRASKA is 2-0 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
NEBRASKA is 2-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


LOUISVILLE (6 - 1) at S FLORIDA (2 - 4) - 10/26/2013, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S FLORIDA is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
S FLORIDA is 1-1 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
LOUISVILLE is 2-0 straight up against S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


TOLEDO (4 - 3) at BOWLING GREEN (5 - 2) - 10/26/2013, 2:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOWLING GREEN is 1-1 against the spread versus TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
TOLEDO is 2-0 straight up against BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


PENN ST (4 - 2) at OHIO ST (7 - 0) - 10/26/2013, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 153-109 ATS (+33.1 Units) in all games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 153-109 ATS (+33.1 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 127-90 ATS (+28.0 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
OHIO ST is 100-68 ATS (+25.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
OHIO ST is 141-96 ATS (+35.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
OHIO ST is 118-86 ATS (+23.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
OHIO ST is 98-71 ATS (+19.9 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
OHIO ST is 76-51 ATS (+19.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO ST is 1-1 against the spread versus PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
OHIO ST is 1-1 straight up against PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


UTEP (1 - 5) at RICE (5 - 2) - 10/26/2013, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTEP is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
UTEP is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
UTEP is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
UTEP is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
UTEP is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 2 seasons.
RICE is 63-39 ATS (+20.1 Units) in home games since 1992.
RICE is 63-39 ATS (+20.1 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
RICE is 53-21 ATS (+29.9 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
RICE is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
RICE is 96-67 ATS (+22.3 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
RICE is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) in home games in October games since 1992.
RICE is 27-11 ATS (+14.9 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
RICE is 2-0 against the spread versus UTEP over the last 3 seasons
RICE is 2-0 straight up against UTEP over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


FRESNO ST (6 - 0) at SAN DIEGO ST (3 - 3) - 10/26/2013, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FRESNO ST is 35-54 ATS (-24.4 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
FRESNO ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
FRESNO ST is 1-0 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO ST over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO ST is 1-1 straight up against FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


COLORADO ST (3 - 4) at HAWAII (0 - 6) - 10/26/2013, 11:59 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO ST is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
COLORADO ST is 50-30 ATS (+17.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO ST is 1-0 against the spread versus HAWAII over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO ST is 1-0 straight up against HAWAII over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 
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May 19, 2007
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NCAAF

Week 9

Trend Report

Saturday, October 26

12:00 PM
NEBRASKA vs. MINNESOTA
Nebraska is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Nebraska is 2-8-1 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Minnesota is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Minnesota is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home

12:00 PM
WAKE FOREST vs. MIAMI
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Wake Forest's last 7 games on the road
Wake Forest is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games at home
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

12:00 PM
NORTHWESTERN vs. IOWA
Northwestern is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Iowa
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Northwestern's last 8 games when playing Iowa
Iowa is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Iowa's last 7 games at home

12:00 PM
BALL STATE vs. AKRON
Ball State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Ball State's last 15 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Akron's last 6 games at home
Akron is 2-15 SU in its last 17 games

12:00 PM
LOUISVILLE vs. SOUTH FLORIDA
Louisville is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Louisville is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of South Florida's last 5 games when playing at home against Louisville
South Florida is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Louisville

12:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. RUTGERS
Houston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Houston is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games on the road
Rutgers is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Rutgers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

12:00 PM
OKLAHOMA STATE vs. IOWA STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma State's last 6 games
Oklahoma State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Iowa State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Oklahoma State
Iowa State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Oklahoma State

12:00 PM
CONNECTICUT vs. CENTRAL FLORIDA
Connecticut is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Connecticut's last 7 games
Central Florida is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Central Florida's last 17 games at home

12:21 PM
VANDERBILT vs. TEXAS A&M
Vanderbilt is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Vanderbilt is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas A&M's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Texas A&M's last 7 games

12:30 PM
GEORGIA TECH vs. VIRGINIA
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Georgia Tech's last 9 games when playing Virginia
Georgia Tech is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Virginia
Virginia is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Georgia Tech
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Virginia's last 9 games when playing Georgia Tech

1:00 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. NAVY
Pittsburgh is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Navy's last 5 games at home
Navy is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

2:00 PM
MIAMI (OHIO) vs. OHIO
Miami (Ohio) is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Miami (Ohio) is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Ohio is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Ohio's last 7 games

2:30 PM
TOLEDO vs. BOWLING GREEN
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Toledo's last 13 games
Toledo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Bowling Green's last 5 games when playing Toledo
Bowling Green is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Toledo

3:00 PM
TEMPLE vs. SOUTHERN METHODIST
Temple is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Temple's last 7 games
Southern Methodist is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Southern Methodist's last 7 games at home

3:00 PM
WESTERN MICHIGAN vs. MASSACHUSETTS
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Western Michigan's last 10 games
Western Michigan is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Massachusetts's last 6 games at home
Massachusetts is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games at home

3:30 PM
MICHIGAN STATE vs. ILLINOIS
Michigan State is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing Illinois
Michigan State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Illinois
Illinois is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games when playing Michigan State
Illinois is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Michigan State

3:30 PM
EASTERN MICHIGAN vs. NORTHERN ILLINOIS
Eastern Michigan is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Northern Illinois
Eastern Michigan is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Northern Illinois
Northern Illinois is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Northern Illinois is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

3:30 PM
NORTH CAROLINA STATE vs. FLORIDA STATE
North Carolina State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Florida State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of North Carolina State's last 6 games when playing Florida State
Florida State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida State's last 5 games

3:30 PM
TEXAS EL PASO vs. RICE
Texas El Paso is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Rice
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Texas El Paso's last 9 games when playing Rice
Rice is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Rice's last 7 games at home

3:30 PM
DUKE vs. VIRGINIA TECH
Duke is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Duke is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Virginia Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Duke
Virginia Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Duke

3:30 PM
CLEMSON vs. MARYLAND
Clemson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Clemson's last 5 games on the road
Maryland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Clemson
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Maryland's last 7 games when playing Clemson

3:30 PM
BOSTON COLLEGE vs. NORTH CAROLINA
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Boston College's last 19 games on the road
Boston College is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of North Carolina's last 6 games
North Carolina is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games at home

3:30 PM
BUFFALO vs. KENT STATE
Buffalo is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Kent State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 7 games when playing Kent State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kent State's last 5 games
Kent State is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games

3:30 PM
TEXAS TECH vs. OKLAHOMA
Texas Tech is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Oklahoma
Texas Tech is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing Oklahoma
Oklahoma is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Oklahoma is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home

3:30 PM
TENNESSEE vs. ALABAMA
Tennessee is 1-7-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Alabama
Tennessee is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Alabama
Alabama is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Tennessee
Alabama is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tennessee

3:30 PM
TULSA vs. TULANE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tulsa's last 5 games when playing Tulane
Tulsa is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tulane
Tulane is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Tulane is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games

3:45 PM
WEST VIRGINIA vs. KANSAS STATE
West Virginia is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
West Virginia is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Kansas State is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas State's last 7 games

4:00 PM
TROY vs. WESTERN KENTUCKY
Troy is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Western Kentucky
Troy is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Western Kentucky
Western Kentucky is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Troy
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Western Kentucky's last 5 games

4:00 PM
UTAH vs. SOUTHERN CAL
Utah is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Utah is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Southern Cal is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Southern Cal's last 9 games

5:00 PM
NOTRE DAME vs. AIR FORCE
Notre Dame is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Air Force
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Notre Dame's last 5 games when playing Air Force
Air Force is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Air Force is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Notre Dame

5:00 PM
UAB vs. UTSA
UAB is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of UAB's last 7 games
UTSA is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
UTSA is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games

6:00 PM
LOUISIANA TECH vs. FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Louisiana Tech is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games
Louisiana Tech is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida International's last 5 games at home
Florida International is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home

6:05 PM
UNLV vs. NEVADA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of UNLV's last 5 games when playing Nevada
UNLV is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Nevada
Nevada is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games
Nevada is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games

7:00 PM
WYOMING vs. SAN JOSE STATE
Wyoming is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
San Jose State is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games
San Jose State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

7:00 PM
SOUTH ALABAMA vs. TEXAS STATE
South Alabama is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games
South Alabama is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Texas State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Texas State is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games

7:00 PM
BAYLOR vs. KANSAS
Baylor is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Baylor's last 12 games on the road
Kansas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Kansas is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games

7:00 PM
NORTH TEXAS vs. SOUTHERN MISS
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of North Texas's last 8 games
North Texas is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Southern Miss's last 10 games at home
Southern Miss is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
GEORGIA STATE vs. LOUISIANA-MONROE
Georgia State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Georgia State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Louisiana-Monroe is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
Louisiana-Monroe is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games at home

7:00 PM
UCLA vs. OREGON
UCLA is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
UCLA is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games on the road
Oregon is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing UCLA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oregon's last 6 games when playing UCLA

7:00 PM
FURMAN vs. LSU
Furman is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Furman is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
LSU is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LSU's last 8 games

7:00 PM
SOUTH CAROLINA vs. MISSOURI
South Carolina is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games on the road
South Carolina is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Missouri's last 5 games
Missouri is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

7:30 PM
FLORIDA ATLANTIC vs. AUBURN
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Florida Atlantic's last 8 games
Florida Atlantic is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Auburn's last 5 games at home
Auburn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:30 PM
IDAHO vs. MISSISSIPPI
Idaho is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Idaho is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Mississippi's last 6 games
Mississippi is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games

7:30 PM
TEXAS vs. TCU
Texas is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Texas's last 9 games on the road
TCU is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of TCU's last 5 games

8:00 PM
PENN STATE vs. OHIO STATE
Penn State is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Ohio State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Penn State's last 9 games when playing Ohio State
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ohio State's last 5 games

8:00 PM
ARIZONA vs. COLORADO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Arizona's last 15 games
Colorado is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games at home
Colorado is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games at home

8:00 PM
ABILENE CHRISTIAN vs. NEW MEXICO STATE
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Mexico State's last 6 games at home
New Mexico State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home

10:30 PM
FRESNO STATE vs. SAN DIEGO STATE
Fresno State is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing San Diego State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Fresno State's last 5 games on the road
San Diego State is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of San Diego State's last 11 games

10:30 PM
STANFORD vs. OREGON STATE
Stanford is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Oregon State
Stanford is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Oregon State
Oregon State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Stanford
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oregon State's last 6 games when playing at home against Stanford

11:00 PM
CALIFORNIA vs. WASHINGTON
California is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
California is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 8 games at home
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

11:59 PM
COLORADO STATE vs. HAWAII
Colorado State is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Colorado State is 8-16 ATS in its last 24 games on the road
Hawaii is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Hawaii's last 8 games at home
 
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DAVE ESSLER

Saturday CFB Thoughts on Half the Games

G-Tech at UVA: Clearly G-Tech will be the very public side after pasting Syracuse, and Virginia losing at home to Duke after having a HT lead is going to only magnify this line. They hammered UVA in Atlanta last year, but lost SU in UVA the year before. Not sure the value here isn't in the total, and lean under since Tech's defense has been playing well, UVA's season is essentially done, and they couldn't score when it wasn't done.

UConn-UCF: Again, inflated number to cover with the Knights after the public beating they gave an over rated L'ville team and UConn being 0-6. UCF extra time to prepare and UCF has a bigger game against Houston next week, so if the number is high enough, I could see taking UConn and their reasonable defense, or at least the under.

Ball State-Akron: Ball State remains undefeated in MAC play, and at some point has to be looking towards their showdown with Northern Illinois. Akron did win on the road (yes, it was against a bad team) and played Northern Illinois pretty tough on the road last week. This one could well have public disaster because, well, Ball State's defense just isn't one I wanted to lay big points with two weeks in a row on the road.

Miami (OH)-Ohio: Miami can't score and can't stop many people from scoring, and are of course winless. It'd certainly be tough to back them on the road with Ohio finally getting things together, but Ohio does have a big date w.Buffalo next week, and DID lost to Central Michigan, so if Ohio's focused they run away, if they're looking at the next two game (Bowling Green in two weeks) it could be closer than expected.

Buffalo-Kent: Kent has seemingly zero defense, but you guys know I'll almost always try to find a way to take points, one way or another. Buffalo's stock is super-high right now, but they really haven't played a quality opponent since giving up the obligatory 70 points to Baylor and then beating Stony Brook (the football team) in overtime. There's a big part of me that says this could be another public disaster, obviously depending on how many points they want to give a team that's played at LSU and at Penn State.

Western Michigan-UMass: OK, Western Michigan is winless and UMass, on paper, isn't much better, but they should be favored here and I like them to get win number two here. They've played a tougher (much) schedule and appear to be improving week-to-week, and the Buffalo loss just really gives this one a little more value, IMO. If it weren't a team like UMass, capable of almost anything, I'd bet the farm on the Minutemen.

Houston-Rutgers: First thing that comes to mind is that last time the Cougars were up this way when they beat Temple, and covered on a pick late. They could/should have lost that game. And Houston will be the public side because their only loss was to BYU and could have gone either way, so no discounting them here. In fact, it may inflate their value since it was BYU. Rutgers has has over two weeks to prepare for this game, and has really done what they're supposed to in every game this year. Rutgers could win this game, IMO.

Boston College-UNC: Again, the Tar Heels will be the public side, but they MAY be the right side. The Miami loss actually gave them back some cred, and they played V-Tech and G-Tech pretty tough in losses. They've got to win fove of the last six to get to a Bowl game after having such high expectations early, but I can see that, given the schedule and their starting to play better. Perhaps a victim of a tough early schedule. But, BC has had two weeks to prepare, played Clemson tough (I know the situation) and actually played FSU fairly tough. So, this one is totally dependant on the number for me.

Clemson-Maryland: Certainly have to wonder where Clemsons' head will be at, but they'll still be prohibitive favorites, as people will expect them to take it out on the Terps, who were hammered at Wake. One thing in Maryland's favor is that prior to the Wake game they'd at least beaten the teams they were supposed to. Probably inclined to simply take the over, but it will be a big number and probably only get bigger if the weather looks decent.

Duke-V-Tech: The Hokies defense is back, quietly, to where it was and where people have come to expect it to be. However, I do really have a hard time getting behind Logan Thomas. V-Tech has three of the last four games on the road, and plays at Miami, so they do have the ACC Coastal in their own hands. However, I have to wonder if their stock isn't too high right now. Duke CAN put points on the board, but really can't stop a good team. With that in mind I'd expect V-Tech to play ball control and not get into a shootout here, so perhaps the under with what's probably a bigger than it should be total.

Pittsburgh-Navy: This is only Navy's third game in Annapolis, and the first two were wins over bad teams. Pitt obviously struggled against ODU and has G-Tech in Atlanta next week, so as far as the situation goes, this might be Navy's game to lose. Only Pitt's third road game, and although the played V-Tech pretty tough, they may have peaked right about then. I like betting service academies because you get 110% effort, so I lean Navy.

UAB-UTSA: Neither team may stop scoring, or neither team may be able to stop the other is perhaps the better way to look at it. Both teams have played great schedules against non-conference teams and on the road more often than not. Just no real opinion on this game.

Temple-SMU: Southern Methodist hasn't beaten a good team yet, and every time I think they're going to get it together, Gilbert simply sucks. So, the more consistent team that I'd want my money on would be Temple. Although they just got their first win, they've play the much tougher schedule.

Eastern Michigan-Northern Illinois: Obviously Northern Illinois is chalk again, and undefeated, but ATS they are just pushing the envelope every week, except against Purdue. Eastern Michigan has the worst defense in the nation, and against a pretty pathetic schedule, so NI could well get healthy here. Square to be thinking about an over in this game, but EMU will occasionally put points on the board and NI's defense has let up more than they typically do. Perhaps they miss Doeren more than many think.

Arizona-Colorado: Wildcats have pretty much done what they were supposed to in most games this season, losing at Washington and at SoCal, with the lone road win coming at UNLV. Colorado's defense has some pretty bad numbers, but a quick look at who they've allowed all those yards/points to might make one pause before making the auto-bet on Arizona here. I do like Colorado at home in the thin air, more often than not, and if they have any hope of perhaps making a Bowl game (who knew?) they need to win THIS game.

Vanderbilt-Texas A & M: Welp, it appears the Aggies finally are who we thought they were, and Vanderbilt is as well. Given what A & M typically does (or doesn't do) on both sides of the ball, this total might be pretty high. Maybe too high. If you look back at Vandy's losses, knowing what we know now, they weren't bad losses at all. And if you look at who (Arkansas, for one) the Aggies have allowed points to, it's not pretty. Might take Vanderbilt here if for no other reason than A & M has to be running out of emotion after the 'Bama hype, the Manzeil hype, and all the distractions.

Florida Atlantic-Auburn: Obviously War Eagle can name the score here. They only have the one loss at LSU, and have their final two games against UGA and Alabama at home, so they could well be looking at a decent Bowl game, so they really do have reason to make minced meat out of someone.

Tennessee-Alabama: I'd try to find a way to take the Vols, and the 'Bama defense that everyone seems to have written off, has only allowed more than ten points to one team, A & M. Big game w/LSU next, but not as big after LSU loses to Ole Miss (shit) and two weeks to get ready. That's a game I might take LSU in, seeing as how they've simply got nothing to lose now. Most definitely lean under whatever the number is here, and I probably want no part of the side, but I did just see it open at -26 so it's the Vols or nothing. A bit shocked to see it that high.

UCLA-Oregon: This will be an interesting, to say the least, total. After watching UCLA struggle against Stanford to protect Hundley, and after Oregon was so sloppy on defense, I've got to think both will be points of emphasis in practice this week. IMO Oregon makes a statement, again, here. They've got two week before they play Stanford, and UCLA was exposed by Stanford as simply not a top ten team.

Utah-SoCal: Trojans actually have a reasonable chance for a 7-8 win regular season, which is obviously below pre-season expectations, but probably above the expectations of a few weeks ago. Utes on the road appear to be a shadow of what they are at home, and they need two more wins for the magic sixth one, which may not be as easy as people think. My knee-jerk reaction is that SoCal finally plays a complete game and hammers them.

Tulsa-Tulane: I've seen to many Tulsa games to even consider backing them, let alone on the road. Green is terrible and they have no defense. Now I do know that the Green Wave is not a tsunami, either, but they have beat a couple decent teams and are at home w/two weeks to prepare, and have BEEN home all month. Haven't looked (intentionally) at the line yet, but Tulane ought to win this game by a TD, IMO.
 
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Stevie Y

CFB
Boston College +8
Kansas State -10
Pitt -5

Tulane +3
Stan/Oreg St. - Over 55
UTEP/Rice - Over 58
 
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StatFox Super Situations - FoxSheets

CFB BUFFALO at KENT ST.
Play On - A road team vs. the money line (BUFFALO) after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite, good team, winning 60-80% or more of their games on the season
44-31 over the last 5 seasons. ( 58.7% 0.0 units )
3-3 this year. ( 50.0% 0.0 units )

CFB ARIZONA at COLORADO
Play Against - A road team vs. the 1rst half line (ARIZONA) after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game against opponent after gaining 6.75 or more and allowing <=3.75 yards/play last game
46-18 over the last 10 seasons. ( 71.9% 26.2 units )
5-3 this year. ( 62.5% 1.7 units )
 
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Mighty Quinn
Last week 3-7
season 39-39
best bets 5-3 Rutgers

Miami
Fla St
Clemson
Bama
Ok
Nd
S Carolina
Oregon
Ohio St
 
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The Eckman (Mr.Chalk)
48-30

Wake
Houston
Clemson
Tenny
Texas tech
Air Force
Missouri -Best bet 4-4
Ucla
Ohio St
 

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