Service Plays Wednesday 2/26/14

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Perennial college hoops powerhouses to fade down the stretch
By CHASE RUTTIG

It’s hard for a program to make the NCAA tournament each year. With mid-major schools getting stronger and small-conference kings joining the big leagues, long tournament streaks are coming to an end each March as power schools settle for the NIT or worse.

However, some of these perennial powerhouses still command the respect of books and bettors – whether they deserve it or not. That opens up value to play against these teams in the home stretch of the season. Here are three NCAA tournament staples not playing up to their lofty standards.

Georgetown Hoyas (16-11, SU, 13-13 ATS)

Georgetown may have a small chance to make the NCAA tournament, but things aren’t looking good. The Hoyas are sitting in the bottom half of the Big East standings in a year where the conference lost the likes of Louisville, UConn, Syracuse, Notre Dame, and Pittsburgh.

Poor play in a conference that no longer has the same name value it once did means that Georgetown likely needs to win its final three games against tough opponents in Marquette, Creighton and Villanova as well as make a deep conference tournament run to make the NCAA cut. Bettors will have to decide if the Hoyas want to fight or give up heading into March. Back-to-back losses to Seton Hall and St. John's could give Georgetown backers their answer.

Indiana Hoosiers (15-11 SU, 12-12-1 ATS)

Like the Hoyas, Indiana needs to win out and make a deep conference tournament run to even put itself on the NCAA bubble. Losers of three of their last four it doesn't appear the Hooisers believe they can make some magic and sneak their way into the dance, as evidenced by their recent 2-4 ATS trend. A tough stretch where they play Wisconsin, Iowa, Ohio State and Nebraska could get ugly if Indiana chooses to fold up its red-and-white striped tent early.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish (14-14 SU, 8-16-2 ATS)

While not as big a basketball name as Georgetown or their in-state brethren Indiana, the Fighting Irish enjoyed four consecutive NCAA tournament appearances before leaving the Big East for the ACC alongside Syracuse and Pittsburgh.

Things started out strong with a big win over Duke at home but quickly crumbled. The Irish are 3-6-1 ATS in their last 10 games and fading down the stretch more than anyone right now after enjoying nearly a half a decade of tournament quality teams in South Bend. Notre Dame wraps up against Georgia Tech, Pitt and North Carolina.

Bank Shots: NBA's Weekly Betting News and Notes

Each week, we look back on the NBA betting scene and give you the best - and worst - basketball bets, as well as some spots to keep an eye on with the upcoming schedule.

For the week of Feb. 17-23

Hottest ATS - Miami Heat (3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS)

The Heat came into the week facing three straight statement games - including back-to-back showdowns with their opponents from the 2011 and 2012 NBA Finals, and an encounter with one of the top defensive teams in the league. All Miami did is earn a double-digit victory in Dallas, wallop the Thunder in Oklahoma City and return home to cruise past the Chicago Bulls despite playing without superstar LeBron James. The Heat are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine overall and expect James (broken nose) back this week.

Coldest ATS - Oklahoma City Thunder (0-2 SU, 0-2 ATS)

The Thunder's week was short and anything but sweet, as they welcomed back point guard Russell Westbrook with a pair of clunkers against the Heat and Los Angeles Clippers. Oklahoma City struggled to do much of anything against the Heat, losing by 22 after going in as a three-point favorite. The Thunder ran into the opposite problem in an eight-point loss to the Clippers - they had no trouble scoring, but allowed Chris Paul, Blake Griffin and Co. to hang a whopping 125 points on them.

Best 'Over' play - Los Angeles Clippers (1-2 SU, 3-0 O/U)

No matter how much the over-under rises for Clippers games, Lob City continues to deliver on the "Over". It had a perfect week coming out of the All-Star break, losing a 113-103 decision to the San Antonio Spurs, dropping a 102-96 decision to the Memphis Grizzlies and combining with Oklahoma City to score 242 points in Sunday's shootout win. Chris Paul looks sensational in his return to injury, while Blake Griffin is averaging better than 30 points per game so far in February.

Best 'Under' play - New Orleans Pelicans (0-3 SU, 0-3 O/U)

The Pelicans were expected to be one of the higher-scoring units in the NBA coming into the season, with three talented guards and a dangerous froncourt in Anthony Davis and Ryan Anderson. That hasn't panned out due in part to injuries to Anderson and Jrue Holiday, and things reached a new low last week with New Orleans failing to break 93 points in any of its three losses. Davis has shown to be a star in the making, but the secondary scoring just hasn't been there of late.

Surveying the schedule

Don't look now, but the Golden State Warriors - yep, the Warriors - are in the top 10 in the NBA in fewest points allowed (98.6). That new-found commitment to the other end of the court will be put to the test, as the Warriors open a six-game Eastern Conference road trip Monday night against the Detroit Pistons. With games in Chicago, New York and Toronto to follow, Golden State could find the sledding tough before wrapping things up next week against Indiana and Boston.

This Week's Best NHL Spot Bet Opportunities
Sean Murphy

Letdown spot

This might be a bit of a stretch, but letdown spots are difficult to find following a two-plus week break - with that being said, I believe Carey Price could be in for a less-than-stellar effort against the Red Wings on Wednesday night (provided he starts).

There's obviously a substantial drop-off from Team Canada's stellar defense to the Habs shaky blue line corps. Price will find that out in a hurry.

The Red Wings are banged-up but still pose a formidable challenge.

Lookahead spot

Toronto will begin its post-Olympic journey with a stop in Long Island to face the Islanders on Thursday night. Here's thinking the Leafs will have one eye on Saturday's showdown in Montreal, however.

The break couldn't have come at a much worse time for the Leafs, as they had been rolling prior, winners of five of their last six games. Facing a John Tavares-less Isles squad likely won't draw a ton of motivation on Thursday night - even if it is their first game in weeks.

Schedule spot

I'll back a team in a favorable scheduling spot for a change this week.

The Ducks will have been home and cool for nearly three weeks (those that didn't compete in Sochi at least) when they take the ice on Friday night against the Blues, and boy has Anaheim had St. Louis' number this season, taking both previous meetings - both in enemy territory no less.

St. Louis travels to Vancouver for a tough matchup with the Canucks on Wednesday before shuffling off to Anaheim.

POINTWISE

NBA BASKETBALL

(7:05) Orlando Magic 102 - PHILADELPHIA 76ERS 98 _____ _____

(7:35) BOSTON CELTICS 98 - Atlanta Hawks 95 _____ _____

(8:05) OKLAHOMA CITY 124 - Cleveland Cavaliers 99 _____ _____

(8:05) New Orleans Pelicans 108 - DALLAS 96 (ESPN) _____ _____

(8:05) MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES 94 - Los Angeles Lakers 90 _____ _____

(8:05) CHICAGO BULLS 101 - Golden State Warriors 100 _____ _____

(8:35) SAN ANTONIO SPURS 119 - Detroit Pistons 95 _____ _____

(9:05) Phoenix Suns 98 - UTAH JAZZ 95 _____ _____

(10:05) PORTLAND BLAZERS 119 - Brooklyn Nets 97 _____ _____

(10:35) LA CLIPPERS 106 - Houston Rockets 99 (ESPN) _____ _____

BEST BETS
ORLANDO
NEW ORLEANS (2)
SAN ANTONIO (1)

POINTWISE

COLLEGE KEY RELEASES
FRESNO STATE over Boise St (Wed) RATING: 2
PURDUE over Michigan (Wed) RATING: 5

(7:00) NOTRE DAME 69 - Georgia Tech 66 (ESPN2) _____ _____

(7:00) MASSACHUSETTS 74 - Rhode Island 68 _____ _____

(7:00) St Bonaventure 71 - LASALLE 67 _____ _____

(7:00) Rutgers 76 - CENTRAL FLORIDA 70 (ESPNU) _____ _____

(7:00) Michigan 73 - PURDUE 72 (BIG10) _____ _____

(7:00) Connecticut 74 - SOUTH FLORIDA 54 (CBSC) _____ _____

(7:00) VIRGINIA 68 - Miami-Florida 57 _____ _____

(7:00) Richmond 65 - GEORGE MASON 62 _____ _____

(7:00) NC-WILMINGTON 69 - Delaware 68 _____ _____

(7:00) Towson 74 - JAMES MADISON 67 _____ _____

(7:00) WILLIAM & MARY 71 - Hofstra 63 _____ _____

(7:00) Kent State 62 - BOWLING GREEN 59 _____ _____

(7:00) Akron 54 - MIAMI-OHIO 53 _____ _____

(7:00) Buffalo 78 - OHIO U 75 _____ _____

(7:00) EASTERN MICHIGAN 70 - Central Michigan 56 _____ _____

(7:00) BALL STATE 63 - Western Michigan 60 _____ _____

(7:00) DREXEL 52 - Charleston 51 _____ _____

(8:00) IOWA STATE 87 - West Virginia 79 _____ _____

(8:00) MISSISSIPPI 70 - Alabama 68 _____ _____

(8:00) Tennessee 66 - MISSISSIPPI STATE 65 _____ _____

(8:00) NORTHERN IOWA 74 - Southern Illinois 67 _____ _____

(8:00) Toledo 71 - NORTHERN ILLINOIS 66 _____ _____

(8:00) Indiana State 72 - ILLINOIS STATE 71 _____ _____

(8:00) VILLANOVA 86 - Butler 63 (FOX 1) _____ _____

(8:00) Pittsburgh 69 - BOSTON COLLEGE 64 _____ _____

(8:00) LSU 80 - Texas A&M 65 _____ _____

(8:00) NORTH CAROLINA STATE 83 - North Carolina 77 _____ _____

(9:00) Nebraska 67 - ILLINOIS 62 (BIG10) _____ _____

(9:00) AUBURN 84 - South Carolina 69 (FSN) _____ _____

(9:00) TEXAS 81 - Baylor 64 (ESPNU) _____ _____

(9:00) TULANE 65 - Florida Atlantic 61 _____ _____

(9:00) FRESNO STATE 78 - Boise State 67 (CBSC) _____ _____

(9:00) ARIZONA 74 - California 58 (ESPN2) _____ _____

(11:00) ARIZONA STATE 72 - Stanford 71 (ESPNU) _____ _____

(11:00) UNLV 73 - Colorado State 63 (CBSC) _____ _____

BEST BETS
RHODE ISLAND
PURDUE (5)
TOWSON
MISSISSIPPI STATE
VILLANOVA
TEXAS
FRESNO STATE (2)

NBA

Hot teams
-- Warriors won last four games, all by 9 or less points. Chicago won six of its last seven games.
-- Mavericks won nine of their last eleven games.
-- Grizzlies won four of their last five games.
-- Spurs won three of last four games, are 10-16 vs spread at home.
-- Portland won last three games, by 8-11-5 points. Nets won six of their last nine games.
-- Rockets won ten of their last eleven games. Clippers won five of their last seven games.

Cold Teams
-- Orlando lost five of last six games; they've lost 16 in row on road, are 0-15-1 vs spread. Last road cover? Dec 16. 76ers lost last 11 games.
-- Hawks lost nine of their last ten games. Boston lost last five games.
-- Pelicans lost six of their last seven games.
-- Lakers lost six of their last seven games (2-5 vs spread).
-- Oklahoma City lost last two home games, covered one of last four at home. Cavaliers lost last three games, by 7-13-6 points.
-- Pistons lost five of their last six games.
-- Utah lost three of its last four games. Suns lost their last two games, by 9-3 points.

Series records
-- 76ers lost six of last eight games with Orlando.
-- Celtics won eight of last eleven games with Atlanta.
-- Home side won eight of last nine Warrior-Bull games; Golden State lost its last four visits to Chicago.
-- Mavericks won their last six games with New Orleans.
-- Lakers lost four of last six games with Memphis.
-- Thunder lost six of last nine games with Cleveland.
-- Pistons lost last three visits to Alamo by 20-7-39 points.
-- Suns lost three of last four visits to Utah.
-- Nets lost seven of last ten games with Portland.
-- Clippers won seven of last eight games with Houston.

Totals
-- Four of last five Orlando games went over the total.
-- Last five Atlanta games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Golden State games stayed under.
-- Five of last six Dallas games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Laker games went over the total.
-- Last six Cleveland games stayed under the total.
-- Eight of last ten Detroit games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Utah games went over the total.
-- Seven of last ten Brooklyn-Portland games went over.
-- Four of last five Houston games went over total.

NHL

Hot teams
-- Bruins won seven of their last nine games.
-- Canadiens won last three games, outscoring foes 11-3.
-- Colorado won five of its last seven games.
-- Blues won six of their last eight games.

Cold teams
-- Sabres lost six of their last eight games.
-- Red Wings lost five of their last six road games.
-- Kings lost nine of their last eleven games.
-- Vancouver lost its last seven games.

Totals
-- Over is 10-3-2 in last 15 Boston-Buffalo games.
-- Under is 5-1-2 in last eight Montreal games.
-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Los Angeles games.
-- Under is 12-1-1 in last 14 St Louis-Vancouver games.

Series records
-- Bruins lost four of their last six visits to Buffalo.
-- Red Wings won five of last seven games with Montreal.
-- Kings won three of last four games with Colorado, with last three going OT/SO.
-- Canucks won five of last seven games with St Louis.

Today's NBA Picks

Houston at LA Clippers

The Clippers host a Houston team that is coming off a 129-103 blowout win over Sacramento and is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games following a SU victory of more than 10 points. LA is the pick (-5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Clippers favored by 8. Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-5 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

NCAA Basketball Picks

Miami (FL) at Virginia

The Hurricanes head to Charlottesville tonight to face a Virginia team that is coming off a 70-49 win over Notre Dame and is 6-1-1 ATS in its last 8 games following a SU victory of more than 20 points. Virginia is the pick (-10 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Cavaliers favored by 15. Dunkel Pick: Virginia (-10 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

Rest of the Plays
North Carolina-Wilmington +3.5 over Delaware
Arizona State -1.5 over Stanford
Boise State -1.5 over Fresno St

CRUSHER

tgunn11 said:

Hockey Crusher
Colorado -113 over LA Kings
(System Record: 67-2, won last game)
Overall Record: 67-50-1

Click to expand...

Rest of the Plays
Detroit Red Wings +124 over Tampa
Anaheim Ducks -140 over Nashville
Colorado Avalanche -102 over NY Islanders

tgunn11 said:

Basketball Crusher
George Mason PK over Richmond
(System Record: 50-7, won last game)
Overall Record: 50-66-4

Click to expand...

Rest of the Plays
North Carolina-Wilmington +3.5 over Delaware
Arizona State -1.5 over Stanford
Boise State -1.5 over Fresno St

Arthur Ralph's card for WEDNESDAY Bonus Play Delaware -3
Super Pick NO Iowa -7, Silver Bullets:
Iowa St -9, ILL ST - 1 1/2, LSU -9 1/2, Arizona -12, Arizona ST -1, Fresno St +2

Cappers Access

Notre Dame -6
Pelicans +7.5

Today's NHL Picks

Detroit at Montreal

The Canadiens (17-10-4 at home) play host to a Detroit team that is 0-4 in its last 4 road games against a team with a winning home record. Montreal is the pick (-150) according to Dunkel, which has the Candiens favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-150). Here are all of today's picks.