My Superbowl Play and Props - Handicapped the line not the teams

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Dice, Sports & Cocktails
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Alright the time is near about an hour to kick off - Living in the PAC northwest I get a lot of Seattle info and games and have been following the team for years.

Lots has been said about the game so far so I am going to give you a fresh perspective, I have handicapped the line for you.


This year when a team opens at -1 and is a dog by game time the dog or original fav is 10-3 SU - SEATTLE

This year when the Public is on the Fav and the line moves up the Fav is 29-37 - SEATTLE

This year when 69-79% of the public is on the Fav and the line moves up the Fav is 9 - 16 - SEATTLE dog wins SU 10X

In the last two years when the closing line on the Fav is -2 at the greek the Fav is 4-9 - SEATTLE the dog wins SU 8X

In the last two years when the closing line at the greek is -2 -125 the Fav is 0-4 SU

Okay here's a bit of info I didn't see anywhere else.

SEATTLES offensive avg is almost the same as DENVERS defensive avg 25 points
DENVERS offensive avg is 35 pts SEATTLES defensive avg is 14 points Denver only scored 24 - 26 points in their Playoff games at home

I am pretty confident Seattle Holds Denver to 20-23 points, I also see Seattle gaining momnetum as the game goes on - both PO games Denver sagged in the second half I feel pretty good about Seattle scoring 24-27 points

Last year when Russell Wilson started for Seattle in the opening game it was shock to many B/c Seattle had spent a boat load on Matt Flynn in the off season. Since the bye week last year All Wilson has done is win games - Well actually they lost out of the bye but closed out the season on 5-0 run, the difference they opened up the playbook for Russel.

Down the stretch Seattle won some very important games obviously the two home play off games, but the two I had my eye on where the game they travelled to MET life to play the giants they won 22-0 there use to be an old stat to win a SB a team had to have a shut out on their resume, of course in todays NFL a shut is pretty hard so have one plus 5 other times holding the opposition to 10 or less points is dominate! Why that game was important is was a practice for the team to the run up to this game - they will be more familiar with the stadium and preparation will be the same in order to get them in teh same head space.

The other game was the VS ST Louis at the end of the season at that time they had lost of 2 of 3 and were coming off their 1st home loss at the Clink in years. Many were saying the mystic is gone - what happened was they came out and dominated the Rams in the next game, the Rams were on a 2 game winning streak and had won 4 of 6 only losing to SF and ARIZ. When they spanked the Rams I thought okay good they are okay.

Denver has not seen a team this tough all year, 3 keys to the game...

1. YAC yards - Denver is great at getting them Seattle is great at limiting them. I think that is why so many of the Denver passing props are so low

2. Seattle Special Teams - Are awesome they will limit Denvers return game flip the field several times & maybe just maybe score themselves with Percy back

3. Russell Wilson - he has been quiet for some time almost like they have been protecting him from something? an injury? teams getting too my info? keeping his confidence in check? Many talking heads are saying he has become a game manager. Well that all changes today Denver's defense is weak he can escape their pass rush he's not a statue like rivers or Brady - Did you know Seattles Passing Yards / catch is greater than Denvers 8.4 to 8.3 that's because he can stretch the field. Look for him to throw long down the middle at least 3 times.

So by now you have probably guessed where I am leaning - I think Wilson plays amazing tonight!

SEATTLE ML +116 $1,000 Played earlier in the week

I have a bout a $1500 tied to Seattle +3 in active parlays


PROPS

TOTAL O46.5 -116 2.5*

O3.5 FG's +114 1*

Defensive / Special Teams TD Yes +157 1* <--- this is awfully low

2 point conversation attempt Yes +205 1*

Seahawks 1st TD other than pass +126 .5*

Wilsons Longest RUN O12.5 yards -127 1*

RUSSELL WILSON MVP +270 1.5*


Gll Everyone enjoy the game


Powerz
 

Dice, Sports & Cocktails
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Seahawks 1st TD other than pass +126 .5* winner
 

Dice, Sports & Cocktails
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Defensive / Special Teams TD Yes +157 1* <--- this is awfully low
 

Dice, Sports & Cocktails
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2. Seattle Special Teams - Are awesome they will limit Denvers return game flip the field several times & maybe just maybe score themselves with Percy back
 

Dice, Sports & Cocktails
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2 point conversation attempt Yes +205 1*
 

Dice, Sports & Cocktails
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Many talking heads are saying he has become a game manager. Well that all changes today Denver's defense is weak he can escape their pass rush he's not a statue like rivers or Brady - Did you know Seattles Passing Yards / catch is greater than Denvers 8.4 to 8.3 that's because he can stretch the field. Look for him to throw long down the middle at least 3 times.


Here comes a big pass play down the middle out of the break
 

Dice, Sports & Cocktails
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TOTAL O46.5 -116 2.5*

wrong 4 passes later TD
 

Member
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[FONT=arial, sans-serif]solid work.. always like your work,, like the way u look at lines and keep track[/FONT]
 

Dice, Sports & Cocktails
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Wilsons Longest RUN O12.5 yards -127 1*

Another winner
 

Member
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Dude did you sweep all of your picks? Monster game for you congrats!!
 

Dice, Sports & Cocktails
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Almost missed fg's and MVP.

so happy for Seattle and their fans!

Great season already looking forward to next year Thankyou)(&
 

seer
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^5 powerz..feels like we are part of the seahawks being fans of them for so long! wilson was a worthy candidate to win it. vg game for him
 
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Congrats. Seattle had an awesome year this year and nobody was on them more than powerz and seer throughout the season. Good job fellas.
 

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