2014: NCAA Tournament props – Bettors believe a 15-seed will beat a No. 2

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[h=1]NCAA Tournament props – Bettors believe a 15-seed will beat a No. 2[/h][h=2]Also, William Hill dangles carrot for UNLV fans[/h]






moser-mike-031814-ap-300.jpg
A prop on total points and rebounds for Oregon's Mike Moser was created at William Hill with UNLV fans in mind.
<!--Print Article --> By: Micah Roberts | More Experts
Published: Mar 18, 2014




LAS VEGAS -- When Nick Bogdanovich was running the legendary Horseshoe sports book in downtown Las Vegas during the 1990s, the shop offered only a few NCAA Tournament props, and most of them did not come out until the later stages of the tournament, like the Final Four, when games are more isolated. But on Monday, 18 hours after the selection committee unveiled the 2014 NCAA Tournament bracket, Bogdanovich and his trusted sidekick debated numbers on 26 different tournament props before finally settling on solid prices to post at the 100 William Hill sports books across Nevada.
“We went to work right away, me and Adam (Pullen), and we wanted offer something different,” said Bogdanovich. “There’s no question the menu has been elevated 100 percent from the old days, where we did some stuff but nothing close to what we’re doing now. It's kind of like the evolution of the Super Bowl props.”
Pullen is one of the sharpest and most sought after bookmaking minds in town. But between the two of them, they had some drastically different numbers.
"The biggest differences we had was with the conference tournament win numbers, and we eventually settled in the middle, but we also had to err on the side of the UNDER because that seems to be the trend that most of (the sharps) like to take. As soon as we posted them, we immediately got pounded on the A-10 UNDER (4.5) and SEC UNDER (6.5)."
In addition to posting win numbers on nine different conferences, Bogdanovich is also offering player props, and individual YES/NO props on whether a 13, 14 or 15 seed will win a game. He said he "took a lot of action on 'YES' with the 15 seed to win at +450." The 15 seeds are Milwaukee, Wofford, Eastern Kentucky and American. Since 1985, the No. 2 seed is 109-7 (93.9 percent) straight-up over the No. 15 seed.



Creating the player props were also a trying experience, largely because some teams are in situations where their stars may not play too much.
“We wanted to offer props on the top players, but some like Nick Johnson (Arizona) and Nik Stauskas (Michigan) figure to get only 25 to 28 minutes of a game their team should have a comfortable lead in. So we had to be selective on what players we chose.”
In a nod to UNLV fans who may want something to cheer for even though their Rebels are not in any post-season tournament, Bogdanovich posted former UNLV star Mike Moser, now a senior with Oregon, at 24.5 total points and rebounds against BYU.
“Yeah, that one was my suggestion,“ said Bogdanovich. “That guy is rebounding machine, and has had a pretty good season.“


In addition to all these props, William Hill books are also offering a great contest called ‘Three-N-Out’ where for $25, contestants pick one game against the spread a day throughout the tournament and aren’t eliminated until they make three losing selections. Whoever is left standing at the end gets the guaranteed $25,000 prize.
Bogdanovich also said parlay-card numbers were just sent to the printers, which could turn out to be very advantageous for bettors looking for stale numbers. While the lines move rapidly on the board Wednesday, Thursday and Friday, the numbers on the card stay the same, which means there’s value to be found for bettors looking to play parlays of three to 10 teams.
Here’s a look at William Hill’s tournament props that were posted on Monday:

2014 NCAA Tournament Prop Bets_William Hill
 
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I don't think it will happen this year ... But if I had to pick one, Wisc Milw would be my pick.
Because Nova sometimes has problems with teams that start off a game Hot.
 

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In my first bracket, I have Milwaukee beating Nova.

Very good team.
 

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