VP's Diamond picks: 4/3/14 ​(YTD 6-4 +5.4 Units)

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2-2 (+0.6 Units) yesterday. First two days in the black. Keep it rolling.

REDS -105 2 Units
Homer Bailey is solid at home, and Lance Lynn has a knack for giving up the long ball (especially at Great American Ballpark)

ROYALS/TIGERS UNDER 7.5 (-115) 3 Units
Sanchez is solid in the month of April (1.34 ERA) and even more solid against this KC lineup (1.33 ERA) and the scouting report on Yordano Ventura is that he has a wicked fastball, great control, and a calm demeanor. I like this under ALOT.


Possibly more picks later.
 

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ROYALS/TIGERS UNDER 7.5 (-115) 3 Units *POSTPONED*

I was really excited about this play, but the Gods of Baseball called for rain. Be on the look-out for Yordano Ventura though guys, he's got great stuff and I'm sure the lines will have great value in his first couple of starts.

Taking a look at the night games. May have a play or two.
 

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Adding:

RAYS -1.5 (+135) 2 Units

Normally hate taking run line favorites, but in this case I'll make an exception. Since June last year, Chris Archer has been one of my favorite pitchers to watch. He's got wicked stuff, a tricky release, and a great mound presence. He's also been great in his three starts against the Jays. Holding the team to 3 runs in 16 innings, with a team average of .226 and OBP of .306. Brandon Morrow is trending in the other direction. He's become very hittable in the past year (ERA 5.63 in 2013). He struggled badly with fastball command this Spring and there's word that last year's forearm injury might still be nagging. Rays hitters hold a collective average of .269, an OBP of .370, and in 130 ABs against Morrow, this Tampa lineup has 11 HRs. I expect Tampa Bay to win this by 3 runs or so.
 

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I also took them for 2U on the -145 ML. 2U on the run line and 2U on OVER 4 runs.

Could be 3-0 soon on one game! Huge 3 run bomb by Longoria.....!!!
 

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REDS -105 2 Units *LOSS*

RAYS -1.5 (+135) 2 Units *WIN*

RAYS TT ov4 (-115) 2 Units *WIN*


2-1 (+2.6 Units) on the day. The Reds play came close, but no cigar. Archer (and the bullpen) pitched well, and Longoria's late blast put us over the TT.
 

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