Service Plays Saturday 12/7/13

Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post ther daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.
Do not post any copy written info from the following services.


Advertise with the Rx - do not post
Al Mcmordie
Allan Eastman
Doc's Sports Services
Jim Feist
Ocal Sports
Robert Ferringo
Sports Money Profit System
Strike Point Sports
Vegas Sports Informer
Vegas Winning Crew


Do not post write-ups
AJ Apollo
Alex Smart
@ntonwins
Apple Handicappers
ASA, ASA Inc’s or American Sports Analysts
ATS Consultants
ATSadv ice.com
Ben Lewis
Brandon Lang's Crew
Bruce Marshall
Chris Jordan's Crew
Dave Cokin
Dennis Hill
Dennis Macklin
Dr. Bob Sports
Dr. guru sports
EZ Winners
Fairway Jay
Fred Wallin
Gametimereport
Greg DiPalma
Hittingpaydirt
JB Sports
Jim Avery
Jim Kruger
Jorge Gonzalez
Ken Jenkins
Killersportslive
Larry Ness
Lenny Delgenio
LT Profits
Lucky Lester
Madduxsports
Marc Lawrence/Playbook
Matt Fargo
Mike Lineback
Mike Rose
Pacific (Pac Star) Sports
PayneInsider
Paul Stone
Peter Gold at VI
Pick Nation Crew
PlusLineSports
Pointwise Sports
PowerPlay Wins
Preferred Picks
Pregame
Pro Sports Info
Red Zone Sports
Right Angle Sports (RAS)
Rocky Atkinson
Ron Raymond
Ross Benjamin
Sal Bansa/sportspicks1019
Scott Spreitzer
Sixth Sense Sports
Sports Memo Crew
Steve Merril SportsAlatex Sports
Stevo Design Inc. All services
Ted Sevransky/Teddy Covers
Tennessee Valley Sports
THELOCKOFTHEDAY
The Prez
The Real Animal
Tony George
Tony Karpinski/3G-Sports
Tom Stryker
Trushel Sports Consulting
Vegasadvisor s.com
Vernon Croy
Winning Points/Sports Reporter
zen_gambler
-------
GL!

[h=1]NCAA Football Game Picks[/h]

Dave Cokin:

Football
Stanford +3.5
Utah St +3.5

Football lines that make you go hmmm...
By JASON LOGAN

NCAAF

Texas Longhorns at Baylor Bears (-14, 73)

Tall totals are nothing new for Big 12 bettors. Baylor has forced books to post numbers above 70 points all season and draw another massive Over/Under in this season finale with the Longhorns.

The Bears, however, haven’t eclipsed those piles of points with ease, going 2-3-1 O/U in the six games with totals in the 70s or higher. Texas, the other side of this total, has been one of the best Under bets since October, posting a 1-5 O/U count in its last six outings.

The Longhorns don’t have the firepower to trade blows with the Bears, so they’ll lean on their defense to get the job done. Texas has a quick-strike stop unit and formidable pass rush that has collected 35 sacks – tied for 10th in the land – including nine QB kills in a blowout win over Texas Tech last weekend.

The Longhorns can also hold the fort on the ground, something that Oklahoma State successfully did in its win over BU. Baylor was limited to only 2.6 yards per carry on 36 run attempts, totaling 94 rushing yards versus the Cowboys. That was a massive drop off from the Bears' season average of 5.52 yards per carry.

Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Michigan State Spartans (+5.5, 51.5)

The Buckeyes are like the disillusioned boyfriend not giving up on the hot girl who cheated on him and tossed him to the curb like yesterday’s recycling.

Ohio State, despite its unblemished record and current No. 2 spot in the BCS, could still get left out in the rain holding a bouquet of soggy flowers when it comes time to name the two contenders for the national title.

The Buckeyes’ weak schedule and even weaker performance versus Michigan Saturday may have the Bowl Championship Series seeking out a sexy one-loss SEC school to play Florida State in Pasadena. And if that doesn’t do it, a loss to Michigan State in the Big Ten title game will.

The Buckeyes are somehow 5.5-point favorites versus MSU at Lucas Oil Stadium Saturday, a spread that looks even weirder when you consider Ohio State is 0-3 ATS in its last three and was 17-point chalk versus the Wolverines, needing a botched two-point conversion to win the game.

The Spartans took that same Michigan team to the woodshed for a 29-6 waxing as 4-point favorites in Week 10. Michigan State’s defense is a beast of a unit, allowing just 11.8 points on 237.3 yards per game - tops in the country – and is a completely different animal than anything OSU has faced in recent weeks.

Brian Edwards

20* CFB SEC Championship Game

Missouri

Inside the stats: NIU, OSU expectations high
By MARC LAWRENCE

Each week we take a look inside the numbers, from both a statistical and a pointspread aspect, on the college football and NFL cards.

Here is this week’s report. Enjoy the games.

High Expectations

When Alabama defeated Florida, 28-21, to win the first ever SEC championship game in 1992, it signaled the start of Division-1 college football conference title games.

This week finds a total of seven FBS conference championship games on tap, with no less than two undefeated teams – Northern Illinois and Ohio State, along with four other squads each owning one loss on the season, namely Auburn, Fresno State, Michigan State and Missouri, dotting this year’s itinerary.

The staggering effect of what happens in conference championship games with teams who have dominated on the scoreboard the last two seasons is eye-opening, to say the least.

Our database confirms the notion, finding that teams in conference title games who managed to win 19 or more of their last 22 games are just 9-19-2 ATS since the inception of these championship games.

This week finds Florida State, Northern Illinois, Ohio State and Stanford going up against tough odds.

Worse, when favored by 17 or less points, and playing off a win, these ’pips’ dip to 1-13-2 ATS in these title game roles.

The Huskies and the Buckeyes expectations may be as high as a Benjamin Franklin kite this week, but the likelihood of rewarding their backers is akin to catching lightning in a bottle.

Exxon Valdez

Football teams who have been out gained in each of their last three games are considered to be ‘leaking oil’ when installed as favorites.

These ‘leaking oil’ favorites now stand at 25-32 ATS overall this season, including 20-22 in CFB and 5-10 in the NFL.

According to our Midweek Alert football newsletter this week’s plays would be against Memphis and Rutgers on the college front, along with Kansas City, NY Jets and Tampa Bay in the NFL.

Absolutely Overwhelming

Our NFL Totals Tipsheet has shared the success of OVERS in non-conference games.

A 2-0 sweep last week moves the record on these, these non-conference games (AFC vs. NFC) to 41-13 OVER on season, including a mind-blowing 19-3 OVER the last seven weeks.

This week’s OVER achievers include the Kansas City-Washington, Minnesota-Baltimore, Buffalo-Tampa Bay and NY Giants-San Diego games.

Stat Of The Week

Fresno State is 1-15-1 ATS in games after losing straight-up as a favorite.

Six burning betting questions for NCAAF Championship Saturday
By DAN BERLIN

It’s Championship Week in college football. Here are six burning questions heading into Saturday’s six big matchups, with conference titles and BCS bids on the line.

Oklahoma Sooners at Oklahoma State Cowboys (-9.5, 57)

Will the Sooners be able to continue their domination over the Cowboys?

The bedlam rivalry game has been completely dominated by Oklahoma throughout the decades, with the Sooners holding an 82-18-7 record all-time in the series.

While Oklahoma State head coach Mike Gundy is just 1-7 SU (2-6 ATS) versus the Sooners in his career, his lone victory came in 2011 - the last time OSU faced OU for a chance at a share of the Big 12 championship.

The Cowboys come in playing their best football of the season, fresh off convincing wins against nationally-ranked Baylor and Texas, two teams that have beaten the Sooners this season.

Texas Longhorns at Baylor Bears (-15, 71.5)

After back-to-back bad showings, can the Bears’ offense turn it around?

Baylor and its high-octane offense have limped to the finish line. After a humiliating 49-17 loss to Oklahoma State killed their national title hopes, the Bears barely hung on to defeat TCU 41-38 last week, as the nation’s No. 1 offense was held to under 400 total yards for the first time in 38 games.

But Baylor should get a major boost this Saturday when it returns to Waco, where a record crowd is expected for the last ever BU game at Floyd Casey Stadium. The ninth-ranked Bears are 9-0 SU/ATS in their last nine at home, including five straight wins against ranked opponents.

Missouri Tigers vs. Auburn Tigers (-2, 58)

Is this a possible letdown spot for Auburn or are the Tigers truly a “team of destiny?”

After the “Immaculate Deflection” in the last minute against Georgia and Chris Davis’s 109-yard missed field goal return for a touchdown to defeat the mighty Crimson Tide, it certainly looks like the third-ranked Tigers are destined to win the BCS title in 2013.

But wait just a minute. Those other Tigers from Mizzou may have a little something to say about that.

Missouri is 5-0 SU/ATS on the road in 2013 and QB James Franklin and the Missouri offense looked sharp in last week’s 28-21 win over Texas A&M - one of the big reasons why bettors have pushed the number down from its opening of Auburn as 3-point favorites down to as low as 1.5.

Duke Blue Devils vs. Florida State Seminoles (-29, 62)

Can upstart Duke actually keep it close vs. the top-ranked Seminoles?

David Cutcliffe and the No. 20 Blue Devils might be the feel-good story of the college football season, but they could be in for a rude awakening come Saturday.

Florida State has won 14 straight meetings vs. Duke dating back to 1994. But take a closer look inside the numbers and you’ll find FSU is a perfect 9-0 ATS in games where they were favored against Duke by 30 points or less, and just 1-4 ATS when favored by 31 or more. Saturday’s game opened with FSU as a 30-point favorite and has been bet down to 29 points.

Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Michigan State Spartans (+5.5, 51.5)

Can Ohio State run the ball successfully against MSU’s No. 1 rush defense?

The Buckeyes feature college football’s second best rushing offense (321.3 yards per game), led by RB Carlos Hyde and QB Braxton Miller, who’ve combined for nearly 2,200 yards on the ground this season.

On the other hand, the Spartans boast the nation’s top run defense, allowing a paltry 64.8 yards per game. So who has the edge?

Considering MSU has held 10 of 12 opponents to under 100 yards rushing and has allowed only 46 points over its past six games (7.7 ppg) – just five more points than the Buckeyes gave up to lowly Michigan last week - the Buckeyes and their rushing attack will certainly have their work cut out for them come Saturday.

Stanford Cardinal at Arizona State Sun Devils (-3, 56)

Will home field prove to be the difference for ASU in its rematch with Stanford?

On the heels of a 42-28 loss at Stanford on Sep. 21, revenge will certainly be on the minds of Arizona State when it hosts the Cardinal in the Pac-12 championship game.

The Sun Devils are hot, having won seven straight, but are 0-3 SU (0-2-1 ATS) in their last three versus Stanford, including a 17-13 loss in Tempe back in 2010.

Any doubts surrounding Stanford’s ability to beat a team twice in the same season were answered just last year when it knocked off UCLA 27-24 in the conference championship after defeating the Bruins 35-17 during the 2012 regular season.

Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: Duke vs. Florida State (Saturday 12/07 8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Florida State -29 (-110) at Bovada

I have ridden with Florida State on several occasions this season with extremely high point spreads, and this will be no different. Kudos to Duke for having a great season, but they are simply no match for Florida State. These teams have met 18 times and Florida State is 18-0, and 12-6 ATS with the closest game having been 19 points. When Florida State has faced Duke to a line of less than -30 they are 9-0 ATS, winning by an average of 35 points per game. They have faced a Duke team over .500 and are 5-0 ATS in those games, winning by 40.6 points per game. They have even faced some good Duke teams in the 90s and are 3-0 ATS against a Duke team over .700. The bottom line here is that Duke is basically an average to a tick above average from the line of scrimmage, but Florida State is elite on both sides of the ball. The Noles have won seven of their last eight games overall by 30 points. Those blowout wins have come against the likes of Florida, Miami and Clemson - and two of those were on the road. Florida State has held 10 opponents to 14 points or less, while getting to 48 points or more nine times. Last year, they beat the Blue Devils 48-7 despite being -4 in turnovers, and Duke has simply not closed the gap enough to fare much better in this one. Unbeaten favorites from -21.5 to -31 points that are on at least a seven game winning streak are 73-40 ATS, including 6-1 ATS this year, and 29-4 ATS since 2007. Lay the bundle and play on Florida State to claim the ACC crown.

GoodFella | CFB Side - Saturday, Dec 7 2013 10:00PM
129 Utah St. 3.5(-110) SportsInterAction vs 130 Fresno St. triple-dime bet

Analysis:
"CFB GOM" (3.5*) on UTAH ST. +3.5

Steve Fezzik

Oklahoma/Oklahoma State Under

The Sports Nostradamus Final Card

CFB
Rutgers
Over Baylor
Over Rice
Missouri
Ohio State

LA Syndicate

CFB
Under Oklahoma
Arizona State & Over
Utah State

Chicago Syndicate

Added
CFB
Under UConn
UL Lafayette
Under Oklahoma
Missouri & Over
Over Duke

College Football odds Week 15 Opening Line Report

If your heart has recovered from a wild weekend of college football in Week 14, well, have your defibrillator ready, because there are still some big games to come in Week 15. Leading the way are two teams that, before the season, almost no one would have projected to reach the Southeastern Conference championship game: Auburn and Missouri, in a battle of Tigers at Atlanta’s Georgia Dome.

Auburn provided a ridiculously riveting finish to Saturday’s Iron Bowl, returning a field goal for a touchdown in a 34-28 shocker over No. 1 Alabama. This is the same squad that went 3-9 SU and 4-8 ATS last year, including 0-8 SU and 2-6 ATS in the SEC. This year, Auburn is 11-1 SU and is tied for the second-best ATS record in the country at 10-2.

Missouri is also 11-1 SU and fields the No. 1 spread-covering unit in the nation at 10-1-1. The Tigers were 5-7 SU and ATS last year, but they’ve rocketed to the top of the SEC behind quarterback James Franklin and a defense that allows just 19.4 ppg (14th). Mizzou wrapped up the regular season by holding high-octane Texas A&M and QB Johnny Manziel to just 21 points in a 28-21 victory Saturday.

Peter Korner, founder of Nevada-based odds service The Sports Club, says the Crimson Tide being out of the picture makes this contest far more intriguing.

“It turns out to be a great game which will be highly competitive and a real toss-up as to who will win. I think this game is much more interesting now that Alabama is out. With that, the majority of oddsmakers all made this a pick ‘em, and that's what we sent out. Auburn has really turned on the afterburners to be where it is, and Missouri has been strong all year. We'll let the bettors decide this one.”

Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Michigan State Spartans (+6)

The Buckeyes allowed a middling Michigan squad to put up 41 points and come a 2-point conversion away from an upset that would have rivaled Auburn’s shocker over Alabama. But even if the 42-41 win was far tighter than expected, with Ohio State laying 17 points, the Buckeyes (12-0 SU, 6-5-1 ATS) have still won 24 consecutive games SU heading into the Big Ten title game at Lucas Oil Field in Indianapolis.

The Spartans, meanwhile, grinded out a 14-3 home win Saturday as a 17-point chalk against Minnesota. Michigan State (11-1 SU, 7-4-1 ATS) has won eight in a row (6-2 ATS), holding opponents to 14 points or less six times in that stretch, and five of those foes scored only in single digits. The Spartans have the nation’s No. 1 total defense (273.3 ypg), No. 1 rushing defense (64.4 ypg) and No. 4 scoring defense (11.8 ppg).

“We're all wary that Ohio State has no defense and Michigan State has a top-notch defensive unit,” Korner said. “Our range went from Ohio State -4.5 to -7. We sent out Ohio State -6. Smart money will be on Michigan State, squares will be on the favorite. Hopefully it will balance out and we get good two-way action right where it's at.”

Oklahoma Sooners at Oklahoma State Cowboys (-13)

The host Cowboys are gunning for the Big 12 title and an automatic berth in a BCS bowl, but just playing the archrival Sooners in the Bedlam game is generally motivation enough. If not for a toe-stubbing loss at West Virginia back in September, Oklahoma State (10-1 SU, 8-3 ATS) would be firmly in the hunt for the national championship game. Since that setback, the Pokes have gone 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS, scoring 38 points or more five times and winning by two TDs or more six times.

The Sooners (9-2 SU, 6-5 ATS) won their first five games, then went 4-2 down the stretch to fall out of Big 12 title contention. While Korner and his crew have Oklahoma State a double-digit chalk, he said the Sooners could surely make things interesting.

“We were all actually very close on this one, as the numbers ranged from Oklahoma State -12.5 to -14,” he said. “We sent out -13. We're sure dog players will wait and see how high this can go, but both teams are quality squads, and we don't see much movement – if any – until much later in the week.

“The way this year has ended up, I'm pretty sure that Oklahoma could win outright as the double-digit underdog, so we won't be surprised if the Sooners make this a game.”

Duke Blue Devils vs. Florida State Seminoles (-32)

Duke is yet another surprise team to be hanging around at this point of the year, coming off a 10-2 SU regular season and standing tied for second nationally with a 10-2 ATS record, as well. The Blue Devils are on an 8-0 SU run and have cashed in their last seven games, nabbing four outright wins as an underdog, including Saturday’s 27-25 win at North Carolina as a 5-point pup.

Florida State is steaming toward the BCS national championship game, despite sexual assault allegations swirling around star QB Jameis Winston, though no charges have been brought yet. The Seminoles (12-0 SU) have also been a spread-covering machine at 10-2 ATS, winning by at least 27 points in all but one game, so Korner isn’t expecting much out of the ACC championship tilt in Charlotte, N.C.

“This is a real non-game. Our range went from Florida State -30 to -33, and we sent out -32,” he said. “There’s not much to see here. We expect late-week action to be on the favorite, as usual, so we're ignoring the offshore line moves on Sunday. Moving fast and to a lower number this quickly, this early in the week is a joke. Any sports book that follows this is going to be rooting for Duke come Saturday.”

College Football Line Watch Buckeyes Backers Should be Patient

Each week during the college football season, Steve Merril looks at the NCAAF odds and tells you which spread to bet now, which one to bet later, and which total to watch as the week plays out.

Spread to bet now

Stanford Cardinal at Arizona State Sun Devils (-3)

The current pointspread sits on the key number of 3, but early indications hint that the Sun Devils will be moving up to -3.5 shortly.

This is a revenge game for Arizona State, as the Sun Devils got blown out 42-28 at Stanford in Week 3. The Cardinal laid 6.5 points in that game but Arizona State is a completely different team at home. The Sun Devils are a perfect 7-0 SU and 5-2 ATS.

Bettors like those angles so they will be eager to bet the Sun Devils in this game, especially since they are only laying a field goal. Stanford’s two losses have come on the road, which will also entice bettors to take Arizona State.

Public bettors also like to take the high-scoring offensive teams, especially when they are matched up with the low-scoring, defensive teams. That’s the case here, so we expect the money to come in on Arizona State, ultimately moving this number higher than three.

Spread to wait on

Ohio State Buckeyes (-5.5) vs. Michigan State Spartans

The media and bettors alike are quite skeptical of Ohio State and its undefeated 12-0 record. The Buckeyes’ close 42-41 win at Michigan last weekend only enhanced their negative perception. Ohio State is on a 0-3 ATS slide and is just 2-4 ATS its last six ballgames.

Early money has already come in on Michigan State, with the game opening at MSU +6.5 and quickly getting bet down to the current 5.5-point spread. The public will also back the Spartans, especially since they are 4-1 ATS over their last five games and their only loss this season came by just four points.

If you like Ohio State – wait. A better number will be available as the week goes on.

Total to watch

Oklahoma Sooners at Oklahoma State Cowboys (58)

The Bedlam Series has a history of alternating results in recent years. The Sooners and Cowboys played a high-scoring 99-point game last season after a 54-point game the year before. There were 88 points in 2010 and only 27 points in 2009.

Oklahoma State has the reputation as a high-powered offense under head coach Mike Gundy. But the Cowboys’ strength this season has been their defense. They’ve held six opponents to 13 points or less and they’ve limited opponents to just 4.8 yards per play and 6.2 yards per pass attempt.

Oklahoma’s defense only allows 4.9 yards per play and 6.3 yards per pass attempt. The Sooners’ offense has also had inconsistent quarterback play, resulting in some lower-scoring games.

The total came out at a surprising low 58, so it seems that the oddsmakers have finally caught on to Oklahoma State’s profile.

Exposing the Top 25 Where the Polls Went Wrong

Each week throughout the college football season, Jesse Schule will dissect the new Top 25 rankings, looking for betting value. He'll showcase the most overrated team, along with the most underrated ranked team, and an unranked squad that he feels should be in the Top 25.

Most Underrated Top 25 Team: Michigan State Spartans (11-1 SU, 7-4 ATS)

The Spartans finished the season with eight straight victories after suffering their only loss to Notre Dame on the road back on September 21. Of those eight victories, many came against quality opponents, and none of those games were close (all decided by double digits).

Michigan State boasts the nation's No. 4 ranked defense, allowing an average of just 11.8 points per game. The Spartans registered a shutout against Purdue, held Minnesota and Illinois to just three points each, and held Northwestern and Michigan to just six points apiece.

Most Overrated Top 25 Team: Ohio State Buckeyes (12-0 SU, 6-5-1 ATS)

I believe it truly would be a crime if the Buckeyes were to play in the National Championship game ahead of Missouri or Auburn, who will play for the SEC Championship Saturday.

Ohio State has a perfect 12-0 record, much like Notre Dame did last year. And look what happened to the Irish when they faced an SEC powerhouse - it looked like men against boys. I'm convinced it would be the same story if the Buckeyes were to play any of the Top 5 teams.

Saturday's win over the Wolverines showed how vulnerable the Buckeyes defense can be, and that was against an unranked opponent. The Buckeyes were very fortunate to have escaped with the win at Ann Arbor in a game that ended with a failed two-point conversion on the final play.

Unranked Team That Should be Ranked: Cincinnati Bearcats (9-2 SU, 6-5-0 ATS)

The Bearcats have won six straight and they boast a Top-10 defense, allowing opponents an average of 18.5 points per game. They finish the season against Louisville at home and they have won 16 of their last 18 home games.

Quarterback Brendon Kay has thrown for over 800 yards and six touchdowns, winning back-to-back games on the road.

Beyond the BCS Big Profits from NCAAF Small Conferences

Some of the best betting value in college football is hiding beyond the BCS, in the small conferences. Each week, Doc’s Sports will look at the little programs that could help you make big cash this college season.

Team to Watch: Rice Owls (9-3 SU, 7-5 ATS)

This week: +4.5 at Marshall

Marshall has won five in a row by an average of 34 points and it has scored at least 45 points in each of its last six contests, but not all has gone perfectly for the Thundering Herd heading into this week’s Conference USA Championship at Rice.

Because the two teams have the same 7-1 record in C-USA action, the expanded BCS rankings (neither team is in the Top 25) determined which school would host and Rice came out just ahead. The Thundering Herd will also be without sophomore running back Kevin Grooms, who was suspended indefinitely after being arrested on misdemeanor domestic battery charges following last Friday’s 59-28 win over East Carolina.

They still boast a stellar ground attack with Essray Taliaferro and Steward Butler, but Grooms had 503 rushing yards and six touchdowns this season and he scored four times in last year’s double-overtime win over Rice.

The Owls are 5-1 (3-3 ATS) at home in 2013. Marshall is a vastly different team home and away. It is 3-3 (1-5 ATS) on the road compared to 6-0 (6-0 ATS) at home.

Team to Beware: Utah State Aggies (8-4 SU, 8-4 ATS)

This week: (+3.5) at Fresno State

Utah State need not apologize for playing in the Mountain West Championship, but it didn’t have to face the top two teams from the West Division (Fresno State and San Diego State, which dealt Boise State its two conference losses).

The Aggies have lost five offensive starters over the course of the season -most recently receiver Travis Reynolds, who is questionable due to a knee injury. Despite missing last week’s win over Wyoming, Reynolds has 51 receptions for 832 yards and four touchdowns.

Fresno State saw its BCS hopes busted by San Jose State last Friday, but its 12-game home winning streak is still intact. The Bulldogs have not lost in Fresno since an Oct. 1, 2011 contest against Mississippi.

Total Team: South Alabama Jaguars (5-6 SU, 4-7 O/U)

This week: (58) vs. UL Lafayette

Don’t expect the Ragin’ Cajuns to call off the dogs on their defense that ranks second in scoring and second against the run in the Sun Belt when they face South Alabama. Louisiana-Lafayette has already accepted a bid to the New Orleans Bowl, but an outright conference title is still on the line.

The Jaguars were all over the backfield in last weekend’s 38-17 rout of Georgia State, recording four sacks and eight tackles for loss. Saturday’s game is still a decent way off, but the current forecast calls for rain and wind throughout the entire weekend in Mobile.

The under is 4-0 in South Alabama’s last four overall and 4-1 in its last five at home. The under is 3-0 in ULL’s last three road trips.

Snow and Rain to Dampen this Weekend's Football Schedule

College football bettors beware, there is a high probability of messy conditions this weekend, including snow and rain. So when it comes to handicapping the games this week make sure to keep an eye out on the elements in several cities.

In college action:

There will be a 43 percent chance of rain for the ACC title game when Duke takes on Florida State.

In two huge Big 12 matchups this weekend, three teams will battle each other and the weather for the conference championship. Texas travels to Waco to face Baylor where there is a 32 percent chance of freezing rain and Oklahoma will clash with Oklahoma State where there is a 10 percent chance of snow.

In the AAC, Louisville plays at Cincinnati where there is a 60 percent chance of rain and UCF travels to Southern Methodist where there is a 31 percent chance of freezing rain.

And there is a 40 percent chance of rain in Houston when Marshall battles Rice for the C-USA title.

Alex Smart

CFB-
ULL+2.5
Duke+29.5
Marshall-4.5
Texas+16