Service Plays Thursday 4/24/14

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Game of the Day: Thunder at Grizzlies

Oklahoma City Thunder at Memphis Grizzlies (+2, 190)

The Memphis Grizzlies swiped homecourt advantage away from Oklahoma City and attempt to take a 2-1 series lead when they host the Thunder on Wednesday in the seven-game Western Conference first-round series. The seventh-seeded Grizzlies recorded a 111-105 overtime victory in Game 2 to avoid a hole and are in a good position with the next two games being at home. Kevin Durant is averaging 34.5 points in the series for second-seeded Oklahoma City.

Durant kept the Thunder alive with a late four-point play in regulation in Game 2 as Oklahoma City eventually forced overtime before Zach Randolph scored eight of his 25 points in the extra session to help the Grizzlies prevail. Durant scored 36 points but it took him 28 field-goal attempts (making 12 shots) to get there as he was hounded throughout by Memphis defensive stalwart Tony Allen. “It is typical defense,” Durant told reporters. “They’ve been playing it all season. We got to move the ball a little bit better.” The Grizzlies scored 25 more points in Game 2 than they did in the opener.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, TNT, FSN Oklahoma (Oklahoma City), SportSouth (Memphis)

LINE HISTORY: The Grizzlies opened as 1-point home dogs and that has been bet to +2. The total opened 190 and has held firm since.

INJURY REPORT: Grizzlies - G Nick Calathes (Out, suspended), F Quincy Pondexter (Out, foot)

WHAT SHARPS SAY: "Most are anticipating a strong bounce-back performance from the Thunder on Thursday, and I'm on board with that line of thinking after Russell Westbrook and Kevin Durant combined to miss 33 shots in Monday's overtime loss. With that being said, the Grizzlies are an experienced, talented team, and they've proven to be a thorn in Oklahoma City's side defensively. Another physical affair is likely, so it's not surprising we're looking at another relatively low total. Look for a reasonably low-scoring, back-and-forth battle in Game 3." Covers Expert Sean Murphy.

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "The Grindhouse is a very difficult place to play and the Thunder are in for a dogfight to win this series, let alone tomorrows game. I do think the number is absolutely solid, Thunder rate out as the better team and they are coming off a tough loss, they should be a slight favorite and that’s why we opened them -1.5, but since opening that number we’ve seen an influx of Thunder money so we’ve gone to 2 to help balance the books. We haven’t seen any sharp action come in on this game so at this point, I do believe our number is very, very solid and don’t see us moving off it." - Peter Childs of Sportsbook.ag

CHEERLEADER WAR:



WHY BET THE THUNDER: Oklahoma City was eliminated from last season’s playoffs by the Grizzlies and the players are very aware that they lost in both visits to Memphis. The Thunder averaged just 89 points in the two losses – played without Russell Westbrook – and know they can’t afford to lose both games this time around. “As we go out on the road, it’s a great opportunity to develop the type of composure, poise, concentration and focus that you have to have in the playoffs,” veteran guard Derek Fisher told reporters. Fisher is one of the players who needs to step up his game as he has yet to make a 3-pointer while averaging 5.5 points in the series.

WHY BET THE GRIZZLIES: Allen has averaged 34 minutes in the first two games with small forward Tayshaun Prince dealing with an illness and his defensive prowess being needed. When guarding Durant, he has been relentless with applying pressure and trying to keep the ball from getting into the hands of the Oklahoma City superstar. Allen doesn’t understand the big deal his suffocating defense received in the aftermath of Game 2. “That was just blue collar,” Allen told reporters. “I’m no star, I’m blue collar.” Allen is averaging 10.5, seven rebounds and 2.5 steals in the series.

TWEET BEAT:



TRENDS:

* Favorite is 4-1-1 ATS in the last six meetings.
* Grizzlies are 6-1 ATS in their last seven Conference Quarterfinals games.
* Thunder are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.
* Over is 4-1 in Grizzlies last five Conference Quarterfinals games.

COVERS CONSENSUS: 67 percent of wagers are on the Thunder -2. 58 percent of wagers are on Over 190.

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS STAT/SHEETS, 4/24/14
NATIONAL BASKETBALL ASSOCIATION
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_________________________________________


***** Thursday, 4/24/14 NBA Information *****
(ALL RESULTS ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2013-14 National Basketball Association season we will analyze all of your daily basketball action, featuring all our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
________________________________________________

Eastern Conference Playoffs - Round #1

#733 INDIANA @ #734 ATLANTA
(TV: 7:00 PM EST, NBATV, FSN Indiana, SportSouth Atlanta - Line: Pacers -2, Total: 186) - The Indiana Pacers spent the first half of Game #2 looking like they would fall into an 0-2 hole in the best-of-seven series against the Atlanta Hawks before making a statement after the break. The Pacers will try to carry that momentum onto the road when they visit the Hawks for Game #3 on Thursday. Atlanta, which controlled the second half of Game #1 to pick up a stunning win in the opener, failed to put together the same closing kick in Game #2.

The Pacers looked a lot like the team that piled up the best record in the NBA over the first four months of the regular season after the break in Game #2, outscoring the Hawks 31-13 in the third quarter and keeping the pressure up defensively to put themselves in good transition situations. Paul George went 5-of-7 from 3-point range and finished with 27 points, 10 rebounds, six assists and four steals. George provided some dramatic 3-pointers down the stretch, including one to close the third-quarter that made it a 79-65 lead and another that pushed the advantage to 27 points midway through the fourth quarter.

•ABOUT THE PACERS (57-27 SU, 39-44-1 ATS): Indiana limped through the final month of the regular and appeared to carry that form over into the playoffs while putting up little fight in Game #1. That changed in the second half of Game #2, when the Pacers, who led the league in scoring defense for most of the season, held the Hawks without a point over a stretch of 6:30 bridging the third and fourth quarters and put the game away. “I thought our energy was great,” coach Frank Vogel told reporters. “Our willingness to share the basketball was great. Our willingness to run was great. Just the scrambling mentality on the defensive end I thought was the biggest factor.”

•ABOUT THE HAWKS (39-45 SU, 39-44-1 ATS): Jeff Teague scored a playoff career-high 28 points in Game #1 but was held to 14 in Game #2 as George took over the defensive assignment and kept Teague out of the lane. Atlanta missed 12 straight shots during the decisive stretch and shot 29 percent in the second half. “I think there were some opportunities and shots that have been part of our system all year, and we want our guys to shoot and confident, and it’s a big part of the game,” Hawks coach Mike Budenholzer told reporters. “We make a few of those shots, maybe the third quarter feels a bit differently.”

•PREGAME NOTES: Pacers C Roy Hibbert is 8-of-31 from inside the paint in the last seven games.... The teams split two meetings in Atlanta during the regular season.... Indiana F Luis Scola scored 20 points in 19 minutes off the bench in Game #2 after reaching 20 points only once previously this season.... The Hawks are 14-27 against the spread (34.1%) versus good free throw shooting teams - making more than 76% of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last two seasons.... The Pacers are 11-27 versus the spread (28.9%) versus teams who make 6 or more three-point shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.

-- In 1000 simulated games, ATLANTA covered the spread 640 times, while INDIANA covered the spread 331 times. *EDGE against the spread =ATLANTA. In 1000 simulated games, ATLANTA won the game straight up 591 times, while INDIANA won 388 times. In 1000 simulated games, 568 games went over the total, while 405 games went under the total. *EDGE against the total =OVER.

-- In 1000 simulated games, ATLANTA covered the first half line 600 times, while INDIANA covered the first half line 359 times. *EDGE against first half line =ATLANTA. In 1000 simulated games, 570 games went over first half total, while 430 games went under first half total. *EDGE against first half total =OVER.

•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--ATLANTA is 41-33 against the spread versus INDIANA since 1996.
--INDIANA is 39-37 straight up against ATLANTA since 1996.
--39 of 72 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996.

--ATLANTA is 48-26 versus the first half line when playing against INDIANA since 1996.
--37 of 73 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.

--Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Atlanta.
--Pacers are 4-12 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Atlanta.

--Road team is 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
--Favorite is 26-10-1 ATS in the last 37 meetings.

•RECENT TRENDS
--Over is 3-0-1 in Pacers last 4 games following a S.U. win.
--Over is 3-0-1 in Pacers last 4 after scoring 100 points or more.
--Over is 5-0-1 in Pacers L6 when their opponent allowed 100 points or more LG.

--Hawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Thursday games.
--Hawks are 5-0 ATS L5 when their opponent scored 100 points or more LG.
--Under is 4-0 in Hawks last 4 home games.

•SITUATION ANALYSIS: Play Against - Road teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (INDIANA) - an average offensive team (92-98 PPG) against a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG), after having won 3 of their last 4 games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal losing team (40% to 49%).
(99-51 since 1996.) (66.0%, +42.9 units. Rating = 3*)

The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 0.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 50.3, Opponent 48.3 (Average first half point differential = +1.9)

The situation's record this season is: (5-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (9-4).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (13-16).
_______________________________

Western Conference Playoffs - Round #1

#735 OKLAHOMA CITY @ #736 MEMPHIS
(TV: 8:00 PM EST, TNT, FSN Oklahoma City, SportSouth Memphis - Line: Thunder -1.5, Total: 190) - The Memphis Grizzlies swiped homecourt advantage away from Oklahoma City and attempt to take a 2-1 series lead when they host the Thunder on Wednesday in the seven-game Western Conference first-round series. The seventh-seeded Grizzlies recorded a 111-105 overtime victory in Game #2 to avoid a hole and are in a good position with the next two games being at home. Kevin Durant is averaging 34.5 points in the series for second-seeded Oklahoma City.

Durant kept the Thunder alive with a late four-point play in regulation in Game #2 as Oklahoma City eventually forced overtime before Zach Randolph scored eight of his 25 points in the extra session to help the Grizzlies prevail. Durant scored 36 points but it took him 28 field-goal attempts (making 12 shots) to get there as he was hounded throughout by Memphis defensive stalwart Tony Allen. “It is typical defense,” Durant told reporters. “They’ve been playing it all season. We got to move the ball a little bit better.” The Grizzlies scored 25 more points in Game #2 than they did in the opener.

•ABOUT THE THUNDER (60-24 SU, 44-38-2 ATS): Oklahoma City was eliminated from last season’s playoffs by the Grizzlies and the players are very aware that they lost in both visits to Memphis. The Thunder averaged just 89 points in the two losses – played without Russell Westbrook – and know they can’t afford to lose both games this time around. “As we go out on the road, it’s a great opportunity to develop the type of composure, poise, concentration and focus that you have to have in the playoffs,” veteran guard Derek Fisher told reporters. Fisher is one of the players who needs to step up his game as he has yet to make a 3-pointer while averaging 5.5 points in the series.

•ABOUT THE GRIZZLIES (51-33 SU, 37-44-3 ATS): Allen has averaged 34 minutes in the first two games with small forward Tayshaun Prince dealing with an illness and his defensive prowess being needed. When guarding Durant, he has been relentless with applying pressure and trying to keep the ball from getting into the hands of the Oklahoma City superstar. Allen doesn’t understand the big deal his suffocating defense received in the aftermath of Game #2. “That was just blue collar,” Allen told reporters. “I’m no star, I’m blue collar.” Allen is averaging 10.5 points, seven rebounds and 2.5 steals in the series.

•PREGAME NOTES: Memphis is 4-1 at home in the playoffs against the Thunder, with Oklahoma City’s lone win being a triple-overtime thriller in the second round in 2011.... Randolph (23 points, 8.5 rebounds) and PG Mike Conley (17.5 points, 11.5 assists) were solid for Memphis over the first two games.... Westbrook is averaging 26 points and 8.5 rebounds but is just 1-of-12 from 3-point range in the series.... The Thunder are 14-4 against the spread (77.7%) versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting less than 21 free throws/game this season.... The Grizzlies are 56-37 versus the spread (60.2%) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last two seasons.

StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.

-- In 1000 simulated games, MEMPHIS covered the spread 533 times, while OKLAHOMA CITY covered the spread 467 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, MEMPHIS won the game straight up 494 times, while OKLAHOMA CITY won 484 times. In 1000 simulated games, 784 games went over the total, while 197 games went under the total. *EDGE against the total =OVER.

-- In 1000 simulated games, MEMPHIS covered the first half line 508 times, while OKLAHOMA CITY covered the first half line 452 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, 709 games went over first half total, while 262 games went under first half total. *EDGE against first half total =OVER.

•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 45-36 against the spread versus MEMPHIS since 1996.
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 53-28 straight up against MEMPHIS since 1996.
--48 of 81 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996.

--OKLAHOMA CITY is 44-37 versus the first half line when playing against MEMPHIS since 1996.
--44 of 81 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.

--Favorite is 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
--Home team is 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
--Thunder are 3-7-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings.

•RECENT TRENDS
--Thunder are 1-6 ATS L7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
--Thunder are 1-5 ATS L6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
--Over is 5-1 in Thunder L6 games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

--Grizzlies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 2 days rest.
--Grizzlies are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Conference Quarterfinals games.
--Under is 4-0 in Grizzlies last 4 Thursday games.

•SITUATION ANALYSIS: Play Over - Home teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points (MEMPHIS) - good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's) against a poor pressure defense (<=14.5 TO's), after having won 3 of their last 4 games, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season.
(113-71 over the last 5 seasons.) (61.4%, +34.9 units. Rating = 2*)

The average first half total posted in these games was: 97.9
The average first half score in these games was: Team 51.5, Opponent 48.9 (Total first half points scored = 100.4)

The situation's record this season is: (6-9).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (56-35).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (324-320).
_______________________________

#737 LA CLIPPERS @ #738 GOLDEN STATE
(TV: 10:30 PM EST, TNT, Prime Ticket Los Angeles, CSN Bay Area Golden State - Line: Clippers -1.5, Total: 215) - The Golden State Warriors did what they needed to do by taking a game on the road to start their best-of-seven series against the Los Angeles Clippers. But it was the Clippers, who visit the Warriors for Game #3 on Thursday, who made the loudest statement in the first two games with a 138-98 demolition in Game #2. Golden State trailed wire-to-wire in that game and never got close in the second half as Blake Griffin asserted himself.

Griffin fouled out after only 19 minutes in Game #1 but set a playoff career high with 35 points in Game #2 despite joining the rest of the starters on the bench in the fourth quarter. It was the Warriors dealing with foul trouble to one of their key players as Klay Thompson had to sit early and never got into the flow before the game got away. The Clippers did a strong job in each of the first two games of taking Stephen Curry out of the game, and the All-Star guard only began to find a rhythm in Game #2 during the third quarter as the contest was already out of hand.

•ABOUT THE CLIPPERS (58-26 SU, 47-36-1 ATS): Griffin was the star but DeAndre Jordan (11 points, nine rebounds, five blocks) and Chris Paul (12 points, 10 assists, five steals) each had their moments, including an alley-opp from Paul to Jordan in the second quarter in which the center sailed high above Curry to slam it home. Los Angeles also got a big boost off the bench, which helped extend the lead in the second quarter and kept its foot on the gas in the fourth. “We wanted to make a concerted effort to change the game, and we did that,” forward Danny Granger, who led the reserves with 15 points, told reporters. “We came in, we played up-tempo, got some stops on the defensive end, and we pushed the lead from 10 to 21. I don’t think they got any closer after that.”

•ABOUT THE WARRIORS (52-32 SU, 42-39-3 ATS): Golden State forward David Lee outplayed Griffin with 20 points and 13 rebounds in Game #1 but was held to 11 points and four boards in Game #2 as the Clippers made adjustments. Curry faced the same type of pressure in both games and is 3-for-13 from 3-point range in the series. “I was having trouble getting downhill, trying to put pressure on the double team,” Curry told reporters. “I didn’t get many shots early in the first half. Credit to them, they took it up another notch defensively. We came out with a sense of urgency, just nothing was clicking and we couldn’t make enough plays early to keep ourselves in it.”

•PREGAME NOTES: Paul was limited in practice by a right hamstring injury but plans to play in Game #3.... Jordan, who finished third in the NBA Defensive Player of the Year voting, has recorded five blocks in each of the first two games.... Golden State took both meetings at home during the regular season.... The Clippers are 21-11 versus the spread (65.6%) in road games versus teams who attempt 18 or more three-point shots/game on the season this season.... The Warriors are 46-30 against the spread (60.5%) versus teams who attempt 18 or more three-point shots/game - 2nd half of the season over the last two seasons.

StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.

-- In 1000 simulated games, GOLDEN STATE covered the spread 515 times, while LA CLIPPERS covered the spread 485 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, LA CLIPPERS won the game straight up 511 times, while GOLDEN STATE won 466 times. In 1000 simulated games, 648 games went under the total, while 332 games went over the total. *EDGE against the total =UNDER.

-- In 1000 simulated games, GOLDEN STATE covered the first half line 511 times, while LA CLIPPERS covered the first half line 448 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, 618 games went under first half total, while 382 games went over first half total. *EDGE against first half total =UNDER.

•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--LA CLIPPERS is 36-34 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE since 1996.
--LA CLIPPERS is 40-33 straight up against GOLDEN STATE since 1996.
--36 of 71 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996.

--GOLDEN STATE is 38-34 versus the first half line when playing against LA CLIPPERS since 1996.
--42 of 71 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.

--Over is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings.
--Home team is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings.
--Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Golden State.
--Clippers are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Golden State.

•RECENT TRENDS
--Over is 5-0 in Clippers last 5 overall.
--Over is 5-0 in Clippers L5 after scoring 100 points or more.
--Over is 4-0 in Clippers L4 when their opponent allowed 100 points or more LG.

--Warriors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
--Over is 5-0 in Warriors last 5 overall.
--Over is 5-0 in Warriors L5 when their opponent scored 100 points or more LG.

•SITUATION ANALYSIS: Play Under - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (LA CLIPPERS) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, after a blowout win by 15 points or more against opponent after a blowout loss by 15 points or more.
(34-10 over the last 5 seasons.) (77.3%, +23.7 units. Rating = 3*)

The average total posted in these games was: 207.6
The average score in these games was: Team 101.6, Opponent 98.5 (Total points scored = 200.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 25 (55.6% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (4-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (14-5).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (78-57).
_______________________________

Dave Essler Notes

Reds-Pirates: What we do know is that Cingrani can be over valued, but he's a strikeout pitcher against a team that strikes out a lot, so we'd lean that way, although there's no line out and of course no lineups, which will be important. Crumpton pitched pretty reasonable in his late call-up last year, and has been more-or-less "servicable" in the Minors. Because the Reds haven't seen him, this could be a classic F5 U bet for me, especially if they rest starters.

Mets-Cardinals: Amazing how two years (maybe less) Lance Lynn was a betting darling, then he fell apart, he's been cheap, and now he sits at 4-0 this season. Not amazing, really, because that's how this whole betting thing goes. Bartolo post-PED's hasn't been very good for the Mets and there is literally no chance I can back him. He had his one good outing against the Braves, when he kept the ball down, but that was the team to do it against because they're free swingers. St. Louis is a bit more patient. Lynn's had two good outings in a row after two bad ones, but he's always been MUCH better at home. Looks like a 20-25 MPH cross-wind has already knocked that total down to 7. We'll wait and see. Perhaps I could be talked into the Mets RL if the price is right.

Arizona-Chicago: Well, is it time to jump back on the D-Backs at a reasonable price after their ninth inning comeback? Perhaps. The question is if Bolsinger is going to get anyone out this time around. If there was ever a team he COULD look decent against, it'd probably be the Cubs. Jackson hasn't pitched very deep in any games, and one has to wonder if he can go a fifth game without giving up a long ball. I don't think he can, and that may bring BOTH bullpens into this early. Supposed to be VERY windy and direction difficult to ascertain, but a slight helping R-L is entirely possible. The could bring this total out a 12 and it might not be enough, IMO. Either way, the Cubs cannot be -125 here, so Arizona it is, probably

San Diego-Washington: That's a little steep for Zimmerman against a very good LHP, who the Nationals often have trouble with. What I do like is the under, especially because Washington's bullpen has been lights' out lately. However (there's always a caveat) Stults DOES give up more flyball outs than I'd like, and gets away with it more in the bigger park at home. Washington's park isn't a hitters' park, but it's not Petco, either. I do like the under 7.5 a bit, and could be convinced to perhaps take the Padres RL at the right price. This game looks like 4-3 or even 3-2 to me. Zimmerman has been hittable, but he's owned the Padres and they've (right now) got the better bullpen.

Phillies-Dodgers: There's a reasonable chance I could back Kendrick here based solely of his last game in Colorado, of all places, where he induced 17 ground ball outs. Now he's got a bigger park to work with and less expectations. However, the caveat here is that several of the Dodgers own him. Haren's rounding back into SOME form, but hasn't done it long enough for ME to trust him not to give it up. Perhaps because Kendrick is a decent hitting pitcher and Haren is an excellent hitting pitcher I'd consider the over. -160 probably a little rich for my blood, so I'll wait and see if somewhere this total goes to 7. I wouldn't touch it at 7.5.

Kansas City-Cleveland: Last year the Indians were almost an automatic play-on against a LHP. This season they're already 1-6 against LHP's so we'd have to look at Chen first. Well, he's been terrible with a WHIP of 1.87 and the Indians almost to a man have hit him very well. Kluber hasn't been much better this season, and the only Royal that hits him is Moustakas. He's been awful this season, but when he hits the whole team seems to. The weather would dictate an under play here, but that'd be hard given these two, and it's now or never because there are 8.5's out there but I do think this closes at 8. I do think that's the play given perhaps a resting starter or two and two pens that have been good lately.

Detroit-White Sox: -200 seems like and awful steep price on a day game against an opponent that knows you so well. Quintana had a rough game against the Rangers last week (perhaps our last win) but otherwise has been at least respectable. Perhaps not the Q that everyone fell in love with last season, but doable given the right set of circumstances. And he's been reasonable against the Tigers.

Fezzik
2* Golden St. +2

tgunn11 said:

Baseball Crusher
St. Louis Cardinals -126 over NY Mets
(System Record: 13-0, lost last game)
Overall Record: 13-11

Click to expand...

Here are the rest of his baseball, hockey and basketball plays for today...


Baseball
Kansas City Royals +115 over Cleveland
Houston Astros +148 over Oakland
Chicago Cubs -117 over Arizona


Hockey
Detroit Red Wings +127 over Boston
Los Angeles Kings -111 over San Jose
Minnesota Wild + Colorado Avalanche UNDER 5


Basketball
Atlanta Hawks +2 over Indiana Pacers
Golden State Warriors +1.5 over LA Clippers
Atlanta Hawks + Indiana Pacers OVER 186

Cappers Access

Thunder -2
Cubs -125

Gamblers Data

Bonus Plays Thursday

Yankees/Red Sox over 8

Indians/Royals over 8

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Bonus Play THURS: Pacers -2

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Diamondbacks on Wednesday and likes the Diamondbacks on Thursday.

The deficit is 191 sirignanos.

Today's MLB Picks

Oakland at Houston

The A's travel to Houston tonight to face an Astros team that is 3-3 in its last 6 games as a home underdog of +125 to +150. Houston is the pick (+145) according to Dunkel, which has the Astros favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Houston (+145). Here are all of today's picks.

Today's NBA Picks

Oklahoma City at Memphis

After dropping Game 2 in Oklahoma City, the Thunder head to Memphis (27-14 at home) tonight and come in with a 1-6 ATS record in their last 7 road games against a team with a winning home record. Memphis is the pick (+2) according to Dunkel, which has the Grizzlies favored by 2. Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+2). Here are all of today's playoff picks.

Today's NHL Picks

Boston at Detroit

The Red Wings try to even up the series tonight against a Boston team that is 1-5 in its last 6 road games. Detroit is the pick (+125) according to Dunkel, which has the Red Wings favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+125). Here are all of today's playoff picks.

XpertPicks

THURSDAY

• Play Los Angeles Clippers -1.5 over Golden State (NBA)---RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL
  10:30 PM EST

Los Angeles has won 19 of the last 22 games coming off a home win by twenty points or more and they have won 5 consecutive games coming off five or more OVER the totals.Los Angeles has won 25 of the last 35 games when playing in the 2[SUP]nd[/SUP] half of the season and they are averaging 108 points a game this season.

• Play Atlanta +2 over Indiana (TOP NBA PLAY)---RISK 3% OF BANKROLL
• Play Oklahoma City -1.5 over Memphis (TOP NBA PLAY)---RISK 3% OF BANKROLL
  
  

=========================================================


NHL HOCKEY

• Play Colorado +145 over Minnesota (TOP NHL PLAY)---RISK 3% OF BANKROLL
• Play San Jose +110 over Los Angeles (TOP NHL PLAY)---RISK 3% OF BANKROLL

XpertPicks

THURSDAY

• Play Los Angeles Clippers -1.5 over Golden State (NBA)---RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL
  10:30 PM EST

Los Angeles has won 19 of the last 22 games coming off a home win by twenty points or more and they have won 5 consecutive games coming off five or more OVER the totals.Los Angeles has won 25 of the last 35 games when playing in the 2[SUP]nd[/SUP] half of the season and they are averaging 108 points a game this season.

• Play Atlanta +2 over Indiana (TOP NBA PLAY)---RISK 3% OF BANKROLL
• Play Oklahoma City -1.5 over Memphis (TOP NBA PLAY)---RISK 3% OF BANKROLL
  
  

=========================================================


NHL HOCKEY

• Play Colorado +145 over Minnesota (TOP NHL PLAY)---RISK 3% OF BANKROLL
• Play San Jose +110 over Los Angeles (TOP NHL PLAY)---RISK 3% OF BANKROLL