Service Plays Tuesday 2/25/14

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Raptors and Cavaliers open with lowest line Tuesday
Justin Hartling

The Toronto Raptors and Cleveland Cavaliers open with the lowest line on the NBA schedule Tuesday. In the last four meetings between these teams they have gone Under all four times and averaged 194.25 ppg.

The Raptors and Cavs open with an O/U of 192.5.

SEC becoming most 'unbettable' conference in college basketball
By JASON LOGAN

When someone says college football, the first thing that comes to mind is the SEC.

Now, do the same with college basketball. Not the same reaction, is it?

While programs like Kentucky and Florida continue to find themselves among the country’s basketball elite, the rest of the SEC has suffered a major downgrade in quality this season. A quick look at the SEC standings reveals that beyond the Wildcats and Gators, the remaining programs have barely kept their heads above water.

Georgia is third in the conference, putting together a 9-5 SU SEC record but is anything but a shoo-in to hear its name called on Selection Sunday. Below the Bulldogs is a variable Purgatory of ho-hum basketball teams, with seven programs locked at 7-7 SU in SEC play heading into Monday night. Outside of Florida's 19-game winning streak, the longest string of victories in the SEC currently is Arkansas' three-game run (1-2 ATS).

Things are even bleaker in the SEC when your factor in the pointspread. The breadwinner of the conference just so happens to be its worst team. South Carolina sits in the basement of the SEC with a 10-17 record and a 3-11 mark in conference play but is 13-9-2 ATS. And that’s about as good as it gets betting inside the SEC, which is quickly becoming an unbettable conference.

Top teams like Florida, Kentucky and Missouri are all sitting around .500 ATS and the only other programs covering more often than not are Tennessee (14-11 ATS) and Vanderbilt (13-10-2 ATS) – not exactly bursting with betting value. Trying to get a tight grasp on the SEC odds from night to night is like pulling a mid-tantrum child who has gone limp off the floor - a lot harder than it looks and extremely frustrating.

The SEC currently ranks sixth out of the seven major conferences in college basketball – ACC, AAC, Big East, Big Ten, Big 12, SEC, Pac-12 – in RPI, ahead of the mutant American Athletic Conference. The Atlantic 10, which is still considered a mid-major league, sits higher than the SEC in RPI at 0.5618. CBSSports.com’s Jerry Palm predicts just three bids from the SEC in his latest mock NCAA tournament bracket.

One take on the downfall of SEC hoops is that the conference’s members are focusing all their time and resources on the football teams – college sports’ true cash cow.

Jacob Kornhauser, a writer for Rant Sports, believes football-focused programs like Alabama and Texas A&M could really care less about their basketball records, pointing to the Aggies’ new 111,000-seat renovations to their football stadium. Those two football powers are a combined 12-16 SU in SEC play with a collective 22-24-3 ATS record on the year.

Jon Solomon, a writer with AL.com, has done a series of articles exploring the downfall of SEC basketball, looking at the overall lack of top-tier talent in the league as well as dwindling interest from fans. His most recent piece debates that SEC basketball coaches aren’t on the same level as their football counterparts, comparing winning percentage and salaries. His two exceptions - Florida's Billy Donovan and UK's John Calipari - have a combined NCAA record of 69-24. The rest of the coaches in the SEC boast a unimpressive 35-34 mark.

When comparing the SEC football teams’ ATS success to that of its basketball teams, the pigskin profits piled up thanks to programs like Auburn (12-2 ATS) and Missouri (11-2-1 ATS) which ranked among the best bets in college football.

Perhaps SEC bettors should hibernate for the remaining weeks of the college hoops season, and set the alarm for Week 1 of college football. Or just accept that your conference is in the crapper. You can always bet the Over/Under...

ACC's Slow-Motion pace paying out for 'Under' bettors
by Chase Ruttig

The ACC is moving in slow motion compared to the rest of the country which is making Under bettors rich quick.

According to NCAAB stats expert Ken Pomeroy, the ACC is currently the slowest-paced conference in college hoops, ranking 32nd out of the 32 conferences in terms of pace. ACC teams are currently chewing up the shot clock and getting fewer possessions per game which is leading to lower scoring.

That methodical pace has helped Under bettors score during ACC action, with the conference boasting a 92-116 Over/Under record (56 percent Under) heading into Monday’s schedule.

“I think (the 35-second shot clock) gives people flexibility to play the way they want to play,” Florida State head coach Leonard Hamilton told NoleSports.com. “I think that’s what makes college basketball so interesting.”

Only North Carolina and Maryland rank in the Top 100 of Pomeroy's tempo stats, but even the Terps have a 5-8 Over/Under record in conference play showing that it’s been hard for teams to escape the slow pace in the ACC.

Sean Murphy predicts that despite the Pomeroy numbers, consistent Unders from ACC teams may be a trend that’s on the way out with the postseason around the corner.

"To be honest, I think we'll see value going the other way as the ACC tournament, and NCAA Tournament approach," says Murphy. "The conference may be a little top-heavy, but it boasts plenty of offensive talent, even if the pace has lacked at times.

“It's not as if this is a conference that's loaded with defensive powerhouses. We should see those Over/Under records start to move back toward the mean in the next month or so."

For now, bettors should look at specific schools when riding the wave of low-scoring ACC games as schools like;
Syracuse (12-2 Under)
Virginia (9-6 Under)
Miami (9-4 Under)
Virginia Tech (11-2 Under)
All been paying out on the Under for months now.

Duke faces its biggest spread since the New Year
Justin Hartling

The Duke Blue Devils will face a spread larger than 20 points for the first time since Dec. 16. The Blue Devils are 2-3 against the spread when it is 20 or more points this season.

Duke will welcome the Virginia Tech Hokies as a 21.5 point home favorite.

Minnesota opening as a small home-dog against Iowa

The Minnesota Golden Gophers, who have been stellar at home, are only getting 2.5 points against the No.19 Iowa Hawkeyes. In the past three meetings between the Gophers and the Hawkeyes, Minnesota averaged 59.6 points per game while Iowa averaged 76 ppg.

When these teams met earlier this year, Minnesota lost 94-73.

The Magic can't do it on the road
Justin Hartling

The Orlando Magic have been pretty awful this year, but they have been even worse when you just look at their road record against the spread. The Magic are 9-20 ATS on the road this season, but they have not covered a road game since Dec. 16.

The Magic will get 9.5 points when the face the Wizard Tuesday.

Raptors and Cavaliers open with lowest line Tuesday

The Toronto Raptors and Cleveland Cavaliers open with the lowest line on the NBA schedule Tuesday. In the last four meetings between these teams they have gone Under all four times and averaged 194.25 ppg.

The Raptors and Cavs open with an O/U of 192.5.

The Lakers have been getting blown out when expected

The LA Lakers have been a mediocre team this season against the spread, but there is a horrifying secret hidden within. When the Lakers are dogs by 12 point or more this season, they are 1-3, and that one win was on Nov. 7.

The Lakers opened at +13 for there game against the Indiana Pacers Tuesday.

Anthony Michael (YouWinNow) - TV Play of the Day - Vanderbilt

#532 Vanderbilt +8.5 (7:00 est) ESPN

Florida now is on the top of the head with the #1 ranking and along with that comes everyone trying to knock you off. Look for Vandy to be very fired up here for a national TV game and big time revenge for a 26 point beat down from Florida last season. Motivated home underdogs are a good thing in college basketball. Get on this one with Anthony

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Tuesday's Notebook
•Iowa (-8.5) beat Minnesota 94-73 at home Jan 19, its 4th win in last five series games; Hawkeyes lost four of last five visits here, with the win by 4 in '12. Iowa won/covered its last three road games, by 26-7-12 points; they are 3-0 as road favorites. Minnesota lost six of its last eight games; they're 2-0 as home dogs- underdogs are 6-1 versus spread in its home games in league. Big Dozen home underdogs of 5 or less points are 6-9.

•Kansas State (-9) beat Texas Tech 66-58 at home Jan 28, holding Tech to 34% from floor; Wildcats won last eight games with Tech, winning its last three visits to Lubbock by 19-22-9 points. Big X home underdogs of 5 or less points are 8-4 versus spread. Tech is 9-3 versus spread in its last dozen games, but lost last three games, by 6-1-22 points. K-State lost their last six road games- their only road win was at TCU.

•St John's won five of last six games, is 8-1 versus spread in last nine; they got beat 70-60 (+5) at Xavier in Big East opener Dec 31, shooting 26% inside arc, 7-14 outside it. Red Storm won/covered its last four games at home, winning three by 15+. Big East home favorites of 7 or less points are 17-11 versus spread. Xavier is 3-5 in its last eight games after starting 5-1 in its first Big East season- they're 1-4 as a road underdog.

•St Joe's (+5) won 60-57 at Dayton Jan 29, holding on after leading by 15 with 10:07 left. Flyers lost last four visits here by 14-6-1-14 points, but they're 5-3 in last eight series games overall. A-13 home favorites of 5 or less points are 12-13 versus spread. St Joe's won six of its last seven games, is 2-2 as home favorite, with only one home win by more than 9 points. Dayton won five of last six games, is 1-1 as a road underdog.

•Clemson (-7.5) beat Wake Forest 61-53 Jan 18, outscoring Deacons 18-7 on foul line in 5th straight series win. Tigers are 4-4 on ACC road, 2-0 as road favorites, winning road games by 2-7-4-8 points. Wake lost seven games in row, losing by 33 in Chapel Hill Saturday; Deacons lost three in row at home, by 10-9-7 points, after winning first three. ACC home underdogs of 4 or less points are 4-11 versus spread.

•Wright State (+4.5) won 62-45 at Valparaiso Jan 10, in brickfest where both teams shot 33% inside arc, just Raiders' second win in last eight series games; Wright won three of last four games overall, with last three games decided by total of 9 points- they're 3-3 as a home favorite. Valparaiso won eight of last 11 games, is 3-3 as road dogs. Horizon League home favorites of 5 or less points are 4-17 against the spread.

•Florida is 14-0 in SEC, 2-3 as road favorite, with no road wins by more than 11 points; their last two wins were by total of 9 points. Gators are 5-1 in last six games with Vanderbilt, losing four of last six visits here. Vandy won three of last four home games, with last four decided by 6 or less points- they're 2-3 as home underdogs. SEC home underdogs of 4+ points are 8-4 versus spread. Florida covered twice in its last seven games as the favorite.

•Drake (-7) scored 55 points in second half, beat Evansville 94-66 (-7) in MVC opener Jan 1; Bulldogs won five of last six series games, but lost seven of eight Missouri Valley road games, with only win at SIU. Aces lost seven of last games, losing three of last four at home- they're 1-1-1 as a home favorite. MVC home teams are 9-8 versus spread in games where number was 3 or less points. Drake covered twice in six games as a road dog.

•Milwaukee (-1.5) won 67-63 at UIC Jan 16, after trailing by 3 at half; Panthers lost last three games, are 2-3 as home favorites, winning home games by 6-4-22 points. Flames lost last 17 games, are 0-14 in Horizon League, 5-2 as road dogs-- visitors are 11-3 versus spread in their Horizon games. UIC lost last five visits here, three by 5 or less points. Horizon home favorites of more than 5 points are 15-12 versus spread.

•Seton Hall won seven of last eight games with DePaul, beating Demons 86-69 (-8) at home Jan 25; it was 45-25 at half. Pirates lost four of last five games, three of last four at home- they lost at Creighton by a point Sunday. DePaul lost last ten games, is 2-5 as a home dog, with five of last six losses by 12+ points- they lost last game in OT to Marquette. Big East home underdogs are 10-13 against the spread.

•Indiana (+4) upset Wisconsin 75-72 at home Jan 14, its first win in last 13 games versus Badgers, but Hoosiers are 3-6 since that game, 1-3-1 as dog on road, losing away games by 3-5-5-6-18 points, winning at Penn St., Northwestern. Indiana lost its last eight visits to Madison, last six by 7+ points. Badgers won its last five games, but failed to cover last five home games. Big Dozen double digit home favorites are 12-8 versus spread.

•Georgia (+11) won 70-64 in OT in SEC opener at Missouri Jan 8; Bulldogs were down 5 in OT, won despite going 13-26 on line. Missouri lost six of last seven road games; they're 2-4 in games with spread of 3 or less. Georgia is 6-1 at home in SEC, winning last three by 13-1-12- they are 5-1 versus spread in SEC games with spread of 3 or less points. SEC home teams are 19-10-1 versus spread in games where number was 3 or less.

•New Mexico (+2) won 78-65 at Utah State Jan 28; Lobos won/covered last three games, cruising past Rebels/Aztecs in two sharp efforts last week- they've covered four of last five home games, eight of last 10 tilts overall. Mountain West double digit home favorites are 8-11 versus spread. Utah State lost last three games, covered three of last ten; they're 2-3 as road underdogs, losing away games by 1-8-4-20-17-15 points.
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StatSystems Sports is always looking to deliver the greatest possible product to its customers. More importantly, our team of Experts are always trying to line the pockets of its customers, and this is exactly what we are doing with our brand new Experts Consensus product! Don’t waste your time scouring for the “best looking” option out there; we have already done all the heavy lifting for you. We have taken the picks from all of the handicappers that align on one game and packaged them up for you into one super pick!

Every day we will give you the biggest consensus available in each sport from our roster of handicappers. StatSystems Sports Experts has extreme confidence in its handicapping team and when they align on a selection, they know the books are in for a pounding! Now you can bet with confidence because you know a number of the greatest minds in sports handicapping are backing your play. If you've been following the records, you'll know that the Experts Consensus is riding a crazy 7-1-1 (87.5%) hot streak since it was first introduced on February 14th!
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•Situational Trends of The Day
-- NEW MEXICO is 17-2 ATS (+14.8 Units) after allowing 60 points or less 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW MEXICO 71.8, OPPONENT 57.8.

-- VIRGINIA TECH is 15-2 UNDER (+12.8 Units) after 5 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers this season.
The average score was VIRGINIA TECH 61.1, OPPONENT 65.4.

-- IL-CHICAGO is 14-1 (+12.9 Units) against the 1rst half line in road games after 2 straight games where they were called for 22 or more fouls since 1997.
The average score was IL-CHICAGO 33.1, OPPONENT 30.1.

-- ST JOSEPHS is 12-1 UNDER (+10.9 Units) the 1rst half total in home games after a game where they covered the spread over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ST JOSEPHS 31.8, OPPONENT 27.2.

-- JERRY SLOCUM is 14-3 OVER (+10.7 Units) after 5 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers as the coach of YOUNGSTOWN ST.
The average score was SLOCUM 73.8, OPPONENT 71.8.

•Matchup Trends of The Day
-- CLEVELAND ST is 15-0 ATS (+15.0 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game this season.
The average score was CLEVELAND ST 77.4, OPPONENT 66.2.

-- AIR FORCE is 11-0 UNDER (+11.0 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game after 15+ games this season.
The average score was AIR FORCE 59.4, OPPONENT 66.7.

-- SAN JOSE ST is 2-14 (-13.4 Units) against the 1rst half line when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SAN JOSE ST 23.4, OPPONENT 35.1.

-- SAN DIEGO ST is 14-2 UNDER (+11.8 Units) the 1rst half total versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season this season.
The average score was SAN DIEGO ST 30.7, OPPONENT 24.3.

-- JEFF BZDELIK is 4-21 ATS (-19.1 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games as the coach of WAKE FOREST.
The average score was BZDELIK 61.0, OPPONENT 78.1.

•Situation Analysis of The Day
-- Play On - Home favorites of -165 to -500 versus the money line (MISSOURI ST) - revenging a straight up loss versus opponent as a road favorite against opponent off a loss against a conference rival, in a game involving two average defensive teams (67-74 PPG).
(322-59 since 1997.) (84.5%, +143.1 units. Rating = 4*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -303.2
The average score in these games was: Team 72.4, Opponent 63.6 (Average point differential = +8.9)

The situation's record this season is: (16-2, +12 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (82-13, +45.3 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (131-25, +57.5 units).

-- Play On - Road teams as an underdog or pick (YOUNGSTOWN ST) - good shooting team (45-47.5%) against an excellent shooting team (>=47.5%), after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread against opponent hot team - covering 12 or more of their last 15 against the spread.
(28-5 since 1997.) (84.8%, +22.5 units. Rating = 4*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (10-23)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 10.3
The average score in these games was: Team 67.7, Opponent 72.5 (Average point differential = -4.8)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 16 (50% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (2-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (11-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (13-1).

-- Play Against - Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DEPAUL) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG), revenging a loss where opponent scored 75 or more points, off a home loss by 3 points or less.
(27-5 over the last 5 seasons.) (84.4%, +21.5 units. Rating = 3*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (29-4 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 5.3
The average score in these games was: Team 72.7, Opponent 62.5 (Average point differential = +10.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 13 (39.4% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (2-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (13-2).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (65-35).

-- Play Against - Road favorites of 6 to 11 points versus the first half line (WICHITA ST) - an excellent defensive team (<=63 PPG) against a good defensive team (63-67 PPG), hot shooting team - 3 straight games making >=47% of their shots, after a win by 15 points or more.
(47-15 since 1997.) (75.8%, +30.5 units. Rating = 3*)

The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 7.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 28.6, Opponent 33.3 (Average first half point differential = -4.8)

The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (7-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (14-4).

-- Play On - Underdog of 2 to 5.5 points versus the first half line (YOUNGSTOWN ST) - good shooting team (45-47.5%) against an excellent shooting team (>=47.5%), after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread against opponent hot team - covering 12 or more of their last 15 against the spread.
(47-15 since 1997.) (75.8%, +30.5 units. Rating = 3*)

The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 4.8
The average first half score in these games was: Team 31.3, Opponent 32.3 (Average first half point differential = -1)

The situation's record this season is: (2-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (14-4).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (18-5).

Note: Get today’s complete NCAACB report by heading on over to Tuesday’s (2/25/14) service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...
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Betting Notes - Tuesday
•Hot Teams
-- Raptors won five of their last six games.
-- Pacers won seven of last ten games, are 1-5-1 versus spread in last seven.
-- Washington won last three games, by 17-1-13 points.
-- Bulls won five of their last six games.
-- Portland won last two games, is 17-11 versus spread on road.
-- Minnesota/Phoenix both won three of their last four games.
-- Rockets won nine of their last ten games.

•Cold Teams
-- Cavaliers lost last two games, after winning previous six.
-- Lakers lost five of their last six games.
-- Magic lost four of their last five games.
-- Hawks lost eight of their last nine games.
-- Nuggets lost seven of their last eight games.

•Totals
-- Seven of last eight Cleveland-Toronto games stayed under.
-- Seven of last ten Laker-Pacer games went over the total.
-- 21 of 29 Orlando road games stayed under the total.
-- Last seven Chicago-Atlanta games stayed under total; Atlanta's last four games went over.
-- Seven of last ten Denver-Portland games went over total.
-- Under is 3-1-1 in last five Minnesota games.
-- Under is 17-12 in Sacramento home games this season.

•Series Records
-- Raptors won four of last five visits to Cleveland.
-- Lakers lost three of last four games with Indiana.
-- Wizards won four of last six games with Orlando.
-- Bulls won six of their last seven games with Atlanta.
-- Blazers are 2-0 versus Denver this season, winning by 15-5 points.
-- Suns won 12 of last 16 games with Minnesota.
-- Kings lost ten of last fourteen games with Houston.
_________________________________

StatSystems Sports is always looking to deliver the greatest possible product to its customers. More importantly, our team of Experts are always trying to line the pockets of its customers, and this is exactly what we are doing with our brand new Experts Consensus product! Don’t waste your time scouring for the “best looking” option out there; we have already done all the heavy lifting for you. We have taken the picks from all of the handicappers that align on one game and packaged them up for you into one super pick!

Every day we will give you the biggest consensus available in each sport from our roster of handicappers. StatSystems Sports Experts has extreme confidence in its handicapping team and when they align on a selection, they know the books are in for a pounding! Now you can bet with confidence because you know a number of the greatest minds in sports handicapping are backing your play. If you've been following the records, you'll know that the Experts Consensus is riding a crazy 7-1-1 (87.5%) hot streak since it was first introduced on February 14th!
________________________

•Situational Trends of The Day
-- TORONTO is 18-4 ATS (+13.6 Units) in road games against Central division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 91.7, OPPONENT 92.1.

-- LA LAKERS are 18-5 OVER (+12.5 Units) after a loss by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA LAKERS 104.6, OPPONENT 107.0.

-- LA LAKERS are 5-24 (-21.4 Units) against the 1rst half line in road games after playing a home game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA LAKERS 49.8, OPPONENT 55.8.

-- WASHINGTON is 18-3 OVER (+14.7 Units) the 1rst half total in home games after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 52.2, OPPONENT 51.6.

-- MIKE D'ANTONI is 17-2 OVER (+14.8 Units) the 1rst half total in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points as the coach of LA LAKERS.
The average score was D'ANTONI 54.2, OPPONENT 58.8.

•Matchup Trends of The Day
-- PHOENIX is 29-12 ATS (+15.8 Units) versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season.
The average score was PHOENIX 108.1, OPPONENT 103.3.

-- ORLANDO is 14-2 UNDER (+11.7 Units) in road games versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game this season.
The average score was ORLANDO 92.3, OPPONENT 99.3.

-- ORLANDO is 8-23 (-17.3 Units) against the 1rst half line versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game this season.
The average score was ORLANDO 46.5, OPPONENT 52.6.

-- LA LAKERS are 19-4 OVER (+14.6 Units) the 1rst half total in road games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season.
The average score was LA LAKERS 53.7, OPPONENT 57.3.

-- RICK ADELMAN is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) - 2nd half of the season as the coach of MINNESOTA.
The average score was ADELMAN 91.2, OPPONENT 105.4.

•Situation Analysis of The Day
-- Play On - Favorites versus the money line (HOUSTON) - excellent offensive team (>=102 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (>=102 PPG) after 42+ games, after allowing 110 points or more against opponent after scoring 105 points or more 2 straight games.
(27-2 over the last 5 seasons.) (93.1%, +24.6 units. Rating = 5*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -120
The average score in these games was: Team 115.8, Opponent 104.3 (Average point differential = +11.5)

The situation's record this season is: (2-0, +2 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (4-0, +4 units).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (46-10, +9.7 units).

-- Play Against - Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (ATLANTA) - a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) against an average defensive team (92-98 PPG) after 42+ games, after 2 or more consecutive overs, in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42 or more games.
(38-13 since 1996.) (74.5%, +23.7 units. Rating = 3*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (40-11)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 0
The average score in these games was: Team 102.4, Opponent 97.5 (Average point differential = +4.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 21 (43.8% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (5-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (13-4).

-- Play Over - All teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (INDIANA) - extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days, a top-level team (>= 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%), in a game involving two good offensive teams (98-102 PPG) after 42+ games.
(28-8 since 1996.) (77.8%, +19.2 units. Rating = 2*)

The average total posted in these games was: 198.4
The average score in these games was: Team 109.8, Opponent 98.3 (Total points scored = 208.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 19 (52.8% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (2-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (3-2).

-- Play On - Underdogs of 6 or more points versus the first half line (DENVER) - a horrible defensive team (>=102 PPG) against an excellent offensive team (>=102 PPG), after being beaten by the spread by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team.
(35-11 since 1996.) (76.1%, +22.9 units. Rating = 3*)

The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 7.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 47.6, Opponent 49.2 (Average first half point differential = -1.6)

The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (5-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (10-3).

-- Play Over - Home teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105.5 (INDIANA) - good defensive team - shooting pct defense of <=43% on the season, averaging 53 or more rebounds/game on the season, in a game involving two good offensive teams (98-102 PPG) after 42+ games.
(76-30 since 1996.) (71.7%, +43.7 units. Rating = 3*)

The average first half total posted in these games was: 102.9
The average first half score in these games was: Team 55.4, Opponent 51.7 (Total first half points scored = 107.2)

The situation's record this season is: (11-4).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (14-6).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (17-8).

Note: Get today’s complete NBA report by heading on over to Tuesday’s (2/25/14) service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...
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NHL

Hot teams
-- Carolina won six of its last nine games.

Cold teams
-- Sabres lost six of their last seven games.

Totals
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Carolina games.

Series records
-- Hurricanes won their last five games with Buffalo.

NBA

Hot teams
-- Raptors won five of their last six games.
-- Pacers won seven of last ten games, are 1-5-1 vs spread in last seven.
-- Washington won last three games, by 17-1-13 points.
-- Bulls won five of their last six games.
-- Portland won last two games, is 17-11 vs spread on road.
-- Minnesota/Phoenix both won three of their last four games.
-- Rockets won nine of their last ten games.

Cold Teams
-- Cavaliers lost last two games, after winning previous six.
-- Lakers lost five of their last six games.
-- Magic lost four of their last five games.
-- Hawks lost eight of their last nine games.
-- Nuggets lost seven of their last eight games.

Series records
-- Raptors won four of last five visits to Cleveland.
-- Lakers lost three of last four games with Indiana.
-- Wizards won four of last six games with Orlando.
-- Bulls won six of their last seven games with Atlanta.
-- Blazers are 2-0 vs Denver this season, winning by 15-5 points.
-- Suns won 12 of last 16 games with Minnesota.
-- Kings lost ten of last fourteen games with Houston.

Totals
-- Seven of last eight Cleveland-Toronto games stayed under.
-- Seven of last ten Laker-Pacer games went over the total.
-- 21 of 29 Orlando road games stayed under the total.
-- Last seven Chicago-Atlanta games stayed under total; Atlanta's last four games went over.
-- Seven of last ten Denver-Portland games went over total.
-- Under is 3-1-1 in last five Minnesota games.
-- Under is 17-12 in Sacramento home games this season.

tgunn11 said:

Basketball Crusher
Georgia -1.5 over Missouri
(System Record: 49-7, lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 49-66-4

Click to expand...

Rest of the Plays
Valparaiso +3 over Wright st
Texas Tech +1 over Kansas St
Minnesota +3 over Iowa

Paul Leiner

100* Raptors / Cavaliers Over 193

100* Air Force +8.5

50* Clemson -2

Game of the Day: Bulls at Hawks

Chicago Bulls at Atlanta Hawks (-1, 188)

The Chicago Bulls have persevered through numerous injuries to key players more adeptly than the Atlanta Hawks, which is why the teams have passed one another while heading in opposite directions in the Eastern Conference standings. The Hawks will try to narrow the gap by one game when they host the Bulls on Tuesday. Chicago, which is in fourth place in the East, has won four straight in the series including the first two meetings this season.

The Hawks are expected to be without forward Paul Millsap (knee), further depleting a frontcourt that is already missing its top three centers in Al Horford, Pero Antic and Gustavo Ayon, but they won without Millsap on Saturday, beating New York 107-98 to snap an eight-game skid. "It was very important," forward Mike Scott told reporters. "We were down Paul, down so many bodies. It was just great for everyone to come out and play hard and finally get a win." The Bulls also have endured their share of injuries, most notably losing point guard Derrick Rose for another full season, and Jimmy Butler missed Sunday's 93-79 loss at Miami with a rib injury and is considered questionable to return against the Hawks.

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, WGN (Chicago), SportSouth (Atlanta)

LINE HISTORY: Early lines in Las Vegas had this game listed pick'em but adjusted their suggested spread to Bulls -2 with Paul Millsap out. The total was sent out at 187. Online shops opened Atlanta as high as -2 but that was bet down to -1. The total opened at 188 points.

POWER RANKINGS: Bulls (-7.0) - Hawks (-6.0) + Home Court (-3.0) = Hawks -2.0

INJURY WATCH: Bulls - Jimmy Butler (Ques. - Ribs), HAWKS - Paul Millsap (Out, Knee)

WHAT SHARPS SAY: "The Bulls are down but certainly not out following Sunday's beatdown at the hands of the King James-less Heat. Keep in mind, this is a team that had won five games in a row both SU and ATS heading into that contest. They're still playing some of their best basketball of the season - evidenced by the fact that they've allowed 93 points or less in six consecutive games. The Hawks just snapped an eight-game skid, but could have one eye on a tough six-game road trip that begins on Wednesday night in Boston. It's Bulls or nothing for me in this one." - Sean Murphy.

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "Expect us to need the Hawks, as Bulls have covered both games versus Atlanta this season. Also, Atlanta is just 1-7-1 ATS past nine games, while Chicago has covered five of six." -- Mike Perry, Sportsbook.

ABOUT THE BULLS (29-26 SU, 27-28 ATS, 22-33 O/U): Chicago has been a streaky team and strung together its third five-game winning streak of the season before falling to Miami. The Bulls were less than thrilled with their effort against the Heat, who were without LeBron James (broken nose) but still held Chicago to 35 percent shooting. Center Joakim Noah and forward Taj Gibson combined for 40 points and 35 rebounds against Miami and will look to duplicate their performance in the last meeting with Atlanta, in which they combined for 43 points and 28 boards.

ABOUT THE HAWKS (26-29 SU, 27-27-1 ATS, 34-21 O/U): Atlanta, which has steadily slid down the Eastern Conference standings since the brunt of the injuries hit, is tied for seventh with Charlotte but still has a 3.5-game cushion over ninth-place Detroit. It's remarkable the Hawks are still in the mix considering they've used 16 different starting lineups — including a different one in each of the last six games. Scott has been the latest player to emerge, as the second-year forward has scored 20 and 30 points in the past two games.

TRENDS:
* Bulls are 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.
* Under is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings.
* Favorite is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings.
* Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.

Jordan Sharp

Lakers Under 202

Kings Over 212

Jeff Grant

Wisconsin Badgers -10

Vanderbilt Commodores +8.5

Duke Blue Devils -21.5

Sports Wagers NHL

Carolina @ BUFFALO
Carolina -½ +125 over BUFFALO

Regulation only. The Hurricanes are definitely in this thing, as they sit just two points behind Columbus for fourth place in the Metropolitan Division with a game in hand. They’re also just five points behind Philly with two games in hand. Quietly, the Hurricanes have snuck up on a lot of teams and were one of the hottest teams in the NHL before the break. In fact, the ‘Canes have won 12 of their past 18 games. They have not lost two in a row in 13 games and they’re coming off a 4-1 loss to the Canadiens. Carolina boasts one of the best top-sixes in the league, sprinkled with the right amount of grit and flash. The Staals are absolute beasts to play against, both owning a rare mix of size and skill. Jeff Skinner already has 40 points in 46 games and is well on his way to another 30-goal season. Their D is solid and reliable with guys like Andrej Sekera, and even sports a bright young star in Justin Faulk (with Ryan Murphy not too far away either). There are players on this team (like the Staals and Skinner) that could have easily been chosen to play for Team Canada. However, the rest and relaxation figures to be rejuvenating and Carolina could certainly keep their hot streak rolling in the final 25 games. Entering the stretch run, Carolina is definitely underpriced.
Both of Buffalo’s goaltenders, Ryan Miller and Jonas Enroth, went to the Olympics and both didn’t see a minute of ice time. That “time off” is not the same as the time off those players who stayed home received. Buffalo comes into the stretch run with no chance of accomplishing anything. Indeed the spoiler role is fun and challenging but that role really hasn’t kicked in yet and after two weeks off, it doesn’t figure to impact this one in the least. Buffalo dropped four in a row and six of seven prior to the break. The Sabres were outscored 18-6 in their last four games and in their current state we trust it’s going to be a lot more difficult for them to regain their focus and intensity than it will be for the ‘Canes

Our Pick
Carolina -½ +125 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.50)

Sports Wagers Soccer

UEFA - Champions League
Manchester United +125 @ OLYMPIAKOS

3:45 PM EST. It has been a difficult first season in charge of Manchester United for David Moyes and no one said it was going to be easy following in Alex Ferguson's footsteps. To say that has proven true would be an understatement, as Moyes finds his United side well off the pace in the Premier League and out of both domestic cup competitions. Nine points behind fourth placed Liverpool with eleven games to go in the league means Champions League involvement for United next season is looking ever increasingly unlikely. MU’s only hope of qualification for next year's competition might be to win this year's one but few would be backing them to achieve that. That being said, United travel to Greece with the intention of beginning the knock-out phase of their Champions League campaign on the right foot. Moyes's side won their group and have the benefit of the second leg at home but Old Trafford isn't the fortress it once was and United can't afford to be complacent in believing they can mop up any damage at home.
Olympiakos are having an outstanding season domestically sitting a massive twenty points clear at the top of the division and being unbeaten in 26 league games this season. However, the step up in competition from the Greek domestic league to Champions League is night and day and they'll need to be at their best to get a result at home. Their task made harder by the absence of experienced Argentine forward and top scorer Javier Saviola as well as Kostas Mitroglou who was sold in the January transfer window to Fulham and is now playing his trade in the Premier League. Both players accounted for half of Olympiakos's 10 goals in the group stage and their absence will be felt. United will be without the cup-tied Juan Mata but they have Wayne Rooney and Robin van Persie fit and healthy to lead the attack.

There has been much talk from the Olympiakos camp of United feeling the pressure heading into this first leg, but ultimately the Premier League champions (although not for much longer) have the greater quality on the field and will look to take the sting out of the game early. As the match develops Olympiakos will find life tougher going forward without Saviola and Mitroglou and the difference on the night may well be Rooney and van Persie going the other way. There has been little for United fans to cheer about this season but we're backing them to go back to Old Trafford with a lead after a win in Greece.

Our Pick
Manchester United +125 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.50)