Service Plays Tuesday 12/17/13

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See spot. See spot bet: This week's best spot bet opportunities
By JASON LOGAN

Spot bets are classic handicapping practices that have proven profitable no matter what sport you’re betting. Whether it’s a team looking past this week’s opponent, one coming off a hard-fought victory, or a rough patch of schedule, bettors can find value picking their spots.

Letdown spot

The Miami Dolphins did what the Cleveland Browns couldn’t Sunday, and that was keep Tom Brady and the Patriots from snatching victory from the clutches of defeat. The Dolphins hung tough in the final seconds with Brady & Co. knocking at the door, winning their third straight game and making a serious push at an AFC Wild Card spot.

The red-hot Fins could have the freeze put on that winning streak at Ralph Wilson Stadium Sunday, where they face the Buffalo Bills. The forecast for Sunday is calling for snow, wind and temperatures dipping into the 20’s. The Bills are 5-1 ATS in Buffalo and already have a win over Miami – 23-21 in Week 7.

Lookahead spot

The Montreal Canadiens have let their share of the Atlantic Division lead slip away with three losses in their last four games and hit the highway for six straight games, starting with a massive non-conference showdown in St. Louis Thursday night. This stretch spans the holidays, so players are trying to get their Christmas affairs in order before leaving this week.

However, in the hustle and bustle of those plans hide the Phoenix Coyotes. The Habs, who are coming off a stunning 2-1 defeat at the hands of the lowly Florida Panthers Sunday, run the risk of looking past Phoenix Tuesday night. The Coyotes have picked up points in four of their last five road games and open a four-game away stretch in Montreal before coming home after the finale on Dec. 23.

Schedule spot

The Toronto Raptors have a pretty light week after the heavy drama of the past seven days. The Raptors, fresh of shedding Rudy Gay’s contract from their books, have a lone home game against Charlotte Wednesday before kicking off a four-game road trip in Dallas Saturday. Toronto then plays Oklahoma City and San Antonio – three games in four nights – before the Xmas break.

After dealing Gay to the Sacramento Kings for scraps, many north of the border are pushing for the Raptors to give up on the season and tank, in hopes of landing the No. 1 overall pick. That’s projected to be Toronto’s own Andrew Wiggins – perhaps the only superstar who would actually like to play for the Raptors. No one would blame Toronto for going 0-3 on this Western run, especially not die-hard Raptors fans.
 
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Florida vs. Memphis: What bettors need to know

Florida Gators vs. Memphis Tigers (+2.5, OFF)

Florida looks to build on its impressive win over Kansas when the 17th-ranked Gators face No. 14 Memphis on Tuesday in the Jimmy V Classic at Madison Square Garden. Memphis is averaging 84.8 points and has won six straight since losing at Oklahoma State, while Florida is holding opponents to 60.9 points per game and forced 24 turnovers in last Tuesday’s 67-61 win over Kansas. Both teams were projected as top-four seeds of the NCAA Tournament’s West Region in Joe Lunardi's latest edition of Bracketology at espn.com.

Florida has been dealing with a number of injuries and suspensions all season, but the Gators are slowly reaching full strength. Guards Scottie Wilbekin and Kasey Hill played together for the first time this season against Kansas, and Wilbekin was named SEC Player of the Week after scoring a career-high 18 points in the victory. Memphis boasts a quartet of talented guards, but Florida can’t overlook sophomore forward Shaq Goodwin, averaging 13.6 points and a team-high 6.5 rebounds.

TV: 9 p.m. ET, ESPN

LINE: The line opened with Memphis as 2.5-point dogs. The total is currently off the board.

ABOUT FLORIDA (7-2, 4-2 ATS): Center Patric Young is averaging 10.4 and 5.6 rebounds, and the Gators’ frontcourt should be even stronger later this month when highly touted freshman forward Chris Walker (academics) joins the team. Virginia Tech transfer Dorian Finney-Smith continues to impress while leading the Gators in rebounding (8.2 rebounds per game), and senior forward Casey Prather averages a team-high 18.3 points. Prather has improved his offensive game this season by consistently getting to the foul line, where he’s made 50 of his 68 attempts.

ABOUT MEMPHIS (7-1, 4-2 ATS): Coach Josh Pastner is looking for more from his four senior guards – Joe Jackson, Geron Johnson, Chris Crawford and Michael Dixon – after they struggled in a lackluster 73-59 win over Arkansas-Little Rock last Friday. “When they don't play well, our team is not going to be as good,” Pastner said. “We need those guys to be really good every single time on the floor. We're counting on those guys to be elite - not individually, but collectively.” Freshman forward Austin Nichols has started every game and averages 10.8 points and 5.5 rebounds.

TRENDS:

* Florida is 4-1 ATS in its last five games overall.
* Memphis is 5-1 ATS in its last six neutral site games.
* Under is 5-1 in Florida's last six non-conference games.
* Under is 4-0 in Memphis' last four games overall.


TIP-INS:

1. Florida has held six of its past eight opponents to 61 points or fewer.

2. The teams have a common opponent in Arkansas-Little Rock, with Memphis winning by 14 and Florida cruising to an 86-56 win on Nov. 16.

3. The Gators and Tigers have met just once before, with Florida claiming an 84-83 victory on Dec. 18, 1976.
 
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Thunder at Nuggets: What bettors need to know

Oklahoma City Thunder at Denver Nuggets (+2.5, 207)

The Oklahoma City Thunder are streaking and look for their seventh consecutive victory when they visit the Denver Nuggets on Tuesday. Oklahoma City has won 14 of its past 15 games and the 19-4 start ties for second-best in franchise history, topped only by the 1993-94 Seattle SuperSonics’ 20-3 run. Denver has won 10 of its last 13 games and has also been victorious in seven of its last eight home games.

Oklahoma City posted a 115-113 home victory over the Nuggets on Nov. 18 in a contest that still frustrated Denver coach Brian Shaw. The Nuggets missed 18 free throws and allowed the Thunder to collect 19 rebounds. “To a team of that caliber, there’s no way you can do that and expect to come close to winning a game,” Shaw told reporters after Monday’s practice. “We made that evident to our guys.” Thunder forward Kevin Durant scored 38 points in that contest and running mate Russell Westbrook added 30.

TV: 9 p.m. ET, NBATV, FSN Oklahoma (Oklahoma City), Altitude (Denver)

LINE: The Thunder opened as 2-point faves and have been bet to -2.5. The total currently sits at 207.

COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Oklahoma City (-13) - Denver (-8.8) + home court (-3) = Oklahoma City -1.2

ABOUT THE THUNDER (19-4, 13-10 ATS): Durant was 11-of-18 shooting for 28 points in Sunday’s victory over Orlando but his high standards – and even loftier expectations – didn’t allow him to feel satisfied. “I’m one of those guys who wants to make every shot,” Durant said afterward. “I feel I can go back and watch and see the shots I missed and try to correct and look at my footwork and see how I can make those shots.” Durant has made over 60 percent of his shots in four of the last six games – shooting a torrid 58.7 during the stretch – and has scored below 20 points just three times in 23 games.

ABOUT THE NUGGETS (14-9, 12-11 ATS): Denver is five games above. 500 in the tough Western Conference but there are still a lot of people unsure how to measure the club. A four-game stretch that starts with the Thunder might provide some answers as the Nuggets follow by hosting the Phoenix Suns on Friday, visiting the Los Angeles Clippers on Saturday and returning to host the Golden State Warriors on Monday. “It’s going to be a tough week,” power forward Kenneth Faried told reporters on Monday. “It should test us, test our team.”

TRENDS:

* Under is 5-1-1 in the last seven meetings in Denver.
* Thunder are 0-4 ATS in the last four meetings.
* Underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.
* Road team is 7-3-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. Denver has won nine of the last 11 home games in the series.

2. Nuggets PG Ty Lawson had 29 points and eight assists in last month’s loss to the Nuggets.

3. Thunder PF Serge Ibaka had just four points and two rebounds against Orlando after posting double-doubles in seven of the previous 11 games.
 
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Jimmy Moore (YouWinNow)

Kinda Like This Play - Pittsburgh a Much Better Team...I have this Game Line at Pittsburgh -10...We shall see I guess

#511 4* Pittsburgh -5.5 (7:00 est) ESPN

Pitt is crushing everyone they are playing but they are not necessarily covering due to the high lines. This line is nice and low so they will be able to get this cover more easily. Cincy is only 3-10 ATS their last 13 games overall and with the teams they have been playing this is a big step up in class. Look for Pitt to pull away in the second half for the win and cover here. Thank you and good luck.
 
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Chicago Syndicate

CBB
Wake Forest
Wichita State (ML)
Memphis U.
Murray State
Michigan State

NBA
Over Cavs
Under Grizzlies
 
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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Nets (-10 1/2) on Monday and likes Pittsburgh on Tuesday.

The deficit is 1395 sirignanos.
 

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Hockey Crusher
Philadelphia Flyers -122 over Washington Caps
(System Record: 42-0, won last game and a push)
Overall Record: 42-24-1
 

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Basketball Crusher
Charlotte Bobcats + Sacramento Kings OVER 196
(System Record: 22-2, lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 22-28-1
 

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Soccer Crusher
SV Grodig + Admira Wacker Modling OVER 2.5
This match is happening in Austria

(System Record: 496-18, lost last game)
Overall Record: 496-427-73
 
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Today's NBA Picks

Portland at Cleveland

The Blazers travel to Cleveland tonight to face a Cavaliers team that is coming off a 114-107 loss to Miami on Saturday and is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games after scoring 100 points or more in the previous game. Portland is the pick (-4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Blazers favored by 10. Dunkel Pick: Portland (-4 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.
TUESDAY, DECEMBER 17
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST
Game 501-502: Portland at Cleveland (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 126.409; Cleveland 116.200
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 10; 201
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 4 1/2; 205
Dunkel Pick: Portland (-4 1/2); Under
Game 503-504: Sacramento at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 118.660; Charlotte 117.810
Dunkel Line & Total: Sacramento by 1; 204
Vegas Line & Total: Charlotte by 2; 196
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (+2); Over
Game 505-506: LA Lakers at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 112.959; Memphis 118.077
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 5; 179
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 507-508: Oklahoma City at Denver (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 125.219; Denver 125.200
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 215
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 3; 207 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (+3); Over
Game 509-510: New Orleans at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 116.727; Golden State 122.007
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 5 1/2; 212
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 8; 206 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+8); Over
 
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NCAA Basketball Picks

Memphis vs. Florida

The Tigers enter tonight's Jimmy V Classic in Madison Square Garden facing a Florida team that is coming off a 67-61 win over Kansas and is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games following a SU victory. Memphis is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the Tigers favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+3). Here are all of today's games.
TUESDAY, DECEMBER 17
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST
Game 511-512: Pittsburgh vs. Cincinnati (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 70.429; Cincinnati 69.295
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+6 1/2)
Game 513-514: St. Bonaventure at Wake Forest (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Bonaventure 55.960; Wake Forest 65.490
Dunkel Line: Wake Forest by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Wake Forest by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wake Forest (-5 1/2)
Game 515-516: Charlotte at Florida State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 61.697; Florida State 67.881
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 6
Vegas Line: Florida State by 10
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+10)
Game 517-518: Yale at Providence (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Yale 51.803; Providence 69.031
Dunkel Line: Providence by 17
Vegas Line: Providence by 11
Dunkel Pick: Providence (-11)
Game 519-520: TX-Arlington at Oklahoma (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TX-Arlington 48.033; Oklahoma 70.561
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 22 1/2
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 17
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma (-17)
Game 521-522: Washington at Tulane (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 55.056; Tulane 51.253
Dunkel Line: Washington by 4
Vegas Line: Washington by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tulane (+7 1/2)
Game 523-524: Toledo at Arkansas State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toledo 58.814; Arkansas State 55.718
Dunkel Line: Toledo by 3
Vegas Line: Toledo by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toledo (-1 1/2)
Game 525-526: Ball State at Marquette (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ball State 52.478; Marquette 68.312
Dunkel Line: Marquette by 16
Vegas Line: Marquette by 19 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ball State (+19 1/2)
Game 527-528: Wichita State at Alabama (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wichita State 72.502; Alabama 67.845
Dunkel Line: Wichita State by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Wichita State by 2
Dunkel Pick: Wichita State (-2)
Game 529-530: Missouri State at Louisville (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri State 56.242; Louisville 74.838
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 18 1/2
Vegas Line: Louisville by 22
Dunkel Pick: Missouri State (+22)
Game 531-532: Memphis vs. Florida (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 70.722; Florida 70.006
Dunkel Line: Memphis by 1
Vegas Line: Florida by 3
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+3)
Game 533-534: Cal Poly at Loyola Marymount (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cal Poly 54.257; Loyola Marymount 58.380
Dunkel Line: Loyola Marymount by 4
Vegas Line: Loyola Marymount by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Loyola Marymount (-1 1/2)
Game 535-536: UC-Irvine at Oregon (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Irvine 55.068; Oregon 75.412
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 20 1/2
Vegas Line: Oregon by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (-13 1/2)
Game 537-538: Elon at Georgetown (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Elon 55.259; Georgetown 67.022
Dunkel Line: Georgetown by 12
Vegas Line: Georgetown by 14 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Elon (+14 1/2)
Game 539-540: Manhattan at South Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Manhattan 56.524; South Carolina 57.690
Dunkel Line: South Carolina by 1
Vegas Line: South Carolina by 4
Dunkel Pick: Manhattan (+4)
Game 541-542: Wofford at VCU (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wofford 44.816; VCU 70.692
Dunkel Line: VCU by 26
Vegas Line: VCU by 18
Dunkel Pick: VCU (-18)
Game 543-544: Southern Illinois at Murray State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Illinois 54.597; Murray State 52.588
Dunkel Line: Southern Illinois by 2
Vegas Line: Murray State by 4
Dunkel Pick: Southern Illinois (+4)
Game 545-546: Tennessee Tech at WI-Green Bay (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee Tech 46.500; WI-Green Bay 63.106
Dunkel Line: WI-Green Bay by 16 1/2
Vegas Line: WI-Green Bay by 15
Dunkel Pick: WI-Green Bay (-15)
Game 547-548: Central Michigan at Jacksonville State (8:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 49.193; Jacksonville State 44.243
Dunkel Line: Central Michigan by 5
Vegas Line: Jacksonville State by 1
Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (+1)
Game 549-550: Austin Peay at Vanderbilt (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Austin Peay 41.372; Vanderbilt 65.373
Dunkel Line: Vanderbilt by 24
Vegas Line: Vanderbilt by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt (-13 1/2)
Game 551-552: Belmont at Denver (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Belmont 57.304; Denver 63.499
Dunkel Line: Denver by 6
Vegas Line: Denver by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-3 1/2)
Game 561-562: North Florida at Michigan State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Florida 46.278; Michigan State 76.648
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 30 1/2
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 24 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (-24 1/2)
Game 563-564: Florida Gulf Coast at South Florida (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Gulf Coast 51.277; South Florida 61.825
Dunkel Line: South Florida by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: South Florida by 9
Dunkel Pick: South Florida (-9)
Game 565-566: AR-Pine Bluff at Creighton (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: AR-Pine Bluff 43.032; Creighton 70.502
Dunkel Line: Creighton by 27 1/2
Vegas Line: Creighton by 30 1/2
Dunkel Pick: AR-Pine Bluff (+30 1/2)
Game 567-568: New Mexico State at New Mexico (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico State 60.651; New Mexico 71.370
Dunkel Line: New Mexico by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: New Mexico by 8
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico (-8)
 
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Hockey Crusher
Philadelphia Flyers -122 over Washington Caps
(System Record: 42-0, won last game and a push)
Overall Record: 42-24-1

Here are the rest of his hockey plays for today...


Hockey
St Louis Blues -118 over San Jose
Chicago Blackhawks -145 over Nashville
Los Angeles Kings -1.5 over Edmonton Oilers
 
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Basketball Crusher
Charlotte Bobcats + Sacramento Kings OVER 196
(System Record: 22-2, lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 22-28-1

Here are the rest of his basketball plays for today...

Basketball
Denver Nuggets +2.5 over OKC
Golden State Warriors + New Orleans Pelicans OVER 207
Portland Trail Blazers -4.5 over Cleveland Cavs
 
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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Bonus Plays are 1140-872 (57%) over the last 5 1/2 years College FB 65-38 this yr,NFL 41-31:

Free winner TUES Oregon -14
 
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Today's NHL Picks

Florida at Toronto

The Panthers travel to Toronto tonight to face a Maple Leafs team that is coming off 3-1 loss to Pittsburgh last night and is 1-6 in its last 7 games when scoring 2 goals or less in the previous game. Florida is the pick (+120) according to Dunkel, which has the Panthers favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Florida (+120). Here are all of today's picks.
TUESDAY, DECEMBER 17
Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST
Game 51-52: Winnipeg at Buffalo (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 11.292; Buffalo 9.608
Dunkel Line & Total: Winnipeg by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Winnipeg (-125); 5
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (-125); Under
Game 53-54: Tampa Bay at NY Islanders (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 10.705; NY Islanders 11.663
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Tampa Bay (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (+105); Over
Game 55-56: Florida at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 11.373; Toronto 10.203
Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+120); Under
Game 57-58: Calgary at Boston (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 10.995; Boston 12.435
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-220); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-220); Over
Game 59-60: Washington at Philadelphia (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 11.409; Philadelphia 10.492
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+105); Over
Game 61-62: Phoenix at Montreal (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 11.177; Montreal 12.692
Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Montreal (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-130); Under
Game 63-64: Anaheim at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 11.669; Detroit 12.512
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+105); Over
Game 65-66: San Jose at St. Louis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose 10.400; St. Louis 11.993
Dunkel Line & Total: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-125); Under
Game 67-68: Vancouver at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 12.998; Minnesota 10.735
Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota (-120); 5
Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (+100); Under
Game 69-70: Chicago at Nashville (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 13.280; Nashville 9.881
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 3 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-150); Over
Game 71-72: Colorado at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 11.680; Dallas 10.446
Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+100); Over
Game 73-74: Edmonton at Los Angeles (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 10.935; Los Angeles 12.666
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-230); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-230); Under
 

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