Service Plays Sunday 11/10/13

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GL!

NFL Week 10 Opening Line Report Saints' bad blood with Cowboys

There’s a lot of bad blood heading into Sunday Night Football in Week 10 of the NFL schedule.

The New Orleans Saints play host to the Dallas Cowboys in the marquee matchup Sunday, with books opening the Saints as high as 7.5-point home favorites against a team with a dark history involving two of New Orleans' coaches.

Head coach Sean Payton was rumored to be snubbed when it came to the Cowboys’ head coaching job back in 2006 and defensive coordinator Rob Ryan was fired – unjustly according to many – after Dallas fell apart late last season, serving as a sacrificial lamb to Cowboys owner Jerry Jones. There’s plenty of extra motivation for the Saints to bury the Boys on Sunday night.

“Any factor involving coaches, we generally dismiss,” Peter Korner, founder of the Nevada-based odds service The Sports Club. “The coaches aren’t performing, the players are. (The coaches) can say all they want but it’s the players we’re looking at (when setting odds).”

Korner is suggesting his clients should keep the spread for this Sunday finale high, as the public loves to bet the favorite and the Over in these standalone primetime games. The total for Sunday night’s contest was sent out at 55 by Korner’s oddsmakers, but most shops are dealing 52.5 points.

“We didn’t want to be low,” says Korner. “And I think we’re going to be just about right on this. No one is betting this game Under.”

Carolina Panthers at San Francisco 49ers (-6.5, 41.5)

This Week 10 East vs. West contest could be the most entertaining game on the board, with dynamic quarterbacks under center for both sides. However, despite having Cam Newton and Colin Kaepernick making plays, books have opened this total at the low number of 41.5 points.

“Wow, I think that’s really low,” says Korner. “We sent out 47 and it’s down to 41 and 42. I realize they’re good defenses but we had one guy with this (total) as high as 50. We could be wrong. But I’d rather error on the high side.”

Some people may think this spread is too high, especially with some shops trimming the line from San Francisco -7 to -6 with early money on the Panthers. Korner notes that while Carolina is winning games it should, it hasn’t faced competition like the Niners during its four-game winning streak.

Seattle Seahawks at Atlanta Falcons (+6, 44)

Rarely do you see the Falcons as home dogs, especially as big as 6-point pups. That’s the line books are dealing on Atlanta, hosting the Seahawks Sunday.

The last time the Falcons were home underdogs this big, they lost 25-14 to Green Bay on Sunday Night Football in Week 5 of the 2011 season. Atlanta blew a 14-6 lead in that game, getting outscored 19-0 in the second half.

“It’s well deserved,” Korner says of the Falcons’ 6-point spread. “They haven’t played well. They just don’t deserve anything less. I recommend that books should keep it on the high side and expect Seattle money. Why would anyone bet Atlanta right now?”

Philadelphia Eagles at Green Bay Packers (-9, 55 / -2.5)

Before Aaron Rodgers went down with a shoulder injury on Monday Night Football, the Packers were going to be 9-point home favorites hosting the Eagles in Week 10. But now with Rodgers' status is up in the air, most shops have this game off the board.

According to Michael Stewart of CarbonSports, Rodgers is worth as many as seven points to the spread. If he's out for Sunday's game, the Packers could be as low as 2.5-point favorites.

The Eagles' offensive eruption has oddsmakers smiling heading into this Week 10 matchup. Nick Foles and the Eagles scored 49 points against Oakland Sunday and have bettors, who would have normally sided with the Packers, thinking twice about Philadelphia.

“It gives us a little bit of an advantage,” Korner says of the Eagles’ blowout win. “That sort of result will weigh in for a lot of people. It will temper the spread from going any higher than it should... It helps us out as oddsmakers.”

NFL Line Watch 'Over' bettors shouldn't sleep on Broncos-Bolts shootout

Each week during the pro football season, Expert Art Aronson looks at the NFL odds and tells you which spread to bet now, which one to bet later, and which total to watch as the week plays out.

Spread to Bet Now

Oakland Raiders (+7.5) at New York Giants

If you think the Raiders can bounce back from a lackluster effort at home to the Eagles, then consider getting down on this line as quickly as possible.

It opened at 7.5, but for the most part 7's are the norm. It could drop even lower. So far Oakland has been a profitable wager for bettors at 4-3-1 ATS. Not so much in New York, where the Giants are just 1-2 ATS in front of the home town crowd and only 9-12 ATS in the same position over the last two.

Both teams are in the middle of the pack defensively (Giants 15th, Raiders 18th) and offensively (Oakland 14th, Giants 22nd). New York struggled the last time it faced a mobile pivot (38-0 loss at Carolina as a 1-pt favorite).

Bettors aren't forgetting Manning's penchant in turning the ball over and clearly think that the G-Men could once again have their hands full with Oakland's Terrelle Pryor this week.

Spread to Wait on

Houston Texans (-2.5) at Arizona Cardinals

Texans' fans would be wise to wait a little closer to game time before jumping on their team this week. This line opened at 2.5, but a few 3's are starting to make an appearance.

In a game that it absolutely needed to win, Houston lost 27-24 to the Colts Sunday night. After that disheartening setback, bettors will be quick to jump on the home side which comes out of its bye week sitting at 4-4 (Arizona stopped a two-game slide with a convincing 27-13 victory over Atlanta just before its break).

With no reason to look past the Texans (Cardinals play in Jacksonville next Sunday), expect the Arizona line to continue to climb throughout the week.

Total to Watch

Denver Broncos at San Diego Chargers (56.5)

Over bettors should get down as soon as possible. This line opened at 56.5 and has already moved to 57. A sunny afternoon in San Diego would seem conducive to a high-scoring affair between these two offensively minded clubs.

Denver soared above the posted number in all eight of its games. The Chargers have gone just 4-4 O/U, but 2-1 O/U in front of the home town crowd. Four of these teams’ last five in the series have soared above the posted number, including both games between these divisional foes last season.

Football lines that make you go hmmm...
by Jason Logan

NFL

Earlier this week, we talked with Nevada-based oddsmaker Peter Korner of The Sports Club about the total for Sunday’s showdown between the Carolina Panthers and San Francisco 49ers.

Korner’s stable of oddsmakers sent out a suggested total as high as 50, but offshore books opened with the number as low as 41.5. That total has since crept to 42.5 points but still has over/under bettors scratching their heads.

San Francisco and Carolina are solid on defense so far this season, but both are leaning more on their offense to win games in recent outings.

The Niners have topped the total in four of their last five contests, scoring an average of 34.8 points during that stretch – winning all five games SU and ATS. The Panthers are on a winning streak of their own, scoring 32.5 points during its four-game running and topping the total in all but one of those games.

Neither team has played stiff competition during its respected winning streak, so getting a grasp on this 'over/under' could be as hard as getting a grip on Cam Newton or Colin Kaepernick.

Backing NFL backup QBs not as bad as you think

Life is tough for NFL quarterbacks these days.

Out of 32 NFL teams, 11 have dealt with either a switch under center or injuries to their No. 1 QB at some point this season. But while a drastic shift at the most important position in football would normally spell doom for a team and their pointspread chances, these scrambled squads have actually been a better bet when starting their second stringer.

The 11 teams – Buffalo, Cleveland, Houston, Jacksonville, Tennessee, Oakland, Philadelphia, Chicago, Minnesota, Tampa Bay, and St. Louis – are a combined 21-37-3 ATS with their first-string passer in the lineup (36.8 percent ATS). Those same teams, excluding Chicago (which starts No. 2 Josh McCown Monday night in place of injured No. 1 Jay Cutler), are 13-16 ATS (44.8 percent ATS) with their backups wielding the offense.

The biggest reason for this uptick in ATS winning percentage is the adjustment to those spreads with backup QBs in play. Oddsmakers tack on extra points and the betting public jumps on the other side, moving the line even further. Also, of the quarterbacks either replaced or injured so far this season, none are among the NFL's elite passers - Cutler excluded - so the dropoff in offensive execution hasn't been as severe.

The Cleveland Browns are the most extreme example of this trend, going 0-4 ATS under starter Brandon Weeden but 5-0 ATS with backups Jason Campbell and Brian Hoyer getting the starting nod. The Browns added to the tally with Campbell passing for 262 yards and three touchdowns in a 24-18 win over the Baltimore Ravens Sunday.

The Buffalo Bills have had the biggest downgraded when it comes to covering the spread, starting the season 3-1 ATS with rookie QB E.J. Manuel slinging the ball until a knee injury forced the Buffalo to go down the depth chart. Since then, the Bills are 2-3 ATS with Jeff Tuel and Thaddeus Lewis stepping in. Luckily for Buffalo backers, Manuel is expected to return against the Pittsburgh Steelers (-3.5) this Sunday.

Jags WR Justin Blackmon Suspended Indefinitely

Jacksonville Jaguars WR Justin Blackmon has been suspended indefinitely for violating the NFL's substance abuse policy.

Blackmon served a four-game suspension earlier this season after violating the policy.

He has performed well in his limited time for the dismal Jaguars. He has 29 catches for 415 yards and one TD in his four games this season.

The Jaguars back in action in Week 10 and are in Tennessee to take on the Titans in an AFC South battle.

John Fox to miss several weeks, no impact to Denver odds

Denver Broncos head coach John Fox will require heart surgery and will be out "several weeks", reports ESPN.com.

Fox will undergo aortic valve replacement surgery in North Carolina.

The 58-year-old was on the golf course where he was experiencing dizzy spells and was taken to hospital and told surgery could not wait any longer.

Despite missing their head coach, Fox's absence from the Broncos' sidelines shouldn't have much of an impact on their odds.

"Not from my points of view, said Peter Korner of the Las Vegas based oddsmaking serivce The Sports Club. "That largely stems from the fact that Peyton Manning is their quarterback and knows what to do."

The Broncos opened as 7-point faves at the LVH Superbook for their Week 10 matchup with San Diego Chargers.

There team has not yet named an interim head coach.

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 10

Sunday, November 10

JACKSONVILLE (0 - 8) at TENNESSEE (4 - 4) - 11/10/2013, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
JACKSONVILLE is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all games this season.
JACKSONVILLE is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
JACKSONVILLE is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) as an underdog this season.
JACKSONVILLE is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSONVILLE is 3-1 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 2-2 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (4 - 5) at GREEN BAY (5 - 2) - 11/10/2013, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 153-118 ATS (+23.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BUFFALO (3 - 6) at PITTSBURGH (2 - 6) - 11/10/2013, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 91-61 ATS (+23.9 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 46-24 ATS (+19.6 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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OAKLAND (3 - 5) at NY GIANTS (2 - 6) - 11/10/2013, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 31-67 ATS (-42.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
OAKLAND is 16-36 ATS (-23.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 49-30 ATS (+16.0 Units) off a win against a division rival since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 29-53 ATS (-29.3 Units) in November games since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 27-49 ATS (-26.9 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ST LOUIS (3 - 6) at INDIANAPOLIS (6 - 2) - 11/10/2013, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 132-168 ATS (-52.8 Units) in all games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 132-168 ATS (-52.8 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 65-93 ATS (-37.3 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 102-134 ATS (-45.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 27-44 ATS (-21.4 Units) in November games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 19-36 ATS (-20.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
INDIANAPOLIS is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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SEATTLE (8 - 1) at ATLANTA (2 - 6) - 11/10/2013, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) as a home underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 2-0 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 2-0 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CINCINNATI (6 - 3) at BALTIMORE (3 - 5) - 11/10/2013, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 114-147 ATS (-47.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
CINCINNATI is 59-87 ATS (-36.7 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 2-1 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 3-1 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (5 - 3) at CHICAGO (4 - 3) - 11/10/2013, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 32-54 ATS (-27.4 Units) in November games since 1992.
DETROIT is 29-49 ATS (-24.9 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
CHICAGO is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 4-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 3-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CAROLINA (5 - 3) at SAN FRANCISCO (6 - 2) - 11/10/2013, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
CAROLINA is 48-30 ATS (+15.0 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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HOUSTON (2 - 6) at ARIZONA (4 - 4) - 11/10/2013, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
HOUSTON is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in dome games since 1992.
HOUSTON is 36-19 ATS (+15.1 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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DENVER (7 - 1) at SAN DIEGO (4 - 4) - 11/10/2013, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 14-1 ATS (+12.9 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
DENVER is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) after a bye week since 1992.
DENVER is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 2-1 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 3-1 straight up against SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (5 - 4) at NEW ORLEANS (6 - 2) - 11/10/2013, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in dome games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 1-0 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 1-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Monday, November 11

MIAMI (4 - 4) at TAMPA BAY (0 - 8) - 11/11/2013, 8:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 50-31 ATS (+15.9 Units) in November games since 1992.
TAMPA BAY is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

NFL
Short Sheet

Week 10

Sunday, November 10

Jacksonville at Tennessee, 1:00 ET
Jacksonville: 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) as an underdog
Tennessee: 31-15 OVER (+14.5 Units) in a home game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points

Philadelphia at Green Bay, 1:00 ET
Philadelphia: 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all lined games
Green Bay: 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) as a home favorite

Buffalo at Pittsburgh, 1:00 ET
Buffalo: 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games after playing a game at home
Pittsburgh: 46-24 ATS (+19.6 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points

Oakland at NY Giants, 1:00 ET
Oakland: 60-94 ATS (-43.4 Units) in the second half of the season
NY Giants: 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) off an upset win as a road underdog

St Louis at Indianapolis, 1:00 ET
St Louis: 26-45 ATS (-23.5 Units) off a non-conference game
Indianapolis: 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after playing their last game on the road

Seattle at Atlanta, 1:00 ET
Seattle: 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points
Atlanta: 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) as a home underdog of 3.5 to 7 points

Cincinnati at Baltimore, 1:00 ET
Cincinnati: 59-87 ATS (-36.7 Units) versus division opponents
Baltimore: 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) in home games after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game

Detroit at Chicago, 1:00 ET
Detroit: 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) as a road favorite
Chicago: 37-20 UNDER (+15.0 Units) as a home underdog of 7 points or less

Carolina at San Francisco, 4:05 ET
Carolina: 9-1 OVER (+7.9 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points
San Francisco: 21-8 OVER (+12.2 Units) after a bye week

Houston at Arizona, 4:25 ET
Houston: 36-19 ATS (+15.1 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses
Arizona: 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) after a game with a turnover margin of +3 or better

Denver at San Diego, 4:25 ET
Denver: 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) after a bye week
San Diego: 46-27 UNDER (+16.3 Units) in home games versus division opponents

Dallas at New Orleans, 8:30 ET
Dallas: 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in the second half of the season
New Orleans: 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games


Monday, November 11

Miami at Tampa Bay, 8:40 ET
Miami: 10-26 ATS (-18.6 Units) after a game with a turnover margin of +3 or better
Tampa Bay: 50-31 ATS (+15.9 Units) in November games

NFL

Week 10

Trend Report

Sunday, November 10

1:00 PM
SEATTLE vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Seattle's last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Atlanta is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

1:00 PM
DETROIT vs. CHICAGO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Detroit's last 10 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chicago's last 10 games when playing Detroit
Chicago is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit

1:00 PM
OAKLAND vs. NY GIANTS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing NY Giants
NY Giants are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the NY Giants last 6 games when playing Oakland

1:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. GREEN BAY
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
Green Bay is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Green Bay's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia

1:00 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. INDIANAPOLIS
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of St. Louis's last 23 games on the road
St. Louis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games when playing St. Louis
Indianapolis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis

1:00 PM
BUFFALO vs. PITTSBURGH
Buffalo is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Pittsburgh
Buffalo is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Pittsburgh's last 14 games at home

1:00 PM
JACKSONVILLE vs. TENNESSEE
Jacksonville is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Jacksonville is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games
Tennessee is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tennessee's last 7 games when playing Jacksonville

1:00 PM
CINCINNATI vs. BALTIMORE
Cincinnati is 6-15-1 ATS in its last 22 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Cincinnati is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Baltimore is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Baltimore is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

4:05 PM
CAROLINA vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Carolina is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games on the road
San Francisco is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Carolina
San Francisco is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Carolina

4:25 PM
DENVER vs. SAN DIEGO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games on the road
Denver is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing Denver

4:25 PM
HOUSTON vs. ARIZONA
Houston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Houston is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Arizona is 5-15 SU in its last 20 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games

8:30 PM
DALLAS vs. NEW ORLEANS
Dallas is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
Dallas is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
New Orleans is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Dallas


Monday, November 11

8:40 PM
MIAMI vs. TAMPA BAY
Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami's last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games at home

Todays Best Bets

5* - [221] Houston Texans +1 +110 vs Arizona Cardinals

5* - [225] Dallas Cowboys +7.5 -135 vs New Orleans Saints

4* - [219] Carolina Panthers +7 -130 vs San Francisco 49ers

3* - [224] San Diego Chargers +7.5 -140 vs Denver Broncos

StevieY

jacksonville +11'
atl +6

Today's NFL Picks

Dallas at New Orleans

The Saints come in with a 10-4 ATS record in their last 14 November games and look to take advantage of a Dallas team that is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 November games. New Orleans is the pick (-6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Saints favored by 9 1/2. Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-6 1/2). Here are all of this week's picks.

Betting First Look with Marco D'Angelo

NFL
6 pts Teaser
Baltimore+7.5
Seattle (Pk)

Sixth Sense

Denver / San Diego Over 57.5

Linebeaters

Sunday NFL Early Advantage

Seahawks -6
Panthers +6
Saints -7

Northcoast

Total Pow - Detroit / Chicago Under 51

Today's CFL Picks

Montreal at Hamilton

The Alouettes look to build on their 4-0 ATS record in their last 4 road games. Montreal is the pick (+3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: Montreal (+3 1/2). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

Norm Hitzges Picks of the Pole

NFL

DOUBLE PLAY:

• NY Giants -7 Oakland

SINGLE PLAYS:

• New Orleans -6 1/2 Dallas
• Carolina +6 San Francisco
• Philly +1 Green Bay
• Seattle -5 1/2 Atlanta
• Baltimore +1 1/2 Cincy
• Detroit PICK Chicago
• St. Louis +9 1/2 Indy

Warren Sharp
Carolina over 42.5