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  1. #4351 Update - Thanks guys! 
    Have you burnt your NFL jerseys yet? Buzz Kill's Avatar
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    Free Heber! Heber Carl Jentzsch, 82, President of the Church of Scientology International, is believed to be held in a Scientology prison (RPF). He has not been seen since 2005.
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  2. #4352  
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    Sharp's Football Analysis early week release..........

    12/16/17 || 303 Chicago Bears +6I've played on the Chicago Bears more than any other team this year. In the 9 weeks between weeks 3 and 11, we'vetaken them 5 times and hit 4-1 ATS. The last time we took the Bears was week 11, against these same Lions. Wegrabbed +3.5, and the Bears jumped out to a 10-0 lead and a 17-7 lead, which wasn't 17-0 only because Mitchell Trubiskyfumbled a snap and the Lions returned it 27 yards for a defensive TD. The Bears ended up covering thanks to the hook,which is one reason I want to get on this side at +6, before the line continues to trend down.So it shouldn't be too surprising that we'd jump on the Bears early this week. A big reason for liking the Bears in thesematchups against the Lions is the strength of the Bears is met by the weakness of the Lions: rushing the football.Chicago has faced one of the most brutal stretches of run defenses in the NFL. But the Lions run defense is one of theweakest they've faced. In that week 11 meeting, the Bears were DOMINANT on the ground, and I have to add emphasis tothat word. They ran the ball for 222 yards, at 7.4 yards per carry and a 60% success rate. To run the ball 30 times andproduce 222 yards is amazing. But add to it that this wasn't just a few huge runs, but a consistent 60% success rate? That's unbelievable. The Bears are not even a great rushing offense. They rank about league average. And part of that has to do with thetough schedule. But the Lions run defense has been getting gashed with frequency.Since that Bears game, recall that on Thanksgiving we took Latavius Murray over his rushing yards prop when the Lionshosted the Vikings, and that went over in the 3rd quarter. The next week, the Lions traveled to the Ravens. The RavensMy AccountMy PlaysChange PasswordEmail PreferencesLogoutchose to pass all over the Lions (they went 66% pass through the game's first 3 quarters), but when they decided to handthe ball off to lead back Alex Collins, he crushed, recording a 67% success rate and averaging 5 yards per carry. Then lastweek, the Lions traveled to Tampa Bay to take on the Buccaneers. Though they trailed most of the game, the Buccaneersand their 26th ranked run offense remained a 41% share of the offense simply because the efficiency which was gainedwas too good to pass up: Tampa Bay recorded a 64% success rate on run plays and averaged 4.8 yards per carry. And theBuccaneers are one of the worst rushing teams in the NFL.That takes us to the trending performance of the Lions run defense, which is a story that focuses on strength of scheduleand key injury.From weeks 1-5, when Haloti Ngata was in the starting line-up, the Lions run defense ranked #6 in rushing success rateallowed (39%) and 10th in explosive run rate allowed (10th). But in hindsight, there were some issues. This solid successcame against the 3rd easiest schedule of rushing offenses. Then, the Lions lost Ngata. And since week 6, the Lions have played the #1 most difficult schedule of rushing offenses. And that spelled disaster. From week 6 onward, the Lions run defense ranks 31st in rushing success rate allowed (54%)and 27th in explosive run rate allowed (14%). Back to discussing the Bears, they are still cranking away with production on the ground, recording 232 rushing yards lastweek, a 6.1 YPC and 55% success rate on the ground. Both Jordan Howard and Tarik Cohen averaged over 6 YPC. The below graphic, courtesy of Sharp Football Stats, depicts the extent of the failings of the Lions defense in recentweeks. And keep in mind these came against very mediocre to poor offenses. Even the Cleveland Browns posted a 61%success rate on their rushes. And the Bears posted a 30% explosive run rate in their last meeting. With a strong,explosive run game, I see the Bears staying in this one from start to finish.
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  3. #4353  
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    Any playbook?
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  4. #4354  
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    Any VSIN regular week issue?
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  5. #4355  
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    sshz - thanks for posting Sharp’s game analysis. I find it very informative, and he was bang-on again last week with Cle giving GB all they could handle. Any chance you could post Sharp’s analysis for more games each week? If they are available to you, of course. GL with your wagers this week. Cheers.
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  6. #4356  
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    Quote Originally Posted by Buzz Kill View Post
    This just got posted a few minutes ago:

    Thanks again BUZZ another plus week for me using William Hill after going 4-2
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