Hit my only play yesterday, but it was my biggest play of the young season. +4.6 Units.
I am being dragged to a day wedding today, so I have to make my plays early. Saturday and Sunday are historically my toughest days capping. For whatever reason the abundance of casual weekend gamblers creates a number of smoke and mirrors.
1st 5 Innings - BRAVES -0.5 (+110) 3 Units
Santana has been a great pick up for this Braves rotation. Moving from the AL to the NL is welcomed by most pitchers, and Ervin is no different. In his 2 starts this season, he's gone 14 IP, giving up only 7 H and 2 BB. His command has been great and he's been absolutely fooling these NL lineups. The Mets lead the league with 158 strikeouts this season, so I expect his early 10.93 K/9 to stay pretty close to where it is. The starting lineup for the Mets have registered 87 AB against him in their/his career and are only batting .218/.277/.425. Bartolo Colon is an aging, deteriorating mound relic. He had a flukey good couple of seasons in Oakland with help from one of the biggest pitchers parks in baseball and regiment of performance enhancing drugs. His transition to the NL hasn't been quite as fruitful thus far. In 3 starts, he's gone 18 IP and has given up 26 H and 2 BB. He's always been good at not giving away many BB, but staying in the zone makes his sub-par stuff very hittable. The Braves line-up has been underachieving this year, but this is a great spot to get the bats going. With the right approach, this could be an easy win.
GIANTS TT OVER 3.5 (-110) 3 Units
I know I know, PETCO is a difficult park to get runs in. Nevermind that in this case because the Giants are facing Eric Stults. This is a pitcher that the San Fran lineup is decently familiar (more starts against than any other team in MLB) with and they've hit him quite well (.331/.355/.550 in 160 AB). In the last 3 seasons, Stults has started 9 games against the Giants and has only gone 53 IP in those 9 with an ERA of 5.56. He knows this and the Giants know this. I expect 4-5 runs out of them here.
That's it for today. BOL.
I am being dragged to a day wedding today, so I have to make my plays early. Saturday and Sunday are historically my toughest days capping. For whatever reason the abundance of casual weekend gamblers creates a number of smoke and mirrors.
1st 5 Innings - BRAVES -0.5 (+110) 3 Units
Santana has been a great pick up for this Braves rotation. Moving from the AL to the NL is welcomed by most pitchers, and Ervin is no different. In his 2 starts this season, he's gone 14 IP, giving up only 7 H and 2 BB. His command has been great and he's been absolutely fooling these NL lineups. The Mets lead the league with 158 strikeouts this season, so I expect his early 10.93 K/9 to stay pretty close to where it is. The starting lineup for the Mets have registered 87 AB against him in their/his career and are only batting .218/.277/.425. Bartolo Colon is an aging, deteriorating mound relic. He had a flukey good couple of seasons in Oakland with help from one of the biggest pitchers parks in baseball and regiment of performance enhancing drugs. His transition to the NL hasn't been quite as fruitful thus far. In 3 starts, he's gone 18 IP and has given up 26 H and 2 BB. He's always been good at not giving away many BB, but staying in the zone makes his sub-par stuff very hittable. The Braves line-up has been underachieving this year, but this is a great spot to get the bats going. With the right approach, this could be an easy win.
GIANTS TT OVER 3.5 (-110) 3 Units
I know I know, PETCO is a difficult park to get runs in. Nevermind that in this case because the Giants are facing Eric Stults. This is a pitcher that the San Fran lineup is decently familiar (more starts against than any other team in MLB) with and they've hit him quite well (.331/.355/.550 in 160 AB). In the last 3 seasons, Stults has started 9 games against the Giants and has only gone 53 IP in those 9 with an ERA of 5.56. He knows this and the Giants know this. I expect 4-5 runs out of them here.
That's it for today. BOL.
