VP's Diamond picks: 4/10/14 ​(YTD 20-11-1 +25.2 Units)

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Lackluster day yesterday going 1-1-1 (-1.3 Units) the push was very close to a win, hence a winning day, but there's no time for hindsight in this game. Onto today's plays.

1st 5 Innings - A's -0.5 (-110) 2 Units
I stated in an earlier thread that I was hesitantly taking the Twins when Pelfrey was on the mound because I was never a fan of his, but I liked his numbers against the opposing lineup. Well this time around, the A's lineup has decent numbers against him (.314 average, .351 OBP) and I am still not a fan of his stuff. Every one of his pitches stays within the 85-90mph range. For me, this is bad news considering it's tough to fool batters without a decent change-up or off speed breaking ball. With a career WHIP of 1.47, I can see the A's lineup making those baserunners count. Dan Straily doesn't have WOW stuff, but he does have a 2.13 K/BB ratio and a decent gap in velocity between his fastball and changeup. This play is more of a Pelfrey fade than a Straily tail.

Might be more soon..

 

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Adding:

MARLINS/NATIONALS OVER 7(-115) 3 Units
When people see Strasburg, the automatically give love to the under, for obvious reasons. Strasburg's stuff is just nasty, and his K/9 ratios are great year in and year out. However, his high velocity stuff has been know to hit bat from time to time and when it does, if in the air, it sails. Today, at Nationals Park, the conditions are right for high-scoring baseball (Sunny, 68 degrees, 15-17mph wind pushing dead centerfield). Koehler is taking the mound for the fish, and the Nats' bats are salivating. Last season, in two starts against the Nats, Koehler has an ERA of 6.55, with 10 IP giving up 10 hits, 5 BB, and 3 HR. As a team, thats .297/.395/.622. If the chalk wasn't ridiculous, the Nats could be a decent play, but I think the Marlins can rattle off 3 runs or so in these conditions.

Maybe more come evening.
 

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On both as well! Was on the A's ML and the 1/2 for the F5 innings. Let's hit the OVER too! Continue the hot streak....
 

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Thank you, oh, thank you Marlins bullpen!! Was ready to chalk that out as a loss early.

MARLINS/NATIONALS OVER 7(-115) 3 Units *WIN*
 

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Gonna pass on tonight's action. Nothing I really like out there, though leaning NYMets and NYY/BOS under.
 

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Yes you should pass because I'm on the other side of both those plays lol
 

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