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​anyone with access to this insider subscription can you please post what they have,id like to track this until march madness starts
 
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not sure if this is it............

[h=1]Saturday's best ATS bets[/h] [h=3]Picking winners for Saturday's big games, including Michigan-Michigan State[/h]
Updated: January 24, 2014, 3:44 PM ET
<cite class="source"> By Ted Sevransky | ESPN Insider</cite>


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<cite>Mary Langenfeld/USA TODAY Sports</cite>Can Nik Stauskas and the Wolverines upset the Spartans in East Lansing?
Each week during the college basketball season, I will offer my picks and predicted final scores for the biggest games on Saturday as well as some mid-major matchups. This way, when the lines are released on Friday evening, you'll have at least one Vegas pro's opinion as to what the final scores might look like.
Here's a look at six key matchups on Saturday, including Michigan-Michigan State, Duke-Florida State, BYU-Gonzaga, Florida-Tennessee, VCU-La Salle and Pitt-Maryland.



Michigan Wolverines at Michigan State Spartans
When Mitch McGary got hurt, the betting markets concluded rather quickly that the Wolverines couldn't possibly withstand his absence. However, the results have clearly proved otherwise. Since McGary's injury, the Wolverines are 8-0 straight up (SU) and 6-1-1 against the spread (ATS), dramatically exceeding market expectations. John Beilein's squad has relied heavily on Nik Stauskas, Glenn Robinson III and Caris LeVert to make up for McGary's lost offensive production, and that trio has lived up to the challenge.

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The Wolverines have been road underdogs twice in Big Ten play thus far. Both times, they won the game in SU fashion, knocking off Wisconsin in Madison and Minnesota in Minneapolis. Michigan State, on the other hand, has struggled a bit of late in the home favorite's role, failing to cover against both Indiana and Ohio State. Only a lucky spread cover in overtime as 9.5-point favorites against Minnesota has prevented Tom Izzo's squad from notching an 0-3 ATS start as home favorites in Big Ten play.
Without injured forwards Adreian Payne and Branden Dawson, the short-handed Spartans aren't likely to dominate the glass like they usually do. When these two teams met in Ann Arbor last March, the Wolverines escaped with a one-point win on a Trey Burke steal and dunk with just 20 seconds remaining on the clock. No surprise here if the rematch is every bit as tight.
ATS pick: Michigan State 65, Michigan 64



Florida State Seminoles at Duke Blue Devils
The Seminoles have enjoyed a fair bit of success against the Blue Devils in recent years, winning three of the past five meetings between these two teams in straight-up fashion, including a 2012 win at Cameron during their last visit as 10.5-point underdogs. However, Duke shot 60 percent from the floor while earning some revenge in beating Florida State by 19 last season.
Those types of defensive meltdowns are few and far between for Leonard Hamilton's team, which is currently ranked in the top five nationally in terms of defense, allowing foes to hit only 37 percent of their shots from the floor. Okaro White, Boris Bojanovsky and Michael Ojo protect the rim, allowing the Seminoles' perimeter defenders to be ultra-aggressive knowing they have protection behind them.
Duke hasn't faced a physical defense of this quality all season, and the Blue Devils have struggled to put up points in bunches against the better defensive squads they've faced. Those mediocre results include a SU loss at Clemson and a tight, non-cover last week against Virginia. I'm not going to call for Duke to lose at home, but this game has all the makings of a tight, grinding matchup.
ATS pick: Duke 64, FSU 59



Virginia Commonwealth Rams at La Salle Explorers
Don't be fooled in the slightest by La Salle's no-show at St. Bonaventure earlier this week. The Explorers' flight got grounded by the blizzard that hit the East Coast, forcing them to take a seven-hour bus ride to upstate New York and arrive well after 2 a.m. Their game the following night wasn't very crisp (to put it mildly), and La Salle was held to a season-low 51 points during its 15-point loss to the Bonnies.
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<cite>Geoff Burke/USA TODAY Sports</cite>Shaka Smart and the Rams will be a tough test for the Explorers.


I'm not convinced we'll see a strong bounce-back effort at home on Saturday. John Giannini's squad has been fairly easy to handicap this season as a team that steps down in class very well and is more than capable of beating weaker foes by margin. But the Explorers are 0-6 SU and 0-6 against the spread as an underdog this season -- failing in every single "step-up-in-class" game they've played. At this stage of the season, a trend like that is not something I want to stand in front of.
VCU just blew out Dayton on the road, the Rams' best road win since beating Virginia back in November. Shaka Smart will certainly remember how the Explorers came into Richmond and pulled the outright upset last season. Expect some payback on Saturday.
ATS pick: VCU 72, La Salle 63



Tennessee Volunteers at Florida Gators
I supported the Vols last week as road underdogs at Kentucky, and Cuonzo Martin's squad did not disappoint, eking out a spread cover by a mere half point (losing by eight as 8.5-point underdogs). I'll give the Vols credit for staying competitive in every game; all six of their losses this season have come by single-digit margins. And Tennessee continues to cash winning bets, going 6-1 ATS in its past seven lined games.
The Gators have struggled against Tennessee in recent years. Over the past two seasons, Florida was favored in all three meetings with the Vols, coming in as favorites between minus-7.5 and minus-12.5 in all three games. Tennessee won all three matchups in straight-up fashion in large part because it was able to control the paint, winning the rebounding battle each time while forcing the Gators into perimeter jumpers.
Even with Florida's offseason talent infusion, I'm still not convinced that Billy Donovan has enough low-post muscle outside of foul-prone center Patric Young to control the paint against Tennessee's wide-bodied bigs, Jarnell Stokes and Jeronne Maymon. The Vols have been nice under-the-radar moneymakers, and are worthy of support as an underdog again here.
ATS pick: Florida 72, Tennessee 69



Brigham Young Cougars at Gonzaga Bulldogs
I don't necessarily think of Gonzaga as an "under" team. The Zags don't slow down the pace and shoot at a high percentage from both inside and outside the arc. Przemek Karnowski is their lone shot-blocker and the 7-foot-1, 300-pound center is certainly not quick and doesn't adjust well on the fly from a defensive standpoint in the low post. However, the betting markets have consistently been pricing the Zags' totals too high. And when I say consistently, I mean consistently; my numbers show Gonzaga cashing 38 under bets in its past 53 West Coast Conference games and 47 under bets in its past 70 lined home games -- a substantial and significant track record. The markets don't consider the Zags as an "under" team, either.
It's a very rough situational spot for BYU on Saturday, coming off a triple-OT loss at Portland on Thursday despite 48 points from Tyler Haws and 23 from Matt Carlino. For a team that relies heavily on jump shots, tired legs aren't likely to help those shots find the bottom of the net. And like Gonzaga, BYU has been a strong under team for most of the season. With their totals often lined in the 160s or 170s, the Cougars are 11-6 to the under this season.
This series has seen nothing but unders of late, with four consecutive lower-scoring-than-expected games in 2012 and 2013, all finishing with between 135 and 146 combined points. As long as there's no foul-fest in the final minute or two, a similar relatively low-scoring result can again be expected.
ATS pick: Gonzaga 73, BYU 64 (take the under)



Pittsburgh Panthers at Maryland Terrapins
Ken Pom's numbers show Pitt as the No. 3 team in the country while Jeff Sagarin's rating isn't quite so lofty, with the Panthers sitting at No. 15. I personally think that this is the best Pitt team in the Jamie Dixon era, a one-way team for me. If I'm not betting on the Panthers, I'm probably not playing the game.
The Panthers' offense is a very different animal this season, ranking in the top 10 nationally in assists per possession, assist-to-turnover ratio and offensive efficiency. Lamar Patterson's soft touch from the perimeter has observers drooling at his NBA potential. Talib Zanna cleans up the offensive glass, hits his layups and dunks at a 61 percent clip. And point guard James Robinson has been remarkable at avoiding turnovers, committing one or none in every game since the team's season opener against Savannah State. Throw in a top-10 rebounding margin and a defense that has held foes under 60 points per game this season, and you can understand why the computers love this team.
However, the Panthers' lofty stats and ranking has left them as point-spread losers, covering the spread only six times in 16 tries this season, including a 3-8-1 ATS mark in their past dozen games. That being said, one of those ATS wins was a 20-point thrashing of Maryland earlier this month, and another came earlier this week when the Panthers responded to their loss at Syracuse with a resounding beatdown over Clemson. There's a bit of a class difference here, making this a very tough matchup for the Terps, even at home.
ATS pick: Pitt 64, Maryland 54
 

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​yea thats it,thanks buddy
 

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