Service Plays Sunday 4/13/14

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Three NBA teams that would love to play postseason spoiler
By JASON LOGAN

The NBA schedule is wrapping up Wednesday, which leaves plenty of time for teams to jockey for playoff positioning. But beware basketball bettors. There are a few non-postseason teams still playing out the home stretch that would relish the role of spoiler in the final games of the season.

We look at three potential spoiled sports that NBA bettors should watch out for:

New York Knicks

The race for third spot in the Eastern Conference will have as much to do with the play of the New York Knicks as it will of the Toronto Raptors or Chicago Bulls. That’s because the Knicks travel to Toronto tonight before hosting the Bulls Sunday, going to Brooklyn and then welcoming the Raps on Wednesday.

For their part the Knicks still have an outside shot at the postseason with the Atlanta Hawks, up by two games, still needing to face the Nets, Heat, and Bobcats before finishing off with the Milwaukee Bucks.

But if the Knicks are to make the playoffs they may not be able to rely on Carmelo Anthony’s scoring. Reports say the Knicks’ All-Star will play these final games despite a deeply bruised shoulder that has seen Melo go just 9-for-31 over his last couple games.

“If you’ve even been a shooter, if it’s tough to raise your shooting arm it’s tough,” coach Mike Woodson told reporters. “Only Melo knows the severity of his pain. All I can try to do is put him in the best position possible, and if he tells me he’s hurting and he can’t play, then it’s my job to sit him. But I don’t know if he’ll ever tell me that.”

Milwaukee Bucks

The NBA’s worst team could have lots of say in the Eastern Conference’s final playoff positions. The Bucks play the Washington Wizards (tied with the Charlotte Bobcats for sixth), Toronto Raptors (fighting the Bulls for third), and Atlanta Hawks (see above) before we put the season to bed.

The Wiz would like to secure sixth instead of having to play either the Pacers or Heat, the Raps would like to avoid fourth and the Brooklyn Nets, and the Hawks have a tough schedule but essentially need just one more win to see off the Knicks for the final playoff spot.

And looking at the Bucks they probably won’t provide too much resistance to any of the three. The Bucks have lost eight of their last 10, keeping only two of the eight under 102 points. Heck, this team couldn’t even beat a struggling Indiana Pacers team that sat all five starters. But in all seriousness, what else can you expect from a team with a starting frontline of Khris Middleton, Jeff Adrien, and Zaza Pachulia all playing at least 32 minutes.

Sacramento Kings

The race for the final two playoff spots in the Western Conference between the Phoenix Suns, Dallas Mavericks, and Memphis Grizzlies is fascinating mostly because everyone still has to play each other.

Looking at the standings one would think getting to 49 wins will get you one of the two spots and currently the Mavs sit on 48 wins with two games (Suns and Grizz) left. Memphis, on 46 wins has the Sixers, Lakers, Suns, and Mavs, while Phoenix is on 47 with San Antonio, Dallas, Memphis and Sacramento left to play.

Looking at those matchups it’s realistic that it could come down to those final matchups between Dallas and Memphis and Phoenix versus Sacramento. If that’s the case the Phoenix has the best chance of getting one of the two spots.

Sacramento, as dysfunctional as any team, is as dead in the water as any bird on Duck Dynasty. Rudy Gay and Isaiah Thomas are probably done for the year and Ben McLemore with 79 NBA games under his belt is the most experienced starter in the backcourt. Meanwhile, Travis Outlaw and his near 5.3 ppg are playing nearly 30 minutes per game.
 
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Thunder and Pacers putting up big numbers for bettors
By JUSTIN HARTLING

The Indiana Pacers are crumbling, while the Oklahoma City Thunder are attempting to clinch second in the West. Though these two teams are trending in two different directions, they do have one constant, topping the total for bettors.

In the past 22 meetings between the Pacers and Thunder, to total has been topped an astounding 18 times (81.8 percent). That percentage actually climbs when they meet in Indiana, going an unbelievable 9-1 O/U record in the past 10.

The opening total for the Pacers and Thunder clash is 192.5.
 
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Game of the Day: Thunder at Pacers

Oklahoma City Thunder at Indiana Pacers (-2, 192.5)

The Indiana Pacers are still hopeful of claiming the No. 1 seed in the Eastern Conference but the quality of the opponent could pose a problem on Sunday. Indiana hosts the Oklahoma City Thunder – the No. 2 team in the West – as it attempts to wrestle the top spot in the East away from the Miami Heat, who defeated the Pacers on Friday. Oklahoma City leads the Los Angeles Clippers by 2 1/2 games and can clinch the second seed with a victory.

The Thunder rolled to an easy 118-94 victory over the Pacers on Dec. 8 in the team’s first meeting of the season. Forward Kevin Durant scored 32 points as Oklahoma City shot 61 percent from the field, while Indiana shot just 40 percent despite receiving 32 points from forward Paul George. The Thunder have won three straight games after routing the New Orleans Pelicans on Friday. Indiana has lost eight of its last 11 games and its quality of play has alarmingly dropped off after a strong showing over the first three-quarters of the campaign.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, ABC

LINE HISTORY: The Pacers opened as 2-point home favorites Saturday night. The early total opened 192.5 (Over -110).

COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Thunder (-13.7) - Pacers (-11.0) + Home Court (-3.0) = Pacers -0.3

INJURY REPORT: Indiana - A. Bynum (Out - Knee)

WHAT SHARPS SAY: "Bit of a tough spot for the Thunder her coming off a blowout win over the Pelicans. Pacers off a loss to the Heat in Miami should come out with plenty of fire in this spot. Can't help but think Indiana is undervalued at this point and not sure the Thunder bring their 'A' game in this matchup. Indy should come to play." - Covers Expert Sean Murphy.

ABOUT THE THUNDER (58-21): Power forward Serge Ibaka blocked a season-high eight shots and had 16 points and 10 rebounds in the 116-94 win over the Pelicans. The double-double was the 27th of the season for Ibaka and coach Scott Brooks beamed about his effort afterward. “Serge was spectacular,” Brooks said. “He’s right there with the best defensive players in the league. Blocked shots, he had eight, but he altered probably 10 others. And that’s what makes our defense good, when everybody is participating. When we do have a breakdown, he’s out there backing everybody up and covering for everybody’s mistakes.”

ABOUT THE PACERS (54-26): Center Roy Hibbert continued his recent disappearing act by grabbing one rebound in 34 minutes against the Heat. The 7-2, 290-pounder has been practically invisible recently and has just six total rebounds over his past four games. Hibbert is averaging 4.6 rebounds since the All-Star break after averaging 7.7 before it and has reached double digits on the boards just once over the past six-plus weeks. “We’ve got to get more from him,” Indiana coach Frank Vogel said after the loss to Miami. A recent benching of the starting five came after Hibbert was pulled after nine ineffective minutes on April 4, which means the big man had nearly a full week of rest leading into his latest poor effort.

TRENDS:

* Thunder are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
* Over is 18-4 in the last 22 meetings.
* Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
* Underdog is 13-5 ATS in the last 18 meetings.

COVERS CONSENSUS: 76 percent of bets are on Oklahoma City +2.
 

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1* GAME: Raptors-Pistons o206 (-110: Risking 1.10 units to win 1.00 units) - TBD (TBDu)
 
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NBA

Hot teams
-- Thunder won six of its last eight games.
-- Raptors won seven of their last nine games.
-- Bulls won their last seven games (5-1-1 vs spread). Knicks won four of last six games, but are 15-24 vs spread at home.
-- Portland won seven of its last eight games. Warriors won three of their last four games.
-- Minnesota won four of its last six games.
-- Grizzlies won three of their last four games.

Cold Teams
-- Pacers lost six of last eight games, covered one of last eleven.
-- Detroit lost seven of its last ten games.
-- Orlando lost last eight road games (2-5-1 vs spread). Nets lost last couple games, by 4-5 points; they're 24-15 vs spread at home.
-- Sacramento lost its last five games (2-3 vs spread).
-- Lakers lost their last six games (1-5 vs spread).

Series records
-- Thunder won five of last six games with Indiana.
-- Pistons won eight of last twelve games with Toronto.
-- Magic lost five of last seven games with Brooklyn.
-- Bulls won nine of last eleven games with New York.
-- Warriors won five of their last six games with Portland.
-- Kings lost four of last six games with Minnesota.
-- Lakers lost five of last seven games with Memphis.

Totals
-- Nine of last ten Thunder-Pacer games went over.
-- Last five Toronto games went over the total.
-- Under is 28-11 in Orlando road games this season.
-- Four of last five Chicago-New York games went over.
-- Four of last five Golden State games stayed under.
-- Five of last six Minnesota-Sacramento games stayed under.
-- Four of last five Laker games stayed under the total.
 
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NHL

Hot teams
-- Flyers won three of their last four games.
-- Washington won its last four games, allowing six goals. Lightning won last three games, allowing four goals.
-- Islanders won five of their last eight games.
-- Senators won their last four games, allowing four goals.
-- Minnesota won its last four games, allowing total of five goals. Predators won five of their last six games.
-- Colorado won eight of its last ten games. Ducks won six of last eight.
-- Dallas Stars won six of their last nine games.
-- Calgary won four of its last five games.


Cold teams
-- St Louis lost its last five games, outscored 19-5. Red Wings lost three of their last four.
-- Bruins lost their last four away games. Devils lost last three games, all by one goal.
-- Carolina lost three of its last four games.
-- Sabres lost their last six games, scoring nine goals.
-- Penguins lost four of their last six home games.
-- Phoenix lost its last seven games, scoring nine goals.
-- Canucks lost six of their last seven games.


Totals
-- Three of last four Detroit games went over total.
-- Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Boston games; under is 4-0-1 in last five Devil games.
-- Under is 7-1-1 in last nine Carolina games.
-- Five of last seven Tampa Bay games stayed under.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Islander games.
-- Six of last seven Ottawa games stayed under.
-- Under is 10-1-2 in last 13 Nashville-Minnesota games.
-- Seven of last nine Colorado games stayed under.
-- Five of last six Dallas Star games stayed under total.
-- Under is 23-14-3 in Vancouver home games this season.

Series records
-- Blues won their last three games with Detroit.
-- Bruins won eight of last nine games with New Jersey.
-- Flyers are 0-3 vs Carolina this year, with all losses by one goal.
-- Lightning lost their last five games with Washington.
-- Islanders lost five of last seven games with Buffalo.
-- Senators lost eight of last ten games with Pittsburgh.
-- Predators lost five of last six games with Minnesota.
-- Avalanche is 5-4 in its last nine games with Anaheim.
-- Coyotes lost five of last seven games with Dallas.
-- Canucks won their last six games with Calgary.
 
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MLB

Hot pitchers
-- GGonzalez is 3-1, 1.80 in his last four starts. Harang is 1-1, 1.46 in his last four outings.
-- Lohse is 3-2, 2.57 in his last five starts. Morton is 0-1, 3.10 in his last five.
-- Wacha is 1-0, 0.71 in two starts this season.
-- Hudson is 2-0, 1.72 in two starts for the Giants. Chatwood is 1-1, 3.04 in his last four starts, which were all LY.
-- Haren is 2-0, 0.95 in his last three starts.

-- Buehrle is 2-0, 0.64 in two starts this season.
-- Vargas is 1-0, 1.20 in two starts for the Royals.
-- Kazmir is 4-0, 1.37 in his last four starts.

-- Cingrani is 2-3, 2.89 in his last six starts.
-- Colon is 1-1, 2.07 in his first two starts for the Mets.
-- Scherzer has a 1.91 RA but no wins in his last four starts.


Cold pitchers
-- Alvarez is 1-4, 4.25 in his last five starts. Kendrick is 0-4, 6.82 in his last six.
-- Jackson is 0-3, 7.54 in his last five starts.
-- Cahill is 0-3, 7.90 in his last three starts.

-- Jimenez is 0-2, 6.75 in two starts for Baltimore.
-- Correia is 0-1, 6.94 in his first two starts this season.
-- Quintana is 1-1, 4.95 in his last three starts. Kluber has an 8.59 RA in his last three starts.
-- Oberholtzer is 0-6, 4.19 in his last six starts. Perez is 1-1, 4.67 in last three.
-- Young is 0-2, 3.28 in his last four starts, but those were in 2012.
-- Doubront is 1-1, 9.00 in two starts this season. Nova is 0-1, 8.68 in his two starts this season.

-- Ramos is 0-0, 3.00 in three MLB starts, last of which was in '12; he's thrown four innings in four relief appearances this season.
-- Wilson is 1-2, 4.18 in his last four starts.
-- Ross is 0-2, 9.58 in two starts this season.

Totals
-- Last six Philly games went over the total.
-- Last four Washington games went over the total.
-- All five games at Miller Park stayed under the total.
-- Last six Cub games went over the total.
-- Seven of last nine Arizona games went over total; five of seven Dodger road games stayed under.
-- Ten of twelve Giant games went over the total.

-- Five of six Boston road games stayed under the total.
-- All five games at Camden Yards stayed under.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Texas games.
-- All six White Sox home games went over total.
-- Ten of eleven Minnesota games went over total.
-- Four of last six Oakland games went over total.

-- Five of last six Tampa Bay games stayed under.
-- Eight of eleven Angel games went over the total.
-- Eight of eleven San Diego games stayed under.

Hot teams
-- Braves won three of their last four home games.
-- Milwaukee won its last eight games.
-- Dodgers won four of their last five games.

-- White Sox won four of their first six home games.
-- Rangers won three of their last four home games.
-- Oakland won five of its last six games.

-- Tampa Bay won six of its last nine games.
-- Mets are 5-3 in their last eight games.

Cold teams
-- Miam lost its last six games.
-- Pittsburgh lost three of its last four games.
-- Rockies lost four of their six road games. San Francisco lost three of its last four games.
-- Arizona lost five of its six home games.

-- Red Sox lost six of their last nine games. Bronx lost three of last five.
-- Orioles lost three of their last four home games.
-- Astros lost seven of their last ten games.
-- Indians lost five of their last eight games.
-- Kansas City lost its first four away games.

-- Cincinnati lost eight of its first eleven games.
-- Angels lost four of their five home games.
-- San Diego lost seven of its last ten games; Detroit lost three of last five.

Umpires
-- Chi-StL-- Favorites won last nine Layne games; over is 3-0 in his '14 games.
-- Col-SF-- Six of last eight HGibson games stayed under.
-- Mia-Phil-- Over is 3-0-1 in last four Ripperger games.
-- Pitt-Mil-- Nine of last ten Carapazza games went over.
-- Wsh-Atl-- Road team is 15-4 in last nineteen Hernandez games.
-- LA-Az-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Tichenor games.

-- Bos-NY-- Over is 7-3-1 in last eleven O'Nora games.
-- KC-Min-- Underdogs won eight of last eleven Diaz games.
-- Cle-Chi-- Home side won last 12 Davis games; seven of last eight stayed under the total.
-- Tor-Blt-- Three of last four Conroy games went over total.
-- A's-Sea-- 12 of last 16 Hallion games stayed under total.
-- Hst-Tex-- Six of last seven Porter games went over total.

-- TB-Cin-- Favorites won last ten Bellino games.
-- Det-SD-- Muchinski's first two games this year went over total.
-- NY-LAA-- Six of last nine Basner games went over total.
 
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Today's MLB Picks

Boston at NY Yankees

The Red Sox look to earn a split in the series tonight and come into the contest with a 6-0 record in Felix Doubront's last 6 road starts. Boston is the pick (-105) according to Dunkel, which has the Red Sox favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Boston (-105). Here are all of today's picks.
SUNDAY, APRIL 13
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST
Game 951-952: Miami at Philadelphia (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Alvarez) 13.725; Philadelphia (Kendrick) 15.341
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-135); Over
Game 953-954: Washington at Atlanta (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Gonzalez) 16.732; Atlanta (Harang) 15.104
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Washington (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-120); Over
Game 955-956: Pittsburgh at Milwaukee (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Morton) 16.143; Milwaukee (Lohse) 15.264
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+110); Over
Game 957-958: Chicago Cubs at St. Louis (2:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Jackson) 14.354; St. Louis (Wacha) 15.941
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-240); 7
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-240); Under
Game 959-960: Colorado at San Francisco (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Chatwood) 14.861; San Francisco (Hudson) 16.332
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-170); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-170); Over
Game 961-962: LA Dodgers at Arizona (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Haren) 14.259; Arizona (Cahill) 15.326
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 9
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-105); Over
Game 963-964: Toronto at Baltimore (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Buehrle) 15.792; Baltimore (Jimenez) 14.486
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-105); Under
Game 965-966: Kansas City at Minnesota (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Vargas) 14.197; Minnesota (Correia) 14.718
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+100); Over
Game 967-968: Cleveland at Chicago White Sox (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Kluber) 14.684; White Sox (Quintana) 16.122
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-130); Over
Game 969-970: Houston at Texas (3:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Oberholtzer) 13.854; Texas (Perez) 15.421
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Texas (-180); 9
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-180); Under
Game 971-972: Oakland at Seattle (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Kazmir) 15.734; Seattle (Young) 16.809
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Oakland (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+100); Over
Game 973-974: Boston at NY Yankees (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Lackey) 16.035; NY Yankees (Kuroda) 14.685
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-105); Over
Game 975-976: Tampa Bay at Cincinnati (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Ramos) 14.162; Cincinnati (Cingrani) 15.762
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-135); 8
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-135); Over
Game 977-978: NY Mets at LA Angels (3:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Colon) 15.532; LA Angels (Wilson) 15.104
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-150); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+130); Under
Game 927-928: Detroit at San Diego (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Scherzer) 15.690; San Diego (Ross) 14.780
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Detroit (-150); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-150); Under
 

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Anyone heard of a baseball ted? He is doing really well from another site.
 
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Today's NHL Picks

Nashville at Minnesota

The Predators head to Minnesota tonight following a 7-5 win over the Blackhawks last night and come into the contest with a 5-1 record in their last 6 games after allowing 5 goals or more in the previous game. Nashville is the pick (+140) according to Dunkel, which has the Predators favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Nashville (+140). Here are all of today's picks.
SUNDAY, APRIL 13
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST
Game 1-2: Tampa Bay at Washington (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 10.293; Washington 12.522
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 2 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 3-4: Detroit at St. Louis (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 10.998; St. Louis 11.784
Dunkel Line & Total: St. Louis by 1; 4
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 5-6: Boston at New Jersey (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 11.102; New Jersey 11.988
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1; 4
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 7-8: Carolina at Philadelphia (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 10.713; Philadelphia 12.389
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 9-10: NY Islanders at Buffalo (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 11.445; Buffalo 10.007
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: NY Islanders (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (-125); Under
Game 11-12: Ottawa at Pittsburgh (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 11.731; Pittsburgh 10.860
Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-170); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (+150); Over
Game 13-14: Nashville at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 12.172; Minnesota 11.204
Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota (-160); 5
Dunkel Pick: Nashville (+140); Over
Game 15-16: Calgary at Vancouver (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 10.315; Vancouver 11.788
Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-155); 5
Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (-155); Under
Game 17-18: Colorado at Anaheim (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 11.251; Anaheim 12.566
Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 19-20: Dallas at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 12.264; Phoenix 10.293
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+100); Over
 
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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Clippers (-12) on Saturday and likes the Pacers on Sunday.

The deficit is 240 sirignanos.
 
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Today's NBA Picks

Oklahoma City at Indiana

The Thunder head to Indiana today to face a Pacers team that is coming off a 98-86 loss to Miami on Friday night and is 4-22 ATS in its last 26 games when playing on 1 days rest. Oklahoma City is the pick (+2) according to Dunkel, which has the Thunder favored by 11 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (+2). Here are all of today's picks.
SUNDAY, APRIL 13
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST
Game 701-702: Chicago at New York (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 123.008; New York 123.778
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 1; 190
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 703-704: Toronto at Detroit (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 121.004; Detroit 112.110
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 9; 213
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 6 1/2; 206
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-6 1/2); Over
Game 705-706: Orlando at Brooklyn (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 110.947; Brooklyn 124.860
Dunkel Line & Total: Brooklyn by 14; 202
Vegas Line & Total: Brooklyn by 10 1/2; 196 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Brooklyn (-10 1/2); Over
Game 707-708: Oklahoma City at Indiana (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 125.938; Indiana 114.444
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 11 1/2; 189
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 2; 192 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (+2); Under
Game 709-710: Golden State at Portland (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 122.764; Portland 121.753
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 1; 199
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 3; 203 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (+3); Under
Game 711-712: Minnesota at Sacramento (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 123.166; Sacramento 116.260
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 7; 221
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 713-714: Memphis at LA Lakers (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 119.872; LA Lakers 113.604
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 6; 202
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 12 1/2; 206 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (+12 1/2); Under
 

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STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT
SUNDAY, APRIL 13th 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________



***** Sunday, 4/13/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
______________________________________

Betting Notes - Sunday
•Hot Pitchers
-- GGonzalez is 3-1, 1.80 in his last four starts. Harang is 1-1, 1.46 in his last four outings.
-- Lohse is 3-2, 2.57 in his last five starts. Morton is 0-1, 3.10 in his last five.
-- Wacha is 1-0, 0.71 in two starts this season.
-- Hudson is 2-0, 1.72 in two starts for the Giants. Chatwood is 1-1, 3.04 in his last four starts, which were all LY.
-- Haren is 2-0, 0.95 in his last three starts.

-- Buehrle is 2-0, 0.64 in two starts this season.
-- Vargas is 1-0, 1.20 in two starts for the Royals.
-- Kazmir is 4-0, 1.37 in his last four starts.

-- Cingrani is 2-3, 2.89 in his last six starts.
-- Colon is 1-1, 2.07 in his first two starts for the Mets.
-- Scherzer has a 1.91 RA but no wins in his last four starts.

•Cold Pitchers
-- Alvarez is 1-4, 4.25 in his last five starts. Kendrick is 0-4, 6.82 in his last six.
-- Jackson is 0-3, 7.54 in his last five starts.
-- Cahill is 0-3, 7.90 in his last three starts.

-- Jimenez is 0-2, 6.75 in two starts for Baltimore.
-- Correia is 0-1, 6.94 in his first two starts this season.
-- Quintana is 1-1, 4.95 in his last three starts. Kluber has an 8.59 RA in his last three starts.
-- Oberholtzer is 0-6, 4.19 in his last six starts. Perez is 1-1, 4.67 in last three.
-- Young is 0-2, 3.28 in his last four starts, but those were in 2012.
-- Doubront is 1-1, 9.00 in two starts this season. Nova is 0-1, 8.68 in his two starts this season.

-- Ramos is 0-0, 3.00 in three MLB starts, last of which was in '12; he's thrown four innings in four relief appearances this season.
-- Wilson is 1-2, 4.18 in his last four starts.
-- Ross is 0-2, 9.58 in two starts this season.

•Totals
-- Last six Philly games went over the total.
-- Last four Washington games went over the total.
-- All five games at Miller Park stayed under the total.
-- Last six Cub games went over the total.
-- Seven of last nine Arizona games went over total; five of seven Dodger road games stayed under.
-- Ten of twelve Giant games went over the total.

-- Five of six Boston road games stayed under the total.
-- All five games at Camden Yards stayed under.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Texas games.
-- All six White Sox home games went over total.
-- Ten of eleven Minnesota games went over total.
-- Four of last six Oakland games went over total.

-- Five of last six Tampa Bay games stayed under.
-- Eight of eleven Angel games went over the total.
-- Eight of eleven San Diego games stayed under.

•Hot Teams
-- Braves won three of their last four home games.
-- Milwaukee won its last eight games.
-- Dodgers won four of their last five games.

-- White Sox won four of their first six home games.
-- Rangers won three of their last four home games.
-- Oakland won five of its last six games.

-- Tampa Bay won six of its last nine games.
-- Mets are 5-3 in their last eight games.

•Cold Teams
-- Miami lost its last six games.
-- Pittsburgh lost three of its last four games.
-- Rockies lost four of their six road games. San Francisco lost three of its last four games.
-- Arizona lost five of its six home games.

-- Red Sox lost six of their last nine games. New York lost three of last five.
-- Orioles lost three of their last four home games.
-- Astros lost seven of their last ten games.
-- Indians lost five of their last eight games.
-- Kansas City lost its first four away games.

-- Cincinnati lost eight of its first eleven games.
-- Angels lost four of their five home games.
-- San Diego lost seven of its last ten games; Detroit lost three of last five.

•Umpires Trends
-- Chi-StL-- Favorites won last nine Layne games; over is 3-0 in his '14 games.
-- Col-SF-- Six of last eight HGibson games stayed under.
-- Mia-Phil-- Over is 3-0-1 in last four Ripperger games.
-- Pitt-Mil-- Nine of last ten Carapazza games went over.
-- Wsh-Atl-- Road team is 15-4 in last nineteen Hernandez games.
-- LA-Az-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Tichenor games.

-- Bos-NY-- Over is 7-3-1 in last eleven O'Nora games.
-- KC-Min-- Underdogs won eight of last eleven Diaz games.
-- Cle-Chi-- Home side won last 12 Davis games; seven of last eight stayed under the total.
-- Tor-Blt-- Three of last four Conroy games went over total.
-- A's-Sea-- 12 of last 16 Hallion games stayed under total.
-- Hst-Tex-- Six of last seven Porter games went over total.

-- TB-Cin-- Favorites won last ten Bellino games.
-- Det-SD-- Muchinski's first two games this year went over total.
-- NY-LAA-- Six of last nine Basner games went over total.

Diamond Trends - Sunday
•ATLANTA is 11-1 (+12.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 62%) over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 5.2, OPPONENT 2.2.

•SAN FRANCISCO is 10-1 OVER (+9.2 Units) against division opponents this season.
The average score was SAN FRANCISCO 5.5, OPPONENT 4.6.

•CLEVELAND is 3-16 (-16.6 Units) against the run line versus a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CLEVELAND 3.7, OPPONENT 5.6.

•DAN HAREN is 0-8 (-12.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. <=38%) over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was HAREN 2.4, OPPONENT 5.5.

•MARK BUEHRLE is 15-2 UNDER (+12.5 Units) versus an American League team with a team batting average of .265 or worse over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BUEHRLE 3.7, OPPONENT 3.3.

Situation Analysis of The Day
•Play On - Home teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (ARIZONA) - averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game on the season against opponent terrible fielding team - averaging 0.9+ errors/game on the season.
(46-15 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.4%, +36.7 units. Rating = 5*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (44-17 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average run line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 0.5, money line price: +112
The average score in these games was: Team 4.6, Opponent 3.3 (Average run differential = +1.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the run line by 1 or more runs was 35 (57.4% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (1-1, +0 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (23-5, +21.2 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (126-96, +32.5 units).
___________________________________________
 

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Baseball Crusher
Milwaukee Brewers -131 over Pittsburgh Pirates
(System Record: 8-0, lost last 3 games)
Overall Record: 8-6
 

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Hockey Crusher
Minnesota Wild -160 over Nashville Preds
(System Record: 91-4, won last 4 games)
Overall Record: 91-72-1
 

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