Service Plays Friday 12/6/13

Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post ther daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.
Do not post any copy written info from the following services.


Advertise with the Rx - do not post
Al Mcmordie
Allan Eastman
Doc's Sports Services
Jim Feist
Ocal Sports
Robert Ferringo
Sports Money Profit System
Strike Point Sports
Vegas Sports Informer
Vegas Winning Crew


Do not post write-ups
AJ Apollo
Alex Smart
@ntonwins
Apple Handicappers
ASA, ASA Inc’s or American Sports Analysts
ATS Consultants
ATSadv ice.com
Ben Lewis
Brandon Lang's Crew
Bruce Marshall
Chris Jordan's Crew
Dave Cokin
Dennis Hill
Dennis Macklin
Dr. Bob Sports
Dr. guru sports
EZ Winners
Fairway Jay
Fred Wallin
Gametimereport
Greg DiPalma
Hittingpaydirt
JB Sports
Jim Avery
Jim Kruger
Jorge Gonzalez
Ken Jenkins
Killersportslive
Larry Ness
Lenny Delgenio
LT Profits
Lucky Lester
Madduxsports
Marc Lawrence/Playbook
Matt Fargo
Mike Lineback
Mike Rose
Pacific (Pac Star) Sports
PayneInsider
Paul Stone
Peter Gold at VI
Pick Nation Crew
PlusLineSports
Pointwise Sports
PowerPlay Wins
Preferred Picks
Pregame
Pro Sports Info
Red Zone Sports
Right Angle Sports (RAS)
Rocky Atkinson
Ron Raymond
Ross Benjamin
Sal Bansa/sportspicks1019
Scott Spreitzer
Sixth Sense Sports
Sports Memo Crew
Steve Merril SportsAlatex Sports
Stevo Design Inc. All services
Ted Sevransky/Teddy Covers
Tennessee Valley Sports
THELOCKOFTHEDAY
The Prez
The Real Animal
Tony George
Tony Karpinski/3G-Sports
Tom Stryker
Trushel Sports Consulting
Vegasadvisor s.com
Vernon Croy
Winning Points/Sports Reporter
zen_gambler
-------
GL!

NCAA Football Game Picks

Bowling Green vs. Northern Illinois

The Huskies face Bowling Green in the MAC Championship tonight and look to build on their 24-9-2 ATS record in their last 35 conference games. Northern Illinois is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Huskies favored by 6. Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois (-3). Here are all of this week's games.

The Sports Nostradamus

CFB
No Illinois/Bowling Green Over 57.5

Fezzik

Over N Illinois / Bowling Green

MAC Championship Game: NIU vs Bowling Green
By Chuck Edel

The MAC Championship game will pit a Northern Illinois squad hoping to bust the BCS for the second year in a row, against a Bowling Green team that won nine games this season by pummeling other division hopefuls Ohio and Kent State 90-22 . It will pit the strength of each team against each other, the explosive offense of NIU lead by Heisman hopeful Jordan Lynch, against the Bowling Green defense that has in seven games this season held opponents to below double digit scores.

The offenses for both squads are much closer than a lot of people would expect from the coverage they get. The Falcons actually have been better at not going three and out than the Huskies, seeing just 14.3% of their drives end that way as opposed to 17.2% for NIU. However, the last several weeks NIU has been better, with just three three and outs the last three weeks, opposed to 8 for the Falcons.

Defensively, the Falcons outclass the Huskies in almost every category besides turnovers forced. The Huskies have taken the ball away 27 times this season, to just 19 times for Bowling Green.

The most striking contrast is the ability of Bowling Green to be able to lock down offenses once they reach the redzone. They have not allowed a field goal all season, and in the whole month of November allowed just two drives to reach inside their 20. Both teams are just average in controlling big plays, but the Falcons make many more plays in the backfield than the Huskies have this season.

The first battle that will decide this game will be the NIU offensive line against the Bowling Green defensive front. The Huskies offensive line has opened up some big holes for the running game, which is averaging 6.7 yards per carry. Thats a large reason why Jordan Lynch might be able to reach 2000 yards on the ground this season, and Cameron Stingily has already topped 1000 despite missing a game. The line has been good in pass protection as well, allowing only 8 sacks all season with only 13 hurries. The pressure will come up the middle, lead by DT Ted Ouellet. He has six hurries and 4.5 sacks this season to lead the team in both categories. The Huskies will also have to contend with Taylor Royster, a 257 pound defensive lineman who is tied for the team lead in tackles for loss with six. The Falcons have been somewhat vulnerable to the run, allowing 4.2 yards per carry and a 50% conversion rate in third and short situations.

The other battle to watch will be if the NIU secondary can slow down Matt Johnson and Shaun Joplin. Joplin is averaging 17.2 yards per catch, and has turned 17 of his 20 third down receptions into first downs. Johnson as the QB has averaged 9 yards per attempt and is completing 64% of his passes. The Huskies defense though has slowed down other passing attacks, defending 13.6% of the passes attempted against them. Jimmie Ward will be playing on Sundays as a safety, and leads the team with 6 picks and 77 tackles. His secondary mate Marlon Moore has 10 passes defended as well, and will likely match up with Joplin often.

The Falcons will need to have everything going for them to be able to beat Lynch and the Huskies. Travis Greene will need to run as well as he has all season (6.1 yards per carry) and the aerial attack will need to win its matchup. However, Jordan Lynch will likely be able to find some running lanes and set himself up to reach 2000 yards on the ground this season (245 to go). If Tommylee Lewis returns from injury the Bowling Green defense might be stretched too far, and the game could get out of hand.

UFC Fight Night 33 betting: Hunt has a big target in Silva
By MMAODDSBREAKER

The hunt for Bigfoot is on, as K-1 star turned UFC knockout artist Mark “The Super Samoan” Hunt takes on the Brazilian, Antonio “Bigfoot” Silva in the main event of UFC Fight Night 33 in Brisbane, Australia Friday.

The bout will be broadcasted live on FOX Sports 1 and almost guarantees an exciting finish. Hunt will be the underdog heading into the matchup at +140, with “Bigfoot” being the favorite at -170.

Hunt (9-8 MMA, 4-2 UFC) is coming off a third-round knockout loss at the hands of former heavyweight champion Junior Dos Santos, which snapped his four-fight win streak inside the Octagon. Hunt is a very talented and powerful striker, who throws heavy hands and kicks. Hunt’s cardio is good for a heavyweight, so he won’t gas early on.

Hunt’s weakness would still be his ground game, as six of his eight losses have come by way of submission. His takedown defense has improved and is solid. But his submission defense, while also improved, remains a concern. Hunt’s gameplan will be to keep this fight on the feet while looking for Silva’s chin, which is no different than his gameplan for any other fight.

Silva (18-5 MMA, 2-2 UFC) is split between two wins and two losses inside the Octagon, both losses coming via first-round TKO stoppages at the hands of current UFC Heavyweight Champion Cain Velasquez. Sandwiched between the losses are two knockout victories over top heavyweights Alistair Overeem and Travis Browne, respectively.

“Bigfoot” moves slow and doesn’t have good footwork, but he does possess serious power in his gigantic fists. He likes to land hard shots with his opponents against the cage or while in top control on the mat.

He’s a talented grappler who owns black belts in judo and Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu. Silva has good conditioning for a heavyweight, and will be able to go the distance against Hunt, if necessary. However, his best route to victory would be to close the distance and do his best to take the fight to the mat, where he will have the advantage. From there, he should look to work his heavy ground-and-pound, while simultaneously looking for the submission finish.

Eighty percent of the losses (four out of five) on Silva’s resume have been due to knockout. I think if Hunt manages to connect, Silva will go down. Silva is slow and an incredibly big target. I think it is a target Hunt could find.

Most people think Silva is going to get the takedown and then the submission. But I think Hunt will put Silva’s lights out in front of his adopted hometown crowd.

Bowling Green vs. NIU: What bettors need to know

Bowling Green Falcons vs. Northern Illinois Huskies (-4, 58)

Game will be played at Ford Field, Detroit, Michigan.

After becoming the first Mid-American Conference team to qualify for the BCS last season, No. 18 Northern Illinois is poised to do it again if it can claim its third straight conference title game Friday against Bowling Green at Ford Field in Detroit. The Huskies tied a school record with their 12th straight win last Tuesday and have won 24 of their last 25 overall. Another victory would allow Northern Illinois to become the first school since Marshall to win three straight MAC championships.

While the Huskies possess a darkhorse Heisman Trophy candidate in Jordan Lynch and have 25 straight victories over MAC opponents, the Falcons can take solace in the fact Northern Illinois has won the last two title games by a combined 10 points. Bowling Green, which reached the nine-winmark for the first time since 2004 with Friday’s victory over Buffalo, has outscored its opponents 176-17 during its four-game winning streak. The Falcons are seeking their 11th MAC title and first since 1992.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, ESPN2.

LINE: The Huskies opened as 3-point faves and have been bet to -4. Te total opened at 57.5 and has moved up slightly to 58.

WEATHER: N/A.

ABOUT BOWLING GREEN (9-3, 9-3 ATS): Running back Travis Greene, a converted receiver, ranks second in the conference in rushing behind Lynch with 1,422 yards – 23 yards shy of breaking the school record set by Fred Durig in 1951. The Eagles complement the league’s third-best rushing offense with a defense that ranks fifth in the country in scoring defense (13.8 points) and seventh in total defense (296.6 yards). Perhaps even more impressively, Bowling Green has not allowed a second-half point during the last four games.

ABOUT NORTHERN ILLINOIS (12-0, 8-4 ATS): Lynch broke his own NCAA record for rushing yards by a quarterback with 321 against Western Michigan and
became only the second player in school history to rush for at least 300 yards twice in the same season (LeShon Johnson). "I think Jordan Lynch is the best college player in football. He is Northern Illinois and he's what Northern Illinois is about,” Western Michigan coach P.J. Fleck said following his team’s loss to Northern Illinois. Lynch is the fifth player in FBS history with 4,000 rushing and 5,000 passing yards.

TRENDS:

* Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
* Bowling Green is 4-0 ATS in its last four conference games.
* Northern Illinois is 5-1 ATS in its last six games following a SU win.
* Under is 10-2 in Northern Illinois' last 12 neutral site games.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Lynch is 218 rushing yards shy of breaking the NCAA career mark for rushing yards by a quarterback, held by Denard Robinson (4,495).

2. Bowling Green held Buffalo to 15 yards rushing six days after limiting Eastern Michigan to four yards passing.

3. Lynch needs two more rushing touchdowns to tie Chad Spann (22) for the most single-season rushing touchdowns in school history.

Kentucky at Baylor: What bettors need to know

Kentucky Wildcats at Baylor Bears (+3.5)

The site of this season’s Final Four will get a test run Friday night when No. 4 Kentucky meets No. 20 Baylor in the inaugural Big 12/SEC Challenge at AT&T Stadium in Dallas. Both teams are led by 6-9 forwards who can score as well as they rebound. Cory Jefferson is averaging 13.5 points and 8.8 boards for the Bears, similar to what he provided last season as a junior en route to winning All-Big 12 Honorable Mention. Julius Randle, a Dallas native, is averaging 18.1 points and 12.5 rebounds in his freshman campaign for the Wildcats.

Kentucky struggled against Baylor’s zone defense alignments when these teams met last December and shot 30 percent from the field in the 64-55 loss, the lowest under coach John Calipari. Baylor still has 7-1 center Isaiah Austin manning the middle of the key, so the Wildcats will need to figure out how to counter his size, preferably with some efficient perimeter shooting. Kentucky has been hot-and-cold from 3-point range lately, shooting 3-for-16 last week against Eastern Michigan but coming back with a 6-for-8 performance Sunday against Providence.

TV: 10 p.m. ET, ESPN

ABOUT KENTUCKY (7-1): The Wildcats have a solid big man as well in 7-footer forward Willie Cauley-Stein, who produced 15 points, eight rebounds and nine blocked shots in Sunday’s win, the second-most blocks in program history. He has at least four blocks in the last three games and he and Randle will make it tough on Baylor’s guards to get to the rim. The other three starters for Kentucky also stand 6-6, giving the Wildcats one of the bigger starting lineups in the nation.

ABOUT BAYLOR (7-1): Brady Heslip quickly put behind a dismal performance against Dayton last week at the Maui Invitational by shooting 4-for-7 from the 3-point line the following day against No. 5 Syracuse and then making 5-of-8 Sunday against Hardin-Simmons. Heslip comes off the bench for the Bears and gives them a nice boost when he’s shooting well. The Baylor reserves combine to average 32.9 points and the first four off the bench play an average of 19.7 minutes.

TRENDS:

* Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last five vs. Big 12.
* Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.
* Under is 5-2 in Bears last seven non-conference games.
* Under is 6-2 in Wildcats last eight overall.

TIP-INS:

1. Baylor is 3-0 this season in games decided by 5 points or less after finishing 2-8 in such contests last season.

2. This marks the third straight season Baylor and Kentucky have met with the Wildcats also beating the Bears to reach the 2012 Final Four.

3. The 6-for-8 shooting from long range against Providence marked the first time the Friars shot better than 71.4 percent from beyond the arc since 1986.

Keep an eye on these early-season NCAAB giant killers
By DAN BERLIN

Upsets always reign supreme in college basketball, but which teams will prove to be giant killers this season? Here’s a look at four mid-major schools that have already – and should continue – to make some noise leading up to tournament time.

St. Mary’s Gaels (WCC, 6-0 SU, 4-1 ATS)

The Gaels may not be the biggest name in the West Coast Conference, but they do own first place following Gonzaga’s loss to Dayton in the Maui Invitational. Junior forward Brad Waldow has been the key, emerging as the team’s leader in scoring (17.7 ppg), rebounding (7.0 rpg) and blocked shots (2.2 bpg). St. Mary’s could be poised for upset wins at Boise State (MWC, 7-0) and at home to South Carolina (SEC, 2-2) in December.

Charlotte 49ers (C-USA, 6-2 SU, 5-1 ATS)

It’s been a solid start for the Niners, highlighted by an unexpected win over then 14th-ranked Michigan to win the Puerto Rico Tip-Off two weeks ago. An OT home loss to Davidson Wednesday notwithstanding, Charlotte has benefitted from balanced scoring with no less than six players averaging double-digits per night. Two big games vs. two solid ACC teams later this month – at Florida State Dec. 17 and vs. Georgia Tech Dec. 29 – may provide a gold rush.

Belmont Bruins (Ohio Valley, 8-2 SU, 3-4 ATS)

Impressive wins over Indiana State and at Chapel Hill early on not only vaulted Belmont into top spot in the Ohio Valley Conference but into the national spotlight (they received a program-best 31 votes in the AP poll after knocking off North Carolina). If the Bruins are serious about cracking the Top 25, a win in Lexington against the No. 3 Kentucky Wildcats on Dec. 21 would certainly do the trick. Having made the NCAA tournament six times in the past 10 years, an upset by Belmont against a top-ranked team isn’t completely out of the question.

Indiana State Sycamores (Missouri Valley, 5-2 SU, 2-4 ATS)

Indiana State continues to make a name for itself as a giant killer, long after Larry Bird’s departure. Last season, the Sycamores defeated the likes of Miami, Mississippi, Creighton and Wichita State before an end-of-season funk cost them a chance to qualify for the big dance. This year, it’s tournament or bust. But after two crushing one-point losses, they’ll need to exact revenge against Belmont and come up big vs. Saint Louis (7-2) later this month. It’s kinda what they do.

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Nets (-1) on Thursday and likes Arizona State on Friday.

The deficit is 1525 sirignanos.

Alex Smart

NBA-
Philly/Orlando over 194.5
Atlanta-6.5
Lakers+3.5
OKC/New Orleans over 206.5

CBB-
California-1
Arizona State-2.5
St Peter's+9.5

J. Clifton friday nba special play

OK CITY - 4 1/2 (A)
OK CITY/NEW ORLEANS UNDER 207 (A)

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Bonus Plays are 1137-864 (57%) over the last 5 1/2 years College FB 62-38 this yr,NFL 38-31:

Free winner FRI NO ILL -4

Gamblers Data

Bonus Plays Friday

California -1

Arizona State -2.5

Cappers Access

(CFB) N. Illinois -4.5
(NBA) Celtics +4.5
(CBB) Baylor +3.5