Monday Night Huge Play Alert

TheComputerGroup · Nov 11, 2013

No write-up so dont bother asking.

Miami -1 (-110)

2,200 to won 2,000

I know it wont be as easy as the Saints over the Cowboys but a win is a win (hopefully)

ThaDude · Nov 11, 2013

I agree I think there is line value here. Distraction or not they're still playing the Bucs who can't be feeling too good after blowing that huge lead last week. That's the type of loss that lingers.

GL TCG and go Fins.

pastagramps · Nov 11, 2013

TB is 10-28-1 ATS in last 39 home games. FYI

macboi · Nov 11, 2013

Good luck! What make u like it so much?

theDonger · Nov 11, 2013

The Computer Group said:
No write-up so dont bother asking.

macboi said:
Good luck! What make u like it so much?

Derp.

Bebo67 · Nov 11, 2013

not disagreeing with your play....but.....does it trouble you at all that this line opened at mia-3.5 and has busted right thru the key number of 3? All the way down to -1.5. It takes a LOT of money to do that. Especially on a MNF game. Overreaction to Ingognito fiasco? I hope so. Because my power ratings show Miami being the better team from 5.5 to 7 points. So we're either getting great line value here or I'm missing something???

TheComputerGroup · Nov 11, 2013

Bebo67 said:
not disagreeing with your play....but.....does it trouble you at all that this line opened at mia-3.5 and has busted right thru the key number of 3? All the way down to -1.5. It takes a LOT of money to do that. Especially on a MNF game. Overreaction to Ingognito fiasco? I hope so. Because my power ratings show Miami being the better team from 5.5 to 7 points. So we're either getting great line value here or I'm missing something???

Youre not missing anything & I believe we're on the right side. As for going through a key number, its happened quite a few times this year & didnt mean anything. Bills opened up +3.5 & closed +2.5 (some places) & Pitt still won easily. Saints opened at -7 & fell to -6 by game time, off a key number, didnt mean a thing.

Yes Miami is having some internal problems & thats whats moving the line, dont be scared of it. Miami proves that 1 person on the team doesnt make a team & they will show it tonight.

threesixmafia · Nov 11, 2013

Is the system accounting for losing 2 starting O line, who has already gave up the most sacks in the NFL, now going against a trigger happy good Bucs rush defense?

I don't care much for distractions, they are pros and will get over it. But losing their 2 starters is a fact not just something they can get over

Gooch · Nov 11, 2013

The Computer Group said:
Youre not missing anything & I believe we're on the right side. As for going through a key number, its happened quite a few times this year & didnt mean anything. Bills opened up +3.5 & closed +2.5 (some places) & Pitt still won easily. Saints opened at -7 & fell to -6 by game time, off a key number, didnt mean a thing.

Yes Miami is having some internal problems & thats whats moving the line, dont be scared of it. Miami proves that 1 person on the team doesnt make a team & they will show it tonight.

2 persons, actually. But I agree with the play.

Kyiyle · Nov 11, 2013

On Tampa for even money but thanks for the info.

Tyannaccone · Nov 11, 2013

I think bucs get there first win tonight but how do you guys feel about the over/under?

palehose1 · Nov 11, 2013

Tyannaccone said:
I think bucs get there first win tonight but how do you guys feel about the over/under?

Non conference game are usually good for Overs and 41 is a little low for the way NFL teams are scoring this year JMO

carlitosway · Nov 11, 2013

The Computer Group said:
Youre not missing anything & I believe we're on the right side. As for going through a key number, its happened quite a few times this year & didnt mean anything. Bills opened up +3.5 & closed +2.5 (some places) & Pitt still won easily. Saints opened at -7 & fell to -6 by game time, off a key number, didnt mean a thing.

Yes Miami is having some internal problems & thats whats moving the line, dont be scared of it. Miami proves that 1 person on the team doesnt make a team & they will show it tonight.

However it's two players Incognito and Martin who will be out tonight. An OL that is towards the top of the league in sacks allowed without those two guys plus you have a MNF home underdog going.

Cantpickem · Nov 11, 2013

threesixmafia said:
Is the system accounting for losing 2 starting O line, who has already gave up the most sacks in the NFL, now going against a trigger happy good Bucs rush defense?

I don't care much for distractions, they are pros and will get over it. But losing their 2 starters is a fact not just something they can get over

I agree plus you have the MNF home crowd and the chance to show that you aren't that bad of a team in front of a national audience. MNF home field seems to count for 2-3 additional pts. BOL

wizard1183 · Nov 11, 2013

Home dogs are 3-0 on monday nights!

TheComputerGroup · Nov 11, 2013

Great points fellas but I dont see 2 winnless teams winning in the same week.

Air23 · Nov 11, 2013

Fuck if Jags can get a win, I will go with Tampa getting one this week too lol

Bebo67 · Nov 11, 2013

Usually I'm pretty leary of playing a road favorite on MNF. But I think the media has blown this whole Ingognito thing way out of proportion.
They would have you believe this locker room is in disarray. I seriously doubt that. If anything I think the Fish come out more focused. Us against the world mentality. For some odd reason, after blowing a 21 point lead last week, Tampa Bay is suddenly the peoples choice tonight?
Really? They average 14.5 points a week. Slightly less at home. Dolphins avg about 23 per game. Road or home. Both defenses very equal,...but Tampa Bay can't score! Don't be surprised if there's a lot of Miami fans in the crowd either. Gimme the Dolphins and the under.

TheComputerGroup · Nov 11, 2013

3 team 10 point teaser:

Miami +7.5, Arizona +3.5, Chiefs +18...........600 to win 500

XSPower · Nov 11, 2013

Good luck tonight!!!!

Monday Night Huge Play Alert

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