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  1. #4276  
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    Thank you for all that you do Buzz Kill!
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  2. #4277  
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    Quote Originally Posted by grimreaper1 View Post
    Okay since you are calling me out. This is exactly why I avoid these forums anymore. I posted for four years on other side of the pond very successfully yet people. I don't think people in general, just gamblets are so negative. I figured I would come in here and give it a spin as I am a numbers pattern guy and IF you would have looked at my ORIGINAL PIST in here #4197 you would have seen EXACTLY how "I" use the William Hill Chart. You then would have seen I didnt want to confuse anyone but there was a BETTER way to utilize this. These forums should be about helping eachother out NOT lashing out negatively everytime onr gets a chance or has a losing week
    Ok, In post #4197 you say:

    Quote Originally Posted by grimreaper1 View Post
    I take games where total money percentage is higher than ticket percentage on same team and bet them 17-14 this week..
    So, looking at the NFL games this week where that is the criteria you get:

    Vikings (W)
    Broncos (L)
    Titans (W)
    Jags (W)
    Rams (W)
    Chargers (L)

    That gets you to 4-2.

    In NCAA, the games would be:

    UL Monroe (L)
    FAU (W)
    OKL (W)
    GA So (L)
    App St (W)
    NM State (L)
    Clemson (W)

    For 4-3

    So how did you get to 6-1?

    I'm not trying to bash you. I'm merely trying to get to reality.
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  3. #4278  
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    Quote Originally Posted by Acebb View Post
    Ok, In post #4197 you say:



    So, looking at the NFL games this week where that is the criteria you get:

    Vikings (W)
    Broncos (L)
    Titans (W)
    Jags (W)
    Rams (W)
    Chargers (L)

    That gets you to 4-2.

    In NCAA, the games would be:

    UL Monroe (L)
    FAU (W)
    OKL (W)
    GA So (L)
    App St (W)
    NM State (L)
    Clemson (W)

    For 4-3

    So how did you get to 6-1?

    I'm not trying to bash you. I'm merely trying to get to reality.
    I stand corrected,sorry about that. I didn't try to make it something it wasnt I had ULMonroe on teaser and won so mistakenly thought they covered and NMSU I had final score 42-17 don't know where I got that from. My apologies still winning week but DEFINITELY not 6-1
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  4. #4279 Update - Thanks guys! 
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  5. #4280  
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    Red Sheet is done for the season.
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  6. #4281  
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  7. #4282  
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    Quote Originally Posted by Buzz Kill View Post
    Mendoza Line cumulative year to date record through December 3:

    Not every newsletter gets posted every week, and I'll try to note when the record doesn't include every week of the season.
    Another note is that the grading is based on the line indicated in the newsletter at the time of publication, not the closing line. Many of these newsletters will claim a win against the best available line as it moves throughout the week, but these records reflect the outcome against the line they were willing to make a play on in their newsletter.
    I put some of the extreme hot and cold plays in bold this week.
    Lots of games where the line really mattered this week. Different outcomes for different newsletters this week. Some wins, losses, and pushes depending on the lines they used in both the Ohio State/Wisconsin game and the Stanford/USC game. Lots of pushes in the Memphis/UCF game. All have been graded based on the lines they used at their time of release.

    CKO (No CKO this week. I think they're done for the season.)
    11* (4-6-1)
    10* (25-18)
    Totals (9-11)

    Marc Lawrence Playbook NCAA (Playbook plays tracked here went 1-6 overall this week)
    5* (7-5-1)
    4* (8-5)
    3* (7-6)
    Upset pick (4-9-1)
    Betcha Didn't Know (10-8)
    Awesome Angle (10-6)
    Incredible Stat (5-8-1)

    Marc Lawrence Playbook NFL
    5* (8-5)
    4* (4-9)
    3* (3-10)

    Pointwise NCAA
    1* (14-10)
    2* (9-3-1)
    3* (4-10)
    4* (9-19)
    5* (16-11)

    Pointwise NFL
    3* (5-8)
    4* (14-11-1)
    5* (15-11)

    PowerSweep NCAA
    4* (3-9)
    3* (12-13-2)
    2* (19-9)
    Underdog Play of the Week (6-6-1)
    Tech Play of the Week (2-8)
    Revenge Play of the Week (7-5-1)
    Situational Play of the Week (3-7-1)
    Series Play of the Week (6-5)

    PowerSweep NFL
    4* (9-4)
    3* (9-3-1)
    2* (6-7)
    NFL System play (6-6-1)
    4* Pro Angle (3-1)

    Powers Picks NCAA
    3* (6-17-1)
    2* (20-19-2)
    1* (2-1)

    Powers Picks NFL
    4* (0-1)
    3* (4-6-1)
    2* (14-12)
    1* (0-0)

    Sports Reporter
    NCAA Super Best Bets (1-0-1)
    NCAA Best Bets (22-29-2)
    NFL Super Best Bets (0-1)
    NFL Best Bets (12-12-1)

    Red Sheet
    89* (15-8-2)
    88* (26-19-2)

    Winning Points (went 4-0 overall this week)
    NCAA 4* (3-10-1)
    NCAA 3* (8-5-1)
    NFL 4* (5-8)
    NFL 3* (7-6)

    Killer Sports, not including teasers
    MTI 5* (2-0)
    MTI 4.5* (10-2)
    MTI 4* (5-7)
    MTI 3* (0-0)
    SBB 4.5* (4-0)
    SBB 4* (8-14)

    Victor Kings's Totals Tipsheet
    3* (8-5)
    2* (12-13-1)

    PowerPlays
    NCAA 4.5* (13-19-7)
    NFL 4* (6-7)

    Gold Sheet
    NCAA Key Releases (27-24-2)
    NFL Key Releases (18-20) (Pitt -6.5 pending for Monday night)

    Last Year's Newsletter records
    Marc L's 3* in the NFL last week was Redskins so, his record should read 2-11
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  8. #4283  
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    Any victo king. Totals sheet
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  9. #4284  
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    Sharp Football Analysis released a pick tonight........

    Week 14 Personal PlayPlay Type: Personal PlaysTeam: CLESpread: +3.5 -11212/10/17 || 118 Cleveland Browns +3.5 (1 unit)The last two games told me everything I needed to know about the Packers, who are hanging by a thread to make theplayoffs. On the road against the Steelers, Mike McCarthy let it all hang out. As large 14 point underdogs, the Packerschances to win this game were not high. So McCarthy took a high risk but high reward strategy:On early downs, McCarthy went 50% pass and on 3rd down, 69% pass. He called for a lot of deep shot plays from BrettHundley: 10 of Hundley's 26 passes (38%) were 15+ yards in the air. He basically had Hundley go for broke, knowing thatthey had to find a way to outscore the Steelers and doing it through chunk plays in the pass game was the most likely wayto get it done. Last week, that was far from the plan. At home against the Buccaneers, Green Bay could have implemented that samestrategy. After all, Hundley pass the ball all over the Steelers and their 7th rated pass defense the prior week. And theBuccaneers had the 30th ranked pass defense. In fact, in Hundley's prior 5 starts, he faced pass defenses ranked 2, 5, 7,14 and 15. The Bucs 30th ranked pass defense would have been the perfect time to air it out. But instead, McCarthy hid Hundley in the offense. They went 74% run on early downs in the first half, and 63% run on allearly downs in the game. Hundley only completed 13 passes the entire game, on 22 attempts. He averaged just 3.8yards per attempt and totaled only 84 passing yards, while posting a 48 passer rating. Essentially the game plan, from a desperate Packers team, was to use a very low variance strategy and try to secure thewin. While the deep passing strategy worked against the Steelers, McCarthy did not want to go that route in this game. My AccountMy PlaysChange PasswordEmail PreferencesLogoutOnly 5 of Hundley's passes even traveled 15+ yards in the air. The Bucs didn't have a strong pass rush, ranking 32nd onthe season. But the Packers didn't look to use the passing game to win this game, and instead, tried to win it on theground.Based on studying McCarthy's decisions with his young QB, I believe this final game before Aaron Rodgers can return willbe one that is highly conservative from the Packers offense. With the win last week, and the fact they are now 6-6 andplaying the winless Browns, I believe McCarthy will approach this game similarly to what he did last week. If the Packerscan win this game, and get Rodgers back for the final 3 games, the playoffs are certainly more than a glimmer, they feellike a certainty for the Packers. Rodgers is playing the scout QB this week in practice, and all of the players are literallygiddy when asked how Rodgers is looking in practice. The problem for the Packers is that their strategy won't work so well against the Browns. Cleveland has the #2 rundefense in the NFL. It's the strength of their entire team. It's better than any run defense the Packers have faced thisyear. They have played just 3 games against top-10 run defenses this year, and they lost all 3 games: 23-0, 23-10 and 31-28. The Browns are desperate. This is the 2nd to last home game of the year and they are winless. In two of the last 3weeks, they have played top-6 pass defenses, in the Jaguars and Chargers. The Packers pass defense ranks 22nd. TheBrowns have played 3 games all year against pass defenses that rank below 17th. They lost by 3 points in each game: 31-28 to the Colts, 17-14 to the Jets and 12-9 to the Titans. Their next opponent is the Ravens, with the #2 pass defense. This is the Browns shot.They just received the services of their top 2 WRs back, as Josh Gordon and Corey Coleman started together last weekfor the first time. The Chargers are one of the best teams in the NFL at defending WR passes. They allow just 6.5 yardsper target, which ranks 2nd best. In fact, the last 3 weeks, the Browns offense has faced the #1 (Jaguars), #2 (Chargers)and #4 (Bengals) defenses in YPA allowed to WRs. In the Packers, they now get to face the #31 ranked team, which isallowing a massive 8.7 YPA to WRs. They also allow 55% of WR targets to grade as successful, also #31. While DeShoneKizer was 4/15 when targeting these two receivers against the #2 WR-pass D of the Chargers, I anticipate a much easiertime against this Packers defense. Plus, it's week 2 with Gordon, which means time to address the things that didn't worklast week and get on the same page this week.The Browns have covered just 2 of their last 11 games, and are obviously 0-12 SU on the season. This will be just thesecond time I've been on the Browns this season. I was on the Packers ML last week, and after seeing the Packersperformance in the first half, we jumped on TB at halftime and hit both, middling the game. This Browns team is stillshowing fight. There is no chance they want to end up 0-16, nor does winning a game preclude them from being in thedriver's seat for the #1 overall selection. With the edges I've outlined, both offensively and defensively, I hope they canget it done against a Packers team which I think may play somewhat conservatively, playing it close to the vest andmerely hoping for Hundley to deliver one, close win before Rodgers returns.
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  10. #4285  
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    Quote Originally Posted by Gba9180 View Post
    Any victo king. Totals sheet
    Playbook Wise Guys Contest
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  11. #4286  
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    Quote Originally Posted by Buzz Kill View Post
    Oops, that should be Victor King's NFL Totals Tipsheet
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  12. #4287  
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  13. #4288  
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  14. #4289 Update - Thanks guys! 
    Have you burnt your NFL jerseys yet? Buzz Kill's Avatar
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  15. #4290  
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    Buzz/K..........appreciate the info buddy.........BOL this weekend.........indy
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  16. #4291  
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    NOBODY does it better than MR. Buzz Kill Thanks for all you do!
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    Buzz, just emailed you VSIN
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  18. #4293  
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    WEEK MATT & PR - SP MATT & PR - TOTAL MATT & BR - SP MATT & BR - TOTAL PR & BR - SPREAD PR & BR - TOTAL ALL 3 - SPREAD ALL 3 - TOTAL
    W L % W L % W L % W L % W L % W L % W L % W L %
    TOTAL 25 6 80.6 18 10 64.3 24 7 77.4 15 10 60.0 26 16 61.9 26 19 57.8 19 4 82.6 11 6 64.7
    WEEKS 1-7 16 3 84.2 9 3 75.0 16 3 84.2 9 4 69.2 17 5 77.3 15 10 60.0 12 2 85.7 6 2 75.0
    WEEK 8 1 1 50.0 0 3 0.0 1 1 50.0 0 3 0.0 2 2 50.0 1 4 20.0 1 1 50.0 0 3 0.0
    WEEK 9 3 0 100.0 0 2 0.0 2 0 100.0 0 0 0.0 2 1 66.7 2 1 66.7 2 0 100.0 0 0 0.0
    WEEK 10 1 0 100.0 2 1 66.7 1 1 50.0 0 2 0.0 0 1 0.0 0 2 0.0 0 0 0.0 0 1 0.0
    WEEK 11 0 0 0.0 1 0 100.0 0 0 0.0 1 1 50.0 1 3 25.0 2 0 100.0 0 0 1 P 0 0 0.0
    WEEK 12 1 1 50.0 3 0 100.0 1 2 33.3 3 0 100.0 1 3 25.0 4 1 80.0 1 1 50.0 3 0 100.0
    WEEK 13 3 1 75.0 3 1 75.0 3 0 100.0 2 0 100.0 3 1 75.0 2 1 66.7 3 0 100.0 2 0 100.0

    MATT & POWER RATINGS (PR) - SPREAD: 25-6 - PICK IS ON THE LEFT
    ATL NO 2.00
    KC OAK (4.00)
    CAR MN 3.00
    WA LAC (6.00)

    MATT & PR - OVER/UNDER: 18-10
    ATL UNDER 53.00
    CAR OVER 41.00
    WA OVER 45.50
    BAL UNDER 44.00

    MATT & BETTOR RATINGS (BR) VS SPREAD: 24-7
    ATL NO 2.00
    KC OAK (4.00)
    CAR MN 3.00
    WA LAC (6.00)

    MATT AND BR VS OVER/UNDER: 15-10
    ATL UNDER 53.00
    CAR OVER 41.00
    WA OVER 45.50

    PR & BR VS SPREAD: 26-16
    ATL NO 2.00
    KC OAK (4.00)
    CAR MN 3.00
    WA LAC (6.00)
    PIT BAL (6.00)

    PR & BR VS OVER/UNDER: 26-19
    ATL UNDER 53.00
    KC UNDER 47.50
    CAR OVER 41.00
    WA OVER 45.50

    ALL 3 VS SPREAD: 19-4
    ATL NO 2.00
    KC OAK (4.00)
    CAR MN 3.00
    WA LAC (6.00)

    ALL 3 VS TOTAL: 11-6
    ATL UNDER 53.00
    CAR OVER 41.00
    WA OVER 45.50
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  19. #4294  
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    Quote Originally Posted by jhg103 View Post
    Buzz, just emailed you VSIN
    I sent it to him yesterday and this morning not sure if he couldn't open it
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  20. #4295  
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    Does anyone have Pointwise this week? Thanks for keeping up with this all season Buzz!
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  21. #4296  
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    Quote Originally Posted by jhg103 View Post
    Buzz, just emailed you VSIN
    Thanks jhg103!

    VSIN Point Spread Weekly
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  22. #4297  
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    Quote Originally Posted by JCos View Post
    Does anyone have Pointwise this week? Thanks for keeping up with this all season Buzz!
    You are welcome Jcos.

    Pointwise
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  23. #4298  
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    Phil Steele Inside the Pressbox - NFL Week 14 http://plus.philsteele.com/inside_th..._NFL_WK_14.pdf
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  24. #4299  
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    Free Heber! Heber Carl Jentzsch, 82, President of the Church of Scientology International, is believed to be held in a Scientology prison (RPF). He has not been seen since 2005.
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  25. #4300  
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    Hi Buzz Any thing William Hill ? Thanks in advance...........great job...........Indian
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