2-1 in week 17. 31-31-1 overall. ...and there it is. I knew it would happen. a .500 season. Unfortunately this pisses me off to no end. On some levels, non-monetary of course, I would rather have a losing record. A shrink would probably have a field day with that. Anyway, another way to look at it is a fresh start for the playoffs, without having to come from behind, or maintain a winning record. So let's get right to it.
KC +2.5 - Short of a certain radius around Indy, does anyone think this spread is accurate? The averages comes out to more of a KC -6 type of game. So, the Colts won their div, I don't put much weight here whereas they could have done this with an 8-8 record. Colts have a 6-2 record at home, which is nice, but the Chiefs are 6-2 on the road. Well whatever reason the books have chosen, I disagree with them, and unfortunately perhaps for me, my opinion is the only one that counts.
NO +2.5 - Maths come out to around NO -5. So we are about a TD off here. Is Philly that good? Well you can throw out the Cowboys game. The Cowboys suck, badly, and the Eagles only won by 2. The Bears game we can toss because of Cutler's rust, it was not a 'real' game. A loss to the Vikes before that. So are they good? Maybe, maybe not. A look at their season as a whole leans towards not. Explosive, yes, capable? Perhaps. Consistent, not really. So this is more about the Saints not losing more so than the Eagles beating them. Three of the Saints losses came against good teams, and the other two I don't think anyone would disagree were just bad days for a good team. I will even go out on a limb here and project 30 points for the Saints. So in other words, I think the Eagles will need 33 to win the game, and I don't see that happening.
CIN -7 - I hate both of these teams. CIN 27 - SD 17. I'll spare everyone, and my future self, of how I arrived at this.
SF -2.5 - Interesting game here. The offenses in terms points for per game is about the same. This is a credit to GB to keep this up while discount double check was out for so long. The difference comes in with the Ds. Average points against are 16.4 for the 49ers, and 25.4 for the pack. Fairly big difference. SF is on a roll, albeit mostly against crap teams. The only issue will be the weather, somewhere between 8 and -6 degrees. If the spread was bigger I might be worried, but it isn't so I aint.
KC +2.5 - Short of a certain radius around Indy, does anyone think this spread is accurate? The averages comes out to more of a KC -6 type of game. So, the Colts won their div, I don't put much weight here whereas they could have done this with an 8-8 record. Colts have a 6-2 record at home, which is nice, but the Chiefs are 6-2 on the road. Well whatever reason the books have chosen, I disagree with them, and unfortunately perhaps for me, my opinion is the only one that counts.
NO +2.5 - Maths come out to around NO -5. So we are about a TD off here. Is Philly that good? Well you can throw out the Cowboys game. The Cowboys suck, badly, and the Eagles only won by 2. The Bears game we can toss because of Cutler's rust, it was not a 'real' game. A loss to the Vikes before that. So are they good? Maybe, maybe not. A look at their season as a whole leans towards not. Explosive, yes, capable? Perhaps. Consistent, not really. So this is more about the Saints not losing more so than the Eagles beating them. Three of the Saints losses came against good teams, and the other two I don't think anyone would disagree were just bad days for a good team. I will even go out on a limb here and project 30 points for the Saints. So in other words, I think the Eagles will need 33 to win the game, and I don't see that happening.
CIN -7 - I hate both of these teams. CIN 27 - SD 17. I'll spare everyone, and my future self, of how I arrived at this.
SF -2.5 - Interesting game here. The offenses in terms points for per game is about the same. This is a credit to GB to keep this up while discount double check was out for so long. The difference comes in with the Ds. Average points against are 16.4 for the 49ers, and 25.4 for the pack. Fairly big difference. SF is on a roll, albeit mostly against crap teams. The only issue will be the weather, somewhere between 8 and -6 degrees. If the spread was bigger I might be worried, but it isn't so I aint.
