[h=1]SNF Showcase: Betting NYG-WAS[/h][h=3]Line analysis and ATS picks from Vegas experts on the Sunday night game[/h]By Evan Abrams | ESPN Insider
The storyline for the 2013 regular season for the New York Giants and the Washington Redskins comes down to their performance against NFC East division opponents, which is a putrid 1-6. Neither the Redskins nor the Giants are officially eliminated from playoff contention going into this contest, but it sure feels like they're just plodding their way to the end of the campaign; to wit, the teams have a combined seven wins this season.
Throughout his NFL career, Eli Manning has been very mediocre when it comes to primetime games. He is just 23-22 straight up and 26-18-1 against the spread. Against NFC East opponents in primetime he isn't much better, with a record of 11-10 SU and 11-9-1 ATS. Manning has lost his last four primetime games against divisional opponents dating back to the end of the 2011 regular season, a streak that includes all three of the other clubs.
According to ESPN Insider's PickCenter, the public is currently on the Giants as road favorites at a clip of 74 percent. By averaging the predicted final scores from Team Rankings and numberFire, the projected final score of the game would be 22.1 for the Giants and 22.05 for the Redskins.
As divisional road favorites against the NFC East, the Giants are 6-3 SU and 4-4-1 ATS during the Tom Coughlin era. Under Mike Shanahan, the Redskins are 3-4 SU and 5-2 ATS as divisional home underdogs.
One of the primary themes of this game will be the pass rush. Manning and Robert Griffin III are ranked fourth and fifth in pressure on dropbacks this season, respectively, and third and sixth in passing attempts while under pressure. Both of those statistics are a recipe for disaster, and the majority of the pressure this season has been allowed by the Giants OT Will Beatty (46 instances) and OT Justin Pugh (35 instances), and the Redskins' OG Chris Chester (34 instances) and C Will Montgomery (19 instances).
Let's get some analysis of the line from Jay Kornegay of the Las Vegas Hilton and an ATS pick on the game from three Vegas wise guys:
<CENTER>[h=3]Matchup: New York Giants at Washington Redskins[/h]
Spread: Opened Redskins -2.5; now Giants -1
Total: Opened 48.5; now 45.5
</CENTER>
Jay Kornegay says: "We opened the Redskins minus-2.5 before their debacle on Monday night. After that performance, we reset the line, with the Giants as the favorite at minus-1.5. Since Monday, the line has been flip-flopping from New York minus-1.5 to minus-1 and currently has settled in at the Giants minus-1. Some say this is a bad spot for the Giants after that hard-fought game with Dallas, while others are looking at how poorly the Redskins have been playing."
Prediction: "I believe this will continue until gametime and the line shouldn't move too far from the Giants being a short favorite. The total opened 48.5 and dropped to 46 after another poor outing by Griffin. Since then, it has dropped another half point to 45.5."
[h=3]ATS picks[/h]
Wunderdog says: "The Giants are still in the hunt in the bumbling NFC East. They have allowed 7, 7, 20, 13 and 24 points in the last five games. The passing offense has been better, and the defense now ranks 16th against the pass and seventh against the run. A lot has changed since running back Andre Brown returned to the lineup. Brown suffered a fracture in his left leg in the team's final preseason game and was sidelined the first nine weeks of the season. In three games since returning, he's totaled 308 yards, including an impressive 127 yards on 21 carries against Dallas.
"The Giants still can't match up against good teams, but they have shown they can beat weak teams like Washington. While the Giants are showing life, Washington is a mess, on and off the field. The Skins are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games on grass and 1-8 ATS against the NFC. The offense has ground to a halt, scoring 16 and 6 points the last two games, while losing five of their last seven. Griffin threw for just 127 yards Monday night as the 49ers' defense manhandled Washington up front.
Meanwhile, the Redskins' defense continues to struggle, now ranked 14th against the run and 26th against the pass. You will definitely need some kind of pass defense against Manning, but the Redskins have been short on skill position talent in the secondary for the last few years. The Redskins are 13-29-3 ATS against a team with a losing record, including 5-19-2 ATS in their last 26 home games versus a team with a losing road record."
ATS pick: Giants
The Sports Boss says: "This is a tough game to handicap, as both teams have massively underachieved and are coming off losses last week. I would typically lay off a game like this, but I have too many strong systems favoring a play on the Redskins here. The combination of the Redskins being so much higher in my performance rankings compared to the Giants and the fact they are a home underdog leads to my play on Washington. I set this number at Washington minus-3.63, so we are currently getting around an extra four-and-a-half points on the line. I currently have an ATS play on the Redskins based on their recent performance, and have a fade on the Giants based on how well they have performed in recent games in my performance ratings."
ATS pick: Redskins
Dave Tuley says: "Home dogs are tempting, but I passed on the Redskins as a Monday night home dog against the 49ers and I have to pass here as well, mainly because of their porous defense. And even though the Giants weren't lighting up the scoreboard during their win streak, whatever they can manage should be more than enough compared to what the Redskins can muster."
ATS pick: Pass (lean on Giants)
The storyline for the 2013 regular season for the New York Giants and the Washington Redskins comes down to their performance against NFC East division opponents, which is a putrid 1-6. Neither the Redskins nor the Giants are officially eliminated from playoff contention going into this contest, but it sure feels like they're just plodding their way to the end of the campaign; to wit, the teams have a combined seven wins this season.
Throughout his NFL career, Eli Manning has been very mediocre when it comes to primetime games. He is just 23-22 straight up and 26-18-1 against the spread. Against NFC East opponents in primetime he isn't much better, with a record of 11-10 SU and 11-9-1 ATS. Manning has lost his last four primetime games against divisional opponents dating back to the end of the 2011 regular season, a streak that includes all three of the other clubs.
According to ESPN Insider's PickCenter, the public is currently on the Giants as road favorites at a clip of 74 percent. By averaging the predicted final scores from Team Rankings and numberFire, the projected final score of the game would be 22.1 for the Giants and 22.05 for the Redskins.
As divisional road favorites against the NFC East, the Giants are 6-3 SU and 4-4-1 ATS during the Tom Coughlin era. Under Mike Shanahan, the Redskins are 3-4 SU and 5-2 ATS as divisional home underdogs.
One of the primary themes of this game will be the pass rush. Manning and Robert Griffin III are ranked fourth and fifth in pressure on dropbacks this season, respectively, and third and sixth in passing attempts while under pressure. Both of those statistics are a recipe for disaster, and the majority of the pressure this season has been allowed by the Giants OT Will Beatty (46 instances) and OT Justin Pugh (35 instances), and the Redskins' OG Chris Chester (34 instances) and C Will Montgomery (19 instances).
Let's get some analysis of the line from Jay Kornegay of the Las Vegas Hilton and an ATS pick on the game from three Vegas wise guys:
<CENTER>[h=3]Matchup: New York Giants at Washington Redskins[/h]
Spread: Opened Redskins -2.5; now Giants -1
Total: Opened 48.5; now 45.5
</CENTER>
Jay Kornegay says: "We opened the Redskins minus-2.5 before their debacle on Monday night. After that performance, we reset the line, with the Giants as the favorite at minus-1.5. Since Monday, the line has been flip-flopping from New York minus-1.5 to minus-1 and currently has settled in at the Giants minus-1. Some say this is a bad spot for the Giants after that hard-fought game with Dallas, while others are looking at how poorly the Redskins have been playing."
Prediction: "I believe this will continue until gametime and the line shouldn't move too far from the Giants being a short favorite. The total opened 48.5 and dropped to 46 after another poor outing by Griffin. Since then, it has dropped another half point to 45.5."
[h=3]ATS picks[/h]
Wunderdog says: "The Giants are still in the hunt in the bumbling NFC East. They have allowed 7, 7, 20, 13 and 24 points in the last five games. The passing offense has been better, and the defense now ranks 16th against the pass and seventh against the run. A lot has changed since running back Andre Brown returned to the lineup. Brown suffered a fracture in his left leg in the team's final preseason game and was sidelined the first nine weeks of the season. In three games since returning, he's totaled 308 yards, including an impressive 127 yards on 21 carries against Dallas.
"The Giants still can't match up against good teams, but they have shown they can beat weak teams like Washington. While the Giants are showing life, Washington is a mess, on and off the field. The Skins are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games on grass and 1-8 ATS against the NFC. The offense has ground to a halt, scoring 16 and 6 points the last two games, while losing five of their last seven. Griffin threw for just 127 yards Monday night as the 49ers' defense manhandled Washington up front.
Meanwhile, the Redskins' defense continues to struggle, now ranked 14th against the run and 26th against the pass. You will definitely need some kind of pass defense against Manning, but the Redskins have been short on skill position talent in the secondary for the last few years. The Redskins are 13-29-3 ATS against a team with a losing record, including 5-19-2 ATS in their last 26 home games versus a team with a losing road record."
ATS pick: Giants
The Sports Boss says: "This is a tough game to handicap, as both teams have massively underachieved and are coming off losses last week. I would typically lay off a game like this, but I have too many strong systems favoring a play on the Redskins here. The combination of the Redskins being so much higher in my performance rankings compared to the Giants and the fact they are a home underdog leads to my play on Washington. I set this number at Washington minus-3.63, so we are currently getting around an extra four-and-a-half points on the line. I currently have an ATS play on the Redskins based on their recent performance, and have a fade on the Giants based on how well they have performed in recent games in my performance ratings."
ATS pick: Redskins
Dave Tuley says: "Home dogs are tempting, but I passed on the Redskins as a Monday night home dog against the 49ers and I have to pass here as well, mainly because of their porous defense. And even though the Giants weren't lighting up the scoreboard during their win streak, whatever they can manage should be more than enough compared to what the Redskins can muster."
ATS pick: Pass (lean on Giants)
