VP's Diamond picks: 4/18/14 ​(YTD 29-21-1 +23.9 Units)

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1-3 (-4.4 Units) yesterday. Really could've been a great day, had a couple close unlucky bounces (not Tampa).

I had three games that I like today, but wasn't anywhere near a computer to get the day game post (hit the under), and I missed the deadline to bet the Pirates on the 7EST games. The one I liked the most hasn't begun, so I'll throw it out there.

RANGERS -1.5 (+115) 4 Units
Paulino's stuff has been flat all season, and most of the Spring. He's allowing over two base runners an inning and his ground ball rate is a poor 36.7%, this combo against Texas's lineup at home will get you in serious trouble. Martin Perez has been a breath of fresh air to the Texas staff this season. He put out decent numbers last year winning 10 of 20 starts (losing 6), and kept his ERA under 4 (3.62), which is a feat in Texas. So far this year, he's looked even better. His WHIP is about the same at 1.30, due to his above average control and limited walks. His 2.70 ERA is a direct reflection of his groundball rate of 58.2%. The numbers are short of outstanding, but if you but balls on the ground 20% more than your opponent, you will get some playable balls and in most cases some outs. The White Sox bats have cooled down a good bit after a tough series against the Red Sox also. This is my biggest play in this young season, and it is my only play tonight.

Best of luck.
 

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