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Yonkers: Tuesday 4/22 Analysis
By Brewster Smith
DRF HARNESS

Race 5 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

MEET STATS: 115 - 456 / $709.90 BEST BETS: 11 - 36 / $43.40



Best Bet: CODE WORD (7th)

Spot Play: EXPLOSIVE ACTION (2nd)

Race 1

(3) AUSSIE REACTOR A gets class relief and that might be what he needs to get the job done. (1) FOREIGN OFFICER flashed good speed in his previous trip and retains the rail slot. (2) MAYFLOWERMOONSHINE put in a mild bid last time around.


Race 2

(2) EXPLOSIVE ACTION Even finish in his latest and this 4-year-old is capable of moving forward against this group. (1) MONROE COUNTY is clearly knocking at the door and the 1-hole can help his chances. (6) WINDSUN FIREBALL could grab a share of the purse.

Race 3

(4) MUSCLE ON BROADWAY was a game second in his last start and maybe he is ready to make tonight a winning one. (1) BORN TO FIGHT has wheeled off two straight victories; big threat again. (2) ITZAZIAM got the job done last out via the pocket route.

Race 4

(5) HS CERTIFIED Trotting miss might find these to her liking; worth a shot. (3) SWISHNFLICK Two place finishes puts this gal right in the mix. (6) NEVERDIE could have a say in the outcome.

Race 5

(3) PITTSTOP RUTHIE Quite sharp at Dover last out and this gal has every right to get the job done over these. (2) MYMOMSABLIZZARD has wheeled off two straight victories upstate. (1) HOBOKEN SONNY gets serious post relief; watch out.

Race 6

(1) HARDTS OR BETTOR Very game in his recent trip to the post and with the rail slot, this guy can boss these at his best. (3) USEFUL HANOVER did not race badly at Freehold last time out. (2) WELL DID makes his 2014 debut; worth a look.

Race 7

(3) CODE WORD Speedy 7-year-old can make tonight a winning one. (6) ABOMINABLE SNOWPAN takes a slight drop in class; second best. (1) BIG BAD ELI retains the rail slot off his recent score at Freehold.

Race 8

(2) ROLANDALE BUSTER Very sharp in his last two tries and can take this for his third score of the year. (1) BOOTS N BOURBON Easy victory at Freehold last out; main danger. (3) DASHPEDIA could land a share.

Race 9

(3) POINTSMAN closed well for the show spot at Pocono recently and maybe this gelding is ready to break out for his first victory in 2014. (6) RALBAR has tactcial speed and could be right in the swing of this. (7) DISARREI took the pocket route home for win honors last out.

Race 10

Will go back with (7) POP I to mow these down for all the glory. (1) LITTLE BITTY LIES Quite fast and the rail slot puts her right square in the mix. (2) BABMINO GLIDE has wheeled off two straight down the road victories.

Race 11

(3) KEGLER HANOVER might get back on the right track against this group of trotters and good to see Sears with the drive. (4) INSIDER ACCESS has tactical speed; big threat. (1) DEMENTED has fine speed and the fence; watch out.

Race 12

(4) EXTREME MACHINE N is on a roll scoring his third straight victory and should keep on his winning ways over this group. (2) CHARGER BLUE CHIP and (1) NITESICANTREMEMBER both get post relief and could contend in here.

Tuesday Horse Racing Spot Picks

SPOT PLAYS

For Tuesday

TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE

Finger Lakes (3rd) Artist Colony, 6-1
(8th) Bigshotinthenews, 3-1

Mountaineer (2nd) Via Delorosa, 8-1
(3rd) Heza Belfast, 8-1

Parx Racing (2nd) Three Dollar Bill, 9-2
(5th) Mr Brioni, 8-1

Turf Paradise (5th) Prairie Vision, 3-1

Beulah Park Race 7 for Tuesday, April 22, 2014
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Beulah Park - Race #7 - Post: 3:48pm - Allowance - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,800 Class Rating: 66

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#1 BUBBA BLITZ (ML=5/2)


BUBBA BLITZ - I really like that this equine shows a gate workout since the last event and is getting blinks on today. Always a good angle to play. This racer picks up a lot of dough per race around the track. I believe he can increase the lifetime earnings in this race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 JUDGE GRAY (ML=8/5), #4 GLORY TO THREE (ML=3/1), #2 EQUINESTEIN (ML=4/1),

JUDGE GRAY - This animal likes to be in the money, but doesn't usually win. Don't play in the top spot. GLORY TO THREE - No success for this racer in a short distance race over the last couple months tells me that this gelding is in a very difficult circumstance 3/1 is too low of a price to take on most any horse that has run poorly in back to back races. EQUINESTEIN - Will be tough for this racer to beat this field off of that last rating. Doubtful to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's Equibase class figure, so put him on the likely underpriced equines list.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - BUBBA BLITZ - Love the latest bullet work. Should perform well today.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #1 BUBBA BLITZ to win if you can get at least 1/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
1 with 5

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Mountaineer - Race #7 - Post: 9:18pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,100 Class Rating: 75

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#3 BUD MATIC (ML=4/1)


BUD MATIC - Ramgeet was aboard this gelding last time out and was impressed enough to take the horse right back. Taking a trip down in the class scale; has the ability to make his presence felt. Generally accepted angle - 3rd or 4th start after a layoff generally leads to a big effort. Should run a big one here.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 GUN START (ML=8/5), #1 WACKY INDIAN (ML=7/2), #6 NINE STRIPES (ML=5/1),

GUN START - The probable favorite is shaky here with the lack of morning activity. Had a difficult stretch run on Mar 15th and followed it up with another one. Probably won't see him doing it this time. WACKY INDIAN - This stretch-runner will probably be coming much too late to make a mark in this affair. NINE STRIPES - Let me give you a hint. For the most part, don't play a maiden breaker out of a maiden claimer next race out. This colt raced very, very well on March 31st placing first, but hasn't even visited the track since then. Not really a good sign. This racer ran a run-of-the-mill speed fig last time around the track. He shouldn't show signs of improvement and will likely lose in today's race running that fig.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#3 BUD MATIC is going to be the play if we are getting 1/1 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
3 with 6

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mountaineer

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $19400 Class Rating: 69

FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 4 TEN TEQUILAS 7/2

# 6 WESTERN SEEKER 3/1

# 7 SWARTZ 5/2

TEN TEQUILAS is my choice. A solid 76 avg Equibase class figure may give this gelding a distinct class edge versus this field. Trainers don't bring mounts back this soon without a good reason. WESTERN SEEKER - Have to play this gelding with the solid earnings per start in dirt sprint contests. Weymes is serious with this one, wheeling him right back. SWARTZ - Looks respectable versus this group and will most likely be one of the early speedsters. Could beat this group of horses given the 66 Equibase speed fig put up in his last outing.

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Finger Lakes

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Claiming - 4.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $11000 Class Rating: 92

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 21, 2013. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,500


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 4 ALCANUDANCE 5/2

# 5 WINNING WITHHONOUR 8/1

# 7 ROMAN'S TOUCH 8/1

My choice in this event is ALCANUDANCE. Could provide positive dividends based on respectable recent speed figures with an average of 84. Garnered a sound Equibase Speed Figure in the most recent race. Can run another good one in this affair. Has been running in the most competitive company of the group as of late. WINNING WITHHONOUR - Has been consistently racing well recently. ROMAN'S TOUCH - Could provide positive returns based on solid recent speed figs with an average of 82.

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Sunray Park

Sunray Park - Race 3

Exacta / 50 Cent Trifecta / 10 Cent Superfecta / Second Leg Pick 3 Third Leg Pick 4


SO $8,000 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 92 • Purse: $8,300 • Post: 2:18P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $5,000 OR LESS IN 2013-2014 OR CLAIMING PRICE $8,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 18, 2014 ALLOWED 3 LBS. A RACE IN 2014 ALLOWED 5 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. TENER GUSTO (CHI) is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * TENER GUSTO (CHI): Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.

Handicapped by Valuline at Beulah Park

Today's Most Likely Winner Is at:
Beulah Park, Race 4 (Tuesday April 22, 2014)

MAGISTRATE
(For ten of today's most likely winners, see Exotic Key Plays.)

BEU-4 6f DIRT Five Horses
"A" ALW F/M 3YUP $8,300
P# ex t s ML WP TVL
1 MAGISTRATE 6/5 56% 4/5 Strong Favorite icon

NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, April 22

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ATLANTA (39 - 44) at INDIANA (56 - 27) - 4/22/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing with 2 days rest this season.
ATLANTA is 11-27 ATS (-18.7 Units) in road games in all playoff games since 1996.
INDIANA is 9-28 ATS (-21.8 Units) second half of the season this season.
INDIANA is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season.
INDIANA is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
INDIANA is 18-27 ATS (-11.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
INDIANA is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 9-8 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 9-9 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
11 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BROOKLYN (45 - 38) at TORONTO (48 - 35) - 4/22/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 46-35 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 31-22 ATS (+6.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 6-6 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 8-5 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (45 - 38) at CHICAGO (48 - 35) - 4/22/2014, 9:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 7-4 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 6-5 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

NBA
Short Sheet

Tuesday, April 22

Atlanta at Indiana, 7:00 ET
Atlanta: 3-11 ATS when playing with 2 days rest
Indiana: 23-11 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive losses

Brooklyn at Toronto, 7:35 ET
Brooklyn: 6-14 ATS in road games after a game where they covered the spread
Toronto: 11-1 ATS after a game forcing opponent to commit 8 or less turnovers

Washington at Chicago, 9:35 ET
Washington: 11-2 ATS in road games when playing 4 or less games in 10 days
Chicago: 26-42 ATS as a home favorite

NBA

Tuesday, April 22

Trend Report

7:00 PM
ATLANTA vs. INDIANA
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Indiana's last 14 games when playing Atlanta
Indiana is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home

8:00 PM
BROOKLYN vs. TORONTO
Brooklyn is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Toronto
Brooklyn is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Toronto's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing at home against Brooklyn

9:30 PM
WASHINGTON vs. CHICAGO
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Chicago's last 17 games when playing Washington
Chicago is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington

NHL
Long Sheet

Tuesday, April 22

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TAMPA BAY (46-29-0-10, 102 pts.) at MONTREAL (49-28-0-8, 106 pts.) - 4/22/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 49-36 ATS (+12.9 Units) in all games this season.
MONTREAL is 22-15 ATS (+0.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TAMPA BAY is 10-2 ATS (+12.6 Units) in road games when trailing in a playoff series since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 8-5 (+1.7 Units) against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 8-5-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.6 Units)

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (55-20-0-9, 119 pts.) at DETROIT (40-29-0-15, 95 pts.) - 4/22/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 0-5 ATS (-7.1 Units) in road games in April games this season.
BOSTON is 55-29 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games this season.
BOSTON is 64-53 ATS (+121.7 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights since 1996.
BOSTON is 23-8 ATS (+9.4 Units) after a division game this season.
BOSTON is 114-84 ATS (+29.3 Units) in road games after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.
DETROIT is 11-18 ATS (-11.2 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 78-89 ATS (-81.9 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 5-2 (+4.8 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 5-2-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.9 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY RANGERS (46-32-0-6, 98 pts.) at PHILADELPHIA (43-31-0-10, 96 pts.) - 4/22/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY RANGERS are 13-22 ATS (-11.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NY RANGERS are 18-11 ATS (+6.3 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 217-219 ATS (-15.7 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY RANGERS is 12-4 (+7.2 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
NY RANGERS is 12-4-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
8 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.4 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN JOSE (53-22-0-9, 115 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (46-30-0-8, 100 pts.) - 4/22/2014, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE is 13-27 ATS (-17.1 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less over the last 3 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 107-67 ATS (+22.9 Units) in April games since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in the first round of the playoffs over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 32-14 ATS (+11.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SAN JOSE is 16-4 ATS (+10.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
LOS ANGELES is 13-17 ATS (-10.2 Units) after a division game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE is 12-10 (+0.9 Units) against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE is 12-10-0 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
10 of 19 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)