Service Plays Monday 2/17/14

Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post ther daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.
Do not post any copy written info from the following services.


Advertise with the Rx - do not post
Al Mcmordie
Allan Eastman
Doc's Sports Services
Jim Feist
Ocal Sports
Robert Ferringo
Sports Money Profit System
Strike Point Sports
Vegas Sports Informer
Vegas Winning Crew


Do not post write-ups
AJ Apollo
Alex Smart
@ntonwins
Apple Handicappers
ASA, ASA Inc’s or American Sports Analysts
ATS Consultants
ATSadv ice.com
Ben Lewis
Brandon Lang's Crew
Bruce Marshall
Chris Jordan's Crew
Dave Cokin
Dennis Hill
Dennis Macklin
Dr. Bob Sports
Dr. guru sports
EZ Winners
Fairway Jay
Fred Wallin
Gametimereport
Greg DiPalma
Hittingpaydirt
JB Sports
Jim Avery
Jim Kruger
Jorge Gonzalez
Ken Jenkins
Killersportslive
Larry Ness
Lenny Delgenio
LT Profits
Lucky Lester
Madduxsports
Marc Lawrence/Playbook
Matt Fargo
Mike Lineback
Mike Rose
Pacific (Pac Star) Sports
PayneInsider
Paul Stone
Peter Gold at VI
Pick Nation Crew
PlusLineSports
Pointwise Sports
PowerPlay Wins
Preferred Picks
Pregame
Pro Sports Info
Red Zone Sports
Right Angle Sports (RAS)
Rocky Atkinson
Ron Raymond
Ross Benjamin
Sal Bansa/sportspicks1019
Scott Spreitzer
Sixth Sense Sports
Sports Memo Crew
Steve Merril SportsAlatex Sports
Stevo Design Inc. All services
Ted Sevransky/Teddy Covers
Tennessee Valley Sports
THELOCKOFTHEDAY
The Prez
The Real Animal
Tony George
Tony Karpinski/3G-Sports
Tom Stryker
Trushel Sports Consulting
Vegasadvisor s.com
Vernon Croy
Winning Points/Sports Reporter
zen_gambler
-------
GL!

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS 2013-14 PLAYOFF PUSH
NATIONAL BASKETBALL ASSOCIATION
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________

As the National Basketball Association All-Star Break comes to an end, it is a chance for the teams sitting outside of the playoff picture to regroup and focus on making a big second half run. Here are the first five teams on the outside of the playoff picture in the Eastern Conference and an assessment of the chances they have to get it done. Followed below with the first four teams on the outside of the playoff picture in the Western Conference and an assessment of the chances they have to get it done.

EASTERN CONFERENCE

•Detroit Pistons (22-30 SU, 23-28-1 ATS): Fifty games into the season, the Pistons have recently fired head coach Maurice Cheeks. President Joe Dumars has now fired eight coaches in less than 14 seasons in charge of the Pistons and the somewhat high profile move of hiring Cheeks did not last even a season. Assistant coach John Loyer has taken over the team and the Pistons won in his debut Monday, the third win in a row for Detroit. The Pistons had a rough month of January, but the schedule played a role in the 5-13 run before the recent win streak with eight of those losses coming in road games. Loyer steps into a pretty favorable situation to do well as Detroit is only a half game out of the final playoff position in the Eastern Conference and seven of the next 10 games are at home to help improve the chances of getting back into the mix.

Detroit is only -2.0 points per game in average point differential, superior to that of Brooklyn and Charlotte, the teams that hold the #7 and #8 spots in the East currently. Detroit is the third highest scoring team in the Eastern Conference and only Indiana has been a better rebounding team in the conference, while Detroit has posted a solid 18-14 record against the Eastern Conference. Expect Detroit to climb into the playoff field in March, but a tough late season schedule could make it challenging to hold a spot, closing with six of the final eight on the road with a few very tough games.

•New York Knicks (21-31 SU, 21-31-0 ATS): The Knicks are 11-9 the last 20 games, but it has come in streaks with a five-game win streak and a four-game win streak so far in 2014, but with a five-game slide in between those runs. New York has very solid defensive numbers on the season and for as much negative press as the team has faced, they are only 2.5 games out of the last playoff spot in the weak Eastern Conference. New York has the seventh-best per game point differential in the Eastern Conference despite sitting 10th in the standings.

New York has the most remaining games against Western Conference teams of any Eastern Conference team as the remaining schedule will provide a great challenge. Nineteen of the remaining games for the Knicks are road games for a team that is just 8-14 on the road this season including eight of the next 11 games. New York will not play more than two consecutive home games at any point for the rest of the season as it appears less likely that the Knicks will be the team making a charge into the playoff picture from this group despite the high profile and expectations.

•Cleveland Cavaliers (20-33 SU, 23-30-0 ATS): The Cavaliers were expected to be a breakthrough team this season and while the results have been very poor, Cleveland is still in the playoff mix, only four games out. Cleveland recently fired general manager Chris Grant but the team has responded, matching a season-high streak with four straight wins in the last four games. Cleveland has a favorable schedule out of the break before a very difficult stretch of games in mid-March and the April schedule also looks promising for the Cavaliers, so this team should not be counted out.

Andrew Bynum clearly proved to be a disastrous signing for the Cavaliers and now with Luol Deng and the rest of the team getting healthier, this could be a team that makes a run. Even disappointing top pick Anthony Bennett has shown some life of late as Cleveland is a team to watch in the coming weeks. The Cavaliers have a lot of a ground to make up and several teams to jump before being a serious threat for the playoffs, but the current lineup has a high ceiling and things can’t get any worse than they were in the first half of the season.

•Boston Celtics (19-35 SU, 26-27-1 ATS): The Celtics opened the season looking like a viable playoff team under Brad Stevens, but the team went on a 4-19 run over a six-week span from mid-December through January. Boston is 4-2 so far in February and while the wins have all come in close games against losing teams, those are the types of games the Celtics had been losing much of the season. The Celtics will head west right after the All-Star break, but three of four games will be against losing teams and only eight games remain against the current 10 best teams in the league. Boston is the best defensive team of the squads sitting just outside of the playoff picture in the Eastern Conference and Rajon Rondo missed most of the first half of the season, having only played in nine games so far this year.

The current roster looks much more promising moving forward as Boston dealt with a lot of injuries during the periods of struggle the past two months. Rondo has not quite been the same offensive player he was before the injury-plagued past two seasons, but he could lead this team on a nice second half run once he finds his shot again. There is a lot of ground to make up for the Celtics, but this team should be expected to hang around the edge of playoff picture, currently less than five games out with a pretty favorable slate ahead.

•Orlando Magic (16-38 SU, 23-31-0 ATS): The Magic likely would not be on this list if this article was written last week, but they have won three of four, including beating the top two teams in the NBA in succession with one-point home wins over Oklahoma City and Indiana last weekend. Orlando is 13-15 at home this season, featuring the best home record of any Eastern Conference team outside of the playoff field, but the Magic are incredibly just 3-23 on the road. Orlando has been outscored by over five points per game this season, but the schedule ahead is promising. Remaining are four games against Milwaukee and Philadelphia, the two worst teams in the East as well as several other game against losing teams.

If Orlando is to make a miraculous run, they will need to get it done on the road as they will face 12 of the first 18 games in the second half on the road. Only five of those road games will be against winning teams and the Magic close the season with eight of the final 11 games at home. Injuries have been a constant for the Magic this season with Jameer Nelson, Arron Afflalo, Nokola Vucevic, and Glen Davis missing time this season. Tobias Harris has also emerged in recent weeks playing a bigger role and Victor Oladipo continues to be one of the most impressive rookies as this is a team heading in the right direction in the big picture. It would take a pretty incredible run for Orlando to entertain serious playoff hopes, but this team is playing better of late and they faced the toughest rated schedule of the five teams on this list in the first half.

WESTERN CONFERENCE

•Memphis Grizzlies (29-23 SU, 24-27-1 ATS): After a 10-15 start through mid-December it was easy to forget that Memphis was in the Western Conference finals last season. This is a different team however as Head Coach David Joerger replaced a very successful Lionel Hollins in the off-season due to some internal differences. Memphis enters the All Star break as one of the hottest teams in the entire NBA, going 14-4 in the last 18 games to climb to the edge of the Western Conference playoff picture. Despite the winning record Memphis barely owns a positive point differential on the season and the Grizzlies are only 14-14 in home games as the only team in the NBA with a winning record that does not have a winning record at home.

On the flipside the Grizzlies are 15-9 on the road, better than everyone but Oklahoma City and San Antonio in the Western Conference. The Southwest division is certainly a difficult group and Memphis has been hurt by going just 2-11 in those division games but going 15-7 against the rest of the Western Conference. Memphis has had to play a top 10 schedule this season and the schedule in the second half starts favorably with only two of the first 10 games coming against winning teams. The Grizzlies do have a brutal gauntlet of games in the late March and early April part of the calendar but this team appears poised to climb into the postseason field.

•Minnesota Timberwolves (25-28 SU, 27-26-1 ATS): In a season where Minnesota was expected to break through the Wolves have disappointed, playing right around .500 all season and unable to get over the hump. Minnesota has statistics that suggest a much better performance but this team has been burned by a great deal of close losses. Minnesota has also been outclassed in most games against the top teams in the league, going just 3-17 against the top 10 teams in the Sagarin ratings but 22-11 against the rest of the league.

Whether Minnesota can get back into the picture should be determined early in the second half with a very tough late February schedule, opening the second half with a home date with the Pacers and then going on a tough five-game road trip out west. March should be a strong month for Minnesota with a favorable schedule but there is not much more room for error needing to jump two teams and seeing how well Memphis has played lately. Minnesota should have a good chance to get above .500 which would be a nice step forward for the team but given the nature of the roster and the elevated expectations it might not be enough to stave off major changes in the offseason as this was supposed to be the year to make the leap.

•Denver Nuggets (24-27 SU, 22-29-0 ATS): The Nuggets had the fourth best record in the NBA last season including an incredible 38-3 record at home. Brian Shaw replaced George Karl last summer and so far the results have not matched the great success that Karl had with the Nuggets. Denver is tied with Minnesota sitting six games behind Golden State for the last spot in the playoffs in the West at the break with surging Memphis sitting ahead in the race as well. The Nuggets have had to play one of the toughest rated schedules in the league so far and it has shown with a negative point differential and just a 14-11 record at home after the dominant results last season. After a strong month of January Denver is slumping into the break with four straight losses including a blowout loss at Minnesota on Wednesday in a key game in the standings.

Opportunity is ahead for the Nuggets in late February however as seven of the next 10 games will be at home. Denver will face one of the toughest closing schedules in the league however as the final 12 games on schedule feature two games each with the Grizzlies, Spurs, Rockets, and Warriors, as well as single matches with the Thunder and Clippers. Even if the Nuggets make a run in March it seems unlikely that this team will be able to hold on to a playoff spot.

•New Orleans Pelicans (23-29 SU, 23-26-3 ATS): The Pelicans are just 1-17 against the Sagarin top 10 this season but New Orleans enters the break with some growing confidence, having won eight of the final 13 games of the first half of the season. Jrue Holiday should return to action soon and the schedule lines up with some favorable opportunities ahead. New Orleans will be on the road for seven of the first nine games in the second half but only four of the first 11 games out of the break will be against winning teams. In March, the Pelicans will play a stretch with 10 of 11 games at home so the schedule does line up with some promise, although sitting 7.5 games out currently with four teams to pass will make it a great long shot.

New Orleans has a closing schedule featuring Portland, Phoenix, and Oklahoma City and Houston twice each in the final six games for a brutal finish, though many of those teams could be locked into a playoff position in the final two weeks. While New Orleans is the deepest sleeper to have a chance to climb into the playoff picture, they are also much less likely to face an internal implosion like Minnesota and Denver appear to be on the verge of. Keeping up with Memphis and seeing Dallas, Phoenix, or Golden State crash out of the field seems unlikely but it has been a positive season for the Pelicans as they have almost topped last season’s win count at the break and this team has a bright future.

FACT OR FICTION
It's time for the National Basketball Association to resume following the 2013-14 All-Star Break, and that means that the NBA's trade deadline is just around the corner. There are a lot of teams which could be big time players to watch out for, and today, we're going to go over that and more in the "halftime" edition of StatSystemsSports.net NBA Fact or Fiction.

FACT

•The Phoenix Suns Would Be Legitimate Contenders With One More Piece: Easier said than acquired, though. There's a question as to what is really out there at the moment, and Pau Gasol seems to be the best bet. Just one problem. Gasol hasn't played a game in quite some time thanks to a groin injury, and before Phoenix dismisses its best asset, an insurance-protected Emeka Okafor in order to get a big piece to the puzzle, it would really want to see the Spaniard play a game. That said, the Suns are close – very close, in fact, to perhaps sneaking up on the rest of the field in the Pacific Division.

•These Might Be The Worst Los Angeles Lakers Ever: There's a lot of history here for the Lakers, but this is about as dim as that history gets. The team has lost seven home games in a row, marking the first time ever that that has happened in team history. Kobe Bryant is going to come back to the lineup eventually, but it's all going to be fool's gold. The rest of this team around him is just downright terrible, and Bryant is probably only going to make things worse for NBA bettors in the second half of the season.

FICTION

•The Miami Heat Are Going To Put Their Foot on the Gas Pedal in the Second Half: You hear all these pundits all the time talking about how the Heat are going to be rested for the playoffs, and they are going to really step on the gas in the second half of the season to try to earn the #1 seed in the Eastern Conference. Though it's true that Indiana could be run down, the motivation to do it just can't be there. The Heat still have to be careful with LeBron James and his minutes, and Dwyane Wade is going to need to rest his ailing body more often than not. There's a reason this team is just 8-16 ATS at home on the season, and we don't think that's getting any better in the second half.

•The Detroit Pistons Doing Right By Mo Cheeks: The firing of Cheeks was a disgrace by the Pistons. They are what they are. They aren't a very good team. They have spent a lot of money by overpaying for players who don't really deserve "franchise" recognition, and they have turned out to be a woeful team as a result. That said, Cheeks didn't do anything to deserve getting fired, and though Detroit has started to look alright in the post-Mo era, it probably wasn't the right long-term move for the franchise.

•Second Round Picks Mean Nothing: Not this year, anyway. There is a ton of talent in this draft class, and there very well could be 40-50 legitimate NBA players in this crop coming out. That's why, contrary to what most think is going to be a quiet deadline, there could be a lot of late movement. Keep a very close eye on deadline day about what's going on with some of the smaller deals. Some of the best teams won't be afraid to send off their second round picks to get that one last asset, and there are plenty of bottoming out teams who are willing to send off their best players now for the shot of getting a star in this draft class.
_______________________________________________________________________________

POINTWISE

COLLEGE BASKETBALL

(7:00) WILLIAM & MARY 72 - NC-Wilmington 55 _____ _____

(7:00) TOWSON 80 - Delaware 79 (NBCS) _____ _____

(7:00) North Carolina 76 - FLORIDA STATE 71 (ESPN) _____ _____

(9:00) Oklahoma State 72 - BAYLOR 62 (ESPN) _____ _____

BEST BETS
WILLIAM & MARY
OKLAHOMA STATE

Handicapping tips for betting the Post-All-Star break NBA

The second half of the NBA season can be a different beast than pre-All-Star break action. With teams pushing for the postseason, fighting for seeding, or flushing their season down the crapper – in hopes of landing a high lottery pick – basketball bettors have many more pitfalls to watch out for down the home stretch of the schedule.

We asked some of Covers Experts’ top NBA handicappers to share their secrets to capping the post-break NBA schedule:

Teddy Covers – “Pretty good but not great teams that were ‘hot' before the break - think Phoenix, Toronto, Dallas and Atlanta - don't necessarily maintain their momentum once the second half begins and the intensity picks up. The very worst teams - Philadelphia, Milwaukee, Boston, Cleveland, the L.A. Lakers and Utah - often become unbackable, even in inflated pointspread ranges. The squads that have no incentive to play hard often don't. That being said, if a team or two on this list plays with effort on a nightly basis, they have second-half pointspread juggernaut potential.”

Marc Lawrence – “One of the things I look for are teams who struggled before the break, due mainly to injuries. They can be undervalued, especially if they were playing well before being bit by the injury bug and especially so if some of the wounded are back in uniform and on the court after the break.”

Sean Murphy – “Definitely motivation, whether for the playoffs or otherwise. The elite teams tend to ramp up for the playoffs, while other teams find motivation in the spoiler role. A team like the Miami Heat for example, that has been in cruise control for much of the season and posting a poor ATS record, could turn out to be a solid bet down the stretch with the oddsmakers over-adjusting. I think we tend to see teams' true colors once the calendar turns over to March.”

Doc’s Sports – “Bad teams normally get worse after the All-Star break and we think that will be even more the case this season. While teams won't be tanking, like the media would like to portray, the executives of those teams will make the moves that will give their team the least chance of success down the stretch. This year's draft class is one of the best in ages and some bad teams can change their fortunes for next season with a good draft position. So we think that favorites will be the play in the second half, and road favorites should stay a hot option with the disparity of talent on some teams right now. Also, bad defensive teams should start trying even less, so there will be some good spots to play the over on totals.”

Steve Merril – “I look to bet on Class-A teams in the second half, especially if they went into the All-Star break on a downward swing. I look to bet Over between two losing teams, especially as the season winds down, and bet Under between two Class-A teams, especially in fatigue spots.”

Canada still faves in men's hockey, USA closes gap
Andrew Caley

With the winners of the preliminary round of the Olympic men's hockey tournament all settled Team Canada is still the favorite to win the gold medal, but other teams are closing the gap.

At Sportsbook.ag, Canada has the best odds listed at +180, but Team USA is nipping at their heels at +200 after their strong play in the opening round of the tournament.

Russia and Sweden have the next best odds at +300 and +500 respectively. The playoff qualification round starts Tuesday.

Game of the Day: Oklahoma State at Baylor

Oklahoma State Cowboys at Baylor Bears (-4, 145)

While Marcus Smart was powerless to stop Oklahoma State from dropping its sixth straight game over the weekend, Baylor’s Kenny Chery put on a show many expect from the Cowboys’ star. The Bears, who host the Cowboys in a battle between the two most disappointing teams in the Big 12 on Monday, snapped a four-game home losing streak with Saturday’s double-overtime win against Kansas State. Chery finished with 20 points, 12 assists and 10 rebounds to post the sixth triple-double in school history.

Chery’s career game could serve as salt in the wound for Oklahoma State and Smart, who sat out Saturday’s loss to Oklahoma and will miss Monday as he completes his three-game suspension for shoving Texas Tech fan Jeff Orr on Feb. 8. The Cowboys are in the midst of their longest losing streak since 2008 after beginning conference play with a 4-2 mark and, like Baylor, face an uphill battle to qualify for the NCAA Tournament without a strong finish. Oklahoma State could help its cause with a win on the road, where it is 1-5 in league play.

TV: 9 p.m. ET, ESPN

LINE HISTORY: The Bears are early 4-point faves.

COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Oklahoma State (-9.1) - Baylor Bears (-1.0) - Home Court (-3.0) = Oklahoma State -5.1

INJURY WATCH: Oklahoma State - Marcus Smart (Out - suspension)

WHAT BOOKS SAY: “(Marcus Smart is) so talented defensively, and that’s what Okie State will miss the most when he is out." - Mike Perry, Sportsbook.ag.

WHAT SHARPS SAY: "Baylor won outright in the earlier meeting as an 11.5-point road underdog, which is a bit surprising considering the home team is still 12-3 ATS in the past 15 meetings in this series and both teams have played better at home this year. In fact, when excluding neutral court games, the home team is 29-11 SU in all Oklahoma State and Baylor games this season." - Covers Expert Steve Merril.

ABOUT OKLAHOMA STATE (16-9 SU, 8-13 ATS, 13-8 O/U): Phil Forte III entered Saturday 41-of-41 from the foul line at home, but went 1-of-4 as the Cowboys missed 10 of their 22 free throws in a 77-74 loss. Four of the team’s last five setbacks have been by six points or fewer and fatigue may be playing a factor as the starters have played 341 of a possible 400 minutes over the last two games. “We had some tired guys out there…they're down. This is as down of a locker room that I've seen,” coach Travis Ford told reporters after the game.

ABOUT BAYLOR (16-9 SU, 7-11-1 ATS, 11-7 O/U): Isaiah Austin – the Bears’ athletic 7-1 center – took advantage of an undersized Kansas State front line with a career-high nine blocks and could enjoy similar success against the Cowboys, who do not give regular minutes to a player taller than 6-8 Kamari Murphy. Brady Heslip, who drained half of Baylor’s season-high 16 3-pointers in Wednesday’s rout of Texas Christian, went 1-of-8 beyond the arc on Saturday. Heslip had knocked down 26 of his previous 49 3-point attempts since joining the starting lineup five games earlier.

TRENDS:

* Home team is 12-3 ATS in the last 15 meetings.
* Over is 5-2 in the last seven meetings in Baylor.
* Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.
* Cowboys are 0-4 ATS in the last four meetings.
* Cowboys are 0-7 ATS in the last seven meetings in Baylor.

COVERS CONSENSUS: 64.5 percent of the wagers are on Baylor -4.

NCAAB

Monday, February 17

Wm Mary (-3) beat NC-Wilmington 54-50 Feb 5, their third win in row vs Seahawks, who were 1-6 from line. Tribe won five of its last seven games, but both losses were at home. CAA home favorites of 9+ points are 3-5 vs spread. UNCW won two of last three games after starting out 0-10 in CAA; they're 4-2-1 as road underdogs; six of their seven losses on road came by 9 or less points, or in overtime.

Delaware won its last 13 games, is 11-0 in CAA; they were underdogs in three of four CAA road games. Blue Hens (-6.5) beat Towson 83-76 Jan 25, in foulfest with both sides taking 39+ FTs. CAA home favorites of 5 or less points are 4-15 vs spread. First road game in 19 days for Hens-- seven of their 10 CAA wins are by 7 or less points. Towson won four home games in a row- they're 3-3 as a CAA home favorite.

North Carolina won/covered its last six games; this is trap game, since they play Duke Thursday, but Tar Heels won at Ga Tech/Notre Dame in last two road games, after losing first three. UNC won five of last six vs Florida State, sweeping FSU by 5-21-21 points LY. Seminoles lost five of last seven games- they're 3-3 at home in ACC. ACC home teams are 8-19 vs spread in games with spread of 4 or less points.

Oklahoma State lost its last six games, losing by 12-4-19 points in last three road games; this is last game of Smart's 3-game suspension. OSU lost 76-70 (-11) at home to Baylor Feb 1- Bears made 11-23 from arc. Cowboys lost last three visits to Waco by 19-41-10 points. Baylor won in double OT Saturday, its second win in row after a 1-7 skid. Big X home favorites of less than 5 points are 7-3 vs spread.

Weber State won nine of last ten games, covered last three; they're 3-1 as road favorites, winning road games by 12-9-20 points, with losses at No Colorado/Sacramento. Wildcats won three in row, 10 of last 11 games vs Idaho State, winning 65-59 (-9) at home Jan 20; Wildcats made 12 of 25 from arc, were -7 (13-6) in turnovers. Big Sky home underdogs of 6 or less points are 11-5. Bengals are 5-2 at home (both losses are by 5).

Davidson (-22) beat Citadel 62-43 at home Feb 1, but they trailed by a point early in second half; Wildcats won their last eight games, are 6-0 as SoCon road favorites, with five road wins by 11+ points. Citadel is 2-7 vs spread in last nine games; they're 1-3 as home underdogs, losing by 4-5-13-18-21 points at home. SoCon home underdogs are 2-15 against the spread. Davidson is making 45.8% of its 3's in league play.

Georgia State lost at Troy Saturday, its first Sun Belt loss in 11 games; Panthers are 2-3 as home favorites, winning home games by 9-1-26-20-10 points- they covered five of last seven games overall. Texas State is 2-3 as road underdog, losing road games by 23-5-4-7 points- they're 4-1 vs spread in last five games overall. Sun Belt home favorites of 8 or less points are 5-10 vs spread. Georgia State has 3-game lead for #1 seed.

Cappers Access

N. Carolina +1
Baylor -4

tgunn11 said:

Basketball Crusher
North Carolina-Wilmington +10 over William & Mary
(System Record: 45-7, lost last 4 games and a push)
Overall Record: 45-63-3

Click to expand...

Rest of the Plays
Idaho State +4 over Weber State
Baylor -4 over Oklahoma St
North Carolina +1 over Florida St

NCAA Basketball Picks

Oklahoma State at Baylor

The Cowboys look to snap a six-game losing streak as they head to Baylor tonight to face a Bears team that is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 home games. Oklahoma State is the pick (+4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma State (+4 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with Michigan (-4 1/2) on Sunday and likes Delaware on Monday.

The deficit is 255 sirignanos.

Jeff Grant

Florida St. -1

Delaware Over 151.5

Oklahoma State +4

RightSideValue Plays


UNC PK +100

Chase Diamond

10* Oklahoma St +4½

Paul Leiner

100* Florida State -1

50* Towson -3

Diamond Dog Sports

3.5* North Carolina +1

StatSystems Sports NCAACB Knowledge

•Situational Trends of The Day
-- WEBER ST is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) after a game giving up 5 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was WEBER ST 73.2, OPPONENT 68.1.

-- OKLAHOMA ST is 24-8 UNDER (+15.2 Units) after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers since 1997.
The average score was OKLAHOMA ST 68.4, OPPONENT 64.4.

-- DAVIDSON is 7-0 (+7.0 Units) against the 1rst half line in road games after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds this season.
The average score was DAVIDSON 40.3, OPPONENT 33.4.

-- BAYLOR is 7-0 UNDER (+7.0 Units) the 1rst half total in home games off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BAYLOR 32.4, OPPONENT 27.7.

-- TONY SHAVER is 19-47 ATS (-32.7 Units) after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better as the coach of WM & MARY.
The average score was SHAVER 64.1, OPPONENT 68.2.

•Matchup Trends of The Day
-- FLORIDA ST is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was FLORIDA ST 58.9, OPPONENT 70.7.

-- FLORIDA ST is 22-5 UNDER (+16.5 Units) versus poor free throw shooting teams - making <=63% of their attempts since 1997.
The average score was FLORIDA ST 69.8, OPPONENT 66.4.

-- BAYLOR is 1-10 against the 1rst half line (-10.0 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BAYLOR 29.4, OPPONENT 32.3.

-- N CAROLINA is 13-2 UNDER (+10.8 Units) the 1rst half total versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game this season.
The average score was N CAROLINA 33.2, OPPONENT 28.7.

-- DANNY KASPER is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game in all games he has coached since 1997.
The average score was KASPER 59.7, OPPONENT 64.7.

•Situation Analysis of The Day
-- Play Against - Any team versus the money line (OKLAHOMA ST) - cold team - failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games.
(41-18 over the last 5 seasons.) (69.5%, +29.7 units. Rating = 3*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team underdog with a money line of: +116.3
The average score in these games was: Team 70.3, Opponent 67.7 (Average point differential = +2.6)

The situation's record this season is: (2-6, -7.6 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (18-9, +4.2 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (94-66, +13.7 units).

-- Play Against - Favorites of 10 or more points (DAVIDSON) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games, in a game involving two poor defensive teams (74-78 PPG).
(54-22 since 1997.) (71.1%, +29.8 units. Rating = 3*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (6-70)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 13.5
The average score in these games was: Team 61.9, Opponent 72.9 (Average point differential = -11)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 20 (26.7% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (8-5).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (15-8).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (26-13).

-- Play Under - All teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (TOWSON ST) - a good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game, after one or more consecutive overs, average defensive team (67-74 PPG) against a poor defensive team (74-78 PPG).
(64-27 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.3%, +34.3 units. Rating = 3*)

The average total posted in these games was: 153.4
The average score in these games was: Team 74.7, Opponent 73.7 (Total points scored = 148.5)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 53 (57% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (14-6).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (34-10).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (177-126).

-- Play On - A favorite versus the 1rst half line (GEORGIA ST) - an excellent offensive team (>=76 PPG) against a good defensive team (63-67 PPG) after 15+ games, excellent free throw shooting team - making >=77% of their free throws, in February games.
(72-33 over the last 5 seasons.) (68.6%, +35.7 units. Rating = 3*)

The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 4.6
The average first half score in these games was: Team 35.3, Opponent 28.6 (Average first half point differential = +6.7)

The situation's record this season is: (7-4).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (37-18).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (153-146).

-- Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is 70.5 to 75.5 (DELAWARE) - good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game, off 3 straight wins against conference rivals, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 80%).
(42-14 since 1997.) (75.0%, +26.6 units. Rating = 3*)

The average first half total posted in these games was: 72.5
The average first half score in these games was: Team 33.3, Opponent 36 (Total first half points scored = 69.3)

The situation's record this season is: (5-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (10-4).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (13-8).

**Note: Get today’s complete report by heading on over to Monday’s (2/17/14) service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...
________________________________

Ecks and Bacon

Ben lee lost outright with SMU -7/Temple on Sunday in college basketball.

E&B have Np for Monday.

Ecks and Bacon is 54-71-2 -$1613 through sixteen weeks.

All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted