2-1; +2.6 yesterday, only loss being Cincy's one run loss after a long rain delay. Three straight days of profit, with plans to keep the ball rolling.
D-Backs +120 2 Units
I like Arizona getting plus money here. Randall Delgado, although a #5 rotation spot holder, has a decent skill set and above average numbers against Colorado (3.27 ERA, .216 BA, and .256 OBP). Nicasio doesn't hold numbers that deserve any chalk whatsoever. Against Arizona he has a 8.05 ERA in 5 starts, with an opponent average of .310 and OBP of .412. If you give me a pitcher with their opponents' on base percentage that's ten points lower than his counter-part and a plus money line, I will take it every time.
TWINS +170 1 Unit
This is another example of a ten point gap in opponents' OBP, in favor of plus money. I am not a huge fan of Pelfrey, but these numbers are to good to ignore. With 98 AB sample size, Indians batters are hitting at a .194 average with a .288 OBP against Pelfrey. He has also only given up 4 XBH in these 98 ABs, all four of which were doubles. Only reason that I'm keeping this a 1 Unit play is the relatively small sample size for Danny Salazar. In his one start against the Twins he went 4 Innings, gave up 3 BB, 3 hits, and 3 ER. These numbers aren't great, but it's not enough to make a bigger wager.
D-Backs +120 2 Units
I like Arizona getting plus money here. Randall Delgado, although a #5 rotation spot holder, has a decent skill set and above average numbers against Colorado (3.27 ERA, .216 BA, and .256 OBP). Nicasio doesn't hold numbers that deserve any chalk whatsoever. Against Arizona he has a 8.05 ERA in 5 starts, with an opponent average of .310 and OBP of .412. If you give me a pitcher with their opponents' on base percentage that's ten points lower than his counter-part and a plus money line, I will take it every time.
TWINS +170 1 Unit
This is another example of a ten point gap in opponents' OBP, in favor of plus money. I am not a huge fan of Pelfrey, but these numbers are to good to ignore. With 98 AB sample size, Indians batters are hitting at a .194 average with a .288 OBP against Pelfrey. He has also only given up 4 XBH in these 98 ABs, all four of which were doubles. Only reason that I'm keeping this a 1 Unit play is the relatively small sample size for Danny Salazar. In his one start against the Twins he went 4 Innings, gave up 3 BB, 3 hits, and 3 ER. These numbers aren't great, but it's not enough to make a bigger wager.