ERockMoney 2014 MLB Outlook

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Accent 6"/> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="68" SemiHidden="false" UnhideWhenUsed="false" Name="Medium Grid 2 Accent 6"/> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="69" SemiHidden="false" UnhideWhenUsed="false" Name="Medium Grid 3 Accent 6"/> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="70" SemiHidden="false" UnhideWhenUsed="false" Name="Dark List Accent 6"/> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="71" SemiHidden="false" UnhideWhenUsed="false" Name="Colorful Shading Accent 6"/> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="72" SemiHidden="false" UnhideWhenUsed="false" Name="Colorful List Accent 6"/> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="73" SemiHidden="false" UnhideWhenUsed="false" Name="Colorful Grid Accent 6"/> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="19" SemiHidden="false" UnhideWhenUsed="false" QFormat="true" Name="Subtle Emphasis"/> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="21" SemiHidden="false" UnhideWhenUsed="false" QFormat="true" Name="Intense Emphasis"/> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="31" SemiHidden="false" UnhideWhenUsed="false" QFormat="true" Name="Subtle Reference"/> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="32" SemiHidden="false" UnhideWhenUsed="false" QFormat="true" Name="Intense Reference"/> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="33" SemiHidden="false" UnhideWhenUsed="false" QFormat="true" Name="Book Title"/> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="37" Name="Bibliography"/> <w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="39" QFormat="true" Name="TOC Heading"/> </w:LatentStyles> </xml><![endif][if gte mso 10]> <style> /* Style Definitions */ table.MsoNormalTable {mso-style-name:"Table Normal"; mso-tstyle-rowband-size:0; mso-tstyle-colband-size:0; mso-style-noshow:yes; mso-style-priority:99; mso-style-parent:""; mso-padding-alt:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; mso-para-margin:0in; mso-para-margin-bottom:.0001pt; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:10.0pt; font-family:"Times New Roman","serif";} </style> <![endif]--> I spent some time over the past few months working on a model for MLB. Historically, I have primarily stuck to football, soccer and boxing/MMA. I have pursued a few other sports over the last couple of years, but nothing has really taken off with the exception of college hoops.

I have no idea if the model will show any value. Back tested results seem to carve a small return, but I’m never one to place too much on that type analysis. I’m hopeful some of the core principles I follow as a gambler will carry over and enable to scrape a bit better of a return, but only time will tell.


I’ll be playing these plays small to begin with and re-evaluate after some more significant data becomes available.

Best of luck to all.

Continued success.

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At this price, the book maker is giving Houston about a 35.7% chance of winning. My numbers suggest it’s closer to 40%. If my figures are accurate I would be able to show a return of 12% over a large sample given this scenario.

Obviously, I’m a bit suspect on my figures, but my figures also lack any adjustment the book maker has made for public expectations. From all accounts, it appears Toronto is receiving more of the public action, or at least from what I’ve seen/heard I would draw that conclusion.

I like what I’ve seen from Harrell and will take my chances with an undervalued Astros side, too strong of a price to pass up even against Morrow.



974 LA Angels/Seattle Under 8.0 +112

My numbers suggest a 3-2/4-2 type of game, so I’ll jump at the plus money Under 8.0. I am a bit fearful of both pens and the starter’s control, or lack thereof, but I expect a pitcher’s duel, which should limit the bullpen time needed.

Both teams are off to decent starts offensively, but strike out a ton. The Mariners strike out roughly ten times per game and the Angels don’t have a very patient eye at the plate by striking out too much and rarely earning walks. Both teams have the fire power to open it up, but I side with the offensive inefficiencies with two pitchers who can exploit a free swinging mentality.


GL to all.

ERM............BOL with your action.......also on seat Under............indy

1-1. +0.12

901 Pittsburgh -125
905 Milwaukee +118

I'll try and get some quick thoughts up on these in a bit.

GL to all.

Continued success.

4/10: 2-0, +2.180
Season: 3-1, +2.300

951 Miami -121
955 Pittsburgh +111
957 Chicago Cubs +150

Continued success.

4/11: 1-2, -0.710
Season: 4-3, +1.590

916 Minnesota +134
920 Baltimore -116
924 Seattle +122

GL to all.

Continued success.

4/12: 2-1, +1.34
Season: 6-4, +2.93

955 Pittsburgh +123
959 Colorado +149
968 Chicago WS -118
976 Cincinnati -140

GL to all.

Continued success.

Season: 8-6, +2.93

953 Cincinnati -139
964 San Diego +116
966 Cleveland -115
969 Baltimore +135
977 Chicago WS +115

GL to all.

Season: 9-10, -0.450

902 NY Mets -105
908 Chicago Cubs +113
915 LA Angels +132

GL to all.

ERM............good luck today............indy